Sixth seed Andrey Rublev faces an old friend in Jiri Lehecka, a player who has beaten him before. In fact, all four of their matches so far have been amazing which is why this Rublev vs Lehecka matchup features our betting tip for today.
This is a fascinating US Open prediction that might surprise quite a few people, considering how both have played recently. However, it makes sense when you really think about it. We’ve done that for you, so keep reading to find out why this is our best bet.
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Player form: Shaky from both
Since returning from injury, Lehecka has been all over the place. He beat Medvedev but then nearly lost to a qualifier at the US Open. His game is streaky and will always remain streaky, which makes him a nightmare to play against—or does it?
Rublev has looked somewhat more stable, but he’s also been prone to the occasional bad performance. We don’t think that will matter much, though, which is why we’re backing him to win big.
How the bookies view it: Rublev favoured
Rublev is heavily favoured because this is the right side to back. He is 3/10 to win, which might seem too much but it’s actually pretty on point. Lehecka to win is 5/2, which might get you to think about it but don’t. It won’t hit.
Recent head-to-head: Tied at 2-2
Rublev and Lehecka have played four times so far. The Russian has beaten Lehecka twice, though the Czech player won the most recent match. That was before his injury, though, which is important context.
Anything else catch the eye?
This matchup largely has gone to the player that was better on said day. Neither has had issues beating the other if they were playing their best games.
If we take that into account, we have to say that Rublev is playing a bit better right now. Both had problems in their previous matches, but Rublev faced a much tougher opponent.
There is a possibility that this ends up being a tight match, but we predict the Russian will cruise. Lehecka looks very shaky so far in New York.
In the end there is simply a bigger likelihood Rublev finds his best tennis than Lehecka because he’s done it in the past weeks.
Rublev vs Lehecka betting tips & predictions
We will back Rublev to win by at least two sets of difference, meaning 3-1 or better. The odds might not be the greatest, but this play will likely hit which makes it a value bet. He’s just played better this week.
- Rublev handicap sets -1.5 @ 3/5
The match will be played on Friday August 30th, on the fifth day of the US Open in New York.
Bren is our resident Kiwi, and has been playing or watching sports down under in New Zealand for the better part of three decades. With 12+ years experience as a professional writer, Bren loves to dive deep into all things sport to bring the best betting analysis and predictions here at Mr Fixits Tips.
