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I mentioned on my Twitter that the weather forecasts have been the most inaccurate I've seen in the last month, in the time I've been betting on horse racing. Catterick was deemed to be ‘soft' yesterday and was expecting a few mm of rain at the very least, but somehow the ground was good at the time of racing. That gave my selection no chance and was picked solely because the ground would be testing, which it clearly wasn't. 

The Aidan O'Brien debutante was slow away and raced in the smaller of the two groups, which is the never ideal setup when they decide to split into groups. She ran okay, but I did expect more from her in what I deemed to be a weak Class 1 race. Maybe she might be better with the experience, maybe she needs better ground, only time will tell, but at 3/1 I thought the risk what worth it, and she was backed into 6/4F so the money around did symbolise that she was going there with a very good chance.

Leopardstown 5:47 – Islandsinthestream 9/4 (1pt Bet365)

Taking on Aidan O'Brien 2yo's is always a risky tactic, as they breed the best horses in the business but I don't think his pair of horses are anywhere near the best he has in the yard and they can be taken on.

The one I liked was his son's horse, Joseph's Islandsinthestream. He broke slow out of the gates on debut, was held up off the pace at the Curragh but made could progress down the outside and won by a length. I thought that was a pleasing effort considering he was weak in the market, going off at 9/1, didn't get the ideal of starts to his career with his being slow out of the gates and I thought he showed a lot of character to come from the position her did to win. He is by Wootton Bassett who is becoming one of the best sires around, he is starting to produce some quality horses on a regular basis now and this one could be fairly smart as well.

Having a slow start will not be ideal from stall 2 as it's going to be a watch-through-your-hands moment as horses do meet plenty of trouble in running when penned in on the rail at Leopardstown, so I'm hoping for a good break and to sit prominently, which will probably be behind Mountain Bear, who didn't manage to get to the front at Newmarket which was their gameplan, so I think they'll want to get him on the lead and prove his poor run at Newmarket wasn't his true showing. Hopefully, Declan can get him settled nicely behind Ryan's horse and he take him on in the final furlong or two.

Leopardstown 6:22 – Zarinsk 11/4 (1pt)

My original bet in this race was Honey Girl, as this race was intended to be run at the Curragh on the weekend just gone but the track became waterlogged so the meeting was cancelled. Zarinsk wasn't in the race when it was at the Curragh, so it's interesting to see that she's been entered now it's changed to Leopardstown.

Zarinsk was a previous winning tip on her last start at Fairyhouse when she carried a penalty to give the Group 3 field a proper beating from the front. She is a very dangerous horse if given an easy lead of things on the front end, she has such a high cruising speed and turn of foot she can get horses out of their comfort zones quite quickly. I think they like their chances in this race now it's at Leopardstown as she is proven at this track, loves running around a bend due to her front-running style. Getting the lead from stall 10 will be a difficult task, but she is normally electric out of the gates so that gives Colin every chance of getting to the rail and stacking them up in behind. She was in stall 7 of 8 at Fairyhouse and that didn't give her any problems, so I'd like to think the same can happen today.

This is a step up in grade for this horse, but based on what she's shown this season, she looks more than capable of running another career best and grabbing a Group 2 victory by the side of her CV.

Horse Racing Tips
Islandsinthestream
Leopardstown - 5:47 pm

9/4 @ Bet365

Zarinsk
Leopardstown - 6:22 pm

11/4 @ The Pools

29 Comments
  1. Stu085 9 months ago

    My Gift To You
    4.32
    Worcester
    Evens @skybet

    Watched this win really well just 2 days over same trip at Southwell. Had actually backed the runner up Coconut Twist. Was really impressive after showing very little in all previous runs,mostly in higher grades, class 4s and a class 3. Priced never lower than 33-1.
    Switches yards from Paul Webber to this very shrewd operator James Owen. Clearly the change of scenery has done wonders. Had actually read a quote from the trainer the horse had been schooling very well over hurdles and fences before.
    Would be amazed if a penalty stops this winning today. Can be risky when they’ve had only a short break. I think if it had had a few weeks break inbetween it would be around the 8-13 mark, at evens I think this is a play worth taking the risk on.
    A few things about the trainers form: this current jumps season he has a 31% strike with his hurdles, 29 runners with 9 winners. Over the last 2 weeks he has had 4 runners with 2 of them winning, 5-2 and 7-2 were the prices, one beaten a short head and another a 16-1 outsider beaten 20 lengths.
    Harry cobden is on board once again. He has had 5 winners from his 16 rides in the last 2 weeks, winning his last 2 races.
    The red hot combination of the horse, jockey and trainer look well worth a bet. I think the only way he doesn’t win is if they decide not to run him and give him more time. Interesting they have him up for sale, think they will be looking to impress potential buyers.

    5 points win @ evens skybet

    5
    • Super Wilf 9 months ago

      NR

      2
    • Stu085 9 months ago

      Drat, 2 hours spent studying that race 🚮, was always a chance. No time to properly research anything else today. One in the tracker is out tomorrow, so maybe be back then.

    • baldy45 9 months ago

      Excellent write up, Stu. Shame about it being a NR but I’ll look out for it next time out.

      The race now looks to have fallen apart with several NRs and the current fav Nadim looks very poor value at 4/7.
      I’m happy to take the jolly on with Shandancer who looks too big a price at just under 7/1 in this shorter field. The jolly might not get the trip especially in the desperate ground.

      2
    • Stu085 9 months ago

      Cheers ,yeah was disappointed myself, but I did think it could happen. Im sure I saw it’s entered in 2 chases next week which is really interesting.
      Definitely agree about the new fav and the trip, I was meant to include in my write up how it was having its 3rd run in 10 days today as well. Fatigue could well be a factor in that ground. Your shout is worth a chance at the odds for sure, just needs to bounce back from that bad run last time out. Hope it wins for you,I’ll be watching back everything tonight.

      2
    • Stu085 9 months ago

      You weren’t far away I see with Shandancer. Fav made very hard work. Good pick anyway.

  2. Stu085 9 months ago

    Quick mention James Owen has 2 other runners today at Worcester. Star Lord at 4pm has seen money come for it. I know it was very keen on stable debut, they’ve put a hood on it for the first time so that could settle it down. Bought from William Haggas. Not having a bet as no time but will watch the rerun tonight

    2
  3. postman 9 months ago

    Both my selections finishe 2nd yesterday. Well done to those who found winners.

    3:25 Worcester – Alioski
    6:30 Yarmouth – Shahbaz
    8:15 Newbury – Lunar Landscape

    B’ Lucky 😉

  4. dodger22 9 months ago

    Faro de San Juan
    6:00
    Yarmouth
    Each way

    Was 8/1 into 6/1

    Won’t write up where or why as certain people only moan.

    Good luck with the rest of your picks

    4
    • Stu085 9 months ago

      Just ignore them if they do, it’s really simple.

      2
  5. Gateacre Pete 9 months ago

    On the Bubble 3.40 & Malago Rose 4 00
    Ew extra for top 6 @ 33 & 22
    Both made up ground to be 4th last time out so worth a wee bet
    GL

    2
  6. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    Mary of Modena 2.10 ew

  7. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    judge earl 2.20

    2
  8. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    emperor caradoc 2.30 ew

    2
  9. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    highland spring 2.40 ew well done all winners yesterday

  10. ew thief 9 months ago

    Hondo 4.45d while a look at tonight’s 10-1☘️☘️gl all

  11. elvis parsley 9 months ago

    Ideal d’allier 7-10 clairefontaine 🇫🇷.
    7-2 win bet365
    6-5 top 2 finish SKYBET
    20-80 stake

    1
  12. ew thief 9 months ago

    Yarmouth it is
    Desert master 12-1
    Rathbone 12-1
    Tahitian prince 12-1
    Alpine sierra 14-1
    Faustus 18-1
    Onesmoothoperator 10-1
    Old port 9-1
    Ew singles & ew super hienz ☘️☘️gl all

    1
  13. recoba 9 months ago

    🇺🇸

    Early 50p Yankee and couple of singles

    Thistledown -R2…Divine Martha 10/11
    R3…Deburite ****
    Saratoga -R1…Jimmythetooth. 6/4
    R3…Miss San Gabriel 11/4 ***

    GL all and well done winners the winners.

    1
    • recoba 9 months ago

      Well 3/4 and 2x singles was lovely BUT Divine Marta went off 8/15 or something and no where??

      Just need to smash next 5 eh? 😋

      2
    • Stu085 9 months ago

      Really well done there Recoba.

  14. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    Alexander James 6.30 ew well done all winners today

  15. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    able kane 7.00 ew well done all winners today

    3
    • Stu085 9 months ago

      Brilliant, unlucky Azz

      1
    • azzthewigan 9 months ago

      cheers stu085

      1
  16. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    Faustus 7.30 ew

    1
  17. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    furzig 8.00 ew

    1
  18. recoba 9 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Never mind 5 I’ll go 4 for a Yankee as I’ll definitely miss one and Del Mar Nap” if you will is 12.30 and so less I’m waiting on it for full house 😉 it’s bed.

    Thistledown -R7…Awesome Enough 7/4 Deleware -R8…Brick Town 11/10
    Saratoga -R5 Beaute Charche 6/4
    Del Mar -R6…Devil Moon. 11/4 ****

    GL all

    1
  19. azzthewigan 9 months ago

    andaleep 8.30 ew

    2

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