Tennis Prediction and Betting Tips 2024

Today's US Open betting tip features Jack Draper vs Alex de Minaur. It’s a pretty bold one, though not one that isn’t without reason. De Minaur has overachieved at the US Open purely from a physical standpoint.

He also got quite a bit lucky, something that will be absent in this match against Draper, who has proven to be a top player at this year’s US Open. We think Draper will keep it going even though this isn’t his easiest matchup. Read on for our explanation of why with our Draper vs De Minaur prediction and betting tips.

Player form: Draper on fire

Jack Draper has been on fire in recent weeks, continuing his good form from Cincinnati to the US Open week. He’s largely been unbothered so far this week, winning all of his matches in straight sets.

Everything, from the form to the shots, is working for him, and when it happens, he’s a really tough player to beat. De Minaur has been really good as well, though quite all over the place at times.

He’s playing more aggressively than he normally does because of a hip injury that he admitted is still bothering him. If he plays at the level he has shown all week, there is a chance for Draper. 

How the bookies view it: De Minaur the slight favourite

De Minaur is the favourite because he is the higher ranked player who has a stronger track record. He’s not an overwhelming favourite, however, because Draper has been in brilliant form this tournament. De Minaur’s odds to win the match are 7/10, while Draper’s are 11/10. 

Recent head-to-head: All De Minaur

Draper and De Minaur have played three times so far, and the Australian has won all three times. One of those ended with a retirement. Draper has not been the best physically in the past, but has looked good so far in New York. 

Anything else catch the eye?

Draper vs De Minaur is an interesting matchup on paper. In some ways, it is a horrible matchup for Draper because De Minaur is very good defensively and the Brit can tend to over-hit.

Equally, a solid, aggressive player can take out De Minaur. We saw that in the Thompson match two days ago, where De Minaur was on the backfoot when his compatriot reigned in his errors.

Draper vs De Minaur betting tips & predictions

Draper has been very solid lately, and we think he’ll continue that here to beat De Minaur comfortably.

  • Draper to win @ 11/10
  • Draper handicap sets 1.5 @ 2/1

Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.

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