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Goodwood has turned into a swimming pool more than a racetrack at the moment and it's turned it into a very testing track, as well as a track which is biased by coming to the stand's side. If you don't race there then you've got little to no chance of winning, which is one of the reasons I prefer jumps racing to flat racing, as there are too many variables involved.
My selections yesterday were poor, that goes without being said. I'm not sure why Fast Response ran so badly, she handles soft ground, but maybe the heavy going and 7f plus she wasn't next to the rail all played a part. Tropical Island was slow out the gates and tried to go wide to deliver a challenge, which wasn't the ideal place, but the winner handles the ground much better than the rest and that's the key.
I don't want to get too involved at Goodwood based on how yesterday was, and nothing at Galway catches my eye either, and that's a difficult track to get it right, especially with a maximum amount of runners, so just one selection on Thursday for me.
Goodwood 3:35 – Blue Rose Cen EVS (3pt Bet365)
My favourite horse in training is without a doubt Blue Rose Cen, what a filly she is and has become this year after a fruitful season as a juvenile she has now become a 2x French Classic winner over a mile and 10f, and she is an ace horse and she put the stamina doubters in their place when she won in great style over 10f in the French Oaks last time out.
I think this race is all about her and I wouldn't worry about the track or the ground as she is proven on soft ground, and she has a good cruising speed to handle this quirky track. She normally has a pacesetter in her races this season, but they've opted to not go for that but I don't think that will be an issue. She might get an easy lead of things if Ryan Moore decides to take a pull on Above The Curve, but if Ryan fancies going from the front I don't think that will cause an issue for my selection as she has been used to running prominently behind the pacesetter in the last few runs.
She is a short price at EVS, but with the weight-for-age allowance I can't seem to find any negative for her, and the fact you can still get a price at EVS is quite surprising to me. People will fancy Nashwa on the back of her superb run over a mile last time around, but that was a weak race in hindsight with the runner-up running a stinker in a Group 1 in France last time around, and the others in behind not really amounting to much with Via Sistina being better over further too and needed slower ground at Newmarket.
Goodwood - 3:35 pm