WIMBLEDON'S finally arrived after a couple of weeks warming up on the grass and the big question is: Can Andy Murray go all the way?
The Scot won the Olympics at Wimbledon last year and followed up with the US Open crown so will be more confident than ever but of course he's got the likes of Rafael Nadal, Roger Federer and Novak Djokovic to contend with.
Murray is in good form having won at Queen’s last weekend and should at least cruise to the quarters where he is likely to face Jo-Wilfried Tsonga. If he beats the Frenchman it's probably French Open champion Nadal and then Djokovic – with the Serb having an easier route to the final.
The Scot is a biggest 4-1 at William Hill and I'll be backing him all the way. Djokovic is 5-4 favourite with bet365 and should be Murray's final opponent.
In the women’s event Serena Williams is odds on at 1-2 with Skybet to defend her crown and it's a poor price. Maybe Ellis will come up with an each-way bet that will give us a run for our money.
Watch out for Ellis's tennis tips throughout the tournament and I'll also put some singles and doubles on some of the matches.
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
4/1 are not great odds if he has the likes of Tsonga, Nadal and Djokovic to beat along the way, i know he’s a decent player but to beat those guys and win the tournament his odds would want to be around the 7 or 8/1 mark
John, whoever wins the tournament is going to have beat the best no matter the draw. Tougher for Nadal who could have Fed, Murray and Djokovic. If Nadal and Fed is classic five-setter that will help Andy as long as he takes care of Tsonga whom he beat at Queen’s.
Need another in the Nigeria game :/
Still fancy Rafa Ellis?
He’s down two sets and a break and looks out of sorts, not that i’m on Darcis, and at 18/1 I should have had a daft tenner on it!
He could well turn it round though but prob not worth it at 6/4 in play.
There we go. Roll on tomorrow
Nice 1 m8
Cheers bud other than the cricket had an unbelievable day. Backed bubba in play at 2/1 don’t know how he’s doing
Bubba 1 shot behind with 6 holes to play ,I will keep you updated Ellis!!
Cheers bud
Bubba just had a birdie level at 12 under with Ken Duke!!
Bogey for Ken Duke Bubba in front on his own…
Cheers bud £50 at 2/1 could be more than a profitable day
Ma fingers are crossed for your mate,I am sure Bruce Robertson tipped him here on Wednesday and he was 22/1..great shout if he gets it!!!
Duke birdie at the 15th level again at the top with Bubba…
Bubba birdie he is back in front by 1…
Beautiful
Bubba in the water at the 16th ..looks like a double bogey..ouch..sore one!
I was bad at all for my tennis picks from the start but GS first rounds always give good odds for a couple of matches so I will share some picks for tomorrow both in ATP and WTA …. Hope this one will give some profit at all…
Make that a triple bogey..sorry Ellis not looking good..
Just seen big odds change so covered it with £100 duke 1/2
Good man..Duke is 44 and has never won before,he is one in front with one hole to go..squeeky bum time..
Not lying either
Got to be covered. Not ruining an astonishing day
Ken Duke in at 12 under,Stroud needs a birdie at the last to match him..looking good Ellis!!!
Stroud just chipped in in at the last for a birdie and a play-off..dont believe it!!
Unbelievable
Cannot believe this
Duke on the green in two…Stroud in the bunker…
What you on here lads ?
:( how close
Duke makes 4… so does Stroud…back to the 18th tee…
whats this got to do with Wimbledon ???
Oudin@1.89
This bet is @1.66 at bet365 but too many bookies has around 1.85…
These 2 players met each other 2 times and Oudin was fixed as 1.57 and 1.71. Now 1.89 looks juicy because Oudin has more potential and I expect her to give her best in Grand Slam tournament…. Should win imo easier rather than bookies Thought…. GL….
Nothing..
im watching it now, this is ridiculous, dukes gonna mess it up
lookin good now mate..but I said that before..
count yir money Ellis..well done mate!!
Mr F,
I saved the Wimbledon outrights to my computer and cannot find them so I will rewrite the reasoning tomorrow night
Mens Outright
Rafael Nadal 4/1 – in short terms a man who is hungry for his ranking back, is on top form at the minute
Womens
How can you pick a winner when Serena is so short priced. As Mr F requested I therefore selected a EW bet;
Maria Sharapova E/W 8/1 – Sharapova is in the best form of her life and she simply wants a major more than anything. She rips through the ball extremely well and technically she is the only women, other than Azarenka who can match what Serena Williams has to offer.
Sorry they are brief. Had some detailed ones and cannot find them. Will re-write tomorrow
Oneplustwo — golf
Cheers guys!
£10 TO £1,000 CHALLENGE BET 3 (£17.89)
____________________________________________
Mikhail Youzhny vs Robin Haas
____________________________________________
Mikhail Youzhny to win — 2/15
____________________________________________
I thought for bet 3 of the challenge we would stick to the Wimbledon theme and I have decided to back a young Russian who is making a rapid climb up the world rankings. He has caused many major upsets this season and he has disposed of some of the worlds best players in his rise to world number 20. He plays an experienced qualifier in the form of Robin Haas, however, Haas is well known for his poor consistency and shot making. I expect Youzhny to fly through this match, potentially 3-0 or 3-1
Good luck,
Ellis!
Ellis, you ain’t taking too many chances with your second effort. Is £17.89 what you have or will that be the total?
(£17.89)what we are on
Mr F,
At the start I said that it will be between 1/9 and 1/14 to achieve it in the 50 bets, that way im not getting carried away and doing ‘safe’ bets, achieving it is 50 days as we said. On the first day I threw in the 8/15 Robertson bet to give us a bit more to play with
I want to try and make them as safe as possible to make the £1,000 in the time I said
ellis, not having a go, just an observation.
oh I know pal just saying, the aim was to get there doing one bet in a maximum of 50 days, doing 1/14 everyday would take 50 days
ellis, I’ve only ever looked at the evens challenge which obviously is faster but tougher. Right, calling it a night.
Yeah just thought this would keep some of us busy haha
Hewitt v wawrinka over 3.5 sets 1-2.
ward v yen hsun lu over 3.5 sets 4-7.
baltacha v pennetta over 2.5 sets 5-4
Malisse – Verdasco over3.5 sets
Scheeper – Lorenzi over3.5 sets
Hewitt – Wawrinka over3.5 sets
Total odds 3.87
GL….
Monday nap
Hewitt – wawrinka
total sets =5 5-2 {hills}
or Ladbrokes go
handicap bet
Hewitt +2.5 5-6
or
wawrinka -2.5 5-6
so if you think its cert to go to 4 sets at least,
lump on Hewitt for a nice touch
wawrinka would have to win 3-0 if you go with him at -2.5.
Top single: Jovanovski to beat Tomljanovic @ 1.75
I think this is a giveaway odds here, as Serbian is much higher ranked and has shown solid improvement over past couple of months.
Treble @ 3.4:
Jovanovski to beat Tomljanovic @ 1.75
Wickmayer to beat Dolonc @ 1.3
Rosol to beat Reister @ 1.5
Malisha, tough to find value on first-round Wimbledon matches but I’m having a double on Rosol v Reister and Garcia v Brown. Both about 1-2 so doubling your money. I might also take Baltacha at 4-5 as a single in the women’s.
John Isner v Evgeny Donskoy – DONSKOY @ 3.4 paddypower
Isner has been terrible on grass courts this year. His movement is crap and he is poor at the net. Donskoy also beat him at the last tournament in Gertogenbosch.
Falla,Pospisil,Matosevic@6.11
No time to explain but guess odds are too much for these 3 players…
Little Bet in Play for me
Over 8.5 Games Set 3 Adrian Ungur Vs Benoit Paire
Over 8.5 Games Set 2 Alize Cornet Vs Vania King
Over 8.5 Games Set 2 Fabio Fognini Vs Jurgen Melzer
Over 8.5 Games Set 3 Julian Reister Vs Lukas Rosol
@ 2.74
Paire’s going to kill this one :(
Spoke to soon :) looks like its going to be Cornet to kill it now aha
Need Vania King to Hold Serve for a Winner :/ not overally confident
Yesss never in doubt ;)
I just had £20 on rosol. Set down EVS. Something to look at?
The Rosol game looks a real tight one, Good luck if you decided to take it
Tight but fancied his experience to get him through it at EVS
Looking good atm ;)
Good shout with the rosol game Ellis. Managed to get on him at 2/1 when he was 5-4 down in games in the 4th set. Now just backed Reister at 6/4 to make sure end in profit either way. Cheers
Don’t thank me rosol just been broken :O
Mr F,
CONFIRMATION
_________________
Bet 3
Mikhail Youzhny to win vs Robin Haas 2/15
***WIN***
Pot
£20.28
***lets use this opportunity to build the pot***
Bet 4
__________________
Radek Stepanek vs Matt Reid (£20.28)
Radek Stepanek to win 1/10
Ellis, when is the Stepanek game.
just lost £100 on Nadal 1st set @ 1.3 not a good look
Started at 4:00. Looks certain
Titou I feel your pain had £60 on tipsarevic
ahh that’s not good to hear Ellis
Nadals going my outright justice grrr
Mr F,
CONFIRMATION
Radek Stepanek to win 1/10
***WIN***
Pot
£22.31
ELLIS
Final one today 6:30 start
Bet 5. (£22.31)
Marion Bartoli to win vs Elina Svlitonina 1/6
I cannot for the life of me see Nadal Losing 3-0 on Sets
:O 3-0, Happy i didn’t put any More money on Nadal
Nadal out in straight 3 set defeat
Striker, don’t know if he’s spoken yet but his knee looked like it was giving him trouble.
Not the only daft result- how did Errani lose and Wickmayer is exceedingly well named- wick!! Tomorrows bankers need to do better- but I don’t think Nadia Petrova, Jugs Halep or Gorgeous Goerges will let me down like todays crew…
Nice work Ellis. Missed two bets today though. Want to keep up with the experiment but it’s tricky when tips are popping up at random times / places. Thought you were getting your own thread?
Mr F,,,
CONFIRMATION
Bet 5 — Marion Bartoli to win 1/6
***WIN***
Pot £26.03
That’s it for today
Furryhermann,
Sorry, I usually just do one late at night for the next day. I have a new job now which is long days and nights to won’t have as much time for the next three weeks while im contracted to this (got the afternoon off so used it as a pot building afternoon)
Will stick to one a day mate
Ellis, not moaning mate. Great that it’s working. Would just prefer to go through the anxious part as well!! Will try to keep an eye on things more often!
No worries pal as I say new work contract so will be one a night anyway. Tomorrows will be kei nishikori 1/5 will put it up later