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Ashington travelled nicely into his race but didn't quite stay on as well as I and the market thought he would. He was well-supported into 9/2 and I expected a much stronger staying performance from a horse who stays 2m 4f over jumps.
Corinthia Knight was very poor. I expected a lot more from him off his current handicap mark at a track he has a good record at, but it looks like he is fully regressing.
Chepstow 6:00 – Chinese Knot 3/1 (1pt)
The racing league isn't for everyone, which I totally understand but I can't fault it as they offer some great prize money for the lower quality horses and it's a good incentive for jockeys as the leading rider walks away with a nice lump sum if they get the most points for the day. It's very competitive racing, which is decent as you'll get some good prices, but the races are often quite tough. This 2yo race doesn't look to be amazing and I can't see many being well-handicapped so I landed on Chinese Knot.
Saffie Osbourne is different gravy when it comes to the Racing League, she rides out of her skin and did so at last year's season as well. Saffie takes the ride on my selection, who is a previous winner of a Racing League race at Yarmouth when Saffie rode her that day as well. She was a strong stayer over 5f so the step up to 6f looks the right idea at this moment in her career and I think based on the step up in trip she can defy a recent 5lb rise in the weights. She handles slower ground based on the good to soft performance last time around, and she has run well on good ground too. The ground will be drying out all the time at Chepstow as the weather looks quite warm, so I'd imagine the ground will be riding good to soft at the very least and more than likely good.
Rod Millman is in great form, as is the jockey and I think this looks a good bit of placing by connections to grab another £13k.
Chepstow 7:00 – Gordon Grey 11/2 (1pt)
Similar to the previous race, the majority of horses in this race don't stand out to me and I had it between Gordon Grey and Miss Dolly Rocker, with Shahbaz likely to fill the top three if I was to do a tricast. The odds suggest it's a competitive heat, but I didn't see it like that and I thought the Ian Williams horse was the one to take out of them on recent form and their position in the handicap system.
Gordon Grey is a well-bred son of Australia who has many half-siblings who were much better than his current rating of 74 and he showed that he possesses a decent amount of ability at Newmarket on his handicap debut. Connections must've felt like he was better than his opening mark of 71 as they punted him into 9/4F after showing very little on his previous two runs in maiden and novice company this year. He made a good debut as a juvenile when finishing 4th/13 behind Cicero's Gift, who has turned out to be quite smart.
At Newmarket last time out he was only touched off by a horse who clearly improved for the step up in trip, with the winner recording an RPR of 80 which was 14 lbs better than his handicap mark. Gordon Grey was 2.25L clear of the third, which is normally a good indicator. That was his first run in handicap company and was on the back of a 54-day break, so though it's not a huge layoff, they could've left him a bit short in fitness. Safie Osbourne takes the ride and I've already mentioned how good she is at these types of meetings.
Chepstow 8:30 – Accidental Agent 14/1 (1pt EW Bet365)
Backing horses who are getting older and dropping through the handicap can be a great angle, or it can be an appalling angle as we found out with Corinthia Knight yesterday, but I tipped up Accidental Agent last time in Bunbury Cup and I thought he was mightily unlucky to not finish in top three, maybe top two, so I think he deserves another chance.
I'll keep this one short and sweet. He can be slow out the gates, so he'll need luck in running, but he has dropped 2lbs in the handicap for his run in the Bunbury Cup which is generous, in my opinion. He was blocked in running when he was starting to get ahead of steam in Bunbury Cup and I'm positive he would've got a lot closer than what he did, which was fifth. Mia Nicholls is a cracking young rider who claims 7lbs, so he is running off a mark of 92 and a decent racing weight of 8st 11lbs which is what he carried last time out in a stronger race.
We know he handles any conditions and he is a C&D winner, I think it's a no-brainer for him to be the EW play in this race, even at the grand old age of 9.
Chepstow - 6:00 pm
3/1 @ Bet365
Chepstow - 7:00 pm
11/2 @ Bet365
Chepstow - 8:30 pm