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Just the two runners from me for Monday. Hopefully, a couple of big runs from some unexposed types.

Ayr 1:35

In a race full of exposed horses, I think it's best to side with a horse who looks like he's on the up. FRENCH RED has shown big improvements since moving into handicapping company, and he appears to have the potential to win a race of this nature.

A lot of the horses in this race have raced against each other in the past, so you know what you're going to expect, which is why I'm taking a chance on a lightly raced horse who could be better than his current rating of 49.

Ayr is forecast a lot of rain, which won't be favourable for a lot of the horses in this race, as their best form has come on quicker ground. Though French Red hasn't encountered slow ground in his five races to date, he is by Camacho, and a lot of his progeny seem to handle cut in the ground very well. Ginger Goose who is a half brother to French Red, won on soft ground, which is an encouraging sign that from both sides of his pedigree they seem to handle cut in the ground.

Due to the weight for age allowance, it means that he is racing off second bottom weight of 8st 10lbs, which will help if the ground does get on the soft side. Iain Jardine has also reached for the cheekpieces, which should hopefully bring out a little more improvement in an attempt to win his first race.

Nottingham 2:30

Nottingham is also expecting rain, not as much as Ayr, but it will probably be enough to change the going to Good To Soft, and that won't be an issue for MUMMY BEAR, who won on that going last time out at Newmarket.

A return to sprinting saw Mummy Bear in a much better light than her performances over slightly further, and 6f must be her best trip as both of her career wins have now come over this trip. She travelled powerfully last time, and when she found the gap, she kept on well to lead in the final strides. Though the winning margin was a head, and it might not appear all that impressive, the fact the other horses got first run on her, and she still managed to win, despite having to wait for the gaps, is impressive. She has been put up 3lbs for that run, and that shouldn't be enough to stop her progression.

Similar to the first race, there are plenty of exposed horses. Mummy Bear is one of two 3yo's in the race, but Munificent, the other 3yo, doesn't look good enough to play a part in this race, whereas Mummy Bear is still relatively unexposed at this trip. A couple of the opposition come into this race with a few recent placed efforts to their name, and Shamarouski brings a recent win to the table, but he's not been seen for 137 days, and all of his best runs have come on the All Weather.

The only potential downfall to this race, is the lack of pace on offer, so it could favour a horse who will get an uncontested lead. Mummy Bear tends to run from the back of the field, so hopefully they will go a good gallop, as otherwise it could be a problem to catch the front runner.

48 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Monday madness ! Dare we try and rob the bank !

    Ayr – 1:00 subjective value – 5/1

    Ayr – 1:35 – french red 11/4 with Rizzel on this one

    Nottingham- 3:05 – retrospect 4/1

    Worcester – 4:05 – Durragh 3/1

    Good luck – aaaaaarrrrrrgharrrrrgggaaaa arrrrrrrgha ! As Tarzan would say 😂

    1
    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Had a funny feeling that vaccine would come in just for it being a relative name sake at the moment to late to cry now those dark forces behind the scenes are at work again! 😂

  2. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    John kirkup 4-25 Ayr
    100-30
    EVENS top 2.

    Needs rain, lomu danger 😳

    1
    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      That one caught my eye as well but could nt be sure if it was a zebra in disguise !

      1
    • Deb2000 1 year ago

      Elvis plenty rain/ thunderstorms downpours up here today and tomorrow but that bit of the West coast can be very hit or miss.

      1
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Long may it rain 🌧️🌧️🌧️

      1
    • Deb2000 1 year ago

      Nice1 Elvis 👍

  3. gengar1989 1 year ago

    does anyone have any fancies for the racing in the us was going to do a small yankee for intresrt if anyone has anything

    1
    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Race 10 gulfstream- Ricky ticky taffi 9/4

      Race 11 gulfstream- freedom matters 7/1

      Race 9 Belmont- annex 4/1

      Race 10 Belmont- three technique – 10/1

  4. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    I’ve done Romario my race 9 gulfstream 12/1 which is about to start in 5 min

    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      I so nearly done mind control at Belmont but I will take the 2 that did come home kind of balances things out a bit

  5. philip66 1 year ago

    ROYAL REGENT 7/1 3 55 AYR,, exceptional form of the last race over same course and distance. The winner won the next three, the runner up won the next two. The third won its next race. The stable had an easy winner today so all looks good. MOLLY SHAW 6 15 Windsor 10/3 was second last time to gilt edge well clear of the rest, the winner stormed in by 5 lengths next time. Molly Shaw is drawn perfect to get first run on the far rail which they run up when the going is soft. The only time it’s ran with any soft in the description it ran out a comfortable winner which all bodes well.

    1
  6. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 7 Louisiana downs – Hong Kong strong 14/1 e/w

  7. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Primco 10-55 clairefontaine 10-1 ew 🇨🇵

    Fraternal 2-20 Worcester 2-1 🇬🇧

    The revenant 2-35 clairefontaine 3-1 🇨🇵

    Black Friday 3-20 Ayr 8-1 ew 3 places and 5-4 top 4 finish 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

    John kirkup 4-25 Ayr 100-30 and 11-8 top 2 finish @skybet 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

    4
  8. Sore point 1 year ago

    Windsor 6.15 SPREADSHEET 14/1 Bet365 each way

    Good luck everyone

    2
  9. postman 1 year ago

    Morning all, check your selections. 20 non runners so far including my NAP, NB, and each way punt.
    Start again.

  10. spursman 1 year ago

    3.05 Nott’m Retrospect (E/W)
    2.10 Ayr Rose Bandit
    4.25 Ayr John Kirkup

    3 singles

    🙂

    2
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Well done spursy.
      Your new discipline seems to be paying dividends

    • spursman 1 year ago

      The small money means I can think clearly, the big stakes and I’m afraid to lose….can’t win them all but not so bad so far. You got a few yourself as well as others so it’s all good (ish) 🙂

  11. busstop.2018 1 year ago

    Morning All

    WORCESTER

    14.20. .Fraternal. .5/4

    14.55. .Time To Believe. .7/2

    15.30. .Ultimate Getaway. .13/8

    16.40. .Castel Gandolfo. .5/2

    GL ALL

    1
  12. postman 1 year ago

    1:20 Nottingham – Deam Point *each way punt* 11/2
    3;30 Worcester – Fire Away **NB** Evs
    8:45 Windsor – Smash Hit ***NAP *** 6/4

  13. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Couple of winners for you if you want them

    2:10 Ayr – mo Henry 6/1

    3:20 – Kraken power 7/2

    Going for a straight win double on this one 😀

    1
  14. thestigno1 1 year ago

    Trixie (x4)

    3. Oriental Lilly
    4/1
    5th Jul AYR 13:35 HANDICAP 0m 6f 0y – Win
    Starting Soon
    Rule 4: 20p Deduction
    Best odds

    1. Must Be An Angel
    3/1
    5th Jul AYR 14:10 HANDICAP 0m 6f 0y – Win
    14:10 Today
    Best odds

    3. Music Society
    3/1
    5th Jul AYR 15:20 HANDICAP 0m 6f 0y – Win

    1
    • thestigno1 1 year ago

      Oriental Lilly won at 4/1
      Must be an angel was second – damn
      Need music society to come in for proffit on this bet

      1
  15. thestigno1 1 year ago

    Damn never seen call me ginger in the same race as music society 15.20pm
    It’s 8/1 just now well worth an E/W minimum bet

  16. thestigno1 1 year ago

    Economic crisis 9/1 16.20 E/W

    1
  17. thestigno1 1 year ago

    Gweedore 14.45 5/2
    Holly wood lady 20.15 5/4

    Double

    2
    • thestigno1 1 year ago

      First of the double in 😊

      2
  18. thestigno1 1 year ago

    15.05 nataleena 10/1 E/W

  19. azzthewigan 1 year ago

    silver Glen 3.40 well done all winners yesterday and today

    4
    • Luke M 1 year ago

      Nice one Azz.

      1
    • azzthewigan 1 year ago

      Nice one Azz.

    • azzthewigan 1 year ago

      cheers luke m don’t now what’s going on theer

      1
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Nice one Azz.

      1
    • azzthewigan 1 year ago

      cheers elvis going great guns yourself keep up the good work

    • azzthewigan 1 year ago

      yup bowt reet done it again can somedody give that computer a good smack at the top of it pmsl

  20. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    3 nice priced winners today, makes a pleasant change 😳🏇👍

    3
    • jono5000 1 year ago

      Lovely work today pal appreciate it 🤑🐎

    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Well done Jane 👍💰

    • postman 1 year ago

      Well done Jane 👍💰

    • jimba 1 year ago

      Well done Jane 👍💰

  21. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 2 fort irie – souper deputy 9/2

  22. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Percy Willis 7-30 Ripon 5-2 without the 4-11 favourite.

    Basically a matchbet v the Johnston horse as Everett looks a bit of a donk.
    Small stakes obviously as it’s evening playtime 🦉

  23. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Jeezus Percy Willis ran more like Bruce willis

  24. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Lucky last
    Art dealer 9-00 Ripon
    5-1 to win but I’ve split it into 3 match bets, need 2 to come in for profit.

    To beat makashi 5-4 hills
    To beat Lockerbie 11-8 bet365
    To beat la senzaione 6-4 bet365

    • spursman 1 year ago

      Art Dealer is on my L15 for this evening….just saying 🙂

    • Deb2000 1 year ago

      Hope you done the reverse tricast on the other 3 Elvis 😉😉

  25. ew thief 1 year ago

    Bannerman 8-45👍☘️

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