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Well, it's been a bit of a bloodbath for the majority of punters at Royal Ascot this year, with big-priced winners popping up all over the place. If you've managed to find some winners, congratulations, because I'm guessing most will be wanting to see the back of this festival from a punting point of view.

Ascot 3:05 – Ocean Quest 20/1 (1pt EW Bet365 4pl)

I could easily say that Little Big Bear is deemed as value at EVS money, but the way things have been going this week I wouldn't like to be touching a horse at that price. Though on paper, outside of the favourite this looks to be a very open race, I don't think it's that strong. My dart landed on Ocean Quest trained by Jessica Harrington.

This filly has been a thorn in my side this season. She beat The Antarctic when I tipped him up at the start of the flat season, and then she nearly beat him again when I tipped him up for the second time. I think she is a very progressive sprinter who is being massively overlooked in this race. She has to continue her progression to win this, but for her to get involved I wouldn't say she has to improve that much.

Her run at Naas was a blinder as there were two groups and she had nothing to aim at for the best part of 1.5-2f, which is a long way in a sprint, so she had to go alone as the ones on her side weren't good enough to take her into the race. She was clearly on the wrong side of the track, but despite that, she made huge inroads and nearly caught The Antarctic on the line. She is a really strong stayer over 6f and I'm hoping they all group and run down the middle, so that way she has horses to aim at as I think she will be travelling well, but her best part is in the final furlong or two when the rest are tiring and she will be flying, I hope.

Jessica Harrington had a winner a couple of days ago and had a placed horse in the 2yo race which Frankie rode, so she's sending horses over with decent chances. Colin Keane takes the ride, he rode her only winner this week, and normally I'd say this is a bad jockey booking as he has a terrible record at Ascot, but credit where credit is due he gave her horse a peach of a ride to get his first Royal Ascot win, so he'll be full of confidence. She is also a filly so gets a nice 3lb pull at the weights, and at 16/1 I think she is an EW player.

Ascot 3:40 – Al Nafir 6/1 (1pt EW WilliamHill 5pl)

Charlie Appleby's horses have been running terribly throughout the week so a big leap of faith is required when backing Al Nafir, but if it's just a coincidence how his horses are running below par and there's not something more serious floating around the yard, I think Al Nafir can play a huge part in this race.

It's annoying that he hasn't had a run this season, but they clearly must've felt that it wasn't needed and that he is capable of running a good race when fresh. For handicaps like this at Royal Ascot you need a Group horse, and I think Al Nafir is one of few who could progress into the Group level category. His win on his last start at Newmarket was very impressive and I thought he won that race with ease even though the winning margin was only a neck behind, but he was in total control. The form of that race has worked out quite nicely with the runner-up running nicely at Listed level, and many winners have come from the race including Haunted Dream, First Ruler (now rated 106) and Sheer Rocks, to name a few.

He has been gelded, will handle the ground and he has run well when fresh. Normally, when Charlie decides to geld a horse like this it takes them to the next level, we've seen it on many occasions, transforming handicappers to Group horses.

Ascot 4:20 – Queen For You 15/2 (1pt WilliamHill)

It's probably another daft idea taking on the short-priced favourite, especially when there are only two places on offer, but I do believe Queen For You is a very talented filly and I'm hoping she can progress again.

I've tipped her up on both of her starts to date and she has done very little wrong apart from showing a little inexperience at York last time out which probably did cost her unbeaten record. However, for a filly with only two runs under her belt, she has shown a decent level of form, and with the pedigree she has I think she can keep progressing and now she has that experience under her belt she is worth putting against the short-priced favourite.

Her mother won this race back in 2012, so she has the pedigree to win this race. John Gosden wouldn't be pitching her in this race if she didn't have a chance like we saw in the Gold Cup yesterday when he won it with a horse who has only won handicaps prior to it. Connections believe she has improved since her York run, and I can totally understand that she has already proven that she handles the ground and the track. I think Rab will try and smuggle her into the race and play her as late as possible, as she did idle when in the open last time.

Ascot 5:00 – Clounmacon 14/1 (1pt EW Bet365 6pl)

Whenever Jonny Murtagh sends his horses over to the UK, not just Ascot, they have been very respected. Clounmacon is his first runner of the meeting so far and I think it's interesting he's brought this horse over for the race he won with Create Belief back in 2021.

It's the Sandringham, and it's a total minefield as you're fully aware of, like most of the handicaps have been at Ascot this week and to be honest, every year. But, If Clounmacon gets the breaks and is on the right side of the track, he is a big player in this. He ran a belter to finish as runner-up at the Curragh last time out, he was held up from off the pace and ran out of track. That race was won by Create Belief in 2021 before coming to Ascot and romping home, obviously, his runner today didn't manage to repeat that win, but he went very close and I think it's of notice that he's taken a similar path with this horse.

You've got to ignore his run in the Group 3 prior to his Curragh run as that was on soft ground, and all of his best form has come on a fast surface so the ground at Ascot should be right up his street, as should the stiffness of the track. John Velazquez is a very eye-catching jockey booking, as he could've used his stable jockey, Ben Coen, but instead, he's gone for the veteran Puerto Rico-born American rider who has already had a winner this week.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Ascot
Horse Racing Tips
Ocean Quest
Ascot - 3:05 pm

20/1 @ Bet365

Al Nafir
Ascot - 3:40 pm

6/1 @ William Hill

Queen For You
Ascot - 4:20 pm

15/2 @ William Hill

Clounmacon
Ascot - 5:00 pm

14/1 @ Bet365

31 Comments
  1. recoba 12 months ago

    Think I’ll stick to USA pony races actually runing in USA? Damage limitation with few at Indianapolis/Belmont followed by best bet at 5/2 walking it!
    I’ve no time for patience but.

    Belmont -R6…Nova Rags 11/10 ✖️
    R7…Dafuseke Island 5/2 **** ✔️
    Horseshoe Indianapolis-R2…Mike From P’Burgh. 6/4.
    No fan of debut horses but Chad Brown here at Shelbyville?? ✔️

    Then again if I had the time sure I’d have seen the 150/1 ‘Valiant Force’ was Kentucky bread and born and then bought too…well it’s history now for all yoll USA lovers 😋🤷‍♂️ 🤦‍♀️

  2. alex 12 months ago

    Hard week it would seem so no particular thought into the following:

    3:05 Lezoo 8/1
    3:40 HMS President 16/1
    4.20 Queen for you 8/1
    5:00 Marksman Queen 14/1

  3. double carpet 12 months ago

    It may have been tough so far with every race being so competitive but apart from a few totally out of the blue races, the form has generally been there.
    Yes the first race race yesterday with a 150/1 winner was a total shock but we had the 2nd at 66s due to the trainers previous form. In the next race we were a couple of strides away from winning but it was another return having gone ew. We then won with Warm Heart. The Gold Cup you could also argue was no shock with Frankie on board a Gosden trained horse. A quick look at the history books will tell you all you need to know.
    The 5.00 was won by the fav. The 5.35 won by a 7/1 winner so there would have been plenty on that one. And the last race was won by Jamie Spencer who I said in my notes on monday to back in races up to 1m as you will end up in profit. Yes probably a shock he won but not a shock he was placed.
    So while it may have been tough there’s no arguing that the form lines are there, we just need to find them.

    7
  4. double carpet 12 months ago

    So far it’s been Good Day, Bad Day, Good Day so today should be another bad day, so you’ve been warned.

    2.30 Navassa Island 5/1

    When is the last time you seen a 2yr old fav for a race that didn’t win its only start ?
    Well I encourage you to look back at his previous run and see why he’s fav.
    You can do that on the Racing TV website, it’s free and if you’re not sure how to find it just ask the question and I’ll try explain.
    He was beaten a neck by another horse that’s also fancied for the race Porta Fortuna. That was also PF’s 2nd run so had a big advantage of a previous run.
    A total trend buster but should he iron out the greenness he had at the start of the race he will take some beating cos he flew home.

    3.05 Lezzoo 8/1 ew

    Little Big Bear is the obvious one in this race but I think he’s worth taking on at the prices by a horse that’s returning to his best trip.
    Hopefully he hasn’t lost that speed she showed as a 2yr old when winning the Chevely Park beating Meditate and Mawj

    3.40 Negano 12/1 ew / Ajero 20/1 small ew 5 places

    11 of the last 12 were 4 or 5
    11 of the last 12 were drawn 12 or higher.

    I think both those trends are important in this race and helps to eliminate most of the field.
    I’ve gone for a horse that hasn’t run for 668 days but is still only a 5yr old.
    The sheer fact that he’s been kept in training is enough for me to think he’s held in high regard by the Yard. The other is that he’s been steadily cut by the bookies. Yesterday morning he was 20/1 but antepost he was 33s and 25s so there seems to be a lot of confidence behind him.
    Time will tell I guess.
    Ajero was 2nd in the race last year, Jim Crowley is back onboard who was the last jockey to win on him.

    4.20 Dutch Queen for You / Sounds of Heaven 5/1

    I really think Tahiyra is worth taking on and have done so by coupling both Queen for You and Sounds of Heaven who finished 1-2 at York.
    I’m not going to disagree with Rizzle regarding QFY turning the tables as it’s quite possible she will but SOH is also beautifully bred and can also improve which is why I took both.
    Trends all point to a Tahiyra win but she’s not been impressive for me in her 2 runs so far this season.

    5.00 Clounmacon 14/1 ew 6 places

    Rizzle has covered this one so nothing needed from me.

    5.35
    King of Steel again is the obvious one but you won’t get rich backing 11/10 shots so I’ll either leave it alone or try look for something to take him on.
    One interesting fact though is AOB had 5 entries at the 5 day Dec stage and just relies on Continuous.

    6.10
    Only run 3 times but once again all 3 came from a double digit draw and from within the first 3 in the betting.
    Current fav Conquistador has had 2 runs for George Boughey since leaving the Gosden yard and won both albeit on the AW but there seems to be a lot of confidence behind him being clear in the betting.
    Once again I’ll wait and see how the day pans out.

    BOL

    2
  5. Yonus 12 months ago

    I thank you DC , I have been using your Snips and I must say I have had very enjoyable Ascot . Small stakes betting a few each race . Had Jamie last race , not 50/1 I had 33/1 more places all so Wee Hollie Win and a place .👍 😎

    • double carpet 12 months ago

      Good for you
      Profit is all that matters 👍

  6. double carpet 12 months ago

    Frankel top Sire so far this week with a 50% ew strike rate.

    1
  7. double carpet 12 months ago

    I’ve backed Snellen 14/1 ew 4 places in the opener tomorrow.
    She won her only start hitting the front probably too soon and drifted right over the track so plenty of greenness.
    Gavin Cromwell has only ever sent 1 horse to RA and that was a winner in Quick Suzy who won the Queen Mary in 2021 so not a trainer to send one hear without a chance.
    Think the price will drop hence backed him today

    1
  8. postman 12 months ago

    Still trying to land this guaranteed £500,000 Royal Ascot Placepot 👑

    2:30 – Navassa Island
    3:05 – Little Big Bear
    3:40 – Live Your Dream
    4:20 – Tahiyra / Meditate
    5:00 – Clounmacan / Novus / Magical Sunset
    5:35 – King Of Steel / Continuous
    12 line(s) at £ 0.40 each
    Total Stake for Bet: £4.80

    B’ Lucky 😉

    1
  9. azzthewigan 12 months ago

    matrika 2.30 ew mischief magic 3.05 lucander 3.40 Jackie oh 5.00 ew pillow talk 6.10 ew well done all winners yesterday

  10. spurs55 12 months ago

    first race i think ryan moore

    and pennies on number 8 and 4 ew

    bol today

    1
  11. Gateacre Pete 12 months ago

    Ew lucky 15
    Stay well 3.40 ASC
    Zionnocent 5.00 ASC
    Walbank 6.10 ASC
    Water Mint 6.45 Lim
    GL

    2
  12. azzthewigan 12 months ago

    Persian dreamer 2.30 ew also a bit on this

    3
  13. Wildhorse 12 months ago

    Hello All

    Day 4

    Win

    R. 6 – King of Steel

    R. 4 – Meditate

    Each Way

    R. 2 – Lezoo

    R. 5 – Unless

    R. 7 – Jer Batt

    To be placed

    R. 5 – Girl Racer ( 6 – 7 Places )

    Bol ALL , we see us at the Final !!

    1
  14. spurs55 12 months ago

    Number 8 next 🙏

    1
    • spurs55 12 months ago

      Sorry far to late 😭

      2
  15. elvis parsley 12 months ago

    4-20 Ascot
    Queen for you
    7-4 betting without tahiyra and meditate.

    1
  16. elvis parsley 12 months ago

    Frankie dettori’s last ever royal Ascot ride tomorrow is
    Knockbrex in the 5-35.
    Currently 4-1, price probably artificiality low because it’s his last mount.

    Pretty sure it will go off shorter as most will want him to bow out with a flying dismounts.

    I’ve had a few quid on anyways ……

    1
    • double carpet 12 months ago

      Cuban Dawn 22/1 ew for me. Bolgers only runner at the meeting and makes h’cap debut. Only beaten 6 3/4L by Paddington on debut and he’d already had a run. A mark of 91 looks very fair

  17. spurs55 12 months ago

    should of stayed on ryan’s horses ..oh well

    pollypockett just won the race at market rasen and polly pott is running at RA in race 5 @ 33-1

    just thought i would share ,you never know.

  18. spurs55 12 months ago

    6
    5
    SOUNDS OF HEAVEN
    (1 – 1 – 4)

    next RA hopefully will get 2nd place or win of course

  19. elvis parsley 12 months ago

    5-00 Ascot

    Coppice 8-1 ew 8 places
    Bridestones 25-1 ew 8 places
    Both SKYBET
    Both gosden horses….

    5
    • elvis parsley 12 months ago

      5-35 Ascot
      Continuous

      4-1 betting without king of steel.

      11-8 betting without king of steel and arrest

      Bet365

      3
    • double carpet 12 months ago

      Nice shout on Coppice 👍

      1
    • elvis parsley 12 months ago

      Coppice wins 🏇
      Continuous follows king of steel home 🏇.

      Off to work now so won’t see the lucky last.
      Well done winners today…

      3
  20. elvis parsley 12 months ago

    Lucky last 6-10 Ascot

    Jer batt 8-1 ew 6 places.

    Wallbank 20-1 bet365 ew extra paying 10 places 🏇
    (Really fancy this to be top 10)

    2
  21. double carpet 12 months ago

    Crap day so far, just a place on Ajero is as good as its got.
    I’ll try Continuous in the next

  22. spurs55 12 months ago

    hope hollie can get me some money in the kitty for tomorrow

    lucky last maybe number 25

    1
    • spurs55 12 months ago

      Lovely jubbly thanks Hollie and got 16-1

      And sky paid on 12 and 26 onto tomorrow with a decent kitty again

      Thanks again Hollie xx

      2
  23. double carpet 12 months ago

    I’d say Hukum will be a NR tomorrow. Free Wing gone fav and Hukum out to 5/2.
    Ground too fast for him

    1
  24. Yonus 12 months ago

    Another Big Thank You D C , Your snips are sh. Red hot . Wee Hollie does it in Lucky last . 🥂🥂🥂👍👌😎

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