1.20 Supreme Novices' Hurdle
Tuesday 16 March | Age: 4yo+ | Prize: £125,000
The Supreme Novices' Hurdle is traditionally the curtain-raiser the Cheltenham Festival. Open to horses aged four years or older who are novices (meaning they hadn’t won a race over hurdles prior to that season), the Supreme Novices' Hurdle is run on the Old Course over a distance of about two miles and half a furlong (2 miles and 87 yards).
The first race of the festival is always a nice one to get in the bag and I've spent probably longer than I should have done studying it.
I've tried to find one to get the favourite Appreciate It beat but it's tricky and I've ended up putting Appreciate It in my fun multiples bet for the week along with a few other short priced favourites.
If you want to back him wait for Monday night or first thing Tuesday when a few bookies are likely to push him out a bit to get your business. A fair price would be about 6-4 or 13-8 I think.
Of the alternatives we are now down to the dead 8 for each way purposes so if there is one more non-runner you would only be paid on the first two.
I'm not sure there is much value to be had on that side of things so it's no bet for me.
Voice of Value Recommendation
- No bet but back Appreciate It if you can get 6-4 or better on the day.
Willie Mullins should waste no time adding to his record haul of 72 Festival winners, saddling hot favourite APPRECIATE IT.
He was an expensive loser in the Champion Bumper 12 months ago, looking all over the winner until stable companion Ferny Hollow appeared on the scene full of running.
Appreciate It has made a seamless transition to hurdles, winning both starts, and was particular impressive at Leopardstown’s Christmas fixture when readily repelling Ballyadam.
There’s no reason why he won’t confirm places with the runner-up and third Blue Lord.
Metier may be best of the home brigade. His best form on the Flat for Andy Slattery in Ireland came on a sounder surface, which is a slight worry, but he was undeniably eye-catching in the Tolworth Hurdle at Sandown.
Betfair Hurdle winners often go well in this event, so Soaring Glory will interest each-way players, with Jonjo O’Neill fitting cheek-pieces.
Thommo's Supreme Novice Tip
- Appreciate It 5/4 (Casumo)
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