IT'S my birthday on Monday – and I'm celebrating with a nice game of golf down the coast.
Hopefully I'll also be celebrating when the results come in at night. Milesey's thoughts on Man Utd v Aston Villa have already been posted but I'd be amazed if the champions-elect slipped up.
Following Man City's defeat at Spurs a home win will hand United the title and I'm sure they'll want to get it wrapped up and start concentrating on next season.
It's true they've been playing with their slippers on but it's tough to perform when no one's launching a challenge. And it's right to say Villa's need for the points is more pressing but that doesn't mean they'll be able to notch a result.
Man Utd are no bigger than 2-7 with William Hill and I can understand the short price even though the Reds have won just one of their last four.
Villa have improved with just one defeat in five but their young defence, which has conceded 35 goals away from home, will be put to the test.
Paul Lambert’s men will take heart from the fact they pushed United all the way at home before losing 3-2 but even at 12-1 with bet365 and BetVictor I'm not interested in backing them.
Stan James go 4-5 for both teams to score and Villa have netted in 10 of their last 11 matches. If they score it's likely to come from Christian Benteke who is 3-1 with Paddy Power to net at anytime.
It's a decent price but I'll be after back-on-form Robin van Persie to score first at 7-2 with Coral.
United have won 14 of their 16 home matches and for me they'll beat Villa covering the minus one handicap and that pays a best 8-11 with Stan James.
Start the treble with Man Utd -1 and add two matches to be under 2.5 goals. Milesey's already flagged up under 2.5 goals at Celtic Vigo v Real Zaragoza and it's difficult to disagree.
It's a match between two bad teams and is likely to be a real dogfight with few goals. It has the feel of a 0-0 or 1-0 Celta win and under 2.5 goals pays 8-11 at Titanbet.
Another game for the unders should be Monaco v Clermont in French Ligue 2. Monaco are limping to promotion after four successive draws while relegation-threatened Clermont have drawn three of their last four.
Crucially the last five meetings between the sides have been under 1.5 goals so 1-0 Monaco looks a possibility with them 1-2 to win the match. But under 2.5 goals is tempting at 3-4 with Titanbet.
There is of course one game in the SPL but Hibs v Aberdeen looks like a draw with both sides still disappointed at not making the top six. Hibs players will be trying to keep or win place for the Scottish Cup Final while for the Dons it's their first outing under new boss Derek McInnes.
Top Treble
Man United -1 (8pm)
Celta-Zaragoza under 2.5 goals (9pm)
Monaco v Clermont under 2.5 goals (7.30pm)
Pays £48.83 to a £10 stake at Titanbet
Super Single
Van Persie to score first
(5-2, Titanbet)
In December 2020 we sadly 
Happy Birthday Paul have a good yin mate
Treble – Monaco – Malmo – Steaua Bucuresti
Double – Elfsborg – Verona
Single – Esbjerg
Both 2 Score
Eskisehirspor – Trabzonspor
Duisburg – Koln
Emmen – Cambuur
Ruch – Polonia Warszawa
Right am offski for my 1st day at work
Danny and everyone else, cheers for the birthday wishes. Hope my golfing buddies are equally as generous with the gimmes.
Danny, enjoy work, I’m sure you’ll get used to it.
HAPPY BIRTHDAY MR FIXIT !
Did you get a free £10 bet from titanbet for your birthday ? lets hope it’s in your account by next birthday ;) ;) ;)
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GPTCiudKbag
Milesey
Surly on your Birthday your mates will let you away with a bit more than usual
I did enjoy it apart from not being used to steel toecaps as a result got a few blisters wont be complaining on pay day but
Gillingham went up but could only draw their last home game. Cardiff won their division but not in style with a surprise draw- must be worth a wager that United will be held by Villa. United will inch over the line and Villa will stay up. I’ll take a punt on that 6/1 draw!
Lord Clegg, difference with United is Ferguson, a boss who has been there before. He’ll want it wrapped up home tonight in front of the fans.
Happy birthday!!!!
I’m leaving the football alone today, but I might put a bet on villa to win!
happy birthday paul.
Happy birthday !
I like monday.No more matches and can concentrate on a small number of matches.
Happy birthday Paul…
Happy Birthday Paul. Have a good one!
Injuries & suspensions 22-04-2013
Manchester United v Aston Villa
Manchester United: Fletcher, Keane, Scholes, Young
Aston Villa: Albrighton, Gardner, Dunne, Herd, Agbonlahor
AS Monaco v Clermont Foot
AS Monaco: Dumont (6/0 m), Coulibaly (16/0 m)
Clermont Foot: Avinel (29/2 d), Capelle (30/3 f), Bockhorni (12/0 d), Imorou (25/0 d), Armand (23/3 f), Pinau (10/1 m)
MSV Duisburg v 1.FC Köln
MSV Duisburg: Wolze, Sukalo (doubtful), Kern
1.FC Köln: Strobl, Ujah, Kessler
SC Olhanense v Vitória Guimarães
SC Olhanense: Jander (22/0 m), Maurício (12/1 d), Yontcha (12/1 f), Nuno Piloto (9/1 m), D’Onofrio (6/0 d), Ricardo (5/0 g)
Vitória Guimarães: Dinis (0/0 m), Freire (9/1 d), João Ribeiro (12/3 m), Ricardo (25/0 f), Kanu (6/0 d), Luís Rocha (6/0 m), Siaka Bamba (8/0 m), Barrientos (14/1 m)
Celta de Vigo v Real Zaragoza
Celta de Vigo: Samuel, Hugo Mallo, Iago Aspas, Sergio Álvarez, Demidov
Real Zaragoza: Obradovic, Javi Álamo, Zuculini, Sapunaru (doubtful), A. Gonzalez
Arsenal Kiev v Karpaty Lviv
Arsenal Kiev: Lampi (0/0 d), Khomin (4/0 d), Valyaev (9/0 m), Tkachuk (3/0 m), Martynyuk (6/1 m)
Karpaty Lviv: Oshchipko (15/2 d), Bidlovskiy (4/0 m)
Modo, cheers for the team news and for anyone wondering that’s Will Keane of Man Utd not Roy making a comeback. Right, off to the golf. Not too much happening today but will have a look later to see if anything else catches my eye.
Happy Birthday Mr Fixit, heres too another year of great tips.
Sweden Allsvenskan Anytime Scorers
Magnus Eriksson (Malmo) 11/8 @ Betvictor
Dinko Felic (Syrianska) 9/4 @ Betvictor
Mikael Dahlberg (Gefle) 11/4 @ Betvictor
Elfsborg strikers Mohamed Bangura or Lasse Nilsson to score first @ 11/8 William Hill although team news it vital as Elfsborgs other front men may get the nod with a better looking price of 7/4 David Elm or James Keene to score first
happy birthday Mr F!
Happy bithday Paul, have a good one! :)
Benteke 5.2 to score anytime, worth a punt?
Oh and happy birthday!
happy birthday mr fix i hope you dont have two say fourrrrrrrrrrrrrrr on ur golf outing today best of luck m8.
Happy Birthday Paul, have a good en
Happy Birthday Paul! I’ll be on your treble today hoping you get some birthday luck!
Celta Vigo under 2.5 8/11
Sligo Rovers 3/4
Cambuur Leeuwarden 8/11
Monaco 1/2
Steau Bucharest 4/7
FC Aarau 8/13
2 Trebles and a 6team accer.
Hapoy B’day Paul :)
man utd to score 3+
hibs win with over 2.5 gls
over 2.5 gls celta – mallorca
£5 on for £82
Happy bday Mr Fixit….big 60. R u taking early retirement or working on?
Happy Birthday mate, have a great day.
Words of the racing post:
Villa are likely to face a pummelling, particularly now the title can be wrapped up in front of United’s own supporters.
I’d have to say I agree.
Willie mcguire when are who are sligo rovers playin? Just av looked and cant find who they are playin!
Sligo Rovers are home to Drogheda in the second leg of the Setanta Cup semi-final. They’re 2-0 down from the first leg, so tough one to qualify but you’d think they will win the match itself.
My bet of the day is going to be Chennai Super Kings in the IPL cricket. Starts at half 3, CSK are at home, in rampant form, with the longest batting line-up and some of the biggest hitters in the tournament. Pune, who started the competition well but have fallen away a bit, seem to lack a bit of talent and seem to depend too much on their big players. On the flip side CSK have an abundance of talent and will go top of the table if they win this one.
Seems a sound enough bet at 4/7.
£100 on Benteke anytime @ 10/3 Hills
£20 on Carrick First Goal @ 38/1 Betfair
Good luck everyone.
Burger is it tonite?
It’s tonight mate yeah, best price 8/13 (888sport) to win and 7/2 (Ladbrokes) to reach the final.
DENMARK.
Happy birthday :-D
What a (horrible) day yesterday. OB and Brondby both ahead but couldn’t win and FC Nordsjalland and Copenhagen both missed a penalty and me my bets. But that’s what happens and still 24.42% up on the bankroll and on to tonights battle between Esbjerg and FC Midtjylland where I’m expecting goals.
Esbjerg might not have conceded that many but FC Midtjylland are 4-3-1 in the last eight having scored in the last 11 and in all of their away games. Esbjerg on the other hand have won their last six games at home and scored in 92% of their home games why I’m betting on goals.
Esbjerg – FC Midtjylland (6.00 UK)
Over 2 goals
Odds: 1,47
Stake: €55.00 (or 11% of the €500.00 bankroll for this Danish only series)
The Dane.
Oh Mr Dane,
If only Danish teams could score from the penalty spot.
Keep going
Regards,
Watched sligo v pats friday nite. sligo had a player sent of and a spot kick against them this should never have been ref got both wrong
They play well ttony?
To get through they’ll need to keep a clean sheet you’d think.
Happy Birthday Mr F!!
Happy Birthday Mr F its my auld maws birthday today aswell have a good one.
Hello Paul, hope today’s going fine, what are your thoughts on Colwyn Bay away to Bradford PA, Colwyn Bay trying to avoid relegation, do you think they can pick up all 3 points tonight
Bayo, just back in. As you know I tipped Colwyn Bay week and they’ve now won four in a row to move out of the relegation zone. From I gather in team news Bradford PA are short of a few bodies so the Welsh side must have a chance. Draw no bet might be the way to go as Bradford are sitting seventh in the table and a decent outfit.
@Paul Colwyn Bay win it is…#fingerscrossed
@Paul Colwyn Bay won 2-1….2.55 @bet365
Bayo, just home, that’s good to hear. I left them out in case it was a game too far for them but that’s some run.
Benteke anytime and villa to win 25/1 at William hill! Wasn’t going to put anything on the football but couldn’t resist that price. Hopefully they’re up for it!
Happy Birthday….enjoy your hole in ones :-)
Bets for today.
2 Trebles.
Man U -1
Celta v Zaragoza -2.5
Man U + 2.5
Monaco v Clermont (1)
Chelmsford v Maidenhead (1)
Union santa fe v Lanus (2)
Why is it that at the local William hill they let me combine bets on the same market (ie 2 above bets on Man U) but I can’t do the same online? Were the bookies wrong to accept this treble? I did question them about it.
Mr T, if you have Man Utd -1 and Man Utd +2.5 on a treble then that’s not valid.
Esbjerg to win anyone, or double change surely!
Denmark » Superliga » Esbjerg – Midtjylland over 2.5
Sweden » Allsvenskan » Gefle – AIK .AIK win.
Sweden » Allsvenskan » Elfsborg – Djurgården over 2.5
Norway » Adeccoligaen » Fredrikstad – Sandefjord over 2.5
Many happy (and profitable!) returns, Mr F
hapy b’day mr f,btts in setanta cup tonight pays@3/1.
van.persie 1st goal and 3.2 man u man.u 3.2 single
Mr F – I know that should be the case but they assured me they’d pay out on the treble. Just driven to another William Hill (my local one) and spoke to the manager and he assured me that they’ll pay out on the treble even though there are two Man U selections.
Mr T, is the bet placed what I stated earlier. If it is you can’t do that treble because bets are related. Let me know if they pay out and what William Hill shop it is.
OVER 2.5 DOUBLE
COLERAINE V CLIFTONVILLE 8/11…You need a calculator to add up the Goals ratio for and against for these 2 clubs so the over 2.5 should not be a problem.
SLIGO V DROGHEDA 1/1…Sligo are 2-0 down from the 1st leg and their manager has stated that they will go full tilt at overturning this against Drogheda who conceded 2 at home to UCD in a 3-2 victory at the weekend,If UCD can score 2 im confident a better team which Sligo are,can at least match that.The odds of 1/2 for a home win are too slim for me but the huge odds for over 2.5 are a gift from the gods,put your birthday money on these 2 MrF and dont say i didnt give you something.
Sean is bullish about a goalfest in dear ol’ Oirland tonite ;-)
Sorry typo…CRUSADERS V CLIFTONVILLE
Burger i thought the best team won on the nite the ref got things wrong sligo will be a hard nut to this term am a derry fan. watch mns tonight and let hear wat u think
just seen Man Utd to get a card at 4/6 being tipped up on twitter for anyone interested tonight. decent odds that :)
rooney kagawa and rvp all start, thinking 4-1 Man Utd rvp hat-trick rooney and benteke scorers.
Craig, did you do that RVP hat-trick? Good shout.
Rooney anytime wincast 6/4
Man utd to win 3-1
Man utd to win 4-1
Good luck with your bets
MrT I can assure you they will not pay out as bets are related. That’s like betting on Man Utd to win halftime fulltime and doubling it with Man Utd to win. Don’t want to put a dampener on it but regardless of what they said they will not pay out. I would be absolutely astounded if they did. If the bet is paid out then the manager deserves the sack for being thick. Hope you get it but I highly doubt it. Your prob looking at odds of 1/40 that you’re not paid out my friend.
Your stake on your treble will be sit to make it 2 x doubles.
Birthday Greetings Paul…Have a good one:-)
Steaua Bucharest home form is w 13 d 0 l 0
It ‘s 1-1 at half time and bet365 are offering 6/5 for them to win.
Worth a punt ?
was just about to place a bet on over 3.5 goals in man utd v villa game, and they blimin’ score. Not worth it now
Happy Birthday Mr F. Good start to today’s tips with RVP coming good after all of 2 mins!!!
HEADS UP EVERYONE – GREAT TIP IN RACING POST FOR THE WEEKEND
Get Rich Thanks To Poor Pitch!
Paul Ince would be better off to ask his team to attempt to play football on Blackpool beach rather than Bloomfield Road and the woeful state of the pitch could point to a bet on no Goalscorer at 10/1 with Bet365 (and others) for Saturdays match at home to Derby.
It’s virtually impossible to do anything in an attacking sense and its something of a surprise that bookmakers are still not changing their goal related markets to factor the bobbles. The last six matches at the seaside venue have resulted in games of 0-0, 1-0, 1-0, 0-1, 0-0 and 0-0 and Sheffield Wednesday Manager Dave Jones branded the pitch a “disgrace”.
No Goalscorer available at 10/1 seems a good option and I like the look of under 2.5 goals at odds of 4/5.
What you guys think??
Chris, just catching up with the chat and read that too. Looks a great bet but will probably end 2-2 now!
RVP hat trick on the cards now at least, hopefully he hits 5 :)
Took 6/1 RVP top goalscorer at start of season so if he gets a hat trick anyone who backs him gets a free bet the same as their stake :)
More importantly though if Suarez misses rest of season RVP is a cert for top goalscorer.
Almost forgot happy birthday Paul :) U dont look a day over 60 ;)
Knotty, cheers. I don’t look a day over 60 because I’m not a day over 50 either.
Chris i’m not one for stats but thats hard to ignore. Possibly under 1.5 or maybe better doing 0-0, 1-0, 0-1?
Chris Guy, I’ve been tipping under 2.5 and under 1.5 goals for the last month or so on both Blackpool’s and Doncaster home games for that exact reason!
Manged to get it on 5 times now and it’s come in 5 times!
Definitlely worth a shout! :)
Greg, this may have been said today but noticed in the Racing Post earlier their early bird feature tipping a Saturday single was on the Blackpool hame and the poor pitch. Their tip for Saturday is no scorer.
2-1 Steaua Bucharest and £2 insurance on a draw at 50/1
Just hope Villa don’t lose heart with that score, I’ve got £100 on Benteke anytime @ 10/3, hope he gets one.
I’ve got van Persie 3-0 scorecast@ 25/1. Can’t see it happening but you never know.
Can’t believe i had the docket in my hand this morning for Van Persie first goal i just left it and walked out….i think i need lessons in how to bet :-)
never done the hat-trick but got RVP as ma captain in fantasy fitbaw league :) 2nd in pals league so kinda makes up for being stuck wi suarez for the rest of season and the ‘late risers’ league on skysports sitting 12th before tonights game 99 points off top for a trip for 2 to USA to LA Galaxy play, should get 50+ points tonight as had rafael and benteke too. Hibs game done ma only line early doors
Craig, going well then and in the tipster contest. Had a feeling Hibs v Aberdeen would be dull but simply did the draw.
Absolutely shocking Mr F, imagining taking over 2 minutes to get your super single up! Haha
Golf, curry and a super single up, not a bad wee birthday! :)
Good to see he racing post are just the 4 weeks behind the times when it comes to trends, haha! I do all my betting online so never really in the bookies, used to always have a read trough their football tips though! How do they tend to do?
Greg, was in the restaurant bar area when game started so that was good. Couldn’t see past a convincing Man Utd win and of course RVP’s the man in form so had to be backed even odds weren’t the greatest.
“” I end this preview with a smattering of the best options.
United/United in the halftime/fulltime market @ 1.81
United win to nil @ 2.1
In-form Robin van Persie to score first @ 5.5 “”
Milesey
Milesey, fair enough but you fancied Villa a little bit.
At 12/1 it’s always worth a chuck away tenner, no different then taking a risk on a 12/1 horse ;) ;) sometimes it pays off, other times it don’t.
Milesey
Milesey, if you have tenners to throw away you’re the lucky one. Right, I’m calling it a night. My long weekend is over and it’s back to work on Tuesday night.
aye should hang on to 2nd in pals league, 22 of us put £10 in wi 70, 20 and 10% for top 3 so get £44 back, £10 will just get put straight back in for next season tho :) best value bet all season haha. and I’ll be happy wi top 10 place in late risers league but will see tomorrow when the points are added.
tipster comps great to still be in wi a chance and looking forward to next couple of weeks wi the semi’s, defo got the luck last round so hoping it continues :)
goid shout wi the draw, think hibs are only looking to the final now, they were added to boost the returns think it was 15/4 so thought id take a chance
Happy 50th Mr F