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Bavington Bob somehow managed to win at Hexham, and it didn't look likely when he was being pushed along half way down the back straight and was starting to become detached. However, he was on the end of probably the ride of the month (I know it's the first day of the month) by Tom Midgley. He absolutely flew home with half a furlong to run and grabbed us the win at a drifted price of 2/1.

Longchamp 2:50

A horse who I've been wanting to back for some time after she was a NR at Doncaster earlier last month is GLENARTNEY. I felt she was going to massively outrun her odds that day, and she saw some strong market support, but was withdrawn due to ‘unsuitable ground'. This happened again last weekend where she was a NR due to firm ground at Newmarket. Today, she should have no excuses whatsoever in terms of the ground, as it will not be deemed as quick ground, at a push it should be good-to-soft, and I'm hoping plenty of rain falls so that this filly gets soft ground which they've been searching for.

She is currently rated 100, which does mean she has a fair amount to find on the bare form. However, I think she deserves to have a run at this level now she's been upped in trip. On her most recent run at York, she looked like she would appreciate a stiffer test of stamina, and today will be the first time she tries a longer trip. Longchamp has quite a long straight, and it can seem forever for the finish line to come, which favours horses who have a strong stamina at the trip. We don't know for certain that this is the case for this horse, but I think it could be, and I think the odds on offer are good enough to chance her for an EW bet. Her Dam is related to strong staying horses like Percussionist who stayed 2m 4f, and she is also related to Nathaniel, who's progeny stay very well and he would've stayed further if they decided to try him over a longer trip.

The form of her most recent run has worked out quite well. The winner has since followed up in a Group 3 at Newmarket (the race Glenartney was a NR for) last week, and she did it cosily. Earlier on in the season she was 6.5 lengths behind Snowfall in the Musidora Stakes at York, and we know how good she has gone on to be. The form of that race has worked out tremendously. Snowfall is a superstar filly and runs in the Arc, Teona back in third has since won a Group 1 and Mystery Angel back in fourth has ran well in some big Group races.

I'm not a mug, and I understand she is up against it, but she is unexposed, gets the weight for age allowance, should enjoy the ground, and gets the services of Olivier Peslier. I believe she is better than a rating of 100, and is definitely an EW player.

Ascot 2:40

This hasn't been planned, as the first selection has form tied in with this one, but I do believe TITLE is a horse who is progressive, and shouldn't be underestimated now he's back in Group company.

It's hard to say whether the recent gelding operation worked and that's why his recent performance was quality, but something has clicked, as that was a very big run to win in the fashion he did at Doncaster last time out. This horse has always had the potential to be a group horse, but probably needed that little extra kick to get him to that place, and the gelding op could've been the key, like we've seen it work miracles with Yibir, who looks a totally different beast since he got the snip.

He recorded an RPR of 115 when winning at Doncaster, and the form of that race has started to work out very well. Tyson Fury (3rd) has since ran with credit in the Listed race at Goodwood last week, finishing a close second. Dark Jedi (3rd) ran a big race at Ayr on his next start and recorded an RPR of 103, which is 7lbs more than his official rating. Living Legend (6th/last) won in easy fashion at Pontefract, winning by 4.5 lengths, recording an RPR of 106, 12lbs more than his rating. His form prior to this race wasn't too shabby either. He was 3rd in a Group 2 at Ascot behind Alenquer, coming in front of The Mediterranean. The time after he was second in a Listed race, which had Glenartney back in third.

It's quite apparent that he appreciates ground with a bit of cut in it, so he should have his ideal conditions today. Personally, I think Hukum is worth taking on everyday of the week, and twice on a Sunday. There's something about Hukum that I'm not sure on. He is a good horse, but he's not quite what you'd expect him to be after thinking he was a top class 3yo. Title is short enough in the market, but I do think he has a big part to play in this race. Quickthorn would be the one I'm wary about, back at this track and will also enjoy the ground.

Gowran Park 3:55

O CONNELL STREET holds very strong claims of winning a second chase on his third start over fences. He won with plenty in hand at Perth, and that has only seen him go up 3lbs in the handicap (6lbs if you factor in Jordan Gainford's 3lb who rode lto), and that shouldn't be enough to stop the follow up.

This doesn't appear to be a strong race by any stretch of the imagination, and based on his last run, he clearly prefers being a chaser than a hurdler. He's clearly in good nick, winning twice and being second in his last three runs, and I think that reflects the form of the stable. Gordon Elliott has been in tremendous form since making his return to training. In the last fortnight he has had 11 winners, which equals a 17% SR.

Off a mark of 118 you'd like to think there is still a bit more to come from this lightly raced chaser, and the fact they've sent him out again after just nine days of his recent win suggests he is flying at home, and they feel the need to get him out again.

14:50 Southwell - Race: 6
Distance: 7f 14y
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: AllWeather
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
7
Custard The Dragon
221022-

2
Sir Sedric
363714-

5
Chookie Dunedin
75091-6

13
Clegane
13604-6

3
Harbour Vision
7424-55

11
Katheefa
768400-

8
Visibility
752944-

12
Courtside
04/9512-

10
Sycamore
5/65469-

4
Tommy Tittlemouse
432096-

6
Piselli Molli
3418-72

1
Colonel Whitehead
04890-8

9
Love Destiny
14598-0

15:00 Lingfield - Race: 5
Distance: 2m 7f 110y
Type: Chase
Class: 2
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
7
Custard The Dragon
221022-

2
Sir Sedric
363714-

5
Chookie Dunedin
75091-6

13
Clegane
13604-6

3
Harbour Vision
7424-55

11
Katheefa
768400-

8
Visibility
752944-

12
Courtside
04/9512-

10
Sycamore
5/65469-

4
Tommy Tittlemouse
432096-

6
Piselli Molli
3418-72

1
Colonel Whitehead
04890-8

9
Love Destiny
14598-0

15:15 Market Rasen - Race: 6
Distance: 2m 7f 191y
Type: Chase
Class: 3
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
6
Hunny Moon
2141-31

7
Sunset West
1/3F23-3

1
Buster Valentine
2P71/P2

2
Flegmatik
P445-43

9
Tide Times
P6-82P3

4
Ashfield Paddy
332-P2B

8
Cilaos Glace
2770-21

3
Cobra De Mai
P-43P26

5
Southern Sam
32513/3

49 Comments
  1. stevecrane68@outlook.com 4 months ago

    Hi I’m a new member but I’ve regularly red comments for the past couple years and theres some great tips n info on here….Hope I can contribute at some point……
    What’s everyone’s thoughts on Manobo Tom at France?

    3
    • cairnzy1878 4 months ago

      Welcome to the site mate.

  2. cairnzy1878 4 months ago

    Hello all,

    Apologies for the lack of activity today. Phone died in work, no lead to charge her up…

    Country Pyle unfortunately returned a losing NAP as the haggas trained Bartzella managed to turn around a poor previous run with a very impressive one.

    I don’t know what to make of that run today by Country Pyle. She was rid similar to how PyleDriver is ridden. Held up, patiently ridden then when popped the question asked to hammer home. I thought she traveled and settled quite well and I didn’t have a problem with holding her up in terms of tactics in running however I thought she was still at least 3 lengths of pace and could of done with being a little closer to the pack. It’s always a risk riding a young inexperienced horse and holding them up especially if they don’t know the job at hand 100% yet and are still learning. She was also angled out wide into the open and I thought if dwyer kept her more central with something to aim at she maybe would of picked up a little more but she faded in the final furlong or so. I wouldn’t give up on her just yet, plenty room for improvement.

    I haven’t had time to really look at tomorrow card but I’m only having the one bet tomorrow and it’s on my favourite horse of all time Stradivarius.

    I’ve no write up done out either due to lack of time with work.

    But Listen!

    This match up between trushan and strad has been a long time coming and I’ll absolutely love it if strad turns trushan over. No excuses from connections as Trushan looks like hell get his favoured soft ground.

    If you follow racing and are into it for the sport and not just a punter you’ll understand the frustration of trushan being constantly withdrew when these two were meant to meet.

    Trushan is current market favourite at 5/2

    Strad is definitely better on good ground but he’s versatile ground wise regardless and at 10/3 with Frankie on board and a previous run under the belt I can’t help but get on at that price.

    Surely 10/3 is worth a punt on one of the best stayers the sports ever seen regardless of ground or age.

    Stradavarius 🙌🤞

    I’ll have a write up for the arc tomorrow night with my main selection and one each way selection.

    Good luck!

    7
    • Deb2000 4 months ago

      If the ground is heavy I personally think Princess zoe will turn both over 5/2 👍

      2
    • cairnzy1878 4 months ago

      @Deb2000

      Hi Deb,

      Princess Zoe will definitely be overlooked in this race, I personally have already over looked her. Most people think this is a two horse race.

      I don’t think it’ll go heavy but who knows.. but from what I can gather the conditions tomorrow should be on the soft side and I’ll be massively surprised if trushan is withdrew again.

      Strad handles the ground. We all know he’s versatile that way market seems to think he won’t handle it as well as Trushan. Age also playing a factor. Regardless he’s one of my favourites and it’s not often you get Stradivarius at 10/3 so I’m taking it.

      Good luck tomorrow.

    • Deb2000 4 months ago

      Just read late last night the ground is faster than they are saying with most of the heavy rain not due to after today’s racing and supposed to be plenty of it for tomorrow so ground could be perfect for Stradivarius today 👍
      GL mate

    • soul 4 months ago

      strad has not gone win at bigger than even money since 7/4 at ascot 2018. i think that tells us all we need to know.

    • Thebigflu 4 months ago

      Nice one got the winner and placer with strad lovely thanks ,

  3. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    4:35 fontwell- Maasai warrior- 4/1

    Well done all the winners there were quite a few , keep up the great work 👍

    2
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      3:25 Longchamp- Pavlodar 15/2 e/w

      1
  4. Thebigflu 4 months ago

    Nice one on bob rizz, it was a bit mad one yesterday i think the rain messed with a few and will do so today again, cause theres a hurricane ivor out there,,well come steveo g,l with your picks i think kemari looks creepy and because he owns the two off them and dettori on it,, is the trap being set

  5. Thebigflu 4 months ago

    Best bet to start the day will be RONALDO to have 1 shot on target EVES – should make you have a good weekend,,also theres good racing at chester,why everyone is battling it out everywer eles you can get a few ,,port Stanley looks good

    1
    • Thebigflu 4 months ago

      Port or starboard

  6. Alves 4 months ago

    14.05 Ascot – money back as free bet for top 4 places

    Hurricane Igor – 3/1

    1
  7. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Trueshan hammered Stradivarius in October last year over a shorter distance on soft, but at Ascot mind.
    Frankie threw the towel in that day and eased the Strad down.
    Think same might happen today.
    Trueshan is unproven at this distance but you could also say he is unexposed at this distance, it’s a pig of a race to be sure of anything t.b.h.

    Trueshan win 9-4

    Skazino 9-1 ew (betting without trueshan) 3 places @bet365
    So get 4 places If trueshan comes in 1st 4.

    1
    • elvis parsley 4 months ago

      College oak 4-00 fontwell 9-4 @hills 🏇

      1
    • Deb2000 4 months ago

      Elvis Tony Mullins Princess Zoe trainer is on ATR page saying he doesn’t have a clue where there getting the soft ground from hes saying its bordering on good/firm might well be better waiting to see 1st race.

    • Deb2000 4 months ago

      WTF Doyle after 1st race saying Longchamp is very testing they really need to make there mind up 🤣🤣🤣🤣

    • Deb2000 4 months ago

      Nice1 Elvis pretty decent sized gamble landed by Trueshan 5/2 into 6/5 👍

    • Thebigflu 4 months ago

      Nice call Elvis,,yeah deb am getting same thing theres rain then theres no rain,now they say theres going to be a months worth of rain in the next 24hours ,mental

    • elvis parsley 4 months ago

      Cheers ☺️
      Skazino 4th too for the ew 🏇

      1
  8. Super Wilf 4 months ago

    My tuppence worth:

    I can see Gosden pulling The Strad oot

    The Hurricane to win the Arc 4/1

    2.20 today 10/3

  9. Super Wilf 4 months ago

    2.20 today Fearby 10/3

    1
  10. Sore point 4 months ago

    Newmarket 1.45 STATE OCCASION 8/1 each way

    Good luck everyone

    4
    • elvis parsley 4 months ago

      3rd, nice call 🏇

  11. CoreyForLuck 4 months ago

    Newmarket 1:45 ~ Swoon
    Newmarket 3:30 ~ Filistine
    Redcar 3:35 ~ Vintage Clarets
    Ascot 3:50 ~ Fresh

  12. soul 4 months ago

    not enthused at all. good luck lads.

    310k KOJIN 7/1 5 places EW EXTRA
    DOUBLED in price overnight, so be warned. not been out of top 5 in 7 runs, goes off 73 when 3rd lto off 80. would’ve risked at 11/2 for 3 places so this is a no brainer.

    205a KEEP BUSY 17/2 ew
    tough race to even place in, sliding in weights, 5th in group 1 here, definitely in hope, you can find 4 places.

    448c OVERHAUGH STREET 8/1 ew
    likes it here, well weighted, last 4 runs have been poor. again my philosophy is steady and consistent, so utilise ew extra up down to 5/1.

    2
    • soul 4 months ago

      jeez how long can harrington keep doing it, looked at all of hers, and almost went with that newcomer who just breezed it, 25s last night but would’ve been nothing more than an educated guess, oh well! it’s like the manning/bolger purple and white silks, one of the best, somehow they’ve been going in at 20s.

  13. spursman 4 months ago

    Small L15

    Redcar 3.35 Vintage Clarets
    Ascot 3.50 River Nymph
    Ascot 4.25 Call Me Ginger
    Redcar 4.45 A Boy Named Ivy

    🙂

  14. Thebigflu 4 months ago

    Going try first 4 across,,loughisle lady,1’00,,al nafir 1’10,,,sun king,1’25,,,,statement 1’30,,,G,L

  15. denningl 4 months ago

    Got a few tracker horses running today, but only two are really worth a mention.

    16.00 Longchamp – Megallan 5/1
    15.15 Ascot – Glen Shiel 5/1

    Good luck everyone

  16. admin 4 months ago

    Count D’Orsay 4.25 Ascot. Got this on a WhatsApp group….

    “two horse race as far as I’m concerned if they go to form. We held an entry in the listed race earlier on the card, but took the handicap earlier in the week when decs were in. Ironically I think the handicap will do the quicker time now.”

    5
    • Deb2000 4 months ago

      9/2 best price just now 👍

    • Thebigflu 4 months ago

      Cheers

  17. theplug 4 months ago

    Major jumbo 2-30 Chester 10/30

  18. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Darebin 5-40 fontwell
    4-1 without marracudga.

    6-5 without marracudga and itacare.
    Basically a match bet v fairway Freddie who carries a stone more.

    If on a going day he leads and may not be caught, doesn’t have many going days, had one after a break at sandown last December.
    Trainer does well here as was mentioned on yesterdays thread I think.
    Probably pie in the sky but you never know.

  19. Thebigflu 4 months ago

    Watch for C ,KEANE i think he gets two at Killarney

  20. postman 4 months ago

    3:25 Fontwell – Cool King (WIN)
    3:50 Ascot – Tomfre (Each Way)

  21. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    galtee mountain 4.35

  22. busstop.2018 4 months ago

    Afternoon all

    FONTWELL

    17.10. .Press your luck. .7/2

    17.40. .Itacare. .7/5

    18.10. .Sami Bear. .6/1

    GL ALL

  23. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Another non runner in the 5-40 fontwell means the 6-5 bet is void and am left with.
    Darebin 3-1 without marracudga @betfred.
    Which is a matchbet v itacare.

    So have added darebin without itacare at 5-2 @ skybet.
    Which is a matchbet v marracudga.

    • elvis parsley 4 months ago

      Could do with one of marracudga or itacare falling to be honest 😃

    • soul 4 months ago

      now u just need to lay darebin and you can’t lose.

      before any NRs darebin was still the biggest price for what it’s worth.

    • elvis parsley 4 months ago

      Got the 3-1 so doubled my dough.

  24. recoba 4 months ago

    3x 2nds by ball hairs last night in USA and 1/4 in Yankee then another 2x 2nds later!!

    Tough but good racing tonight with some Breeders Cup horses out for a spin. Keep it calm with a Trixie and a single from my tracker…

    Belmont -R6…Mischievous Kiss 5/2(**** hopefully experience from good debut sees him well,sets standard)
    R8…Wit. 11/4(also from my tracker but tough race)
    Santa Anita-R3…Mo Forza. EVS(going against my tracker with favourite?)

    GL all

    • edgeman 4 months ago

      Nice one with Mo Forza. Perfectly timed run. Don’t know which one was in your tracker, but hit the road could be I think. That was coming on strong at the end

      1
    • recoba 4 months ago

      Took a chance that Wit wouldn’t fall out the stalls
      AGAIN but don’t think he would trouble winner.

      Take that but after last nights mung!

      Woodbine-R11…Lady Moonshine 2/1(**** best form,speed n rating so take 2/1)
      Wee double with Maxfield Belmont R10 is near 6/1
      Paddy Power

    • recoba 4 months ago

      Was the very one Edgeman 👍
      he will stay in the tracker.

    • recoba 4 months ago

      Using Paddy Power for first time in years Adidas it been my usual Bet365 I’d have seen I had Art Collecter in my tracker in that Belmont race!!?? 🙄

      Only a small double but it been 2x small singles and a wee double at they prices.
      Not having it great with PP onine betting today but moneys tied up in it,here’s hoping Lady Moonshine can get it done.

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