IT was good to get off to a winning start on Tuesday with Tomorrow's Dream winning at a nice 11-2 to get us in to the black already at the Festival.
Here's my thoughts for Wednesday's action at Glorious Goodwood.
1.10 Goodwood – British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Handicap
CHAMADE is my fancy for the opening race of day two at Glorious Goodwood. For some reason she seems to be overlooked in the market, when writing this she is around 9/1, which is much bigger than I expected.
She is totally unexposed, having only raced four times, and has some good form behind some nice types. Last time out she finished third behind Franconia and Cabaletta. Franconia has since won a Listed race at York last weekend. Cabaletta has also won a Listed race at Newbury. Behind Chamade was Wonderful Tonight, who has since been placed in a French Listed race. Oriental Mystique was back in fifth and she has since been placed in a Group 2 in France, so the form of that race alone stacks up nicely.
Before that, she ran with credit in a Group 3 at Kempton, where she bumped into some nice horses. Berlin Tango, Pyledriver and Bright Melody are a few to mention who have ran with credit since, all either winning or being placed in Class 1 races.
Off a mark of 93 I think she could be well treated, and she will get the weight for age allowance which will be a big help.
At the price she is a nice EW shout.
1.45 Goodwood – Unibet You're On Goodwood Handicap
One horse which I have previously tipped up on this site, and he ran a cracker at Royal Ascot is SMART CHAMPION. He was positioned towards the back in the 2m 4f contest at Royal Ascot, and he came flying at the end, but unfortunately it came too late.
Since then he has raced at Newcastle in the Northumberland Plate, where he ran no race at all. I am willing to put a line through that race, as I think it would have come too soon for him (11 days after RA run).
I think a return to a marathon trip of 2m 4f will be ideal, and he looks a thorough stayer, and if they have him positioned slightly closer to the pace it could pay dividends.
With five places on offer with most bookies, he is a big EW player.
2.15 Goodwood – Unibet 3 Boosts A Day Handicap
This race looks in need of a potential improver, and I think that improver is SARVAN for the George Scott stable.
Last time out at Pontefract, I thought he was extremely impressive.
He is a big unit, and is lightly raced, and in my opinion, he could be much better than just a mere handicapper. Pontefract is completely different to Goodwood, and it will pose a different question to him, but he was so impressive that I think he will be able to handle this.
He beat a Sir Michael Stoute horse called Crystal Pegasus by 2.5 lengths, and he did it easily, and he is rated 89. The handicapper has rated Sarvan 92, which is a tough mark to break on handicap debut, but I know that the George Scott team really like this lad.
His form before his win lto looked not too bad either. Tenbury Wells back in fourth has since won twice. Whisper Not back in fifth, won at Pontefract on handicap debut by 20 lengths! And if you go back to Sarvan’s debut run, he was behind Eastern World, who is now rated 94. King Leonidas won that race and was a hot favourite for a race at Royal Ascot, but for whatever reason did not run his race. So, the form lines do not look too shabby, and the way he runs, it suggests a step up in trip would suit.
3.15 Goodwood – Qatar Sussex Stakes
The Sussex Stakes is probably the race of the week, and arguably one of the races of the entire flat season, and I am siding with CIRCUS MAXIMUS.
I am sure that a lot of people/tipsters will think I am slightly crazy for backing him, but I think he is underestimated in a race full of unknowns. We do not know how good the Irish Guineas form is, as Lope Y Fernandez has since come out and run to an average level, and then was beaten by Pinatubo in France. Vatican City was not good enough in the Derby, but that was a weird race. And the rest of the horses behind in the Guineas have not done anything since, so I am not sure that Siskin deserves to be as short as he is. Do not get me wrong, I think he is a wonderful horse, but at this trip, I think he could still be vulnerable.
Kameko comes back in trip after running to a decent level in the Derby, where Oisin said he did not stay the trip. He is worth a go in this race, but I think he is more of a 10f horse, rather than a miler, especially at Goodwood.
Mohaather is interesting, and most people seem to think he is the one back, if you are backing one of the older horses. He finished behind Circus Maximum at Royal Ascot, but he did not get a run. Since then he won a Group 2 at Ascot, but at the prices I think you can get a better alternative.
Circus Maximus is currently 15/2 and those odds are ridiculous in my opinion. He is not your typical O’Brien horse, with that sexy profile, as he must try hard for his wins. He finished second in this race last year, behind Too Darn Hot. If TDH was kept in training and was in this race this year he would be favourite for this, so why Circus Maximus is as big odds as he is, it seems a bit strange. The one thing you are guaranteed from this horse, is that he will give his everything; he is ultra-consistent.
With two places on offer I would recommend going for a straight win, but he is a decent EW price for those who like that type of thing.
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