The Premier League fouls betting markets allow punters to wager on the total number of transgressions in a match, specific player fouls, players to be fouled, or which team will commit the most fouls.
You can bet on over/under fouls, team fouls, or individual players.
Below you can find our Premier League fouls tips and betting predictions ahead of this weekend's action.
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Southampton vs Leicester
This crucial match at the bottom of the table has both sides battling relegation. Southampton, the hosts, are under more pressure with just one point and only four goals scored. They are the second-most fouled team in the Premier League.
Tyler Dibling, who has started four games, has been fouled 14 times, averaging a foul every 27 minutes. His ability to control the ball and draw fouls will likely put him up against Leicester's Victor Kristiansen, who has committed seven fouls in seven Premier League games this season.
Expect a tightly contested game with plenty of fouls. Betting on Dibling to be fouled at least twice seems promising, with Paddy offering 1.73 which is better odds than Skybet at 1.44. The bet has landed in 75% of his starts this season, compared to the suggested probability of 58%.
- Best Bet: Tyler Dibling to be fouled two or more times at 1.73 with Paddy Power
This should be an exciting match, with both teams likely to focus on attack due to their defensive vulnerabilities. Some key stats stand out: Newcastle are the most fouled team in the Premier League, averaging 14.86 fouls per 90 minutes. Bruno Guimaraes, the league's most fouled player, has suffered 27 fouls in just seven games, an average of 3.85 per game. Positioned in front of the back four, Bruno's style of shielding the ball makes him a frequent target for fouls.
On the other side, Georginio Rutter, who plays off Danny Welbeck, has a key role in pressing opponents when Brighton lose possession. In his four starts this term, Rutter has committed three, one, two and two fouls.
While a small sample, his history shows he’s prone to fouling, with 75 fouls in 48 Championship games last season. Skybet offers odds of 1.83 for Rutter to commit two or more fouls, which seems a strong possibility.
- Best Bet: Georginio Rutter to make 2+ fouls at 1.83 with Skybet
Adama Traore is finally returning to top form after a few seasons of inconsistency. He’s started every game this season, scoring one goal and providing two assists, with 16 shots—showing he's getting into promising positions.
Traore has been fouled 14 times in just 556 minutes of play, averaging a foul every 39 minutes. His blistering pace and strength make him difficult to dispossess once he's in motion. He’s been fouled twice or more in five of his seven games, a 72% rate.
Traore is expected to return to the right side for this match, likely facing Lucas Digne. Aston Villa have committed the third-most fouls this season, with Digne contributing nine fouls in seven games.
Digne has committed two or more fouls in four of those games. Against Ipswich, he didn't commit a foul but was booked, likely curbing further fouls. He didn’t reach two fouls against Arsenal or West Ham but was substituted after 70 minutes in both.
Paddy Power offers 1.44 odds on Traore being fouled twice or more, suggesting a 70% chance, which aligns with his current rate. Skybet’s 1.80 odds suggest a 55% chance, making those odds appealing.
- Best Bet: Adama Traore to win 2+ fouls at 1.80 with Skybet
Who has committed the most fouls and who has suffered the most fouls?
| Player | Team | Fouls committed per 90 minutes |
|---|---|---|
| K. Phillips |
Ipswich Town |
2.65 |
| E. Álvarez |
West Ham United |
2.62 |
| J. Kluivert |
Bournemouth |
2.58 |
| S. Lukić |
Fulham |
2.5 |
| W. Hughes |
Crystal Palace |
2.33 |
| L. Díaz |
Liverpool |
2.3 |
| Joelinton |
Newcastle United |
2.24 |
| G. Rutter |
Brighton |
2.2 |
| O. Mangala |
Everton |
2.2 |
| A. Onana |
Aston Villa |
2.2 |
| Team | Player | Fouls suffered per 90 minutes |
|---|---|---|
| Bruno Guimarães |
Newcastle United |
3.67 |
| J. Ayew |
Leicester City |
3.64 |
| A. Gordon |
Newcastle |
2.73 |
| E. Anderson |
Nottingham Forest |
2.7 |
| T. Dibling |
Southampton |
2.63 |
| J. Maddison |
Tottenham |
2.61 |
| E. Nketiah |
Crystal Palace |
2.59 |
| J. McGinn |
Aston Villa |
2.43 |
| A. Fatawu |
Leicester City |
2.4 |
| R. Yates |
Nottingham Forest |
2.39 |
Which match will have the highest booking points total?
Booking points in betting refer to a system where points are assigned based on yellow and red cards shown to players during a match.
Generally, a yellow card is worth 10 points, while a red card is valued at 25 points. In some cases, two yellow cards resulting in a red are counted as 35 points.
The Gunners games this season have averaged 61.43 booking points so far this season. Arsenal are averaging 32.86 points and have collected at least 20 points in six of their seven games.
Bournemouth games have averaged 60 booking points per 90 minutes. They have collected at least 20 points in five of their seven games this term, whilst both teams have picked up at least 10 points each in all seven.
Arsenal have committed the seventh most fouls in the division this season with an average of 12.39, whilst no side has committed more fouls at home than the Cherries with 18.39 per 90 minutes.
The referee for this game is Rob Jones, who sits fourth for the highest average booking points this season with 63. He has given both sides at least 10 booking points each in all five of his Premier League matches this season, whilst both sides have been awarded 20 or more points each in three of five.
- Best Bet: Both teams to collect 20+ booking points each at 1.73 with Skybet
Player to be carded acca – our picks
Carlos Baleba to be carded. He will be up against Guimaraes, the most fouled Premier League player this season. He collected five cards in 15 starts last season and one in five this season. This game should be end to end with Baleba asked to try to protect the Brighton defensive line.
- Best Price at 3.3 with Betfair
Lewis Cook to be carded. No player has made more fouls than Cook this season and he will be in the midfield trying to stop the Arsenal players. On the road, Arsenal are seeing their opponents average 3.0 cards per 90 minutes. As mentioned above, we have Jones overseeing the game, who isn’t shy about dishing the cards.
- Best Price at 5.0 with Boylesports
Omari Hutchinson to be carded. Hutchinson has already been carded three times this season. He has struggled so far this term with the step up from Championship football to the Premier League. Everton’s no-nonsense approach to defending should see him become frustrated and his three cards this season have come after losing the ball cheaply. It’s a massive game at the foot of the table.
- Best Price at 6.5 with Skybet
Combining our three-player selections into a three-fold comes in at a massive 83.16 with Paddy Power.
If you enjoyed this content, why not take a look at some more predictions and betting tips on MrFixitstips?
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