MFT RacingTips Safe 05

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Thursday saw us have two winners when it should have been a full house. I cannot describe the ride by Connor Brace on Newmill Getaway. It was a honking ride, left the horse with far too much to do and in the end got beat by a 70 rated hurdler who was gambled into 5/1 from 20/1…how convenient.

Chepstow 1:35 – Good Boy Bobby 7/2 (1pt)

The jumps season has now officially started as this Chepstow meeting is the starting point and winter is upon us. Chepstow is expecting a decent amount of rain during the early hours of the morning and that might make it quite testing, and with soft conditions likely to happen I thought Good Boy Bobby was of interest in this Veterans race.

I'm a big fan of backing 10yo's in the veterans' races as this is the youngest eligible age you can be to run in this type of race, and at the age of 10 they are probably on the decline, but nowhere near as much as the even older horses. Good Boy Bobby has been on the slide and his handicap mark has plummeted as a result, but in this type of race on ground which he seems to enjoy, I think he might have found a decent opportunity to get a win on the board. On his day he is a very useful horse, and the performance on Boxing Day back in 2021 on soft ground in the Grade 3 at Wetherby is a performance which always comes back to me when thinking about this horse. That win was off a 14lb higher mark than today and definitely in a deeper race. I think you can counteract the poor form of this horse with him returning to racing with the Twiston-Davies stable absolutely flying, they have their horses in great form at the moment and there's no doubt in my mind they'd have picked this race out a few months ago for this horse's first seasonal target.

Chepstow 3:23 – Chianti Classico 11/4 (1pt Bet365)

It won't be an easy assignment for Chianti Classico to win this type of race on chase debut, but I've always thought he was a chaser in the making and it's the old cliche, whatever he did over hurdles is a bonus as he's always going to make a better chaser.

He bombed out at Cheltenham, but he wasn't fancied for the Albert Bartlett, going off at odds of 66/1. However, his runs prior to that, albeit he won at short odds, he looks like a horse with a good amount of class about him. Watching him over 2m 5f and slightly shorter I firmly believed that he needed further, so it's interesting they are going 2m 7f on chase debut. He has already shown he can jump a fence as he was 1/1 as a PTP horse before moving to Kim Bailey's yard, and he showed he had the pace when winning a bumper and producing an RPR of 118.

The forecast rain doesn't concern me as he demolished the bumper field in his win and he has handled good to soft very well in all of his wins over hurdles. Kim Bailey has had a couple of winners in recent days, which bodes well for his future runners making their comebacks.

Newmarket 4:10 – Ylang Ylang 4/1 (2pt)

I am keeping the faith with Ylang Ylang which might surprise a few as she let me down last time out and was poor the time before, but I firmly believe she can be a very good filly.

I wasn't too keen on the ride Ryan Moore gave Ylang Ylang last time out at Newmarket and I'd imagine people would've said the same about Oisin Murphy's ride on Shuwari as they were paired at the back of the field when the winner was away and gone from the front. To me, it looked like Ylang Ylang is ready for the step up to a mile, and probably a bit further, but there's no doubt in my mind that the mile she encounters today will definitely help her run to a higher level. According to Aidan, they were delighted with how she ran last time out and were happy with how relaxed she was through the race, so Ryan must've been riding to instructions, and it wasn't all about that race and more about teaching her for the future.

Newmarket is expecting some rain, and based on her pedigree I think that will play to her strengths, and anything which will make it more of a stamina test I think it will suit my selection more. She's always going to be priced up shorter than she probably should be, but I am a believer of hers and I hope my faith is repaid.

Horse Racing Tips
Good Boy Bobby
Chepstow - 1:35 pm

7/2 @ The Pools

Chianti Classico
Chepstow - 3:23 pm

11/4 @ Bet365

Ylang Ylang
Newmarket - 4:10 pm

4/1 @ The Pools

30 Comments
  1. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    15:23 Chepstow- pounding poet 10/1 e/w

    16:52 Newcastle- cracksking 13/8 nose job 😂

    2
  2. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    14:48 Chepstow- obviously I have to go for that’s a dazzler 😂 18/1 at the moment so a nice bit of place money 🤞

    3
  3. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    🇺🇸
    A wee Canadian at Remington Park for any night owls 🦉 🐎

    01:07 – Remington Park…Cajun Eddie
    15/8
    01:35 – Remington Park…Disco Danzing
    4/1
    02:03 – Remington Park…Zoffa
    6/4
    02:31 – Remington Park…Delanos Cape 5/2
    02:59 – Remington Park…Patsy R
    9/4

    GL all today. First 2 lose its bed and bull$hit to you Remington Park

    1
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Wee early Trixie

      Gulfsteam -R3…Hannans Legacy 11/10
      R5..No Deliberation 11/4
      Keeneland -R5…Smart Uncle 7/4
      (Actually a Yankee but Collaboration is about to run at Gulfsteam)

      GL and well done the winners today. Was with you keeping faith Ylang Ylang Rizzle at a crazy price…pity I missed it?? 😂 🤦‍♂️

  4. Avatar of Double carpet
    double carpet 1 year ago

    Chepstow

    1.50 Aye Right 7/2

    First time in a veteran race. Top weight but been running in grade 1s last season. Was 2nd fto last season beaten 4 1/2L by Sounds Russian giving him 6lbs.
    SR went on to run in the Gold Cup and was 2nd in the Cotswold. If Aye Right can produce something close to that run he will be very difficult to beat even off top weight.

    2.10 Della Casa Lunga 16/1 ew (taken yesterday)

    No doubt the fav is the one to beat and will probably be contesting the major grade 1’s later in the season having finished 3rd in the Champion bumper at Cheltenham. But whilst Nicholls has won this race 7 times since 2005 he has had 4 short priced first time hurdlers turned over in the race so I think he’s worth taking on today. DCL makes his debut for new trainer having been running in Ireland previously. Lto she was only beaten 1 3/4L by Sandor Clegane (rated 141) with senior chief who had won his previous 2 back in 3rd.
    She gets the mares allowance and has an OR of 131 so the fav will need to be smart to win this.

    4.33 Lebowski 3/1 NAP

    Won fto in both 2021 and 2022 and the fact Lucinda sends this horse all the way down from Scotland has to be noted. She’s only sent 2 horses here in the past 5 years and I would like to think there’s a reason for it.

    BOL

    1
  5. Avatar of Elvis Parsley
    elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Rock house 2-10 Chepstow.

    15-8 without captain teague 15-8 (star sports) NAP
    9-2 win at HILLS
    80-20 stake.

    My only bet today 🏇

    2
  6. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    amiata 12.40.france

    5
  7. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 1 year ago

    Hearitfortheboys 2.05 York @ 50s ew top 4
    Think Spurs55 put this up last week. Made up some ground last time. Could get in the frame if it goes on the ground
    GL

    3
  8. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    asean 1.50 ew well done all winners yesterday

    6
  9. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    cold sober 2.10 ew

    5
  10. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    skelet 2.25 nap

    5
  11. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    dreams a dozen 2.40 nb

    6
  12. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    Satan 3.35 ew

    4
  13. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    caught you looking 4.10 ew

    2
  14. Avatar of Gateacre Pete
    Gateacre Pete 1 year ago

    Brilliant Rizz 👏👏

    5
  15. Avatar of albert rose
    azzthewigan 1 year ago

    Nordic empire 5.00 ew well done all winners today

    4
  16. Avatar of Bennybear
    Bennybear 1 year ago

    Thank you. Fantastic tipping.

    3
  17. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Well done Rizzel credit on the day where it’s due 💰👍

    Time get on adult work and look up some hookers ! 😂

    2
  18. Avatar of Super Wilf
    Super Wilf 1 year ago

    Well done Rizz

    Nice treble

    😂👍🏆🏆🏆🐴🐴🐴

    4
    • Avatar of Darren Sawyer
      dazzman1979 1 year ago

      About time too 😂😂

      1
  19. Avatar of smoothsailor
    smoothsailor 1 year ago

    Cracking stuff Rizzel.
    Nice one

    3
    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Yip 👍

      Wee early Trixie

      Gulfsteam -R3…Hannans Legacy 11/10
      R5..No Deliberation 11/4
      Keeneland -R5…Smart Uncle 7/4
      (Actually a Yankee but Collaboration is about to run at Belmont and in fact it’s won..obviously 🙄 )

      GL and well done the winners today. Was with you keeping faith Ylang Ylang Rizzle at a crazy price…pity I missed it?? 😂 🤦‍♂️

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      🇺🇸
      Belmont At The Big A -R5…Miracle Mike 7/2 looks a good option for a Yankee. Should done auld Canadian BUT small stakes multiples so either or ⬆️

  20. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Minetenon in the next at deleware you varments !

  21. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    Belmont -R6…Tom Collins 9/4 Skybet boost *****
    Tipped this Ew at 12/1 in a better race last time out and in from 11/4 so just as well I didn’t untrack the bugger. Was fast finishing 3rd with a nightmare run!!
    Keeneland -R9…Bold Act 5/2 Bet365 ***
    Recerse/Fc with Limited Abilities *+

    GL yoll 🫡 🇺🇸 🐎 ⚖️

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Smaller side bet for me would be 11 -3 -2 for combo Tricast Keeneland R9. 👍

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      * since we’ve time…
      Tom Collins was close 3rd to Agate Road in a 136K Maiden special weight and this is a 90K. Some say the Saratoga form isn’t up there with the Belmont form at times but Agate Road came out and won a G2 at Belmont after that Saratoga run when beating Tom Collins.
      Still getting 9/4 Coral and 2/1 various nd low as 5/4 Bet365.

      GL

    • Avatar of Recoba
      recoba 1 year ago

      Ach Tom Collins doing the dressage out the starting stalls so all hope was gone! Just to annoy he somehow finished 3nd. A best horse didn’t win but dems the breaks of your horse doesn’t break?
      Good few there ⬆️ but let down for full house by 2 shortest prices! 🤷‍♂️

      Gulfstream -R8..Win Ronnie Dixie 5/2 Coral ***
      Keeneland -R7…Highestdistinction 9/4 various ***

      GL all

  22. Avatar of Darren Sawyer
    dazzman1979 1 year ago

    7:30 Newcastle- assembly call 7/1

  23. Avatar of Recoba
    recoba 1 year ago

    USA 🇺🇸 *info

    Keeneland-R9…Already on one and forecast but the No:11 I’ve used in forecast purposes that was 11/1 is now 8/1 Coral AND they go 4 places??

    GL

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