This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
Some Chaos was a cracking winner for yesterday, tipped up at 7/1. He jumped superbly for the most part, and his jumping over the final few fences was spot-on, and that cemented the win. Today's racing looks good, but I'm keeping the selections down to a minimum, and I'm targeting the smaller track for the big days racing.
A penalty definitely makes this race harder, but IT'S GOOD TO LAUGH should be too good for these.
The selections is a handy flat horse, shown by his rating of 94. But, he is clearly a capable animal over timber as well, as he managed to win on his hurdling debut lto, sharing the win with Super Six who dead-heated with It's Good To Laugh. Even though that was a novice race, I believe it will be good form as Super Six was a very good bumper horse, and will be a horse to follow for this season. The fact that he dead-heated with him, reads well with me, and the horses who have hurdling experience haven't got the same level of form, in my opinion. There are plenty in this race who are making their hurdling debut, but based on their bumper form, I think they'll be fighting for the places in behind the selection.
We probably won't get a great price for It's Good To Laugh, but I think there's a good reason for that. If Wild Shot comes across to Hexham, then you'd think he will be the main danger. However, there is a strong chance that he won't make the trip to the North-East track as he raced yesterday, and he was safely put in his place. I personally hope he will come over, as it will make the selection a larger price.
The ground shouldn't be an issue, as it will be soft or good-to-soft, and he seemed to handle those conditions really well when winning at Chester on the flat a month ago. I believe this could be a useful novice hurdler, so I'd be wanting him to win this, and win it well.
In a race where there are question marks over the form, or other aspects such as the ground/runs after a break, I think that GENTLEMAN FARMER is overpriced.
The slow ground won't be ideal for For Jim, and he would be the ideal place to start for punters in this race, as he is clearly in good form, having a lot of 1's next to his form. Buddha Scheme makes his seasonal reappearance, and off a weight of 12st, I think he could struggle in this. Scoop The Pot has never won from a break before, and the form of the yard is a massive worry if you're a backer of this chap (4 wins from 62 runners this season, 0/11 last 14 days). Real Armani has never won at this Class before, and is now a little too short in the market for my liking.
Gentleman Farmer caught my eye at the bottom of the weights for his Somerset based trainer, Richard Hawker. Richard sends two horses from his base in Somerset to the Northumberland track, which is a 650 mile round trip. That's a long way to go for a small yard, especially if they come back empty handed. I think this horse is being overlooked massively. This is his chase debut, but he has experience over fences as he has already won twice over PTPs from four runs. His latest run saw him win by 37 lengths, which signals he has definitely taken well to fences. He races off a basement mark of 88, which definitely gives him a big chance, especially when you consider the amount of weight he will receive from most of his rivals.
The ground shouldn't be an issue as he won a hurdle race back in 2018 on Good-to-soft ground, and that was off a mark of 92. The trip is clearly within his reach, shown by his wins over hurdles and PTPs. The jockey booking of Conor O'Farrell is seen to be a positive booking, and the break away from the track isn't seen to be a negative as he has won off 179 day & 140 day breaks previously.
I'd expect a drift in the market, but that won't be a worry. Small stakes will be played on this one.
13:10 Market Rasen - Race: 3
13:15 Ffos Las - Race: 2
13:20 Stratford - Race: 2