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The French selections we're a tad unlucky yesterday, but it wasn't the end of the world, as it was a slight loss if you backed all three. Wally just about won on the line, and it didn't look likely, until the dying stages. Never Dies never settled in a snails pace race in the sprint, and that wasn't a true representation of what he is, and Poetic Flare was a narrow loser to Palace Pier, which was a cracking race.

Catterick 1:45

I am not a big fan of backing a horse in a 2yo race, but I think BAY BREEZE could be overlooked in the market, and I think he could outrun his odds. At the time of writing he is the largest priced runner in the field, which isn't a great surprise, as he is the only horse in the field who hasn't won a race. However, the way this race could pan out, and the fact some of his form is better than what it looks at a first glance, I think he will play a part in this race.

It's hard to say how the pace in a 2yo race will unveil, as they are all still lightly raced, and chances are that connections haven't worked out what is their preferable way of racing. However, there is a chance that this will have a strong pace. I'm A Gambler, Poppy Petal, Golden Rainbow & Latin Lover have all made the running in one or more of their races, which could mean that a couple of these will take each other on for the lead. Catterick is a track where being handy is highly beneficial, so it wouldn't be a great surprise to see a burn up, as the jockeys will want to be prominent. I'm hoping that this will happen, as Bay Breeze has raced in the rear in a couple of his races, and I think a fast run 6f will be straight up his street. He seems to be a little outpaced over 5f, which was on show when he was struggling at Chester, but he stayed on well, and it appeared than an extra furlong would be what he wants at this moment in his career. His only attempt at 6f so far was a good run. He travelled strongly throughout that race, but was beaten by horses who have since won or ran well in better races.

The sectional times from his most recent run from Chester suggests that he will be better at this trip, as his stamina over 5f is definitely his strength, rather than his speed. He was severely outpaced early in the race, but his sectionals from the 2f pole to the finish were the quickest in the race, especially his final furlong, which was 0.33s quicker than the second horse, and was 0.26s quicker than the winner.

The ground would appear to be a disadvantage if you delve into the Sire's statistics for his progeny on Good ground and Good To Firm. Buratino, the sire of Bay Breeze, has a 4% SR for his progeny when they've raced on Good ground, which equals 4 wins from 72 runners. He is also 0/38 on Good To Firm. Though these stats don't give confidence for the ground, Buratino's best form was all on a fast surface, so there's no reason for his progeny to not take to the ground. His progeny have been best on soft ground, but if you look into it a little more, the Dam's of those horses have all relished soft ground, so there is a strong chance that they have all taken it from the mother's side. If that is the case for Bay Breeze, then we should be fine on the ground, as although his Dam wasn't a great filly, she was best on fast ground.

Tim Easterby won this race in its last renewal in 2019 with a horse who had raced eight times before eventually winning, and raced off bottom weight in the race. Both of which are similar to Bay Breeze, as he is five runs without a win, and will carry bottom weight in this race.

14:10 Exeter - Race: 3
Distance: 2m 161y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
7
Serious Charges
2-2

3
Mini Yeats
3

9
Tokyo Live
F4

2
Keplerian
094

6
Scarface
540

4
Per Vino Veritas
5-6F

8
Stringtoyourbow
3-

10
What A Muddle
3/

5
Sadler's Bay

1
Blakey Bear
6

11
Firefly Lane
409

12
Lady Ironside
0F0

14:25 Newcastle - Race: 4
Distance: 2m 4f 62y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
7
Serious Charges
2-2

3
Mini Yeats
3

9
Tokyo Live
F4

2
Keplerian
094

6
Scarface
540

4
Per Vino Veritas
5-6F

8
Stringtoyourbow
3-

10
What A Muddle
3/

5
Sadler's Bay

1
Blakey Bear
6

11
Firefly Lane
409

12
Lady Ironside
0F0

14:40 Exeter - Race: 4
Distance: 2m 2f 111y
Type: Hurdle
Class: 4
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
3
Seventeen O Four
41

2
Manvers House
23/22-PP

6
Nickelsonthedime
3F4-664

11
No Hubs No Hoobs
066-46

9
Gastara
867355-

4
Cawthorne Lad
0247-16

10
Stratton Oakmont
438-U73

7
Born In Borris
633P-4P

16
Daytime Ahead
5/7P3-04

5
Tremwedge
73/8232-

12
Not Sure
5244-83

13
Trump Lady
662-6P6

1
Paradise Island
P1P-127

14
Portentoso
50-3P7P

8
Sastruga
83/1PP-7

15
Show On The Road
7765/58-

42 Comments
  1. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Mars 2-00 clairefontaine 7-2 🇫🇷.

    Mr strutter 2-55 catterick 3-1 (without hachert) @skybet (5 times course winner)🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿.
    Algheed 3-15 lingfield 9-4 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿.

    2
    • edgeman 5 months ago

      At first glance there Elvis, I saw Mars 2:00 and thought blimey, that’s taking it a bit far. 😆😆 Galactic racing, it’s the future.

      1
    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Lol edge

    • elvis parsley 5 months ago

      I’m just glad Uranus don’t have racing 😆

      2
    • cairnzy1878 5 months ago

      Great tipping Elvis. Nice double to start the day. I’m a gambler in the opener at Catterick and I took your Mars in the 2:00.

      Keeemaa

  2. TheInsideBet 5 months ago

    17:08 Catterick: Genesius
    6:55 Windsor : Starry eyes E/W

  3. Luke M 5 months ago

    Galactic racing lol.

  4. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    Wow this uk racing is not really good two meetings just ,ill have a shot the first 4,,,stuck in two minds with Sunday inmay and its how we roll,,1’00”largo bay 1’30”” its the same with rizzs bay breeze or am a gambler 1’45,,,naughty ana 2’20 GL all

    2
    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Got the first 100’30

    • recoba 5 months ago

      TheBigFlu I usually like a bet on a a Monday as it’s served me well but it’s crap racing but with a £5 free bet in work etc why not?

      Well…not working,keep my £5 as it’s a big week of cracking racing ahead but even with a good weekend profit I $hat it and the Yankee I had looked out and was SO close to taking would have got me 3/4. So glad Smooth Spirit lost or I’d have been doing really doing a Garfield!

      I just nailed Algheed at 4/1 too.

      Ps the Daily Star(don’t judge) tipsters have agreed on all 6 races at Lingfield which I’ve NEVER seen in any paper but an 11/1 winner in first 3 and Smooth Spirit just misses out only for Algheed to win??

      Think that’s stunning tipping an glad I got Algheed.

      1
  5. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    lyricas lion 1.00 well done all winners yesterday

  6. azzthewigan 5 months ago

    poppy petal 1.45

  7. recoba 5 months ago

    Main bet in the USA won but was the only from my Trixie..
    stick with America as there’s 3 off the auld tracker that I’m going to trust in and adding another for a Yankee

    Fort Erie..Diamondsimhereyes. 5/1(*** Jockey keeps the ride after taking him wire to wire as they say and was going away at the line last run which he won by 4L. Slight class rise but looks up to it)
    Thistledown-R5..Diamond State. 7/4
    Finger Lakes-R8…Bastest 5/2(**** not been out the top 2 in his 6 runs and 1/2l 2nd last run,slight drop in trip will help)
    Louisiana-R6…Got Glee. 13/8

    GL all today 🐎

    1
    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      3 at finger licks kaufy futures,,,,lova,,,straw hat ,,and the betty smiles race its between that and the fav,

  8. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    Itv7 on aswell 15mins left befor the off

  9. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    Lol that horse run away LMHO

    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Delay now ffs that horse crawled under the door and fook off

  10. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    Habanero star,,,hachert,,, my next 2

    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      Habanero beat the bet 80’1 too .

  11. MachineGunFunk 5 months ago

    rizzle i think you need to realise you are not on your little twitter account anymore, you took this job, start tipping responsibly, absolute farce, may as well let elvis do it.

    6
  12. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    3 up waiting on 1 for a 4fold

    1
  13. heartstopper22 5 months ago

    This place needs a proper tipster at the helm.

    Absolutely murder to follow.

    1
    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      I just pick my own first,then i come on here have a look at what everyone is saying and if they pick out the same as what i have then ill do a bet ,but again its so hard to pick a winner,,i think these will win at bangor have a look see what you think ,,first street..War at sea.-,hurricane ali,,,,kabrit,,,,sir tivo,gl with your picks

      2
    • MachineGunFunk 5 months ago

      Rizzle: I do really long write ups.

      Admin: When can you start?

    • recoba 5 months ago

      18/1 winner on Saturday and are use PAYING for Rizzles write ups and information? Even if you are a member you read the write up,check the form n IF you don’t like it don’t back it!?

      Don’t bet BLIND on horses!!! You need to know something about them or keep it level stakes and ASK Qs

      4
    • MachineGunFunk 5 months ago

      he himself gave us 10 reasons to avoid it, then he tips it. when there are 33 races to choose from, it is very poor form to come out with this selection when you’re on a big site headlining and we should be allowed to state that without any 11/10 white knight backers defending him.

      2
  14. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    Did anyone eles think smooth spirit got its head just in front? Looked like he got there

    • recoba 5 months ago

      No!

  15. recoba 5 months ago

    Onwards….

    Let’s make America great again!

    God bless the Pope that $hits in the James Woods and the bear that was a Catholic! 🇺🇸🐎

    1
    • Thebigflu 5 months ago

      A few to keep a eye on at delaware ,,vegas life,,commissioner g,,,,flat out flashy,,,ghost hunter,,,forloveofcountry,,,have a look.

  16. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    2 winners 7-2 and 100-30.
    Mr strutter 2nd ☹️

    Leave rizzle alone guys, it’s a thankless task finding winners with the standard of racing on at the moment.
    Don’t be surprised if he bangs in some winners tomorrow.
    Keep the faith guys and chill 👍

    2
    • MachineGunFunk 5 months ago

      leave him alone? aint nothing wrong with a little bit of flack to give yourself a kick up the backside.

      it may well be a thankless task but if that’s his honest best out of 33 races, please leave. stop writing essays on a 0.2 second sectional difference waffle and tell us what your strategy is.

      talk about he doeesnt like 2yo races. his horse doesnt suit front running catterick, on sires breeding the ground wont suit either.. but then chances it when with so many uncertainties, you should move on to the next race.

      forget all that nonesense and just pay attention to who is winning. JR JENKINS 8/1 winner on poly yday, has 2 out today, boom big rodney lands at 10s.

      1
  17. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    Fuking sir red blood gets it ,that horse has been a pain in my side forever it seems

  18. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    Pride of derry 16’45,,,joy choi,16’50,,,,first street,,genesius my next yankee, not much on 50p each way pays 14’1

    1
  19. Thebigflu 5 months ago

    True recoba that lingfield was good today got 3 and 3 2nds ,,money back and free days betting,,some gezzer won the itv7 his name was dave gorman i wonder was it dave gorman of dave tv lol most likely not just funy hes the same name

    1
  20. recoba 5 months ago

    Yeah TheBigFlu.
    Just Never seen that from paper tipsters and as I say so glad 4th lost which meant I only lost out on £25/30 but still.
    Daily Star is Sport,Girls and few other things including the Sport crossword which I like then it’s binned so for 55p and boredom I’ll take it! (Them recycled) but tipsters do okay in it but to agree on 6 races??

    One more for consideration in AMERICA that’s now tipped up everywhere after I left it out(😡 getting tedious) is Thistledown-R7…
    Leombruno at 3/1 but it’s in with a bunch of class droppers so that’s why I left it. (**)

    1
  21. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    BUS STOP.
    nothing from Bangor tonight ?
    Are you at the course, would have gone myself but alas I have parcels to deliver 🏇

    1
  22. elvis parsley 5 months ago

    Sinndarella 7-35 Bangor
    12-1 ew extra 7 places 1/4 odds.

    2
    • elvis parsley 5 months ago

      Finished 7th.
      Doubled my dough with place money.
      An all too rare profitable day.

      That’s probably my last one for a while 😆

  23. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Fort irie – race 7 – left foot two stomps 7/2 bet 365

    • dazzman1979 5 months ago

      Race 8 Delaware park – purrs well – 10/1 e/w

  24. dazzman1979 5 months ago

    Cagnes sur mer – ily du mil – 6/1

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