Thursday’s Racing Tips – Five timer could be on the cards for Walter Hartright at Chepstow

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It was a profitable day for the thread with myself and Rizz landing a winning selection each at advised odds of 9/2 and 10/3. 

I missed both of the races that I tipped in yesterday, so I can't comment on how they performed. Rizz managed to watch his selections and he has informed me below on how they performed.

End Of Romance showed a tremendous turn of foot in the last furlong to get up and beat the smooth-travelling Godolphin newcomer, enhancing Karl Burke's incredible record with juveniles this season. Midnite Runner didn't get to the lead as Rizzel was hoping for and went out like a light, which saw the Dods outsider win at odds of 33/1.

Cairnzy's Tips

Dashing Donkey 11/4 – Yarmouth 4.45

The one I like in this race is the William Stone trained Dashing Donkey, who looks worthy on paper to be marked up as favourite for this contest.

After disappointing in his first five starts, Dashing Donkey finally found his stride a couple of months ago, breaking his maiden at this course in June under jockey Hollie Doyle. Hollie never looked in trouble during that contest, and he ran out an easy length and a quarter winner on soft ground over the mile. He followed up at the same course roughly three weeks later with another comfortable victory under William Buick. Connections dropped him back to 7f for that contest, so he seems versatile in terms of chopping and changing between the two distances. That victory also came on good ground, while his first came on soft, so he again seems versatile in terms of ground conditions, which is another positive for this horse.

He failed to complete the hatrick in his most recent outing at Leicester last month but there were plenty of positives to take from that performance and he still ran like a horse who was capable of winning again. He was poorly positioned by jockey Kieran Shoemark and in the grand scheme of things, he probably did well to finish as close as he did behind the eventual winner. He hit the line hard that day, suggesting he had more left in the tank and this step back up to 1m looks the right move by connections.

Kieran Shoemark retains the ride for my selection and I'll be honest, I'm not Kieran's biggest fan. I'm still gobsmacked that he's the first choice for the Gosden stable, and I fully believe there are much better alternatives out there. Regardless, he's in the saddle for this race and I'll stick to my gut.

Walter Hartright 2/1 – Chepstow 7.30

When a horse is thriving and continues to defy the handicapper, I think it's better to stick onside with them, rather than looking elsewhere and that's the route I'm going down with Walter Hartright.

My selection has been in excellent form, winning back-to-back races at Beverley before securing a hat-trick over the same track and distance last month. He defied the handicapper once more when landing the four-timer in his most recent outing at Yarmouth with a comfortable 2L victory under jockey Callum Shepard. It doesn't seem to matter who rides this horse either, with four different jockeys riding him to victory in his last four runs. Daniel Muscutt takes over from Callum Shepard in the saddle which I'm happy enough with given Daniel is a good operator on his day.

Walter Hartright is up a further 7lb in the weights for his recent victory at Yarmouth, but I think he's well within his right to defy that rise. He won with plenty up his sleeve last time out, and even up 7lb, you wouldn't rule out him being ahead of his current mark on thayt evidence. My selection tends to go forward in his races, and if able to break well from stall 7 and get a prominent position, then he could be a hard nut to crack if turning up in the same mood as he has been in his previous four runs.

Rizzel's Tips

Galen 10/3 – Leopardstown 5.52

This race is all about what fitness state Ylang Ylang is in, but also is she really that good? I personally think she is a Group 1 performer, but over longer and I've felt that way for over a year, as I backed her for the Epsom Oaks antepost after her first couple of runs last year. She ran a flat race in the Oaks but ran well in defeat in the 1000 Guineas the time before, which put even more emphasis that a mile is too short for her. I'm not quite sure what happened at Epsom, but that was far from a true showing.

Aidan O'Brien has said that Ylang Ylang will come on for today's run, and given it is over a mile, I think those comments are trustworthy. Apparently she is being aimed at the Breeders Cup meeting and will improve plenty for the run. Even without those comments, I'd be going against her as I am adamant this isn't her trip, despite being a drop in grade. I thought that Galen was worth a shot against the O'Brien favourite and against the older horses in this race. Galen has been competing at a lower level, in small fields. But, what he has done the last couple of times has been nothing short of impressive, especially on the eye. He has made the running on his most recent win, and with a perfect draw in Stall 2, it would be a disaster if Dylan Browne McMonagle didn't make full use of this stall as being prominent/leading at Leopardstown is ideal.

It's not a great surprise to see the amount of progress this horse has made as he was a runner-up behind City Of Troy on debut at the Curragh last year. He hasn't been into a Class 1 race, so today it asks questions that I think he will pass with flying colours. Based on his performances, he has actually recorded a higher RPR than Ylang Ylang, with a 112 beating the 1000 Guineas performance by 2lbs. Galen is more unexposed than Ylang Ylang at this trip, and I feel like there is more to come.

Clover Time 15/8 – Sandown 6.15

Similar to a lot of juvenile maiden races, there doesn't seem to be much depth in this race, and with the newcomers not standing out on the pedigree front, Clover Time should be too much for them.

It's not a surprise to see a short price for Clover Time as he is repping the same owner colours as Big Evs and Big Mojo who did the double at Glorious Goodwood. Clover Time doesn't look to be on the same path as his stablemate/ownermates, but he looks like he has a decent amount of ability, and will improve with each run as he has been raw in his two starts to date.

Last time out at Thirsk over 6f he was green in the early stages, which didn't help as he didn't get cover, drawn on the wings. He then settled down a little bit, but when he got to the front he became very green again and chucked his chances away. I think at this stage of his career he will prefer the five furlongs as opposed to the six he has been tried over as he has a good cruising speed, which was on display last time out when every horse was off the bridle before he was, but also, a faster pace will allow him to settle better and see his race out stronger.

He is drawn in Stall 2, so hopefully, he can use his experience and break out of the gates quickly to establish an early lead and not see another rival.

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