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The weather for Sunday is a bit all over the place, it's forecast rain in some areas, and none in others. Make sure you always check the forecast before backing your horses, you don't want horse who won't handle the ground.

Ayr 1:00

I wouldn't put anyone off from not backing SKITTLEBOMBZ in this race, as he is an unraced 2yo, but I think he could be quite useful.

There's always a risk attached to backing unraced 2yo's as they can often be green, slow out the gates, or just not that good as you first thought they would be. However, the fact that Tom Dascombe sends his only runner of the day up to Ayr is quite significant. Over the years, Tom has had 2 winners from 8 runners when sending 2yo's to Ayr for either Maiden or Novice races, so he doesn't send them this far if he doesn't think they have a hope. Tom has a +23.25 profit to level stakes at Ayr, with a 22% SR with all of his runners in the last five years.

Another interesting fact about this horse is that it is owned by John & Jess Dance, who also own Sam Maximus who is also trained by Tom Dascombe. Tom was full of praise for that horse before he ran on his debut, and an hour after that statement he won. I think it's interesting that Tom gave Skittlebombz a positive mention in his stable tour which he gave to At The Races at the start of May.

Obviously, you can't be too confident, but I feel like they could've sent him to a more local track like Chester or Haydock if they really wanted to, so it's quite significant they've taken him on a trip for his first run.

Limerick 1:05

Limerick is expecting a lot of rain over the course of Saturday and Sunday, so I expect the ground to be on the soft side, even though it is currently described as Good To Firm (Midday Saturday). With that being said, I think BREAGAGH could run a big race, as he seems to handle cut in the ground, a lot better than the others in the race.

When you take the 7lb claim into consideration from Annalise Cullen, it means that Breagagh will be running off 8st 3lbs, which is bottom weight. If the rain does arrive, which it should, then the low weight could prove to be vital, as carrying heavy weights in stamina sapping ground isn't ideal. Annalise is still an inexperienced rider, and I can't comment too much about her as I've not seen her ride before, however, she has 4 wins from 33 rides, and she returns a profit of +11.13 to level stakes.

Limerick is notoriously known to benefit front runners, so Breagagh should hopefully get to the front and benefit from this. There isn't a strong pace, so if he breaks on terms, and the young jockey has been told to get the lead, then she should be able to do so.

Though he is still a maiden, he has ran many fine races in defeat, especially in the last thre runs where he has finished 2nd, 3rd and 3rd.

Market Rasen 2:25

Olly Murphy is one of the top trainers around Market Rasen, operating at a 20% SR from 191 runners, which generally means his horses are well found in the market. Despite this, I will still be following FIVETOTWELVE as I think she will have a nice chance in the second race.

Even though Olly Murphy's record at this track is very good, if you whittle it down to Novice Hurdle races, when Aidan Coleman was riding, it is scarily impressive. With those conditions, he has won 6 and had a further 2 places from 12 runners, which is a 50% SR. This race that Fivetotwelve competes in isn't that strong, and you'd think that She's All In Gold will go off favourite as she is currently 1 from 1 over obstacles, so hopefully that will drive the price out for our selection. Aidan Coleman goes to Market Rasen for the one ride, so that could be a good indicator of the chances he thinks this 7yo Mare has.

36 Comments
  1. philip66 1 year ago

    HOWLING WOLF, 11-2 massive eye catching run last time finishing really well. Appears to be back to form and has beat some fantastic horses early in his career including Santiago!

    1
  2. MachineGunFunk 1 year ago

    no prices on rizzle’s tips so we cant see how much they’re sliding? can save us money knowing the original price, cheers.

  3. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    11:35 Mauritius northern spy 11/2

    12:10 Mauritius undercover agent 6/1

    3
  4. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Gurkhali girl 1-00 Ayr
    25-1 ew extra 5 places.

    4
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Shalfa 1-42 Chelmsford
      5-2 betting without qipao (bet Victor)

      5-2 for a matchbet in essence.
      It’s priced 11-10 in some places.
      Palmer’s catatumbo the opponent not set the world alight as yet 🏇

      3
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Gurkhali 5th

      3
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Shalfa beats the Palmer nag.
      Good price for a matchbet 🏇

      1
  5. Sore point 1 year ago

    Market Rasen 2.25 MILLIE ROUND 25/1 each way remember last run in a nh flat race at Lingfield finishing well and further distance today might be talking crap but worth a go for me.

    Good luck everyone

    2
    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      I was going to do this one . Just as well I think at a massive price

      1
  6. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Ayr – 1:30 sandret 5/1

    1
  7. spursman 1 year ago

    Sticking to same stakes (as Mr F always said), trying something new….instead of Lucky 15, 3 singles

    MR 4.45 Ask Paddington
    LIME 2.10 Flyin Hawaiian (EW)
    AYR 2.38 Mi Capricho

    🙂

    3
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      10 grand a bet then spurs 😂

      1
    • spursman 1 year ago

      Ha ha I’ve only ever done L15’s before so singles is all new to me….10 grand, thems Del Boy and Dave’s stakes, mines more Steptoe and Son 😂😂

      1
  8. azzthewigan 1 year ago

    Princess Ruby 2.25 well done all winners yesterday

  9. MachineGunFunk 1 year ago

    unlucky rizzler

  10. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Can’t believe I missed darzan at Saint Cloud my name was all over that 😂 . Last loser of the day for me

    5:20 market Rasen

    Pateen 8/1 going on the nose all or nothing Personally but would go e/w for the rest who are on just in case haha . Well done those who picked up any winners along the way today some look quite obvious now after the event . Also missed broome at Saint Cloud but I’m sure a few on here would of spotted that one

    3
    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Darzan ?.
      That was your nickname when you used to dress in jungle shorts and leap from the top of your wardrobe on to your lady friend, probably name Jane 👍

      2
    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      😂 hahaha I still wear the loin cloth round the house but I only make the Tarzan sound and beat my chest when I lose 😂 the neighbours hate it ! And I missed red darna eye well and turkey off the ball . And gendarme and quirt Evans I bet on the other day both came in today at Tramore my own fault for not paying attention to busy stuffing my face 😂

  11. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Lucky last.
    Supreme Vinny 5-25 tramore.
    20-1 ew 5 places 1/5 odds @betvictor.
    11-1 bet365 ew extra 8 places 1/4 odds.

    Won Over last September, not run since so will need the run, bit long in the tooth at 12 but our Rachael is on which is a plus.

    • elvis parsley 1 year ago

      Won over course and distance that should read

  12. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Dazzman.
    You put 2 tips up for Mauritius today.
    Got to say that’s a first on this thread.
    Where does your knowledge of African racing darzan 😂

    Didn’t know they raced in Africa to be honest, maybe they are zebra’s ?

    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      😂😂😂 haha shut up . I think some are zebras painted brown !!

  13. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    Pateen great pick darzan 👍
    Won easy 🏇

    3
    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      All in a days work Darzan !!! Let a few slip under the radar my own silly fault but I will take that one . Yeah the money came in for it before the off . Need to go out now and hunt me some dinner 😂 might wear my Freddie glove a mix of Tarzan and Freddy crugor roaming the streets 😂

      1
  14. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 1 – palimco – championship alley – 11/4

    1
    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Get in ! Fair play he deserved that win ! Love it when they fight for a win like that ! Well deserved !

  15. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 1 – Gulf Stream – love me sum Cajun – 12/1 e/w

  16. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 1 – Belmont – gone glimmering 7/2 – nose job !!

  17. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 5 – gulfstream- khozando 5/1 – that’s a nap ! And that’s a wrap peace out !

  18. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    One for 2 Moro I was going to put up that keeps shortening so don’t want to wait to long .

    3:05 Nottingham- retrospect – now 4/1 – nap

  19. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲
    Sublimity 7-08 pimlico 5-2
    🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲

  20. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 4 gulfstream- first gold 9/2 💰🤑

  21. elvis parsley 1 year ago

    🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲🇺🇲
    Yeeeeha sublimity 🇺🇲

    • dazzman1979 1 year ago

      Nice work Jane 👍

  22. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 6 – palimco – hufflepuff 15/8 – seeing as Harry Potter is on now makes sense !

    1
  23. dazzman1979 1 year ago

    Race 9 gulfstream- Romario 7/1 my logic behind this is that I missed Ramiro at 1:35 limerick today perhaps this is a Sign to say back this one to make up for it and they sound similar in name 😂

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