EURO 2024 outright odds & predictions
Welcome to our Euro 2024 outright odds & predictions page, where you can access all our exclusive Euro 2024 tips on outright bets.
Euro 2024 stages betting: Probability and best odds
| Country / Stage | Probability | Best Odds | Bet on |
|---|---|---|---|
| England / To reach Final | 34.8% | 2.88 (15/8) | Bet on England |
| France / To reach Final | 25% | 4.00 (3/1) | Bet on France |
| Germany / To reach Final | 26.7% | 3.75 (11/4) | Bet on Germany |
| Portugal / Eliminated in Semis | 18.2% | 5.50 (9/2) | Bet on Portugal |
| Spain / Eliiminated in Semis | 15.4% | 6.50 (13/2) | Bet on Spain |
| Italy / Eliiminated in Semis | 15.4% | 6.50 (13/2) | Bet on Italy |
| Belgium / Eliiminated in QFs | 30.8% | 3.25 (9/4) | Bet on Belgium |
| Netherlands / Eliiminated in QFs | 25% | 4.00 (3/1) | Bet on Netherlands |
| Croatia / Eliiminated in QFs | 25% | 4.00 (3/1) | Bet on Croatia |
| Denmark / Eliiminated in QFs | 20% | 5.00 (4/1) | Bet on Denmark |
| Ukraine/ Eliminated in R16 | 50% | 2.00 (1/1) | Bet on Ukraine |
| Turkey / Eliminated in R16 | 50% | 2.00 (1/1) | Bet on Turkey |
| Czech Republic / Eliminated in R16 | 50% | 2.00 (1/1) | Bet on Czech Rep |
| Switzerland / Eliminated in R16 | 44.4% | 2.25 (5/4) | Bet on Switzerland |
| Hungary / Eliminated in R16 | 44.4% | 2.25 (5/4) | Bet on Hungary |
| Serbia / Eliminated in R16 | 42.1% | 2.38 (11/8) | Bet on Serbia |
| Romania / Eliminated in R16 | 42.1% | 2.38 (11/8) | Bet on Romania |
| Slovakia / Eliminated in R16 | 42.1% | 2.38 (11/8) | Bet on Slovakia |
| Scotland / Eliminated in R16 | 36.4% | 2.75 (7/4) | Bet on Scotland |
| Austria / Eliminated in R16 | 33.3% | 3.00 (2/1) | Bet on Austria |
| Georgia / Eliminated in R16 | 30.8% | 3.25 (9/4) | Bet on Georgia |
| Poland / Eliminated in R16 | 26.7% | 3.75 (11/4) | Bet on Poland |
| Slovenia / Eliminated in R16 | 26.7% | 3.75 (11/4) | Bet on Slovenia |
| Albania / Eliminated in R16 | 16.7% | 6.00 (5/1) | Bet on Albania |
Odds may change depending on many factors. Consult the bookmaker's website or app for the most relevant information.
Which teams will reach the Euro 2024 final?
Current odds imply that England and France have the best chance of reaching the final. However, they cannot meet in the final if they both win their group, due to the bracket structure. So if guessing the actual finalists, the smart money is on Germany meeting either England or France in Berlin on July 14th.
England
Best odds for England to reach the final: 2.88 (15/8)
Implied probability: 34.8%
Last Euro finish: Runners-up
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 11
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 2
Honours: World Cup 1966 Winners
Our analysis: Given that England are the bookies’ favourites to win Euro 2024, they are naturally considered the team most likely to reach the final. While the Three Lions should enjoy an extended stay in Germany, a potential semi-final clash with France could put paid to their plans of reaching back-to-back finals.
France
Best odds for France to reach the final: 4.00 (3/1)
Implied probability: 25%
Last Euro finish: Last 16
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 7
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 6
Honours: Euro 1984, World Cup 1998, Euro 2000 & World Cup 2018 Winners
Our analysis: France suffered a shock early exit at Euro 2020, but they look well placed to make amends for that this time around. Les Bleus came within a whisker of lifting the 2022 World Cup. With Real Madrid new boy Kylian Mbappe the current favourite to finish as the top gun in Germany this summer, France have every chance of going all the way.
Germany
Best odds for Germany to reach the final: 3.75 (11/4)
Implied probability: 26.7%
Last Euro finish: Last 16
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 6
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 7
Honours: Euro 1972, Euro 1980 & Euro 1996 Winners; World Cup 1954. World Cup 1974, World Cup 1990 & World Cup 2014 Winners
Our analysis: Germany’s recent record at major tournaments doesn’t make for great reading, but as the host nation of Euro 2024, they will look to put themselves back amongst the continental elite. While they are capable of reaching the final, German dreams are more likely to be shattered at the semi-final stage.
Portugal
Best odds for Portugal to be eliminated in the semi-finals: 5.50 (9/2)
Implied probability: 18.2%
Last Euro finish: Last 16
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 7
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 7
Honours: Euro 2016 Winners
Our analysis: Three successive major tournament failures have followed Portugal’s Euro 2016 triumph, but they look set for some form of success this summer. Roberto Martinez’s men should take top honours in Group F, which would then open up a realistic route for the Selecao to reach the Euro 2024 final.
Spain
Best odds for Spain to be eliminated in the semi-finals: 5.50 (9/2)
Implied probability: 18.2%
Last Euro finish: Semi-final
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 11
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 6
Honours: Euro 2008, World Cup 2010, Euro 2012 and Nations League 2022/23 Winners
Our analysis: Spain were a force to be reckoned with between 2008 and 2012, but they've not exactly been pulling up any trees since then. While La Roja’s chances of reaching the Euro 2024 final shouldn't be dismissed, they could fall short when faced with a leading light before the big dance in Berlin.
Italy
Best odds for Italy to be eliminated in the semi-finals: 6.50 (13/2)
Implied probability: 15.4%
Last Euro finish: Winners
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 13
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 4
Honours: Euro 1968 Winners & Euro 2020 Winners; World Cup 1934. World Cup 1938, World Cup 1982 & World Cup 2006 Winners
Our analysis: Italy have had a pretty turbulent time of it since conquering the continent three years ago, most notably failing to qualify for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar. While the Azzurri can never be totally written off, a repeat of their Euro 2020 exploits looks beyond their current capabilities.
Belgium
Best odds for Belgium to be eliminated in the quarter-finals: 3.25 (9/4)
Implied probability: 30.8%
Last Euro finish: Quarter-final
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 9
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 3
Honours: None
Our analysis: Belgium have been the nearly-men of the last decade of international football, and they are likely to come up short again in their quest to reach the Euro 2024 final. The Red Devils’ golden generation has lost its glow and they are now a team in transition under Domenico Tedesco.
Netherlands
Best odds for the Netherlands to be eliminated in the quarter-finals: 4.00 (3/1)
Implied probability: 25%
Last Euro finish:Last 16
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 8
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 4
Honours: Euro 1988 Winners
Our analysis: Having achieved relative success at the 2022 World Cup, the Netherlands will look to make a long overdue statement on the international stage this summer. However, the Oranje arrive at Euro 2024 as a bit of a fading force, and reaching this year’s final would be considered an overachievement.
Croatia
Best odds for Croatia to be eliminated in the quarter-finals: 4.00 (3/1)
Implied probability: 25%
Last Euro finish: Last 16
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 7
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 7
Honours: None
Our analysis: Having reached the final of the 2018 World Cup, Croatia supporters will be hoping for more of the same from their side at Euro 2024. While the Blazers have both the talent and big-tournament pedigree to make a deep run this summer, reaching the Berlin final looks beyond them.
Denmark
Best odds for Denmark to be eliminated in the quarter-finals: 5.00 (4/1)
Implied probability: 20%
Last Euro finish: Semi-final
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 12
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 6
Honours: Euro 1992 Winners
Our analysis: Denmark finally delivered on their dark horse tag by reaching the final-four of Euro 2020 and they will be quietly confident about going one better this time around. Yet, while the Danes should navigate their way to the latter stages, forging a path to the 2024 final looks beyond their limits.
Ukraine
Best odds for Ukraine to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.00 (1/1)
Implied probability: 50%
Last Euro finish: Quarter-final
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 6
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 10
Honours: None
Our analysis: Having come up short in their quest to qualify for the 2022 World Cup, Ukraine will be appearing at the Euros for the fourth time in succession. The Blue and Yellow should reach the last-16 but they are unlikely to be in the mix for a place in the final.
Turkey
Best odds for Turkey to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.00 (1/1)
Implied probability: 50%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 1
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 8
Honours: None
Our analysis: After flopping out of Euro 2020 at the first hurdle, Turkey will be determined to give a better account of themselves at Euro 2024. A top-two finish in Group F has to be the aim, but the Crescent Stars are unlikely to be surprise contenders to reach the final thereafter.
Czech Republic
Best odds for the Czech Republic to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.00 (1/1)
Implied probability: 50%
Last Euro finish: Quarter-Final
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 6
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 4
Honours: None
Our analysis: The Czech Republic exceeded expectations by reaching the quarter-final stages of Euro 2020 and repeating the feat this summer would be seen as a success. Managerial upheaval and a tricky draw means the Lions will need to be on guard to avoid an early exit, before they can even dream of reaching the final for the first time in 28 years.
Switzerland
Best odds for Switzerland to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.25 (5/4)
Implied probability: 44.4%
Last Euro finish: Quarter-Final
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 8
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 6
Honours: None
Our analysis: Switzerland have stacks of major tournament pedigree, and they will be targeting a second successive quarter-final appearance in this year’s European Championship. However, the Swiss appear to have regressed since being one of the surprise packages at Euro 2020, making their prospects of reaching the Euro 2024 final slim.
Hungary
Best odds for Hungary to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.25 (5/4)
Implied probability: 44.4%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 3
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 6
Honours: None
Our analysis: Hungary are back at the Euros for a third successive time and getting out of the group will be the main objective for Marco Rossi’s men. While the Magyars have shown that they can match anyone on their day, reaching the final of Euro 2024 is too far-fetched to imagine.
Serbia
Best odds for Serbia to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.38 (11/8)
Implied probability: 42.1%
Last Euro finish: Quarter-final
Goals scored in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Honours: None
Our analysis: Despite taking part in four of the last five World Cups, Euro 2024 will be the first time Serbia have appeared at the Euros as an independent nation. The Serbians will be many punters' dark horses, but reaching the final could prove a task too tall for Dragan Stojkovic’s side.
Romania
Best odds for Romania to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.38 (11/8)
Implied probability: 42.1%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Honours: None
Our analysis: Romania are back on the big stage for the first time since 2016, but it could be a familiar story for them this summer. The Wolves have fallen at the first hurdle in their last two Euros appearances, so it would be unrealistic to expect them to contest the final.
Slovakia
Best odds for Slovakia to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.38 (11/8)
Implied probability: 42.1%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 2
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 7
Honours: None
Our analysis: Slovakia are slowly but surely becoming European Championship mainstays. However, they are unlikely to make a major splash at this summer’s spectacle. The Falcons have never gone further than the round of 16, so an appearance in this year's final seems highly unlikely for one of the pre-tournament underdogs.
Scotland
Best odds for Scotland to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 2.75 (7/4)
Implied probability: 36.4%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 1
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 5
Honours: None
Our analysis: Having failed to reach any major tournament between 2000 and 2020, the Tartan Army are getting ready for a second successive European Championship appearance. Scotland would be entering uncharted territory by getting out of Group A, but a fairytale run to the final thereafter seems inconceivable for Steve Clarke’s side.
Austria
Best odds for Austria to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 3.00 (2/1)
Implied probability: 33.3%
Last Euro finish: Last 16
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 5
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 5
Honours: None
Our analysis: Austria will consider themselves unlucky not to have reached the quarter-final stages of Euro 2020 and their current crop have to be viewed as lively outsiders at Euro 2024. While reaching the final will be a tall order, Das Team have the potential to bloody a few noses.
Georgia
Best odds for Georgia to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 3.25 (9/4)
Implied probability: 30.8%
Last Euro finish: N/A (debut)
Goals scored in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Honours: None
Our analysis: Given that this will be Georgia's first-ever appearance at a major tournament, simply qualifying for Euro 2024 represents success on its own. With Willy Sagnol’s side set to be the lowest-ranked nation at Euro 2024, it’s highly unlikely that they will upset the odds by reaching the Berlin final.
Poland
Best odds for Poland to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 3.75 (11/4)
Implied probability: 26.7%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: 4
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: 6
Honours: None
Our analysis: Poland were sent packing early from Euro 2020, and another swift exit could be on the cards at Euro 2024 this summer. Having been housed in Group D alongside France, Netherlands and Austria, it is going to take a herculean effort for the Eagles to reach their first-ever major final.
Slovenia
Best odds for Slovenia to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 3.75 (11/4)
Implied probability: 26.7%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Honours: None
Our analysis: A whole 24 years after making their first and only European Championship appearance, Slovenia will saviour their place at continental football’s top table this summer. After being drawn in Group C alongside England, Denmark and Serbia, Matjaz Kek’s men are not expected to make a shock surge to the Euro 2024 final.
Albania
Best odds for Albania to be eliminated in the Round of 16: 6.00 (5/1)
Implied probability: 16.7%
Last Euro finish: Group Stage
Goals scored in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Goals conceded in Euro 2020: Did not qualify
Honours: None
Our analysis: Albania are considered one of the sides least likely to reach the Euro 2024 final and it’s easy to see why as they are in this year’s Group of Death alongside Spain, Croatia and Italy. A pointless campaign and early exit is an entirely plausible possibility for Sylvinho’s side.
Which teams will reach the Euro 2024 semi-final?
If the market plays out to expectations then England, France Germany and Portugal are the most likely sides to reach the final four at Euro 2024, and it’s hard to argue against that. All four sides are laced with experience and star power, and they each have a favourable route to the semi-final stage.
Which teams will reach the Euro 2024 quarter-final?
Alongside the above-mentioned England, France and Germany and Portugal, we fancy Austria, Belgium, Croatia and Italy to reach the quarter-final stage of Euro 2024. Belgium, Croatia and Italy are no strangers to the latter stages of major tournaments, while Austria have the talent and manager to make a deep run.
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Euro 2024 Top Scorers probability & odds
| Player | Country | Win Probability | Best Odds | Bet on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappe | France | 16.7% | 6.00 (5/1) | Bet on Mbappe |
| Harry Kane | England | 15.4% | 6.50 (11/2) | Bet on Kane |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | Portugal | 6.7% | 15.00 (14/1) | Bet on Ronaldo |
| Romelu Lukaku | Belgium | 5.3% | 19.00 (18/1) | Bet on Lukaku |
| Jude Bellingham | England | 4.8% | 21.00 (20/1) | Bet on Bellingham |
| Olivier Giroud | France | 3.8% | 26.00 (25/1) | Bet on Giroud |
| Phil Foden | England | 2.9% | 34.00 (33/1) | Bet on Foden |
| Alvaro Morata | Spain | 2.9% | 34.00 (33/1) | Bet on Morata |
| Kai Havertz | Germany | 2.9% | 34.00 (33/1) | Bet on Havertz |
| Antoine Griezmann | France | 2.9% | 34.00 (33/1) | Bet on Griezmann |
| Diogo Jota | Portugal | 2% | 51.00 (50/1) | Bet on Jota |
Odds may change depending on many factors. Consult the bookmaker's website or app for the most relevant information.
Who will win the Euro 2024 Golden Boot?
The Golden Boot race will be hotly contested at Euro 2024 in Germany, with France superstar Kylian Mbappe and England talisman Harry Kane among the favourites to finish as the tournament's top scorer. However, Mbappe is the universal favourite to start his Real Madrid career as the proud owner of the Euros’ top scorer award.
Kylian Mbappe
Team: France
Best top scorer odds for Mbappe: 6.00 (5/1)
Implied probability: 16.7%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 50 goals / 36 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 0 goals / 4 matches
Major international honours: 1x FIFA World Cup, 1x UEFA Nations League
Qualifying stat: Mbappe scored a brace in both games against the Netherlands in qualifying, and France will meet the Dutch again in the group stage at the Euros.
Harry Kane
Team: England
Best top scorer odds for Kane: 6.50 (11/2)
Implied probability: 15.4%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 49 goals / 51 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 4 goals / 7 matches
Major international honours: N/A
Qualifying stat: Half of Kane's eight goals in qualifying came from the penalty spot, and he scored each of the four he took. We are backing him to score from 12 yards at some if given the opportunity.
Cristiano Ronaldo
Team: Portugal
Best top scorer odds for Ronaldo: 15.00 (14/1)
Implied probability: 6.7%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 49 goals / 51 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 5 goals / 4 matches
Major international honours: 1x Euro, 1x UEFA Nations League
Qualifying stat: Ronaldo attempted more shots (47) than any other player in qualifying, at an average of around 5.2 shots per game. We expect him to record similar numbers in the group stage with Portugal favourites to reach the knockout rounds.
Romelu Lukaku
Team: Belgium
Best top scorer odds for Lukaku: 19.00 (18/1)
Implied probability: 5.3%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 29 goals / 53 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 4 goals / 5 matches
Major international honours: N/A
Qualifying stat: Seven of Lukaku's 10 goals in qualifying came in the first half, which suggests that he is more lethal earlier on in games.
Jude Bellingham
Team: England
Best top scorer odds for Bellingham: 21.00 (20/1)
Implied probability: 4.8%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 25 goals / 47 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 0 goals / 3 matches
Major international honours: N/A
Qualifying stat: Bellingham did not score in qualifying, but did grab two assists in his last qualifying match.
Olivier Giroud
Team: France
Best top scorer odds for Giroud: 26.00 (25/1)
Implied probability: 3.8%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 20 goals / 54 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 0 goals / 2 matches
Major international honours: 1x FIFA World Cup, 1x UEFA Nations League
Qualifying stat: All three of Giroud's goals in qualifying saw him being either the first or last goalscorer, which could be a pattern we see at the Euros. With the quality of the likes of Mbappe and Griezmann in and around him, expect the veteran striker to get plenty of service.
Phil Foden
Phil Foden
Team: England
Best top scorer odds for Foden: 34.00 (33/1)
Implied probability: 2.9%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 27 goals / 63 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 0 goals / 3 matches
Major international honours: None
Qualifying stat: Foden’s only goal contributions during Euro qualifying were two assists – both of which forced an opposition player into scoring an own-goal!
Alvaro Morata
Team: Spain
Best top scorer odds for Morata: 34.00 (33/1)
Implied probability: 2.9%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 25 goals / 55 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 3 goals / 6 matches
Major international honours: 1x UEFA Nations League
Qualifying stat: Of Morata's four goals in qualifying, two came as the first goalscorer, which suggests that the Spain striker tends to start fast. Having been captain of the national team, he leads by example off the pitch as well as on it.
Kai Havertz
Team: Germany
Best top scorer odds for Havertz: 34.00 (33/1)
Implied probability: 2.9%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 17 goals / 58 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 2 goals / 4 matches
Major international honours: None
Qualifying stat: Even without the pressure of qualifying, Havertz has been a consistent performer for Germany of late. Indeed, he’s scored in two of the Germans’ four friendlies played in 2024 alone, with both goals being second overall on the day – most recently the equaliser in a 2-1 win over Greece.
Antoine Griezmann
Team: France
Best top scorer odds for Griezmann: 34.00 (33/1)
Implied probability: 2.9%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 25 goals / 54 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 1 goal / 4 matches
Major international honours: 1x FIFA World Cup, 1x UEFA Nations League
Qualifying stat: Griezmann only scored one goal in qualifying, but that was in France's opening game. Could he repeat the trick in the group stage at the Euros? The 33-year-old is only missing the Euros from his major international honours collection, and so the Atletico Madrid forward will be determined to win the competition.
Diogo Jota
Team: Portugal
Best top scorer odds for Jota: 51.00 (50/1)
Implied probability: 2%
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 18 goals / 37 matches
Goals / Matches in Euro 2020: 1 goal / 4 matches
Major international honours: 1x UEFA Nations League
Qualifying stat: Jota scored two goals in qualifying, both coming in the same game – could he net another brace in a favourable group for Portugal at the Euros? The forward will have to compete with the likes of Ronaldo, Rafael Leao, Bernardo Silva and Bruno Fernandes for a place in the starting line-up though.
Euro 2024 Best young player probability & odds
| Player | Country | Win Probability | Best Odds | Bet on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jude Bellingham | England | 23.1% | 4.33 (10/3) | Bet on Bellingham |
| Florian Wirtz | Germany | 12.5% | 8.00 (7/1) | Bet on Wirtz |
| Jamal Musiala | Germany | 11.1% | 9.00 (8/1) | Bet on Musiala |
| Lamine Yamal | Spain | 9.1% | 11.00 (10/1) | Bet on Yamal |
| Eduardo Camavinga | France | 7.7% | 13.00 (12/1) | Bet on Camavinga |
| Xavi Simons | Netherlands | 6.7% | 15.00 (14/1) | Bet on Simons |
| Cole Palmer | England | 5.9% | 17.00 (16/1) | Bet on Palmer |
| Rasmus Hojlund | Denmark | 5.9% | 17.00 (16/1) | Bet on Hojlund |
| Kobbie Mainoo | England | 4.8% | 21.00 (20/1) | Bet on Mainoo |
| Nico Williams | Spain | 4.8% | 21.00 (20/1) | Bet on Williams |
| Jeremy Doku | Belgium | 4.8% | 21.00 (20/1) | Bet on Doku |
Odds may change depending on many factors. Consult the bookmaker's website or app for the most relevant information.
Who will be the best young player of Euro 2024?
Three years after Euro 2020 saw the emergence of then-teenagers Pedri and Bukayo Saka, there is once more a clutch of exciting youngsters aiming to steal the show. In particular, England owe much of their status as favourites to the emergence of several starlets who won the Euro U21 tournament of 2023.
Chelsea midfielder Cole Palmer would love to win another young player’s award after winning the Premier League’s iteration in 2023/24. And current favourite Jude Bellingham's stock hit new heights in that same campaign, as he clinched a La Liga and UCL double with Real Madrid.
Elsewhere, Jamal Musiala and Florian Wirtz – the latter a German double winner with Leverkusen – have the skill and momentum to fire Germany to a win on home soil. Based on club form alone, Wirtz would be our pick with just days to go before the big kick off in Munich.
Jude Bellingham
Team: England
Best odds for Bellingham to be Best Young Player: 4.33 (10/3)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 25 goals in 49 appearances
International honours: 2019 Syrenka Cup (England under-19s)
Qualifying stat: Jude Bellingham has announced himself as one of the continent’s finest players this season, winning the Champions League and La Liga with Real Madrid.
He is indispensable to England too, who go into this as one of the favourites. England were unbeaten in qualifying when Bellingham started, winning by an aggregate of 8-3 in such games.
Florian Wirtz
Team: Germany
Best odds for Wirtz to be Best Young Player: 8.00 (7/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 19 goals in 55 appearances
International honours: 2021 UEFA European Under-21 Championships
Qualifying stat: Fresh off an incredible near-unbeaten season with Bayer Leverkusen, the 21-year-old has grown into a superb attacking force, and scored his first Germany goal in stunning fashion earlier this year, with an incredible long-range effort in their friendly against France in March 2024.
Jamal Musiala
Team: Germany
Best odds for Musiala to be Best Young Player: 9.00 (8/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 14 goals in 46 appearances
International honours: None
Qualifying stat: As hosts, Germany did not play any qualifiers. But in Germany’s two pre-tournament friendly victories against France and the Netherlands, the 21-year-old was superb, assisting in both games.
Lamine Yamal
Team: Spain
Best odds for Yamal to be Best Young Player: 11.00 (10/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 9 goals in 56 appearances
International honours: None
Qualifying stat: Yamal is the latest wonderkid to come off the La Masia production line. He’ll be hoping to follow in teammate Pedri’s footsteps and win the young player of the tournament. The 16-year-old became Spain’s youngest ever international player in September 2023’s European qualifiers. Yamal scored on his debut, against Georgia.
Eduardo Camavinga
Team: France
Best odds for Camavinga to be Best Young Player: 13.00 (12/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 0 goals in 56 appearances
International honours: None
Qualifying stat: An incredibly well-rounded midfielder, France won every game 21-year-old Camavinga played in qualifying, by an aggregate scoreline of 11-0. Thus, Camavinga has a strong case to start for France, despite the heavy competition for places in the starting XI.
Xavi Simons
Team: Netherlands
Best odds for Simons to be Best Young Player: 15.00 (14/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 10 goals in 53 appearances
International honours: None
Qualifying stat: The talented and versatile attacker started all but one of his nation's qualifiers, only missing out on the starting lineup in the dead-rubber against Gibraltar.
Cole Palmer
Team: England
Best odds for Palmer to be Best Young Player: 17.00 (16/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 27 goals in 48 appearances
International honours: 2023 UEFA European Under-21 Championships
Qualifying stat: Cole Palmer only played 37 minutes in the European qualifiers. However, Palmer was a star at last year’s U21 Euros, and then recorded 27 goals and 15 assists in 2023/24 – one of the strongest returns in the current England squad.
Rasmus Hojlund
Team: Denmark
Best odds for Hojlund to be Best Young Player: 17.00 (16/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 17 goals in 50 appearances
International honours: None
Qualifying stat: Of all the players on this list, Højlund had by some distance the most productive qualifiers in terms of goals and assists. The young Dane scored seven and assisted one in just eight appearances, and averaged 1.21 goals and assists per 90 minutes. For anyone who thinks Denmark can go all the way, his best top scorer odds currently stand at 33/1.
Kobbie Mainoo
Team: England
Best odds for Mainoo to be Best Young Player: 21.00 (20/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 5 goals in 31 appearances
International honours: None
Qualifying stat: Mainoo did not participate in qualifying, having only broken into the senior England setup in March 2024. Notably, he is yet to be part of a winning England side (D1, L2), and will see the opener against Serbia as a prime opportunity to right that if given the chance.
Nico Williams
Team: Spain
Best odds for Williams to be Best Young Player: 21.00 (20/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 9 goals in 43 appearances
International honours: 2022/23 UEFA Nations League
Qualifying stat: In qualifying, Williams had more assists than any other Spain player with three, and also boasted the best crossing accuracy of Spain’s wide options. His versatility on either wing can only aid his quest to be top provider too.
Jeremy Doku
Team: Belgium
Best odds for Doku to be Best Young Player: 21.00 (20/1)
Goals / Matches in 2023/24: 6 goals in 53 appearances
International honours: None
Qualifying stat: Jeremy Doku is one of the best one-on-one wingers in the world, able to beat any full back thanks to his combination of speed, agility, control and trickery. In qualifying, Doku was his country’s best creator. He led the assist charts with four, and also topped the expected assists table.
Euro 2024 Most Assists probability & odds
| Player | Country | Win Probability | Best Odds | Bet on |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bruno Fernandes | Portugal | 7.7% | 13.00 (12/1) | Bet on Fernandes |
| Kevin De Bruyne | Belgium | 7.7% | 13.00 (12/1) | Bet on De Bruyne |
| Kylian Mbappe | France | 7.7% | 13.00 (12/1) | Bet on Mbappe |
| Antoine Griezmann | France | 5.9% | 17.00 (16/1) | Bet on Griezmann |
| Phil Foden | England | 5.9% | 17.00 (16/1) | Bet on Foden |
| Florian Wirtz | Germany | 4.8% | 21.00 (20/1) | Bet on Wirtz |
| Jeremy Doku | Belgium | 4.8% | 21.00 (20/1) | Bet on Doku |
| Bukayo Saka | England | 4.8% | 21.00 (20/1) | Bet on Saka |
| Harry Kane | England | 3.8% | 26.00 (25/1) | Bet on Kane |
| Jamal Musiala | Germany | 3.4% | 29.00 (28/1) | Bet on Musiala |
Odds may change depending on many factors. Consult the bookmaker's website or app for the most relevant information.
Who will get the most assists in Euro 2024?
Although the top goalscorers at Euro 2024 are set to steal the headlines and become the heroes of the tournament, they are nothing without the men supplying them. Currently, Bruno Fernandes, Kevin de Bruyne and Kylian Mbappe are the favourites to finish the tournaments with the most assists. However, given the abundance of attacking talent in Europe, this is a distinction that is very much up for grabs.
Bruno Fernandes
Team: Portugal
Top Assists Probability: 7.7%
Best Top Assists odds for Bruno Fernandes: 12/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 22 assists/59 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 0 assists/4 matches
Major international honours: UEFA Nations League 2018–19
Key stat: Bruno Fernandes had more expected assists (11.4) than any other player in the Premier League during the 2023/24 season.
Kevin De Bruyne
Team: Belgium
Top Assists Probability: 7.7%
Best Top Assists odds for Kevin de Bruyne: 12/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 17 assists/27 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 2 assists/4 matches
Major international honours: N/A
Key stat: During the 2023/24 season, Kevin de Bruyne overtook Cesc Fabregas on the list of all-time top assist makers in the Premier League. The Belgian now has 112 total assists in the Premier League, 50 shy of Ryan Giggs.
Kylian Mbappe
Team: France
Top Assists Probability: 7.7%
Best Top Assists odds for Kylian Mbappe: 12/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 20 assists/58 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 1 assist/4 matches
Major international honours: FIFA World Cup 2018, UEFA Nations League 2020/21
Key stat: Despite being known for his goalscoring, Mbappe finished second in the race for the most assists in Ligue 1 last season with seven.
Antoine Griezmann
Team: France
Top Assists Probability: 5.9%
Best Top Assists odds for Antoine Griezmann: 16/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 9 assists/57 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 1 assist/4 matches
Major international honours: FIFA World Cup 2018, UEFA Nations League 2020/21
Key stat: Although Griezmann’s assist numbers this season aren’t anything to write home about, he was the joint-top assist maker at France’s last international tournament – the 2022 FIFA World Cup.
Phil Foden
Phil Foden
Team: England
Top Assists Probability: 5.9%
Best Top Assists odds for Phil Foden: 16/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 14 assists/57 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 0 assists/3 matches
Major international honours: N/A
Key stat: This season has been by far the most productive of Foden’s career in terms of goals and assists. With 12 assists at club level, he was third only to Kevin de Bruyne and Julian Alvarez.
Florian Wirtz
Team: Germany
Top Assists Probability: 4.8%
Best Top Assists odds for Florian Wirtz: 20/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 21 assists/58 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: N/A
Major international honours: N/A
Key stat: Florian Wirtz had a stellar 2023/24 with Bayer Leverkusen, helping them to the League and Cup double, and the final of the Europa. He ranked first in assists in the German Cup, 2nd in assists in the Bundesliga and 3rd in assists in the Europa League.
Jeremy Doku
Team: Belgium
Top Assists Probability: 4.8%
Best Top Assists odds for Jeremy Doku: 20/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 14 assists/53 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 0 assists/2 matches
Major international honours: None
Key stat: Each of Doku’s last five senior-level international assists have provided a goal for either Leandro Trossard (two) or Romelu Lukaku (three).
Bukayo Saka
Team: England
Top Assists Probability: 4.8%
Best Top Assists odds for Bukayo Saka: 20/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 16 assists/53 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 1 assist/4 matches
Major international honours: N/A
Key stat: Despite the general consensus being that Saka wasn’t at his best for Arsenal this season, nobody in Europe’s top five leagues managed to both outscore (20) and out-assist (14) him at club level.
Harry Kane
Team: England
Top Assists Probability: 3.8%
Best Top Assists odds for Harry Kane: 25/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 14 assists/54 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: 0 assists/7 matches
Major international honours: N/A
Key stat: Harry Kane's ability to drop deep has seen him become the chief playmaker for England under Gareth Southgate. He finished the 2022 World Cup as the tournament's joint top assist maker with three assists to his name.
Jamal Musiala
Team: Germany
Top Assists Probability: 2.9%
Best Top Assists odds for Jamal Musiala: 28/1
Assists/Matches in 2023/24: 7 assists/46 matches
Assists/Matches in Euro 2020: N/A
Major international honours: N/A
Key stat: Out of all players under the age of 21 in Europe's top nine leagues, Musiala ranked in 6th place for expected assists in 2023/24. He accumulated 5.80 expected assists over the course of the season.
