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No runners yesterday as a result of the bad weather we are experiencing in the UK. Redcar went ahead, but nothing really stood out for me, so I decided to leave it.

Ascot 1:50 – Run To Freedom 25/1 (0.5pt EW Bet365 4pl)

Over the years this race has been open to a few shocks, so I wouldn't discourage anyone from backing an outsider in this race. I've not looked at the odds at the time of writing, but I do think Run To Freedom will be decently priced and I think he goes to Ascot with a nice chance with the rain surely being in his favour.

He was 2nd in this race last year and has since finished 2nd in the July Cup, both times there has been juice in the ground. He is best seen to effect when the rain gets into the ground, hence why I'm happy to ignore his runs on faster ground in between. He did manage to win a Listed race on fast ground this year, but I think he can get away with that type of level on ground he doesn't prefer, but at the top level he has to have things spot on for him to have a chance, and thankfully the rain has come at the right time. This race would've been the main aim since the July Cup, as he managed to finish 2nd in this race last year at odds of 150/1.

Kinross is the one to beat based on his known form and recent form, he has been a superb horse for connections and on soft ground it allows him to run well over 6f, when his ideal trip is definitely 7f. As for the rest of the field, it's wide open as to what has the next best chance, I believe that is Run To Freedom.

bet365

Ascot 2:25 – Jackie Oh 7/2 (1pt)

For this race it has been best to side with the 3yo's as they have a tremendous record in this race, winning 8 out of the last 10 renewals and the last six in a row. There are some very solid older horses in this, but Jackie Oh really catches the eye on her first attempt over 12f.

I've always liked Jackie Oh, but I never thought she was going to be a Group 1 horse so to see her prove me wrong when she battered my selection in a Group 3 in July and then to see her finish 2nd in a Group 2 and Group 1 since is nice to see. Her best run was undoubtedly last time out at Longchamp when she finished a strong finishing 2nd to Blue Rose Cen who is arguably my favourite horse in training. That was a huge performance and it boded well for the future over further trips like today. She seems best on testing ground, so the ground will be ideal for her today, it's obviously an unknown this trip, but she is by Galileo who we know stay very well and are battlers, so I think she will find the improvement needed over this trip to win her first Group 1 race for Aidan O'Brien and Ryan Moore.

Ascot 3:05 – Nashwa 4/1 (1pt Bet365)

When the Gosden's decided to drop Nashwa down to a mile many thought it was last chance saloon as she seemed to had lost her way and many doubted it, but she put in a career best performance in the Group 1 at Newmarket in July when smashing the field by 5L. For some reason, they decided to put her back up in trip and though she has run well in defeat, I thought they might've kept her over a mile, but I guess they were trying to avoid clashing her with stablemate Inspiral.

I'm glad she back over a mile for the first time since that Group 1 win as she can be keen in her races and that doesn't suit her running over longer trips, she stays the trips out well but her final run to challenge for the win often cuts out because of her early exuberance, so the drop to a mile seems best for her as she can travel through the race and have that finishing kick. She has a very nice turn of foot as well, whether she can show that on soft ground, I'm not sure, but I definitely believe she handles this surface as she was 2nd over 10f in a Group 1 last October on soft ground and her pedigree is perfectly fine with the ground being by Frankel and out of a Pivotal mare.

Ascot 4:25 – Migration 10/1 (0.5pt EW PaddyPower 5pl)

We're going to need plenty of luck in running, so I'm hoping they just run down the middle of track so it leaves plenty of chances for Migration to get through the pack.

Going for the top weight in a race of this nature, when he's carrying 10st 1lbs and the ground is going to be like a swamp come the final race might seem a bit ridiculous but this horse has the class to win this race off his current mark. He has been lightly campaigned this year by David Menuisier, but I know for a fact the yard think highly of this horse and he showed that he is very capable of winning handicaps off huge weights when he did it at the opening meeting of the flat season at Doncaster under Benoit De La Sayette. The ground was heavy at Doncaster and he powered home under Benoit, and I'll be hoping for something similar, albeit, it will be tougher in today's race as he is running off a lot higher mark, but him hitting the frame is definitely not impossible.

Related Topics: Racing Tips Ascot
Horse Racing Tips
Run To Freedom
Ascot - 1:50 pm

25/1 @ Bet365

Jackie Oh
Ascot - 2:25 pm

7/2 @ PaddyPower

Nashwa
Ascot - 3:05 pm

4/1 @ Bet365

Migration
Ascot - 4:25 pm

10/1 @ PaddyPower

54 Comments
  1. recoba 4 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Santa Anita -R5…Port Ellen 4/1 ***
    R6….Beau Soliel 7/2
    R7…Turn Up Jets 15/8 ****+
    R9…Lady Listhmothe 4/1 **+
    Side bet…R/fc 2-9. 2-9 4 for top 3 order

    GL yoll tomorrow looks a cracking days racing.
    Even a full jumps card in USA at Far Hills‘? There’s Uk/Ireland and French raiders in there but not greatest of class although it should be good to see.
    There “Grand National ” is 2 Mile 5 Furlong 😯 😆

    1
    • recoba 4 months ago

      Far to close to off for 1st at Santa Anita but can try??

    • recoba 4 months ago

      Lady Listmothe and a forecast saves the bet ⬆️
      Should have been more bullish with it.
      Aa for the rest last night and early this morning?? 🤔 Some strange goings on at Remington Parks big night.

      Onwards

  2. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Ascot
    1-15 trueshan 5-2.
    More rain the better for this warrior.

    .1-50 Sandrine 12-1 ew 4 places

    3-05 big rock 15-2 ew 3 places

    3-45 horizon dore 5-1 ew 3 places

    4-25 awaal 8-1 6 places SKYBET

    4
    • elvis parsley 4 months ago

      Forgot one race, might as well go for the complete washout 🤣

      2-25 sweet memories 12-1 ew 5 places SKYBET.

      1
  3. hibee1 4 months ago

    Legal Reform 4.30 Catterick 11/4 bet365

    Settled in at new yard very well. Only runner from yard at track. 500 mile trek. 100% record at track. Ground is perfect. Expected to go very close today.

    Enjoy the weekend everyone

    24
  4. double carpet 4 months ago

    Put up Monviel 1.05 NA yesterday and glad to see he’s now into 9/4.

    I also put up HORIZON DORE at 20/1 ew a few weeks ago so hoping he can at least place.

    I wasn’t expecting Mostahdaf to run and neither were the bookies as he was out to 7s earlier in the week but he takes his chance. Regardless though I can’t have him even if the ground is better on the Hurdle track as it will still be soft at best and it will have already have had 2 races on it cutting it up. Should be an interesting race.

    One horse that will thrive on the ground is HDB’s Terms of Endearment who won a group 3 by 4 1/2L lto and just to give you an idea of how bad he wants it, that was the last race run at the meeting before it Was abandoned due to waterlogged track.
    Currently 16/1 with 4 places he was also supplemented for this race and might be worth a small ew play

    BOL

    3
  5. ItsTrixie 4 months ago

    Trixie:

    1430 Leopardstown – Basilah Bear
    1425 Ascot – Jackie Oh
    1730 Catterick – Ask Peter

    12
  6. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    4:25 ascot – bopedro 14/1 e/w

    1
  7. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    2:40 turfontein- millahue 9/2 e/w hopefully just about money back at the very least but obviously going for the win 🥇 🤞

    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      Non runner now ! They must of seen my post 😂

      1
  8. Wildhorse 4 months ago

    Hi ALL

    Ascot / Champions Day

    Each / Way

    R. 3 – Jackie Oh

    R. 4 – Tahiyra

    R. 5 – Via Sistina

    R. 6 – Lattam

    Bol , Enjoy the Weekend !!

    2
  9. spurs55 4 months ago

    oh dear all the bxxlocks has started first race.

    slaughter

  10. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Azada 😍

  11. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Is that one of Frankie’s greatest ever rides on trawlerman ?
    Very rarely you see a horse overtaken like that and come back and win.

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      Probably shouted out to Ryan “oi mate this ain’t in the script ! “ watch Frankie lose on the fav next so the bookies can get some money back ! I reckon he will win on king of steel it makes for good tv ! 😂

      3
  12. spurs55 4 months ago

    Spycatcher @ 12/1SP

    Win – 13.50 Ascot: British Champions Sprint Stakes – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      Mill stream I’m on 💰💰😋

    • spurs55 4 months ago

      just gone out to 16-1 so a bit on this as well

      Sense Of Duty @ 16/1SP

      Win – 13.50 Ascot: British Champions Sprint Stakes – Paying 4 Places instead of 3

    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      Told you he will lose all part of the script they new people would lump on Frankie after winning the first race . He will win the first and last and nothing In between 😂

      3
  13. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Bet west to the bridge wins later !

  14. spurs55 4 months ago

    oh dear oh dear

    T D Easterby had a couple of blinders yesterday as well

    onwards

  15. spurs55 4 months ago

    Term Of Endearment @ 18/1SP

    Win – 14.25 Ascot: British Champions Fillies & Mares Stakes – Paying 5 Places instead of 3

  16. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Time lock !

  17. lossie jim 4 months ago

    An absolute dream for the bookies so far at Ascot.🥺

    • spurs55 4 months ago

      unbelievable

      😡😡😡😡😡😡😡

      1
  18. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Who cuts Ryan Moore’s hair 😂 look how it’s cut round his ears 😂

  19. spurs55 4 months ago

    hollie win me some money pleaseeeeeeeeeee

    15:05 Ascot – 1m Grp 1

    Nashwa
    4/1

    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      No cash for backing the Nash ! 😂

  20. spurs55 4 months ago

    na always loose on hollie

    stay with number 4

    My Prospero @ 10/1SP

    Win – 15.45 Ascot: Champion Stakes

    1
  21. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    bay bridge 3.45

    4
  22. elvis parsley 4 months ago

    Big rock saves my day 🇫🇷

    Rizzell lists blue rose cen as arguably his favourite horse right now, the way big rock just destroyed that field suggests Mr head (no dazzman his first name isn’t Richard 🤣) the trainer has another star in his stable

    1
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      You have a very low opinion of me 😂 can’t think why !

  23. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    the gatekeeper 4.25 ew well done all winners yesterday and today

    11
  24. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    woderfull eagle 4.15 nap

    4
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      Don’t use the N WORD I find it jinxes the bet 😂

      1
  25. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    Andromeda 4.11 nb

    4
  26. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Told you first and last ! First one for the bookies the last for the tv fairy tail ending ! 😂

    1
  27. spurs55 4 months ago

    Dual Identity @ 14/1SP

    Win – 16.25 Ascot: Balmoral Handicap – Paying 6 Places instead of 4

    2
  28. azzthewigan 4 months ago

    tasever 4.20 ew

    4
  29. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Horse racing 😂😂

  30. spurs55 4 months ago

    Top notch Azz✔️✔️✔️✔️✔️

    1
    • azzthewigan 4 months ago

      cheers spurs 55

      5
  31. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    4:50 Wolverhampton- melwood boy 22/1 e/w

    1
  32. spurs55 4 months ago

    That Ascot meeting must have been the biggest piss take in a long time

    🤣🤣🤣

    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      I don’t know looked like just any other day . If no money was involved the best horses would win all the time 😂

      1
    • spurs55 4 months ago

      must be all about the false favourites then dazzman

  33. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    Azz lands bet of the day 👏👍No doubt you lumped accordingly 😂

    2
    • dazzman1979 4 months ago

      Surely you did the name sake earlier like me Azada

      1
    • azzthewigan 4 months ago

      missed it dazzman I was at work grabbing some sat overtime

    • azzthewigan 4 months ago

      cheers dazzman 1979

      1
  34. dazzman1979 4 months ago

    5:25 Wolverhampton- land of hope now 6/1 looks like the moneys slowly coming In . still e/w might have a go !

    1
    • spurs55 4 months ago

      them bloody 3’s dazzman

  35. spurs55 4 months ago

    just have to do it win or loose

    4
    (3)
    silk
    Come On You Spurs
    J: Harry Davies(-)|T: H Spiller

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