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IRON MIKE (12.50) can have his rivals on the canvas in round one of a cracking Lingfield card.
Keith Dalgleish sent out Soldier's Minute to land a gamble at Kempton earlier in the week and makes a raid on another southern circuit. Iron Mike ran an excellent third to Andrew Balding's Purdey's Gift at Wolverhampton and is likely to race up with the pace over this shorter trip. He was backed at nice prices early last evening but 11-2 was still available in a place or two at the time of writing.
AMJAADY (6.25) was beaten on the nod by Mayfair Spirit at Chelmsford City at the end of September but can go one better on a return visit to the Essex circuit. David O'Meara's three-year-old scored over 1m 2f at Leicester back in June and is holding his form.
At Kempton, JUST THE MAN (6.40) represents a big each-way bet at 11-2 with Paddy Power. Adam Kirby found a bit of bother at Sandown last time and wasn't hard on his mount when his chance had gone, running into fifth behind useful Sucellus. Just The Man found Migration too strong on an earlier visit to Sandown and handled Kempton's all-weather circuit well enough last December when runner-up in a decent Novice Stakes.
? Good luck everyone ?
Evening campers, nice to see you all hope yee are well, lost a couple of apples yesterday with 3 2nd’s but hopefully we can get right back on the old road. As always, it’s pot luck so bet accordingly.
13:55 DOCUMENTING 0.5pts win 13/2, 0.5pts e/w 4 places (skybet) 6/1
DOCUMENTING looks to have some decent form in his short career. In 13 rated races, he has 3 wins and two 2nds. He is 1-1 over C&D whilst his other wins were also on the AW.
His C&D success was last December off 84 and the form looks solid enough. NTO he won off 90, he was 7 lengths clear of 2nd who had won his previous start and then again two races later off of 85 and 90 respectively. That horse has good form whilst those further behind the selections have also gained wins since.
Two starts back in a C2 back in August, he lost by a short head to WAR GLORY who will be in today’s race. That day we carried 8lbs more whereas today we’ll carry 5lbs less. 10 days later, the same horse beat us again carrying 5lbs less, he won by 1 length and we now have a 10lb swing thanks to the up and coming amateur Angus Villiers. His claim means we are 8lbs above out last winning mark but 5 and 7lbs below very close 2nds which looks fine to me.
Opening fav Lethal Lunch has beaten War Glory by a neck 3rd carrying 5lbs less, the 2nd won nto in a good race whilst the 4th whilst a couple of others from the race have won too, it is as simple as that but considering the price gap, we are well worth opting for.
The rising star Jack Mitchell was on for one of our wins but opts to ride Gifted Master, Hugo Palmer is in good form and the jockey has been on for 3 of his previous 5 winners, all on the AW. The horse has a 130 day absence to contend with, he has won a couple times from a break when starting out but that hasn’t been the case more recently. Furthermore, all his wins have been over 1f less.
12:50 Lingfield – TANGRAMM 0.25pts ew 33/1 (betfair/bet365)
IRON MIKE although not exclusively, but when Joe Fanning is on board in these silks, they are always worth paying attention to, he’s around 5/1 and worth monitoring in the betting.
I will have a throwaway stake on TANGRAMM, although 18 months ago, he won a slightly better race off 80, he is 14lbs below that and 2lbs below a decent effort over C&D two starts back in September.
In that race 2 starts ago, CONTRAST who is in today’s race beat us by around 1.5 lengths but we have a 5lb swing in our favour. The horse 1 place ahead of us won last week off 70.
Jack Mitchell will ride the favourite in this race who won lto, he is worth keeping tabs on this winter whilst Jim Crowley also rides a lto winner and has had a pretty successful AW campaign in recent months. His ride is making his 2nd hcap start, he beat Zefferino two starts back by a length who has won twice since albeit in low quality races.
13:55 DOCUMENTING 0.5pts win 13/2, 0.5pts e/w 4 places (skybet) 6/1
12:50 Lingfield – TANGRAMM 0.25pts ew 33/1
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database DOCUMENTING 6.5 to win. E/W 4 places 6/1 half a point difference for being in the top 4 is that right ???.
If so why bet the win.
the win only bet doesn’t particularly make sense if also backing it each way but since I usually pick 3 or 4 and it was practically only 1 tip, I added a bit extra, I didn’t mind backing half a point on the win only because he was weighted to beat war glory who pissed it so am content
See you mentioned Jim Crowley, his only ride at Kempton tonight in the 7.10 has been napped by the welovebetting guys.
Usual 3 for me today all Lingfield.
12.50 Contrast
1.55 Lethal lunch
3.00 Lexington rebel
3 wins and a trixie
hindaam 12.50 cranberry 1.20 nap alnadam 3.55 nb well done all winners
AZZ great stuff best of luck with your last one went big on cranberry myself easy winner
cheers theplug only just got back in soz
azz well done
Good luck with the last one azz and well done
cheers busstop
cheers dc well done also
Nice azz?
cheers ew thief
Afternoon All. Well done yesterdays winners. Another good day myself with 2 wins .
STRATFORD
13.45. .Wayfinder. .5/2
15.25. .Timoteo. .7/2
15.55. .Sheshoon Sonny. .2/1
16.25. .Financial Outcome. .100/30.
GL ALL
2 bets today both in the first races at the tracks
Tangramm 12/1 4 places lingfield
Down to its joint lowest mark and has a decent record at the track including a C&D win.
Winter Getaway 9/4 1.45 Stratford
More suitable trip today and the mares allowance could make the difference
BOL
Nice drift on Winter Getaway.
dc well done with winter getaway
Cheers guys
Nicely done dc?
Short price double.
Stratford
2-50 ballyellis win 5-4.
3-25 rocco (top 4 finish) 5-4.
Double pays 4-1
4-1 double is a winner ?.
Didn’t expect Rocco to win tbh ?
Nice one elvis
Nice winner yourself there dc ?.
I’m off to uttoxeter tomorrow so will be pilfering tips from you guys here, free ??? for all winners
Nice Elvis ?
well done elvis.
nightmare on haloween for me so far.
gl
well done elvis
Afternoon all well done winners yesterday
Freedom and wheat 4.05l 8-1
Dancing jo 5.10k 17-2
Mendoza 7.10k 13-2
Squire 7.25c 12-1
Music major 7.40k 16-1
Mont kiara 8.10k 9-1
Givepeaceachance 8.25c 14-1
Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️Gl all
Anyone looked at the Breeders cup?
Dont see the European brigade doing too well this year.
Have backed Kimari in the sprint at 3/1 but will look for more in the morning
evening campers apple cart looking a bit empty so the man in the know best pull his socks up, heard a few whispers in the bars and hope to have a couple for the morning.
Newmarket – HOT TOUCH 16/1 0.5pts ew 4 places 1/5 odds & Breath Of Joy 80/1 e/w 0.1pt
Jack Mitchell and Hugo Palmer had a decent priced 2nd yesterday, for the same owners they team up again today. In all honesty I may not have even looked at this horse if they didn’t get the winner yesterday but upon closer inspection, he looks worth EW support in a wide open contest.
A debut 2nd was backed up by a win on the AW and clicking through his rivals that day and horses they’ve beaten etc. there are quite a lot of wins/places. We have ground to suit and are back over the seemingly preferred 6f having finished 5 at today’s track over 7 lto.
A novice race isn’t one we can analyse to in depth but at the price, I will be having a nibble. BREATHE OF JOY off level weights was only a length behind and is a 80/1 shot. I’ve advised him but I would ignore if not betting with a level stake/100pt bankroll.
12:55 Uttoxeter – WENCESLAUS 6/1 won 0.25pts, 0.65pts top 4 finish 10/11
Trainer has been in decent form, the horse won a chase lto and reverts back to hurdling. The horse won this race last year, he was effectively racing off 91 whereas today he is only 2lbs higher.
There’s a massive fav for an hot connections but there is definitely value on paper.. sadly they’ll be running on grass.
16:10 Wetherby – KERRKENNY GOLD 10/3 0.25pt win
A bit of a stab especially considering Olly Murphy’s horses have been badly, he does send quite a few to the track tomorrow so maybe he’s primed a couple of them up.
Not much to say but when Sheeha rides in these silks I tend to take note so I’m willing to take a punt. He is also on ZEB SPIRIT at 14:30.
Newmarket – (12:30) NITRO EXPRESS 7/2 0.5pts win & (12:00) LOUGANINI to palce top 3 7/4 0.25pts
Roger Charlton has had 6 2 year winners over the last 3 weeks, he had a couple making their debuts and that isn’t overly offputting giving he’s had a couple nice debutants out recently.
This is more of a hopeful pick than a refined pick but as explained, I bet with 100 points and to a level stake which enables me to take some punts.