BRANDT SNEDEKER gave Ace his first win of the year last week – a nice 36pts profit for anyone who did the advised 2pts at 18-1.
It was a miraculous win really with the American out to 40-1 inplay before storms hit the Farmers Insurance Open to see all the leaders go backwards. In the end Snedeker won without hitting a shot as he set the clubhouse target on Sunday and watched as the leaders went back out on the Monday and again went backwards.
Ace said: “It's good to get off the mark even if the win came out of the blue. Sneds was tied second after his final round when the tournament was suspended and I didn’t expect him to finish anywhere near the top.
“I'm off and running snd here’s hoping for another fruitful week.vAfter the rain and winds at Torrey Pines last week the weather forecast for Scottsdale is dry and winds won't be that strong.
“In his last four outings Kevin Kisner has four top-10 finishes, including a win and a runners-up spot. I tipped him when he won the RSM Classic and I think he can pull it off again in Scottsdale.
“With a driving accuracy of 72.94% (5th), GIR of 74.77% (34th) and putting average of 1.656 (4th) he’s not top of the FedEx rankings for nothing.
“With two seconds and two thirds from six outings this season Kevin Na has had a solid beginning to the season. He’s not won since the Shriners in 2011 although he has gone close this season when losing in a play-off at the Frys and finishing second in the Shriners in November. Driving accuracy of 64.58% (56%), GIR of 75% (24th) and putting average of 1.685 (10th) should put him in near the top of the leaderboard.
“After missing the cut at the Shriners Brooks Koepka came back strongly with a seventh and T3rd in his next two tournaments. I’ve backed him for all the Majors this year but he won the Phoenix Open last year and comes back to make his first career defence.
“His driving accuracy is 54.86% (178th) which is not great but GIR of 75% (24th) and putting average of 1.69 (17th) should help him here. In his final round last year he hit a tournament low of 63 and wouldn’t be surprised if he shoots low again this year.
“The final tournament in the Desert Swing is in Dubai for the Omega Dubai Desert Classic where Rory McIlroy returns to defend his title.
“With four top fives and a top 10 from his last six European outings Byeong-hun An is certainly worth looking at. He won his first tournament on the European Tour at the BMW PGA Championship last year and he will lift another title soon. His driving accuracy is only 50%, GIR 70.83% and average ppr of 28.25 but when he gets going he’s hard to beat. Well worth a bet here.
“The last time Andy Sullivan was in Dubai in November he had four great rounds of 66 66 68 68 to finish second in the DP World Tour Championship behind this week’s defending champion Rory McIlroy. Since that result Sullivan has had a mediocre three tournaments with only one top-20 finish.
“Long hitters, not necessarily accurate, could be the key here and the Englishman is certainly long (296.4 average yards) and with GIR of 68.3% and putts per round of 28.7 he could be challenging on Sunday.
“Belgian Joost Luiten has had a good Desert Swing and I expect him to continue that form. With a T5 and T13 finish in Abu Dhabi and Qatar he had seven steady rounds with only one over par. He’s another long hitter (296.3 yards) and accuracy of 62.5%. He is 21st in GIR (75%) but putts per round (29.6) will have to improve.
Recommended Bets
Phoenix Open
1.5pts ew Kevin Kisner (33-1, Betfred)
1pt ew Kevin Na (33-1, Ladbrokes)
1.5pts ew Brooks Koepka (20-1, 888sport)
Omega Dubai Desert Classic
1.5pts ew Byeong-hun An (30-1, Coral)
1.5pts ew Andy Sullivan (33-1, Ladbrokes)
1pt ew Joost Luiten (50-1, BetVictor)
Ace Venturer
Omega dubai
Henrik stenson 10/1 e/w
The excellent tipping continues into this season the best golf tipster I have seen
wato, that’s praise indeed. I’ll praise him even more by saying I rank him alongside Steve Palmer who over the season will give you good profit.
what does 1pt and 1.5pts means?
It means 1pt or 1.5pt of your betting bank. Mr f uses a betting bank of £1,000 so if ace does the same then 1pt is £10 if your betting allowance is less then adjust stake according
First win of the season for me 3 guys picked and Jason day was a bad choice liked his odds but his fitness was concern and he duly missed cut. Took snedeker though at 16/1 who won and jb Holmes at 45/1 who finished 6th.
Onto this week am taking 3 again amnd starting by keeping faith with jb
Jb Holmes 25/1 came close last week well not really but 6th place at 45/1 would have been good if had done ew but he is in good touch and has won this twice before so hoping for another good show.
Bubba Watson 12/1 when bubba wins tournaments I always think why didn’t I bet him as he has it all then I back him and he seems aim for heavy rough. But he finished 2nd here twice in last 2 years so least he knows where fairways are here will be having few quid on him first round leader too.
Hidek matsuyma 25/1
Can’t remember if it was mr f or ace who brought this guy to my attention last year but he seemed to have a good year and I know I prob spelt his name wrong. I like horses for courses and has finished in top few places twice in his last 2 starts so hopefully he will be chasing bubba home come Sunday so I can sit back with cigar ahead of superbowl Sunday
lee cunliffe, I latched on to Matsuyama after watching him on the range at Augusta – that was a great experience because I was literally a couple of feet from the players. He hit every ball as sweet as a nut then climbed the leaderboard to get a place. Won a few weeks later when I tipped him but faded a little bit towards the end of the year.
Yeah I remember now mr f I remember you went and saw him in person and was impressed fingers crossed he gets going again tonight.
done small stakes doubles EW on your selections, if all fails only small portion lost if really lucky the bubbly will be coming out! good luck ace
Ace how would you rate your picks chances after first day?
Hi ghunt11 In Europe Luiten and An are up there challenging after their second rounds with Sullivan just starting his second round. In the US Koepka and Na are also up there after the first. So all in all I’m happy.
Looking quite good for maybe a win or at least 2 places in Europe but don’t think will get the fairytale double for a nice four figure some though! Id be happy with a Joost or sullivan win or a joost and sullivan place to be honest as profit is profit../ fingers crossed for today and tomorrow
Great euro tipping again Ace – 2 out of 3 in top 5 and oh so close to anothe win…..
Loving these tips.
Cheers
kingdingaling, another good week for Ace – and his Hearts team are winning too.
Sullivan looked like he was going to win until Willett pipped him but as you say to have 2 in the top 4 is excellent.
Lovely tip Ace and Lee well done guys
Cheers Dave looking forward to the hat trick Bid now for next week