The latest UEFA Conference League outright winner odds outline a clear favourite, but previous editions have proven that even the smaller teams have a chance to succeed.
After Olympiacos became the first Greek team to win a major club-level continental competition back in May, predicting who will win the UEFA Conference League in 2024/25 is even harder this time around.
Certainly, there were huge shifts in the odds after the official draw late, and the obvious favourites no longer feel as overpriced.
Best Conference League outright winner odds
Chelsea – 8/11
No problems for Chelsea this week as a 5-1 destruction of Shamrock Rovers saw them move to six wins from six in the Conference League.
The competition is really shaping up to be Chelsea's to lose at the minute, as 26 goals scored and only five conceded across their six games is evidence of their domination thus far.
A first Chelsea hat-trick from youngster Marc Guiu was the cherry on the cake for Enzo Maresca's Blues, who continued to cruise using a plethora of their backup players.
At 8/11, Chelsea look nailed on to win the Conference League this season.
Fiorentina – 6/1
Fans of La Viola will be disappointed this week, as they Fiorentina were unable to overcome Portuguese side Vitoria away from home.
A last-gasp equaliser from Italian holding midfielder Rolando Mandragora allowed Raffaele Palladino's side to come away with a draw from a match that had looked set to go Vitoria's way until the final five minutes.
Fiorentina's chances have slipped to 6/1 to win the Conference League in light of the result. They are still in with a real chance of strong qualification and look good value for their odds, but it is beginning to look unlikely that anyone will stop Chelsea.
Real Betis – 9/1
Real Betis were a non-move this week as they managed to edge past Finnish side HJK with a narrow 1-0 victory.
The win sees Betis cement themselves firmly in the middle of the qualification places with 10 points, but one more result will be needed to secure progression.
However, at 9/1 they are not good value for punters, as it appears highly unlikely that their current form would result in a tournament victory in the summer, as they have only won 50% of their games so far, facing admittedly weak opposition.
Vitoria de Guimaraes – 16/1
A potential surprise package, dark horses Vitoria have been red-hot in the Conference League, amassing 14 points from five games. They are also still unbeaten in the competition and the team closest to challenging Chelsea.
Manager Rui Borges will have been the happier of the two bosses this week as his side managed a 1-1 draw at home to Fiorentina. A resolute display was sadly undone in the 87th minute of a game most Vitoria fans will have felt they deserved to win.
2.16xG to La Viola's 1.28 indicates it really should have been the Portuguese side that emerged with all three points.
Although it would seem improbable that they will be able to fell Chelsea at the end of the tournament, stranger things have happened in football, and at 16/1 they certainly provide a tempting outside chance.
Our prediction
On paper, no team matches Chelsea’s potential, although Enzo Maresca’s squad has not shown consistency yet. But based on the draw, we like their chances.
Alternatively, one other team strikes us as a potential finalist. Could Heidenheim make it this far in the competition as a debutant? Heidenheim currently sit at the top of the Bundesliga and are priced at 16/1 to win the UEFA Conference League.
Lifelong Ipswich Town supporter who recently graduated from Durham University in French and German. Have developed a passion for European football based on my links abroad and am an avid supporter of Werder Bremen and Auxerre. Joined the MFT team in October 2024 and looking to take my first steps into the world of football journalism.
