FRANCESCO MOLINARI gave me a 35-1 place on Sunday but unfortunately Emiliano Grillo just missed out when David Howell birdied the last. Hopefully I’ll have better luck this week.
Although Grillo didn’t give me a return at the Open de Espana I do think he can do the business at the BMW PGA Championship. I’ve said before the 23-year-old Argentine was one to watch this season and I’ve no reason to change my mind.
He is 27th on Tour in driving accuracy (68.2%) with 73.6% in GIR (22nd) and 29.2 for putts per round. He is 25th in the Race to Dubai and I can seen him improving on that as the season progresses.
It took Danny Willett nearly four years to win his second competition on the European Tour, the Nedbank Golf Challenge earlier this season.
He was T12 at the WGC Cadillac Championship, a really good T38 at The Masters and third at the WGC Matchplay and he is capable of a top-six finish. He has GIR stats of 75.35%, average putts per round of 28.75 and although his driving accuracy is only 58.48% he was averaging 65% last year so he is capable of hitting the fairway.
I wasn’t going to pick Francesco Molinari this week but every time I looked down the list of players his name just jumped out at me. He’s not had a great season on the PGA Tour but the two starts on the European Tour have netted him a T2 and T6.
When you average his stats from both Tours his driving accuracy and GIR are both around 68%. Looks good for another high finish this week.
Meanwhile, after another astonishing tournament victory last week Rory Mcllroy is a very short favourite to win at Wentworth.
He is a biggest 11-4 with the likes of William Hill and bet365. William Hill have opened betting on the margin of victory and it is 10-3 the tournament is won by four or more shots.
Margin Of Victory: 12-5 playoff, 5-2 One Shot, 10-3 Two Shots, 10-3 4 or more, 7-2 2 Shots, 9-2 3 shots.
Now to the States. With two T5s in 2012 and 2014 and a 62 in 2013 (T14) Ryan Palmer is my pick for the Crowne Plaza Invitational at Colonial, Fort Worth, Texas. Since a T6 at the Valero Open the Texan obviously loves playing in his home state and although Ryan has gone off the boil a T33 at The Masters wasn’t too bad.
As a member of The Colonial he would love to pick up the spoils this weekend.
I have to include Paul Casey this week. He had to withdraw from the Players Championship due to illness but when you look at his previous three tournaments (9th, T6 and T5) he certainly looks in good form. He is 18th in strokes gained tee to green and 15th in GIR which could be important where positioning and getting near the pin is going to play a big part.
Recommended Bets
Emiliano Grillo 1pt ew (60-1, 888sport)
Danny Willett 1pt ew (40-1, bet365)
Francesco Molinari 1pt ew (30-1, 888sport)
Ryan Palmer 1pt ew (28-1, bet365)
Paul Casey 1pt ew (33-1, Coral)
Ace Venturer
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
2 bets from me PAUL CASEY e/w 28/1 in the states and SHANE LOWRY top 10 finish@ 7/2 @ wentworth, titanbet prices, good luck everybody and enjoy the golf!!
Hi guys
Its rory all the way for me in terrific form atm will double tat with jordon speith both to win
Reasonable week last week..howell placed and bet alps winner and 2nd at 66s n 50s. (Di nitto)..
Pga Wentworth. .all W/o rory..lowry koepka ramsay warren.
Colonial..key here to good scoring is good iron players.not a long course…kelly Streelman todd senden kirk
Karnten open..Maddy gagli porteous lafeber
Bol guys..
malkster, Rory will be tough to beat this week but I prefer taking a big ew price instead of a short-priced winner so looking at Jamie Donaldson at 33-1 and maybe Ace’s Danny Willett who impressed me when I saw him up close at Augusta.
I was really impressed with how James Morrison won last week. Played superbly the last round with all that pressure on his shoulders, kept getting his driver out and finding the middle of the fairway.
James Morrison top 20 Finish 5/1 Ladbrokes
Sneaker at steel at 50/1. Win and a win double with Rory for masters 2016
Pay your money..take your chances mr F..would rather have Rory (best player on planet by a mile)..out of equation all 4 days..has served me well in the past..BOL Mr F..too one and all..
Well done gers tonight too..long way to go still though..
BMW Championship – its gone back to the Tiger Woods days of having a 11-4 favourite which is too short for me the best bet would be to hope he was 5 shots off in last round and hopefully get 5/1 -6/1
I am on Luke Donald 33/1 David Howell 55/1 and Danny Willett 45/1 for some interest
Crowne Plaza International
over in the US I have done my usual 2 fancies and 1 outsider
Jordan Speith 9/1 – in good form this year and good form at this course last 2 years finishing in top 15
Jimmy Walker 25/1 – 2nd in FED EX rankings this year has been playing better of late and got top 10 finish here last year
John Senden 66/1 E/W – outside bet is John Senden I like a homer and this fits John Senden this week, came 5th in this last year and finished in top 10 last 2 times out so hopefully some place value
BMW
L.Donald 28/1
E.Grillo 50/1
Crowne Plaza
P.Reed 33/1
B.Snedeker 50/1
Senior PGA
C.Montgomerie 14/1
Left out R.Knox,this will be the week he makes top 5 !!
Beam him up..mr kirk does biz for malkster at 50s..and guess what mr F..i took market wi mr speith in it..another successful weekend ..annoyed i didnt have an..new he was a talent..flagged him up weeks ago to punters
malkster, great effort. I see Molinari blew it for Ace after leading for three rounds.
My two tips Paul Casey e/w@28/1. LOSE. Shane Lowry top ten finish@ wentworth 7/2. WON!!