Racing tips

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Generous Day didn't quite perform how I was expecting after a nice return to the track last time out. He tailed off very quickly. For Three wasn't given the greatest of rides. At the time I thought the jockey should've done better in attempting to restrain the horse as he was far too keen. In hindsight, that was probably a bit harsh, but I'm not changing my mind on how he let the winner sneak up the inside turning for home and my jockey just sat still and didn't look bothered, either he was confident he had plenty of horse underneath him or it was just pure lack of riding ability.

Hereford 2:35 – Grivetana 3/1 (1pt)

There are a few cards for Wednesday's racing, but nothing really stands out to be a decent bet at good odds other than Grivetana, who continues to drop down in the handicap.

Normally, dropping down the handicap would be enough to put punters off as they are clearly on a downward spiral, but this horse is only a 5yo and hasn't done a tonne of running in her career so she can definitely bounce back and if there was a race for it to be possible, today's race would look like the perfect opportunity.

I tipped her up last time out when she ran at Newbury in a race she had previously placed in, she was running off a 5lb lower mark than last year but she desperately looked in need of the run as she was positioned prominently but when the gas tank was empty she went backwards very quickly, so I'm expecting her fitness to be much better for today's race. This is a drop in class and a huge one based on last year's 2nd to First Street in a Grade 3 handicap at Newbury. Her handicap mark is now 114, which is 7lbs lower than when she finished 2nd in Class 1 company and that is effectively 14lbs lower when you take the 7lb claim that Miss Olive Nicholls brings to the table.

The jockey is an obvious relation to the trainer, but I don't think Paul would be one to let one ride his horses because they're family (could be his daughter, I'm not sure 🤣) as he comes across like a ruthless man who just cares about winning. From what I've seen of the jockey she seems a competent rider and 7lbs off the horse today is a big benefit. When teaming up together, Olive and Paul they have been striking at a 44% SR, which is 7 wins from 16 runners and a further 3 placed efforts, recording a profit of +11.81 to £1 level stakes. She had a winner for Paul just a few days ago and has recently been 3rd with a 125/1 shot, so she seems good value for the 7lbs.

Grivetana now has her second run after the wind-op, and I've mentioned this a few times over the years that you can normally see the benefits of the wind-op on their second run, as it can take a while for them to get used to it.

It's a bit frustrating to see that Charles Byrnes has decided to put one in this race. With him being one of the best gambling trainers around it's a tad worrying seeing him have one in this, and it's a shrewd booking of Finn Lambert in the saddle. However, a mark of 107 with Olive's claim, puts Grivetana on a ridiculously low mark on what she achieved last year, so I think you've got to take the Irish raider on.

Horse Racing Tips
Grivetana
Hereford - 2:35 pm

3/1 @ Bet365

19 Comments
  1. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    Just do the reverse forecast rizz seems like a decent bet to me

    2
    • recoba 6 months ago

      🇺🇸

      Zia Park Race 10…Slip Mahoney 9/4 Skybet ***+

      On the drift but Bob ‘The B@ll bag Baffert’ doesn’t send horses about for a jont and its Keeneland form versus others at the top of the market running well in G3 and Stakes races at Remington and Ellis Park doesn’t stack up to me? Lightly raced too

      Always just do the combo forecast 5-1-2 and 3 for 75p but *+

      GL moro folk Mountaineer is OFF so that’s that as its cascading down said Mountain.
      One last things the commentator said at end of meeting last night was “it’s not supposed to rain tomorrow so..” 😆 🤦‍♂️

      1
    • recoba 6 months ago

      Not that it matters bet wise and it’s exactly the same I just got my Bobs mixed with my Baffert.
      Trainers actually Brad ‘The B@ll Bag’ Cox and Danny Pi$h horse Arrowgate has been pulled

      True facts ⬆️ There not made up for joke purposes! 🤦‍♂️ lol

      1
  2. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    3:10 Hereford- Langley hundred 5/1

    1
  3. dazzman1979 6 months ago

    Would nt want to be a jockey in this weather brrr 😂

    5
  4. elvis parsley 6 months ago

    Al agaila 3-50 deauville 3-1 🇫🇷

    Simon crisford invader who has good all weather form in the UK.
    Close up 3rd to queen animatu and potapova earlier this month in a listed race at lingfield his best effort for a while.

    3
    • elvis parsley 6 months ago

      Jupiter and mars 2-00 Hereford
      7-4 top 3 finish
      8-1 win
      80/20 stake

      Flight of freedom 2-35 Hereford 5-2 win

      Netywell 3-00 wetherby 15-8

  5. spurs55 6 months ago

    Santo @ 11/1SP

    Win – 14.40 Deauville – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

  6. spurs55 6 months ago

    Faustinovick @ 9/1SP

    Win – 15.10 Hereford – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

  7. recoba 6 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Tampa Bay Downs second week meeting gets underway and auld Turfway Park the No:1 ranked payout course in the USA gets rolling.

    Tampa Bay -Race 1…Rule It 9/4 ****
    Coral
    Race 2…Derby Gift 7/1 *** Ew or place at EVS
    Race 5..Can’t Complain 13/8
    Turfway Park -Race 2…Gatita Suave 9/2 ***
    Race 3…Fayette Spirit 10/1 Ew ***
    Race 8…Tappin Out 9/2 *** (Or To place 11/10)
    *Side bet combo forecast 9-10-5

    All Bet365 at Turfway

    Think that’ll do eh?

    GL all and well done winners today 👍

  8. spurs55 6 months ago

    Clochette
    11/1
    15:50 Deauville – 7f Listed

    1
  9. spurs55 6 months ago

    Rockbury Lad @ 12/1SP

    Win – 16.25 Dundalk – Paying 5 Places instead of 3

    1
  10. recoba 6 months ago

    Sweet as my b@lls in a bowl of Frosties Elvis Sir! 👌 🇫🇷 “Great!”

    Also a £1 free bet from Paddy Power stuck on 8 horses early this morning (paying £173 some just to place) with your French fancy one of the best prices aka the kicker is onl relying/waiting on the favourite in Dundalks 6.30 .
    It’ll be lower with a couple of rule 4 in place but I’ll be cashing out as I’m an inpatient punk! 😉
    Really it’s more the fact It would be crazy not to and I wouldn’t trust a favourite at most times for the last leg on flats especially in this weather never mind a favourite on a Wednesday evening in Ireland. 🇬🇧 🇫🇷 🇭🇰 🐎 🎲

    Well done winners today! 👌

    • elvis parsley 6 months ago

      Given the amount of short price flops this last week, 1-5 in the first at tramore yesterday being one, maybe a wise move recoba 👍

    • recoba 6 months ago

      Very wise Elvis on rather id been an idiot there!
      A cheeky £1 free bet would returned zero and I read the horse was supposedly the best by far IF taking to the surface and holy sheet it HATED it!! 😯
      Cheers again mon frère 😉 🇫🇷 👍

  11. elvis parsley 6 months ago

    Just the one winner, Al agaila in France 3-1 got me out of jail .
    It was a 1-2 for the UK with Karl Burke’s nag coming 2nd

    3
  12. spurs55 6 months ago

    Gran Caballo @ 14/1SP

    Win – 18.30 Dundalk – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

  13. spurs55 6 months ago

    with 4 places on offer
    i’m hoping these 2 might place

    Turf Range @ 18/1SP

    Win – 19.00 Dundalk –

    Jake Peter @ 28/1SP

    Win – 19.00 Dundalk –

  14. recoba 6 months ago

    Extra,extra….
    🇺🇸
    ‘Betfred promotion money back as free bet if 2nd or 3rd’
    Tampa Bay -Race 7…Nikolar 7/2 ****
    Race 8….Moon Connection 11/2. ***

    Max stake is £10 as always and as always NOT easy races but Nikolar looks better with withdrawals and the offer still available.

    I’m £6 on both

    GL all rest of the evening and again well done to the winners

    1

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