SOMETIMES stats, form and team news don't mean anything. Yesterday all three suggested a win for Groningen at Heracles but in the end the visitors were lucky to scrape a 2-2 draw.
After trailing twice I was happy enough to recoup my stake on the Super Single after tipping Groningen draw no bet.
Someone once said to me the worse the team you predict to win the less chance they have of doing so and I'm seeing with sides such as Groningen and even in the English and Scottish lower leagues that that's the case.
On the upside my African Nations Cup antepost picks Ghana reached the Final with a 3-0 win over hosts Equatorial Guinea so that's an each-way return at least. On the evidence of the tournament so far I have to fancy Ghana to beat Ivory Coast even though they'll be the underdogs.
I backed Ghana to win yesterday but my double was let down by the Ajax-AZ going under 2.5 goals and the result was a shock for anyone who backed the Amsterdam men.
The returned stake on the Super Single keeps the February profit intact and there have been no losers this month.
Games include Deportivo v Eibar in La Liga, Schalke v Borussia M'gladbach in the Bundesliga, St Etienne v Lens in French Ligue, Standard Liege v Mouscron in Belgium and loads of lower-league matches.
Standard have resumed the winter break with two wins and a draw – including a 2-0 defeat of Anderlecht – and should be too strong for their visitors. They're short at about 1-3 but taking them minus one pays 19-20 at 888sport and that's tonight's Super Single.
Standard Liege is at this moment on 5th place in the table, and they have a total of 40 points, they have won 7 points from 3 games after the winter break as they drew 1-1 at Westerlo, and won 2-0 at home against Anderlecht a very good result, and last round they won 3-2 away at Lierse, another solid result for them, and this game against Mouscron should be a formality for them.
Mouscron have lost six in a row in the league with all three after the break being by at least two goals.
My Record columns for Saturday and are written but no rest for the wicked as I'm working on the desk tonight. I have however had time to pick out a Top Treble. I'm going with a straight Standard win, adding St Etienne at home to Lens and in the rugby I'm on Wales -14 to beat England and while I'm not a big rugby fan from what I've read that's the concensus and pays 1-1.
3.76pts Super Single
Standard Liege -1 (7.30pm)
Super Single February record:
4 bets (2 winners, 2 void)
1pt Top Treble
Standard Liege (7.30pm)
St Etienne (7.30pm)
Wales -4pts (8.05pm)
Remember to check out the guys from We Love Betting for more tips and video chat and they've posted match results and both teams to score tips.