IT'S Friday the 13th and I'm hoping it's lucky for some. Luck can be measured in different degrees.
For some it's winning the lottery, for others it's about a lift on the fixed odds and for me it's going home and hoping the girlfriend's got a headache.
Friday the 13th has thrown up one helluva game in Southampton v Reading but it's easier to call than trying a bucking bronco on speed (apparently).
It's a titanic Championship clash between the top two and it will see the winner installed as a short price to be crowned champions. They are locked on 82 points, with West Ham six behind, so cynics will saw a draw would suit both. Bet365 have them both 1-7 for automatic promotion.
And to be honest I'm looking at a stalemate while accepting it's unlikely on-form Reading will lose. The Royals have seven of their last nine away from home but looked jaded at Brighton in midweek when they escaped with a scrappy 1-0 win.
A draw pays a best 23-10 with BetVictor, Saints are 13-10 (various) and Reading 12-5 at boylesports.
Key to Saints' success is top scorer Rickie Lambert who took his tally for he season to 26 with a double at Crystal Palace and without him his side lost 3-0 at Blackpool and were held by Portsmouth at home.
So Lambert to score at 11-8 with BetVictor is an obvious bet while he is 9-2 at Paddy Power to break the deadlock. On-form Billy Sharp has hit all Saints' four goals in their last two home outings and is 11-2 (various) first and 15-8 (Stan James) at any time.
Reading don't have a prolific scorer – Adam Le Fondre leads the way on nine – so a bet I like is veteran deadball expert Ian Harte at 6-1 with Paddy Power to net at any time. He hit the only goal at Brighton.
When you look at the sides involved you assume there will be goals galore but the last three meetings have all been under 2.5 – and all draws – and I'm looking at a 1-1 here. Under 2.5 pays 4-5 (various).
Fleetwood cost me a few quid when they were held by Wrexham in midweek but should make no mistake and wrap up the Blue Square Premier title at home to Lincoln.
The Highbury outfit are unbeaten in the league since October and will be out to clinch it in style. They beat Lincoln 3-1 away and should at least cover the minus one handicap at a biggest 10-11 with Stan James.
Just to win Fleetwood are 4-11 with Coral and 5-6 at Paddy Power to be leading HT and FT.
Stuttgart were a side confidently tipped by Mr Fixit at Augsburg in midweek and I see no reason to desert the men in form tonight at home to Werder Bremen.
They have netted 11 goals in their last three games and the improvement in form has seen them climb to fifth. Werder haven't won in five and have lost four of their last five to Stuttgart, conceding a remarkable 20 goals in those four defeats (1-4, 1-4, 3-6 and 6-0).
The home price is big enough to back at 10-11 with the likes of William Hill but I'm going bigger on the anytime scorer market.
Stuttgart should win well and their improvement has coincided with the arrival of Vedad Ibisevic from Hoffenheim at the end of January. He has netted eight in 11 starts including singles in their last three games.
The Bosnia striker is 11-8 with BetVictor to score and 5-1 with them and William Hill to net the first.
Recommendations
Southampton draw
(23-10, BetVictor)
Fleetwood -1
(10-11, Stan James)
Stuttgart
(10-11, William Hill)
Ibisevic to score
(11-8, BetVictor)
Going to back stuggart 1st goal scorer what’s his face and it’s giving me each way on it if I choose!!
Don’t understand what it means???
Any one explain please??
Usually means you get each way odds if he scores the 2nd goal
It should say in the terms and conditions with whichever site you’re using
Hope this helps Matt
So I got him to be 1st goal scorer but if I take the each way I will still get sum thing if he scored 2nd or 3rd but it would double my stake????
Matt, taking him each-way will of course double your stake. As has been said the terms and conditions depend on who you bet with. Some each-way first scorers will provide half or one third the first scorer price if your man nets second or third or sometimes at anytime.
Matt ew you get 1/3 of the odds to score at anytime with bet365. Some bookies offer the same bet but only the first 3 goals or first 5 goals.
Just say for instance a player is 6/1 to score first. If you put on £10 each way the bet would cost you £20. If he scored first you would get £10 at 6/1 returning £70 plus you would get £10 at 2/1 (1/3 odds) returning an additional £30 so £100 back in total.
If your player doesn’t score first but scores at any other time with bet365 you would just get the £30 returned.
Just use the same calculation for any price. Do if he was 3/1 you would get even money on the place as evs are 1/3 of 3/1.
Gone are the days when the bookies offered 1/2 the odds and I gave them an absolute tanking.
Sometimes it pays to do ew as I’ve seen a player at 6/1 to score first which means 1/3 odds is 2/1 but if you were to back him to score at anytime you might only get 11/8 or 6/4. But then again when you back a player to score ew you really need him to score first as otherwise your pretty much just getting your stake back u bless the player is a big price.
Most of the time it pats just to put a large bet on anytime and then maybe a few quid on first and even last that way even if he doesn’t score first or last but scores at anytime you will still be in profit. If he scores first or last it’s an added bonus,
Phew………..
Cheers chris I just put £32.50 EW on him and it said I could win I think it was just over £200 that must be if he scores 1st then??
Paul u agreed that stugartt will win well
Nobby, Stuttgart look a decent bet to me. I actually fancy them on the handicaps, -1 is my bet.
Checked paddy power betting for goalscores markets for stuttgart game ibisevic not mentioned in betting ??
Me too John :s?
I got him on ladbrooks .
stuttgart fleetwood and reading treble tonight just think reading have the momentum.
And on sky bet
Staying clear of saints and reading game tonight. Best home record in the league against second best away record. Both teams been scoring goals. But this is a big game with the biggest prize in football at stake. Dont think theyll play with their usual attacking freedom and could be a very cagey affair so gonna stay clear of btts as well. Hope im wrong tho as im looking forward to watching the game and would be good to see them both go for it!
Joe, it’s a close call and as Scott says a draw suits both.
Yeah ibisevic not listed with some bookies but according to the Eurosport website he should be playing. He is 11/8 with a couple of bookies so I might just wait until I hear the team news. If he’s playing I’ll back him also especially after Scott’s 3/1 winner yesterday.
Not sure whether to back Rickie Lambert at 5/1 with Stan James or back him at 4/1 with Boylesports who will refund the £100 if he scores second. So If I bet with one firm I will get my £100 if he scores second or if I back him with the other ill win an extra £100 although there is no safety net if it goes tits up. Decisions decisions. I may even just do £120 with Boyledports to make up for the difference in price.
Chris, I can’t see anything in team news saying Ibisevic won’t play but it’s worth keeping an eye on. As far as Lambert I’d take the second option.
Chris, just saw a piece drop on official Bundesliga website that doesn’t mention him in the team news. They predict a 5-1 Stuttgart win which is incredible! And they have a piece on head to heads: Vedad Ibisevic v Sokratis – The Greek right-back looks to be a stand-in at the heart of Werder’s defence tonight and will be tasked with thwarting the in-form Bosnian striker. Ibisevic has had a stunning impact since his £5m transfer from TSG Hoffenheim in January with eight goals and four assists in 11 matches for Stuttgart. Given the openness of this clash, Sokratis could be exposed against the talented striker with Harnik and Hajnal supporting.
What about Helmond -1 They melting everyone home and away,no problem!!!!
Mr F, do you think then that Stuttgart -1 at 11/5 is a good bet?
Robbie, looking at past results and current form it looks a shout. I’m taking it but if you’re not comfortable then obviously a straight win is less risky but remember neither are certs. Werder Bremen are a bit off form but no mugs.
I’ll back stuggart but small bet, football throws up these strange results every so often, stuggart flying it and werder Bremen in awful form, yet Bremen get something from the game and leave us punters feeling like mugs again,
Racing post tipster on Irish football tipped drogheda v st pats btts,, Wexford v limerick should have over 2.5 aswell
Nobby, you called it perfectly. We can all see the form, stats etc and make a reasoned guess but football has a nasty habit of being unpredictable.
Sorry Mr Fixit just to make it clear would you back him at 5/1 or 4/1 with the chance of money back
Also Paul why is the guy not mentioned in the team news?
Chris, I’m talking about team news that tells you who is missing so he shouldn’t be mentioned.
Cheers, think I’ll have a small bet on them at -1.
Tonight I’ve gone for stuggart fleetwood and over 1.5 in st Patricks game and Wexford game
3/1
Nr Fixit would you rather do 11/5 on Stuttgart -1 goal or Stuttgart to be winning in 30 mins at 11/5?
Chris, it’s a tough call. If I’m looking for them to win -1 I’d hope they’d be ahead after 30 minutes. I’m backing them simply to win and taking a wee chance on the handicap. It’s easier to try to get out off inrunning.
Just to clarify Paul, would you do Rickie lambert at 5/1 or 4/1 with possibility of money back if he scores second?
Chris, I’d take the 4-1 option but as was said earlier maybe up the stake. But I’d be more comfortable with Lambert at any time. Southampton are no gimme here by any means and there is just as much chance of Reading scoring first.
What about ibisevic to score in both halves at 12/1?
Chris, if he scores at any time I’ll be delighted and if Stuttgart win I’ll be happy too. If he doesn’t and they don’t I’ll post Scott’s address on here later (and tell his girlfriend what he’s been up to).
Chris what sites that on?
Skybet I just stuck £30 on it mate
Stuttgart Fleetwood double tonight. £20 returns £50. Southampton and reading game too difficult to pick a winner. What’s people fancying for the national tomorrow? Got a 12-1 shot, polaneck, meant to be a really good jumper!
Jokes on here are getting worse. Look at the comments and you’ll see the tips so far.
Wasnt going to bother tonight as slim pickings again but went fleetwood -1 and bit more cautios on stuttgart with straight win.
Im skint :( £10 i can seni afford to lose but need a win! Any tips mate? I know anything an happen but f you were to try make money with a tenner what would you guys do!? Thanks!
George, tips have been put up all day so have a look.
Saw that mate was wondering if you thought maybe a gOod value bet, eg stuttgart -1
George, just back after a long walk with the dog. Stuttgart -1 was the bet I recommended early in the day.
I meant the 12/1 both halves punt Paul.
Adam La Fontre to score anytime @11/4 Paddy Power
Badham the 12/1 is with Skybet
Cheers Chris… Jumping on that! By what Scott said his like a Papiss Cisse to Newcastle… New and on fire!
That’s my bets on peoples.
£120 on Rickie Lambert to score first goal at 4/1 (will be refunded if he scores second)
£100 on ibisevic to score anytime at 11/8
£50 on ibisevic to score first at 5/1
£30 on ibisevic to score in both halves at 12/1
£300 on, let’s hope for a healthy return. Good luck to everyone. Wife is dragging me around the supermarket just now. With a bit of luck I’ll be home before the second half kicks off!!
Lets hope so Badham
Chris shitting myself now put £200 on that bloke from stuggart to score any time!!!!!
OMG biggest bet I ever done !!!!
Shaking like a shitting dog man!!!
U guys must b loaded! big bets……wow
Omg not good Stuggart 1-0 down my bets are on downwards slope.
Man this is me done my luck run out with betting off here Reading scored and went with Lambert first scorer.
2-1 Stuttgart now.
Im shitting it waiting on lambert to score put £200 on him and £200 on that bloke!!
Matt I’m waiting for them also
Come one fleetwood!
Lambert just scored Matt!!!!
Getbin there, now for the Stuttgart guy!
Chris, are you watching the game? Wondered if our man has had a chance. I took him and Lambert to score at anytime as singles and of course Stuttgart -1.
No mate not been watching it. He has 10 mins to produce the goods
To be fair to Scott he looked a good bet on paper. I didn’t know much about the guy but looked at his stats after he flagged him up and he’s been on fire.
I took stuttgart but fleetwood -1 is gonna let me down. Ah well better football coming up at weekend to get ma teeth into. Hope u can give us a few winners mr f :)
I went for singles on the scorers and a treble of Stuttgart, Fleetwood and a draw in the Southampton game. Fingers crossed for a Fleetwood goal in the next few minutes.
That’s my super single i wrote on here up Adam Le Fondre anytime @11/4 COME ON!! Took him @ 12/1 to score next when he came on as well.
That’s well done with Le Fondre. Great win for Reading if they hold out.
Jeezo if u knew at start of night stuttgart were gonna get 4 goals u wuda put your house on that dude scoring! Also cant believe reading scored as flashscore stats showin saints heavily dominating posession and chances!
Yeah it’s just one of those things. He did look good on paper plus he is a lone striker. I’m quite surprised at the fact they won 4-1 though and he didn’t find the net. Oh well back to the drawing board.
Chris, that German website went close with the 5-1 prediction. I was already going with Stuttgart -1 from my own research but they totally convinced me. Now thinking I should have gone -2.
Chris lambert saved my arse tonight mate.
Would have loved German bloke to score aswell would of been up but at least I got money back thanks to lambert!!!
Ok guys what you think of this bet:
Barcelona, Real Madrid, Man Utd and Man City all to be winning in 30 mins.
£10 stake returns £219.45 at Ladbrokes
Chris, I’d perm it. I’m sure one will let it down, possibly Man City although I think ultimately they will win.
7/9 games in the Dutch Eerste Divisie were BTTS (again) a fantastic league to follow for this bet.
Paul some good prices on btts with b365 for Scottish divisions
Chris, picked my games, just going to write it up now. Glad to see bet365 have got it sorted.
Chris Guy i would be very reluctant to bet against Norwich at moment they are on good run of form Norwich burned me twice.
Chris, Man City would make me a bit nervous in that bet. How about Sheff Utd instead? 6/4 with Ladbrokes to be leading after 30 mins.
No luck, fleetwood left me down and no goals in one Irish game also, Johnny ward racing post had drogheda v st pats btts, 0-0 finished,
Nobby, both were surprises but that’s football.
Liverpool or Everton. How on earth can you call that
Chris, as I’ve said it’s a tough call. Unfortunately it’s one I have to make and I’ve plumped for Everton simply going by form but it’s not always what counts in derbies and/or semi-finals.
as much as Dalglish is the luckiest person this week to still be in a job ive got a sneaky suspicion that Liverpool will get to the final. after all he chose the signing targets
Robert, it’s Everton for me but form goes out of the window in derbies and semi-finals and for once that could be in Liverpool’s favour.
I think man city are a great punt tomorrow I might even have a bash at them -1
phil, whilst i was in Lads this mornin their shop price shifted from 8/13 to 1/2