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Bavington Bob somehow managed to win at Hexham, and it didn't look likely when he was being pushed along half way down the back straight and was starting to become detached. However, he was on the end of probably the ride of the month (I know it's the first day of the month) by Tom Midgley. He absolutely flew home with half a furlong to run and grabbed us the win at a drifted price of 2/1.
A horse who I've been wanting to back for some time after she was a NR at Doncaster earlier last month is GLENARTNEY. I felt she was going to massively outrun her odds that day, and she saw some strong market support, but was withdrawn due to ‘unsuitable ground'. This happened again last weekend where she was a NR due to firm ground at Newmarket. Today, she should have no excuses whatsoever in terms of the ground, as it will not be deemed as quick ground, at a push it should be good-to-soft, and I'm hoping plenty of rain falls so that this filly gets soft ground which they've been searching for.
She is currently rated 100, which does mean she has a fair amount to find on the bare form. However, I think she deserves to have a run at this level now she's been upped in trip. On her most recent run at York, she looked like she would appreciate a stiffer test of stamina, and today will be the first time she tries a longer trip. Longchamp has quite a long straight, and it can seem forever for the finish line to come, which favours horses who have a strong stamina at the trip. We don't know for certain that this is the case for this horse, but I think it could be, and I think the odds on offer are good enough to chance her for an EW bet. Her Dam is related to strong staying horses like Percussionist who stayed 2m 4f, and she is also related to Nathaniel, who's progeny stay very well and he would've stayed further if they decided to try him over a longer trip.
The form of her most recent run has worked out quite well. The winner has since followed up in a Group 3 at Newmarket (the race Glenartney was a NR for) last week, and she did it cosily. Earlier on in the season she was 6.5 lengths behind Snowfall in the Musidora Stakes at York, and we know how good she has gone on to be. The form of that race has worked out tremendously. Snowfall is a superstar filly and runs in the Arc, Teona back in third has since won a Group 1 and Mystery Angel back in fourth has ran well in some big Group races.
I'm not a mug, and I understand she is up against it, but she is unexposed, gets the weight for age allowance, should enjoy the ground, and gets the services of Olivier Peslier. I believe she is better than a rating of 100, and is definitely an EW player.
This hasn't been planned, as the first selection has form tied in with this one, but I do believe TITLE is a horse who is progressive, and shouldn't be underestimated now he's back in Group company.
It's hard to say whether the recent gelding operation worked and that's why his recent performance was quality, but something has clicked, as that was a very big run to win in the fashion he did at Doncaster last time out. This horse has always had the potential to be a group horse, but probably needed that little extra kick to get him to that place, and the gelding op could've been the key, like we've seen it work miracles with Yibir, who looks a totally different beast since he got the snip.
He recorded an RPR of 115 when winning at Doncaster, and the form of that race has started to work out very well. Tyson Fury (3rd) has since ran with credit in the Listed race at Goodwood last week, finishing a close second. Dark Jedi (3rd) ran a big race at Ayr on his next start and recorded an RPR of 103, which is 7lbs more than his official rating. Living Legend (6th/last) won in easy fashion at Pontefract, winning by 4.5 lengths, recording an RPR of 106, 12lbs more than his rating. His form prior to this race wasn't too shabby either. He was 3rd in a Group 2 at Ascot behind Alenquer, coming in front of The Mediterranean. The time after he was second in a Listed race, which had Glenartney back in third.
It's quite apparent that he appreciates ground with a bit of cut in it, so he should have his ideal conditions today. Personally, I think Hukum is worth taking on everyday of the week, and twice on a Sunday. There's something about Hukum that I'm not sure on. He is a good horse, but he's not quite what you'd expect him to be after thinking he was a top class 3yo. Title is short enough in the market, but I do think he has a big part to play in this race. Quickthorn would be the one I'm wary about, back at this track and will also enjoy the ground.
Gowran Park 3:55
O CONNELL STREET holds very strong claims of winning a second chase on his third start over fences. He won with plenty in hand at Perth, and that has only seen him go up 3lbs in the handicap (6lbs if you factor in Jordan Gainford's 3lb who rode lto), and that shouldn't be enough to stop the follow up.
This doesn't appear to be a strong race by any stretch of the imagination, and based on his last run, he clearly prefers being a chaser than a hurdler. He's clearly in good nick, winning twice and being second in his last three runs, and I think that reflects the form of the stable. Gordon Elliott has been in tremendous form since making his return to training. In the last fortnight he has had 11 winners, which equals a 17% SR.
Off a mark of 118 you'd like to think there is still a bit more to come from this lightly raced chaser, and the fact they've sent him out again after just nine days of his recent win suggests he is flying at home, and they feel the need to get him out again.
14:50 Southwell - Race: 6
15:00 Lingfield - Race: 5