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Saturday was the day for placed horses, with Mr Wagyu running his usual race and finishing in the places after travelling very well. Live In The Moment might have been on the wrong side of the track in his race, only two runners went to the stands' side in that race and he was one of them, so I thought he did well to finish in the places as well.
Deauville 12:58 – Live In The Dream 2/1 (1pt Bet365)
I tipped up his half-brother on Saturday at Goodwood, he didn't get the win, so hopefully Live In The Dream does manage to get his head in front today, and I think he has a nice opportunity.
The ground seems to be soft all year round in France, and Sunday is no different with the ground being ‘Very Soft' the night before and they are expecting rain to fall at the North French track, which should make it very testing. My selection, Live In The Dream, has some excellent recent form, especially on soft ground so we know for a fact that he'll handle today's conditions and considering this is a Listed race, I'd be happy enough to say he's the best horse in this race.
He has only tried Class 1 races three times prior to today, which has seen him be placed on every occasion, but he is more than capable of making his presence felt against today's opposition which is definitely a drop in class to what he has been against so far this season. He was 2nd to Vadream in a Group 3, that mare is a superb operator on soft ground so losing out to her is nothing to be ashamed of, then he finished 3rd behind Dramatised, who was fully revved up for the Group 2 that day and looked to be back to her brilliant best which we saw in her juvenile season. The recent run at Haydock was on good to firm ground, and I'd say that though LITD handles that type of ground, he is seen to best effect on soft ground, which has yielded his best run to date, running to an RPR of 113 as well as recording an RPR of 110 in a Class 2 handicap at Pontefract at the start of the season.
He is a very quick horse who likes to make the running, so hopefully he breaks well and grabs the rail which is important at Deauville and if so, he should be tough to peg back.
Deauville 3:25 – Art Power 7/4 (1pt Bet365)
Stall 9 isn't ideal for Art Power who likes to make the running, but I still believe that he is the best horse in this race.
I've been looking out for the ante-post market for the flying five Group 1 at the Curragh, as I think that Art Power would be a great bet in that race due to him being a monster at that track. He is a very good racehorse on his day, he just can't get his head in front at the top level when racing in the UK, which is a little strange and I'm not sure why, but the Irish tracks seem to suit him better. He handles any ground, but has run particularly well on soft ground when in Ireland, so today's ground at Deauville isn't a problem. I'm slightly concerned about the trip, which is 6.5F as he is such a strong traveller and an easy lead doesn't look on the cards in this race, so a strong pace might catch him out, but I think he is the class horse in the race and I hope that David Allan doesn't pester too much for the lead, let him settle just behind Gold Case, who will more than likely be the pacesetter and then kick clear with a furlong or two to go, as he does have an electric turn of foot on soft ground.
Deauville (FR) - 12:58 pm
2/1 @ Bet365
Deauville (FR) - 3:25 pm