FRIDAY night's becoming more popular for football betting with punters latching on to the fact the lower-league Dutch games usually throw up a few goals.
There are top-flight matches in Italy, Spain, Holland, France, Germany and Turkey so hopefully something of value in there to beat the bookies.
AC Milan travel to Serie A strugglers Genoa and should pick up the points in their chase for a Champions League place.
Milan are in great form after a poor start and are boosted by recent wins over Lazio and Barcelona. Mario Ballotelli has returned from injury as expected so my first-scorer money will be on Stephan El Shaaraway instead.
Genoa have blown hot and cold but sit just one point above the drop zone after winning just one of their last four.
Back Milan to win at 19-20 with Paddy Power take El Sharaaway to score at anytime.
In Germany, Augsburg have climbed out of the bottom two with back-to-back wins and have improved since Stefan Reuter's appointment at the end of last year.
They're going for three in a row at home to Nuremberg but may have to settle for a point against a side with four draws in their last five. The draw pays 23-10 (various).
Rennes v St Etienne in France also has the look of a draw and interestingly the last six meetings at Rennes have been under 2.5 goals – with five of them under 1.5. Try under 2.25 here at 9-10 with BetVictor.
In Spain I'm going to take a chance on Real Betis at home to Osasuna. I watched their 3-3 draw at Real Sociedad on Sunday night and it was thriller.
What struck me most was the fact both teams just wanted to score and in the end a draw was a fair result. Betis, having netted just 17 at home, will take heart from creating so many chances and should see off an Osasuna side with just two wins away from home. Betis are a biggest 10-11 at BetVictor.
Porto are no bigger than 1-4 to beat Estoril at home and keep the pressure on leaders Benfica. They should win by a couple before turning their attention to next week's Champions League return against Malaga.
Back Porto at 8-13 minus one and consider top scorer Jackson Martinez at 13-5 with bet365 to break the deadlock. Martinez to net at anytime is just 8-13 with bet365.
As regulars know time is of the essence to me on a Friday with my Daily Record deadline fast approaching. So instead of spending half an hour looking at lower-league Dutch stats I've spent 30 seconds glancing at the superb stats posted as a comment by UHT early this morning.
If you're backing both teams to score in Dutch games tonight take a look. I've picked out three I fancy and added the Randers v Sonderjyske match which has been tipped for goals by The Dane. He was spot on with the Aalborg game in midweek – and you don't argue with The Dane.
Tonight's treble
AC Milan, Betis, Porto -1
Both teams to score
Randers v Sonderjyske (5pm)
De Graafschap v Volendam (7pm)
Emmen v Go Ahead Eagles (7pm)
Maastricht v Helmond (7pm)
Pays a biggest £56 to a £10 stake at Stan James
Super Single
El Sharaaway to score first
(6-1, William Hill)
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
paul leiga warsaw are top playing 2nd bottom 5/6 away from home. looks worth a few bob? do u fancy a inform wrexham away to dartford??
Cairsny, as I said won’t be looking at Friday until I get Saturday’s Record column finished. Friday’s a day I don’t have much time with deadlines to meet so hopefully others will post tips throughout the day.
SATURDAY 9TH MARCH 2013
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Manchester City v Barnsley
Over 3.5 goals @ 1.88
City clean sheet @ 1.82
Everton v Wigan
You can back both teams to score @ 1.89
Everton are 2.22 to win half-time/full-time
Reading v Aston Villa
Back Aston Villa @ 3.0 (2/1)
QPR v Sunderland (Saturday, 15:00)
Back QPR to win @ 2.3
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Nottingham Forest v Wolves
Back Nottingham Forest to Win To Nil at 2.87
Crystal Palace v Leeds
Both Teams To Score in Crystal Palace v Leeds at 1.85
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Lay Sheffield United to beat MK Dons @ 2.22
Like Swindon, nestled two points below second-placed Sheffield United before this round of fixtures, the Blades have displayed a tendency for bluntness at home. Hartlepool, Yeovil and Coventry have all secured wins at Bramall Lane since Christmas, and most recently Leyton Orient frustrated the home crowd by securing a 0-0 draw. Visitors MK Dons won the reverse fixture earlier in the season and enter this one on a four-match unbeaten run. The Bedfordshire outfit have turned into away draw specialists too, securing three on the spin before travelling to Yorkshire. They also spanked league leaders Doncaster 3-0 on Tuesday.
Lay Chesterfield to beat Bristol Rovers @ 2.18
This fixture throws together two sides separated by just a couple of points as Bristol Rovers make the trip up to Chesterfield with the Spireites sitting one place above them in 14th. However, the form guide suggests the home side are vulnerable to a Pirates team on the plunder in League Two. Rovers arrive fresh from striking a blow to Exeter’s automatic promotion hopes following a 2-0 win over the Grecians on Wednesday, their second win in a row against sides currently occupying play-off spots. Conversely, Chesterfield haven’t triumphed on home soil for two straight games and find themselves slipping downwards following three defeats in their last five, scoring only once in that period.
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BEST BET OF THE DAY
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I feel that the French side is getting stronger by the week as Saint-André gradually sees sense, while the Irish injury list grows at similar rate to the Irish national debt. Ireland’s record against France is woeful and it would take an optimist to think that the farcical management of the O’ Gara situation and continued questions about the captaincy will in any way galvanise the Irish side.
France are justifiable favourites in my opinion (available to back at 1.89) and I think the standout bet is for a French victory by under 12.5 points. Their pack is one of the better ones in the competition and their front row should dominate their Irish counterparts. Even if Rory Best has one of his better days, France will still more than likely win the lineout battle too.
BACK France to win @ 1.89
Back France by under 12.5 points @ 2.7
—————————————-
Milesey
ASTON VILLA
QPR
NOTTM FOR
CRYSTAL PALACE
4 FOLD
£10 Stake £220 Returns
Milesey
Newcastle 1.93 v Stoke 4.8; The Draw 3.6
Stoke have lost six of their last eight league games and Newcastle have conceded exactly two goals in their last four Premier League home games. So the omens are good for Alan Pardew’s men
Perhaps surprisingly, six of the seven Premier League games between Newcastle and Stoke have gone over 2.5 goals, as have each of the Tyneside club’s last four home league games. Making odds-against prices for this one to follow suit particularly appealing.
Best Bet: Back Over 2.5 goals @ 2.2
Norwich 2.52 v Southampton 3.1; The Draw 3.45
Norwich’s last-gasp 2-1 win over Everton a couple of weeks ago has afforded them a bit of breathing space in the increasingly compact battle to avoid relegation. It was Chris Hughton’s men’s only victory in 11 Premier League matches and their only league triumph this calendar year.
Southampton, meanwhile, were sucked back into the mire with defeat at home to QPR last weekend and what had looked like a promising start under Mauricio Pochettino now reads as one win in six since he controversially joined the club.
Both teams have scored in the last six meetings between Norwich and Southampton in the Barclays Premier League and those six games have seen a total of 27 goals, an average of 4.5 per game. Most significant, however, is the 1-1 draw between the teams earlier this season.
Best Bet: Back Both Teams to Score @ 1.7
Schalke vs Borussia Dortmund, Sat 14:30 BST
Match Odds: Schalke 3.8, Dortmund 2.12, the draw 3.7
This eagerly anticipated Ruhr derby brings together two teams in good form. After a shaky spell under Jens Keller, Schalke have steadied themselves with a four-match unbeaten run, but I still think their confidence is fragile. Young forward Julian Draxler was outstanding in last week’s 4-1 win at Wolfsburg, a game that saw Klaas-Jan Huntelaar score only his sixth league goal of the campaign.
Dortmund stormed into the last eight of the Champions League in midweek with a crushing 3-0 win against Shakhtar Donetsk, and coach Jurgen Klopp will be encouraged by his team’s improvement on the road. BVB haven’t lost a Bundesliga away game since September, and they have won six of their last eight road matches in the league. They have also won on their last two trips to the Veltins Arena, and it’s worth considering Schalke have won just two of their last six home games.
Back Borussia Dortmund to win at 2.12
Milesey ( BETFAIR )
Rochdale 2.38 v Wycombe 3.2; The Draw 3.45
Backing the teams in form is a knack most punters seek, but is always tricky given sport’s fickle nature. Having clocked Wycombe’s improvement under Gareth Ainsworth and their return to form with two wins after three defeats, it is clear the Chairboys have more to give.
Rochdale have just six points from 10 games and look to be meandering to an average end of season while Ainsworth’s side have built confidence through a period of pressure, having climbed to comfortable mid-table safety from a precarious predicament a couple of months ago. The manager believes improved fitness since he took over is now paying dividends and the team, it seems, is a far happier one than their hosts.
Play-off talk is still off the agenda, and rightly so given the gap between eighth and seventh. But the building for next season starts now. Rochdale have lost four times after going ahead, a league high according to Opta, adding to the indications that a large price on the visitors is hard to ignore once again.
Back Wycombe @ 3.2
Fleetwood 2.46 v Exeter 3.15; The draw 3.45
Paul Tisdale accused his side of lacking attacking intent as they lost 2-0 at Bristol Rovers on Tuesday. That trip, against a side with tails up, was always going to be a tough test of Exeter’s excellent away form. The display was certainly below par by their standards, despite Danny Coles pointing to their good record in mid-week matches.
An early chance to make amends has them priced surprisingly large to win at Fleetwood, who are solid enough but who have one point and one goal from four games. Graham Alexander made five changes against Wycombe in a bid to reverse fortunes, but still saw his side allow their opponents to dictate.
The Grecians will not be allowed to brood on a defeat that saw them fail to score for the first time in 10 games. With automatic promotion still very much up for grabs, this is the time for Tisdale’s men to stand and deliver. Likewise Jamie Cureton needs to start coming good on that aim of turning his 20 goals this season into 25.
Back Exeter @ 3.15
Milesey ( BETFAIR )
TIP OF THE DAY
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FRIDAY 8TH MARCH 2013
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Netherlands: five of Groningen’s last six Eredivisie home games have stayed Under 2.5 Goals and so have 4/6 NAC Breda away matches.
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 in Groningen v NAC Breda
Milesey ( BETFAIR )
Just for anyone who likes a BTTS acca on the Monday/Friday Dutch Jupiler League, you may be interested in these stats, which show the average goals for and against home and away for each of the teams in Friday’s games.
A key thing to note is the average away goals scored is actually slightly higher than home goals in this league, so, we’re especially interested in teams who don’t get booed off every week.
De Graafschap 2.33 1.67 FC Volendam 2.00 1.36
Excelsior 1.45 1.82 Almere City FC 1.50 2.33
FC Eindhoven 1.70 2.00 Fortuna Sittard 1.25 1.58
FC Emmen 1.40 1.60 Go Ahead Eagles 2.31 1.92
MVV Maastricht 2.08 1.42 Helmond Sport 2.00 1.73
FC Oss 1.08 1.92 Sparta Rotterdam 1.64 1.27
Telstar 1.00 1.00 SC Cambuur 1.33 1.44
FC Den Bosch 1.25 1.42 SC Veendam 1.45 1.27
Average 1.54 1.60 Average 1.69 1.62
Two standouts: De Graafschap and Maastricht – great scoring home records playing high-scoring away teams. Both are 2/5 at Hills. A double will just about double your money.
Also like Emmen – decent home-scoring against high-scoring/conceding opponent. They’ve been a mit mingy here, though – we’re not even getting 2/5. It’s only 4/11. That gets you up to 2.67.
Excelsior v Almere should be OK, too – and hats off, that’s back up to an incredibly generous 2/5.
That’s a 3.73 fourfold.
I don’t see any of these letting us down.
The UHT, that’s a big help. I like to do a treble or fourfold as opposed to any more because I’ve noticed about 6 out of 8 will have both teams scoring or over 2.5 goals and it’s all about avoiding the ones that don’t. Right, back in the morning with a few tips.
Don’t like the look of Oss v Sparta Rotterdam for both to score, Sparta can be quite stingy at conceding at times and i’d say Oss will probably get ripped apart
Treble – Galatasaray – Nimes – DuklaPrague
Double – LegiaWarsaw – ACMilan
Single – Auxerre
Both 2 Score
Dartford-Wrexham
Laval-Guingamp
Randers-SonderjyskE
Zaglebie-Jagiellonia
Rennes-StEtienne
Goalscorer Double
Castro (Betis)
Molders (Augsburg)
Dutch/Ireland mixed BTTS
Graafschap-Volendam
Maastricht-Helmond
DenBosch-Veendam
Dundalk-Shamrock
StPatricks-Drogheda
Bray-Shelbourne
agree with you paul its just a matter of avoiding the correct ones.
My gripe is the odds, bet365 now wise to the fact that it rains goals in Holland 2nd so to get a great return, need a big stake or 5/6 fold but as long as I get a small return for saturday then im happy
Stevie H, that’s life with the odds unfortunately. If something has a bigger chance of coming in bookies will cut it. I might start looking at a no to btts treble because prices are much better but less fun and of course I wouldn’t touch the Dutch games.
Double
El Zamalek (Egypt) and Oostende (Belgium)
Odds – 2.77 Bet365
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BTTS
De Graafschap v Volendam
Den Bosch v Veendam
Emmen v Go Ahead Eagles
Maastricht v Helmond Sport
Odds 4.59 Bet365
Dukla Prague 5/6 at home playing bottom of thee league Pribram……looks good value!
Brian I agree with you they are a good price and I think they will win also but bare in mind if you plan on lumping on them dukla in 6th and Pribram in 16th (bottom) only 8 points between them tight league am not 100% sure but I think the leagues produces it fair share of draws
De Graafschap v Volendam – over 1.5 1st half goals @6/5
For Tonight’s Serie A Game between Genoa vs AC Milan:
67% of Genoa’s matches had under 2.5 goals in total. Genoa conceded at least one goal in 77% of their home matches.
AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 9 matches. AC Milan scored at least one goal in each of their last 7 matches. AC Milan scored at least one goal in 92% of their away matches.
3 of Genoa’s last 4 home games have been wins, 3 of Milan’s last 4 away games have been draws. Milan unbeaten in 9 games overall though.
Milan haven’t lost to Genoa in the last 5 meetings, the last 6 meetings between the teams have resulted in under 2.5 goals.
*Under 2.5 goals at 8/11 seems the best bet for the game tonight.
Genoa haven’t scored against Milan in the last 3 meetings.
*Milan Clean Sheet at 6/5 could be another decent bet.
Think this game will be a both to score if anybodys going to score for Randers surely it will be there main hitman.
Ronnie Schwarts to break the deadlock @ 9/2 Bet365
Ronnie Schwarts to net at anytime @ 13/10 Bet365
SonderjyskE don’t really have any hitmen but there goals come from Tommy Bechmann 23/10 Betvictor and Eyjolfur Hedinsson 4/1 bet365 anytime goalscorers
Danny, cheers for that and a great name too. I’ll have Schwarts anytime.
lol fingers crossed he does the business then
FRENCH LIGUE 1 SUNDAY
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Bordeaux v Bastia (10th v 13th) Sun, 16:00 GMT
Regular readers of this column may recall we successfully opposed Bordeaux at home to Brest a fortnight ago (Brest ran out 2-0 winners).
The circumstances for Bordeaux’s home match against Bastia this weekend are virtually identical so I’m perfectly happy to take on the hosts again.
Bordeaux’s home record has been poor all season (W4-D6-L3) and they’ve been particularly poor in front of their own fans immediately after Europa League ties (W0-D2-L2). After a mentally and physically draining 1-0 defeat against Benfica at the Estadio da Luz on Thursday night Bordeaux are likely to follow the pattern of their season by being below-par on returning to domestic matters.
On the odd occasion Bordeaux do win at home, they rarely do so by much. Of their four home victories, only one (2-0 v Valenciennes on Feb 2) has come by more than one goal. The other three were all 1-0 final scorelines.
Bordeaux’s form regardless of venue or European commitments is generally very poor as well. They have lost their last four league games, scoring just one goal in the process. The €2.5 million sale of Yoan Gouffran to Newcastle in January has more than a whiff of false economy about it. Gouffran’s departure has robbed Bordeaux of their only reliable source of goals, which in turn has seen the club fall away from the race for European places.
All of which makes the 1.55 on Bordeaux to win look far too short. I would lay the hosts, back the draw or support Bastia +1.0 Asian Handicap. With the Asian Handicap selection you’ll make money if Bastia win or draw and get your stakes back if Bordeaux win by a single goal.
Lyon v Marseille (2nd v 3rd) Sun, 20:00 GMT
Two points and five points respectively behind PSG, Lyon and Marseille still see themselves as genuine title contenders.
It’s hard to see either club overhauling 1.26 title favourites PSG but the fact these two clubs are within touching distance makes their big Sunday-night clash an exciting prospect with plenty at stake.
The Match Odds market looks about right (Lyon are 2.26 favourites, Marseille 3.6) so goals are a better option. Lyon always play to win at home and their positive approach ought to lead to chances and goals at both ends.
The stats bear this out. Lyon have scored 27 home goals, the division’s joint-highest tally. Seven of their 13 home games have had over 2.5 goals.
Marseille’s goals stats point less strongly towards a high-scoring game but Lyon’s positive approach should set the tone, handing Marseille chances at the other end. Lyon have conceded in 10 of 17 home games in all competitions, which is enough to suggest Marseille will find the net this weekend.
Best Bet: Bastia +1.0 Asian Handicap at Bordeaux @ 1.99
Lyon v Marseille Both teams to Score @ 1.86
Preston North End 1.83 v Stevenage Borough 4.90, the draw 3.80
Stevenage returned to winning ways on Tuesday with a 1-0 home win against promotion chasing Brentford, and
that form would make them overpriced at 4.90. However, their rotten run of six defeats prior to that tells me they are exactly the right price – be wary of inconsistent teams at the end of the season.
Boro created lots of chances in midweek and should have killed the game off before half-time against the Londoners. Midfielder Gavin Mahon has recently signed for the Hertfordshire side, and manager Gary Smith praised the experience, and difference the veteran has brought to his team. Mahon sits in front of a back-four usually for some extra protection, and he allowed the attacking players to push forward in that Bees win.
Smith’s outfit are a big threat from set-pieces, and they’ll probably line up 4-1-3-2. Their away form is inconsistent – losing seven out of 17 games, and they might just be one of those teams set for a mid-table finish.
Preston meanwhile are unbeaten under new boss Simon Grayson. Granted it’s only two matches, drawing 1-1 with both MK Dons and Swindon. Their passing has been OK, but they are lacking a killer touch in front of goal. How Grayson would love his old striker Jordan Rhodes.
Opta stats side with the home team here, as Stevenage are yet to beat the Whites in three attempts. Neither club are exactly in blistering form, but Preston beat Bournemouth in a much improved display two weeks ago – remarkably just as Graham Westley left the north west.
Grayson’s mode when in the division at Huddersfield was to be organised and strong at the back – which he has created in the last two games. It’s also his first match at Deepdale in charge, and any sort of reproduction of the Bournemouth performance will be too strong for Stevenage.
Back Preston to win @ 1.83
Colchester United 2.56 v Crewe Alexandra 2.96, the draw 3.50
Colchester are fighting in their battle to stay in the division, and it’s the time of year with 10 games to go, that relegation threatened teams suddenly find a bit of form. It’s worth looking out for plenty of these types of fixtures in the closing weeks, especially considering mid-table specialists Crewe.
The Alex haven’t beaten Colchester in their last three meetings according to Opta, and I would be looking to side against them again for Saturday. Whatever the manager Steve Davis and the players say about no distractions, I think there are. A bad run of form for the Staffordshire club has coincided with their Wembley date booked in the JPT final in April.
Crewe were beaten by Portsmouth on Saturday, and Davis has hinted they need to get back to defending. They have conceded 10 goals in their last five matches and are one win from their last six.
Although Colchester are missing striker Jabo Ibehre (suspended), they might be good enough to nick a win here. Loan signing Troy Hewitt from QPR will be an important outlet if he starts. The Us have kept three clean sheets from their last three games, and their upturn in form has come at a perfect time.
I don’t think this will be a great affair, as Colchester boss Joe Dunne has got the defensive tactics spot on recently. They could shade this 1-0 for me, with the possibility of the visitors opting for a more defensive plan. However, the smarter play is an unders bet coupled with a lay of Crewe.
Back under 2.5 goals @ 1.88
AC Milan plays against Genoa, not Pescara!!! :)
Fernando, yeah sorry about the typo. Reasoning remains the same.
Can you hear the drums fernando?
Milesey
Milesey, my eyes are playing tricks. I was looking at Serie A table with Pescara bottom then next time I glanced Genoa were bottom but there is a line below them separating the bottom three and those team had disappeared. Think something fishy’s going on with Pescara.
:)
It’s Friday, time for a song :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=G8bm6XlxuCY
Let’s all gear up for some big winners today and this weekend ;) ;)
Milesey
Danny, I think Nimes is a bit tricky… I checked last games between them two, and Tours managed to win twice in the last 4 years. The total between those two teams (Nimes at home only) is 2-2-3… that means this is a 1×2 game.
hi everyone, iam new on here. iam a chesterfield season ticket holder. whilst my team are not scoring many goals,we are creating enough chances especially at home. we also have the second best defence in the league. Hopefully darwika will play for us tomorrow. he has been out for a month with a hernia operation.while he has been out we have been winless.
Steve, thanks for the input and welcome to the site. It’s always good to get some insight from fans about their team. It looks like a draw to me because while Rovers have won their last two at home convincingly they haven’t been as hot away. And as you say your team can’t buy a goal so for your sake I hope your man returns.
I hadn’t noticed that stat Fernando the pick was based on Nimes winning 9 of last 10 at home and Tours not won away since September 2012 Tours last 15 away w1 l9 d5 not to clever but they tend to find the net away from home and still lose am thinking 2-1
Galatasaray @ 1.44
El Zamalek @ 1.44
FC Porto @ 1.25
VfL Osnabruck @ 1.80
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb @ 1.57
5 Folds, 1 bet * £5.00 to return 36.88
Super Single goes for Shelbourne @ 2.60… last time they lost against Bray was 28/11/2000… from that date til now they draw 3 and won 4.
FRIDAY 8TH MARCH 2013
HOME AND AWAY DOUBLE
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Ligue 2 leaders Monaco travel to Chateauroux, looking to extend their points gap at the summit of the division.
Claudio Ranieri’s side have been formidable this campaign, and go into this clash unbeaten in 13 outings – with five straight wins away from Stade Fontvieille giving them much confidence.
Furthermore, four clean sheets on the bounce away from home underlines just how comfortable this Monaco side have looked of late, and they will be desperate to maintain that record as they face a Chateauroux side which looked off colour in a 1-0 loss at Le Havre last time out.
Ranieri has indicated that he sees March as an integral month in his attempt to return his side to the top tier – and the visitors will be looking to take all three points here, as Ranieri has no new injury worries ahead of this clash.
The hosts line up for this clash sitting 13th in the table – and boss Didier Tholot will be keen for his side to arrest a slump which has seen them win just three of their last 12.
That inconsistency has played a major part in La Berri’s underwhelming league position, and although they have won their last three on their own patch, they are missing some players tonight.
Dialo Guidileye, Lassana Doucoure, Emeric Dudouit and Loic Nestor are all doubtful for the home side, and, along with suspended Jordan Fauque, will be big absences for Tholot to deal with.
Monaco have lost just one of their last five meetings with their hosts – and I’m backing them to take all three points once again, at decent value.
Bet 1: Monaco (AWAY) @ 2.32
To the Netherlands for our next pick, and Den Bosch line up against Veendam at de Vliert, aiming to secure three points which would see them leapfrog their guests.
Jan Poortvliet’s side sit ninth in the Eerste Divisie following seven unbeaten, and will be full of confidence following three without a loss on their own patch.
The Blue and White Dragons will now be eyeing further climbs up the table – they are just six points off replicating their sixth placed finish of last year – and a win in this clash would be a massive result in that quest.
And 10 goals scored in their last five Eerste Divisie outings suggests that in the likes of 13 goal striker Tom Van Weert, and his fellow forwards Jeffrey Vlug, Randy Wolters and Ralf Seuntjes, the home side have more than enough attacking prowess to punish their guests this evening.
Veendam travel to s’Hertogenbosch having won just one of their last five games away from de Langeleegte – and Gert Heerkes side will be desperate to arrest that slump here.
Eleven games without a clean sheet suggests that the visitors are susceptible to conceding in this clash, and those defensive weaknesses threaten to derail the Veenkolonialens’ campaign.
Heerkes is likely to be without Menno van Elsas, Robert Katschner and Mitch Apau, who all missed last week’s clash with Cambuur – and the club is in financial disarray, with the chairman having to confirm on TV this week that the players wages would be late.
That is bound to have knocked confidence in the away dressing room, and I think that, coupled with the momentum of the home side, we should see the three points stay in s’Hertogenbosch.
Bet 2: Den Bosch (HOME) @ 1.91
DOUBLE
——-
Monaco (AWAY) @ 2.32
Den Bosch (HOME) @ 1.91
TIP OF THE DAY
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FRIDAY 8TH MARCH 2013
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Netherlands: five of Groningen’s last six Eredivisie home games have stayed Under 2.5 Goals and so have 4/6 NAC Breda away matches.
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 in Groningen v NAC Breda
HOME AND AWAY Double and this single is it for today on the football…………… Goodluck everyone.
Milesey ( Betfair )
Austria second division back the nyt aswell tends to be not bad for goals addin a French 3rd division takes the 4 fold btts around the 8/1 mark
FirstVienna-Grodig
SRCAltach-StPolten
Horn-AustriaLustenau
Boulogne-Carquefous
with all these mad leagues startin back up and the inclusion of a few games in the tops leagues it provides punters with some right fantastic oppertunitys for a good few wins on a Friday night
After an exhaustive investigation on head2head + current form…
Shelbourne @ 2.60
Bohemians Dublin @ 2.10
FC Vion Zlate Moravce v FK Senica Draw @ 3.20
Kaposvári Rákóczi FC @ 2.00
4 Folds, 1 bet * £2.00 to return 69.89
Fernando, good luck with. The more time you spend the more money you will make. I just wish Fridays were a bit longer.
Any gems for my Quest Mr F ? i have already ear marked Dun Utd. Choose wisely ;-)
1plus2, just heading to the office. I’ll give you some later.
How do them apples look ! Mr f
8 Selections Chosen
1 QPR v Sunderland (Laying Sunderland @ 3.93)
2 Reading v Aston Villa (Laying Reading @ 2.63)
3 Augsburg v Nurnberg (Laying Nurnberg @ 3.96)
4 Everton v Wigan (Backing Everton @ 1.4)
5 Chateauroux v Monaco (Laying Chateauroux @ 4.09)
6 Betis v Osasuna (Backing Betis @ 1.86)
7 St Mirren v Dundee Utd (Laying St Mirren @ 3.17)
8 Atl Madrid v Sociedad (Backing Atl Madrid @ 1.52)
1plus2, lost you there but good luck with the bets.
Missed the feckin deadline for the original Quest bet so here goes with another.
8 Selections Chosen
1 QPR v Sunderland (Laying Sunderland @ 3.79)
2 Reading v Aston Villa (Laying Reading @ 2.65)
3 St Mirren v Dundee Utd (Laying St Mirren @ 2.97)
4 Everton v Wigan (Backing Everton @ 1.42)
5 Betis v Osasuna (Backing Betis @ 1.77)
6 Atl Madrid v Sociedad (Backing Atl Madrid @ 1.52)
7 FC Copenhagen v Silkeborg (Backing FC Copenhagen @ 1.32)
8 Anderlecht v KV Mechelen (Backing Anderlecht @ 1.34)
8-Folds
Selections Odds Stake Potential win
1,2,3,4,5,6,7 and 8 22.54 £5.00 £107.70
Total Backer’s Stake: £5.00
Your total potential win: £107.70
1plus2, hope you’re first one’s a loser.
Mr F the 1st Quest bet indeed lost just as you wished are u a religious person lol
1plus2, you should have stuck it all on my treble as real Betis have hung on.
Once i have a decent bank to play with then your skills will be in the forefront of my betting, i just need 2 or 3 hundred to get the Quest in 5th gear at the moment it’s 1st gear and behind the caravans lol
Cracking bet for tomorrow. Bayern Munich 1/8 at home against Fortuna. Back them to be winning after 30 mins @ evs with Ladbrokes.
Last time Bayern Munich played them it was away from home and they won 5-0.
What price does your top treble pay mr F?
thanks
Have a look here steven good site for odds comparisons http://www.oddschecker.com/football/
If possible tho find out who is offering the best treble priced up and use the bookies links here as it’s good for the site when it’s linked through to bookies from here.
1plus2, I normally put the price up but had oddschecker didn’t allow me to work out the accer with the handicap in. If I get time I’ll look at it later but will pay about 5-1.
cheers matey!
Mr Fixit what days are you most profitable on with football trebles? i.e Saturdays/Sundays ect. Hope that makes sense. Thanks in advance.
Any day with a Y in it stevie s ;-)
Steve, I’ve never worked it out day to day. Recently I’d say midweek was better than weekends but of course last Saturday’s came up at 10-1.
Coral got a mistake on their website, jump on and hopefully they will honour the bet. Porto -2 should be 2/1 but showing 10/1
Chris, that’s some boob. If they spot it though they won’t honour it.
https://mobile.coral.co.uk/sportsbook/slip
11/1 now
2/1 now CHRIS?
Does anyone else like the look of Sparta Rotterdam -1 on the european handicap avaliable @ 11/8. Oss look capable of concedind a fair few and their record this season shows quite a few wins covering this handicap.
Let’s see if one should consider opening a ‘Milesey’ bankroll. There’s a “€1000′ riding on his Saturday picks. All he need are half correct for a 4% profit.
1/12: -83% 6/12: +4%
2/12: -65% 7/12: +21%
3/12: -48% 8/12: +38%
4/12: -31% 9/12: +56%
5/12: -14% 10/12: +73%
11/12: +90%
12/12: +107%
Manchester City/Reading:
Over 3.5 €92.00
City clean sheet €96.00
Everton/Wigan:
BTTS €93.00
Everton HT/FT €78.00
Reading/Aston Villa:
Villa €58.00
QPR/Sunderland:
QPR €75.00
Nottingham/Wolves:
Forest win to nil €60.00
Crystal Palace/Leeds:
BTTS €94.00
Sheffield United/MK Dons:
MK Dons +0.5 €99.00
Chesterfield/Bristol Rovers:
Bristol Rovers +0.5 €99.00
France/Ireland:
France €92.00
France by under 12.5 €64.00
The Dane.
Danny, Carcquefous are on fire at the moment, taking them to score 1.5 goals!
Metz is another game I’ll be adding to my o er 2.5 goal accumulator!
Greg a noticed that and think 1/1 looks good for the btts not sure how good that league is for btts but quick glance and yes btts is around the 1/1 mark for all games another league I keep an eye on is Greece odds for btts and over 2.5 goals are always good just pickin the right games out them for example Asteras-Panthrakikos should go over 2.5 @ 13/8 and I expect Platanias-PAOK to both score @ 11/10
Hi mr f won super single free bet can u let me know email address I send my 365 user name too cheers
Hughie, send to [email protected]
Thanks again will try and put it to good use.
After a tough night of Europa League I was pleased to land my super single Steau, and in a night of shocks in the Premier league darts, I was happy to land my double, my bets for tonights is a btts treble in the dutch jupiter league, the games that intrest me are
De Gaafscrap vs Volendam
Emmen vs Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior vs Almere
Super league
Joel Monhagan to score and warrington to win
Good luck to everyone having a bet
The Chief, that’s possibly the first rugby league tipped we’ve had so good luck with it.
Muzza I just checked the coral link I posted above and price has changed from 11/1 to 10/1?
Balotelli to score anytime in first 10 mins 25/1 @ William Hill.
Thanks Mr F i do enjoy my rugby, the wincast is evens at william hill, Saints have a few injuries and not playing well, so i fully expect Warrington will win and Monaghan as crossed 4 times this season, so hoping to double my money ready for Saturday.
Monaco Wrexham double just under 4/1 let’s hope it comes in .
Emmen
Mvv
Excelsior
De Graafschap
Over 2.5 goals 4 fold
Carcquefu to win single
Over 3.5 goals in the Emmen Match
Velez Sarsfield to beat Belgrano later tonight…11/5 at WHs and 3.5 on Betfair. Surprised at the genorosity of that price tbh. No certs but looks good value to me that one..one of the stronger Argie teams Velez
Looks like randers game is short of goals today
AC Meeeelan, Real Betis and Velez Sarsfield Trixie tonite
Thot Milesey widda gone for his old fav Auxerre n home n away….5/4…2-0 ahead. Corrie on now…young Tina!
:-)…mmmm
Can’t believe Balotelli not playing
19:35TEAMS: Genoa: Frey, Granqvist, Moretti, Portanova, Bovo, Vargas, Antonelli, Cassani, Tozser, Borriello, Bertolacci. /// Milan: Abbiati, De Sciglio, Mexes, Zapata, Constant, Muntari, Flamini, Montolivo, Pazzini, Niang, El Shaaraway.
Chris, just got in there. Disappointing news about Balotelli. My first scorer bet will transfer to El Sharaaway
Tonight is already an utter disaster. And now, I find out Balotelli isn’t playing after betting on him as AGS, typical.
Not Pazzini? Shariaaway playing on wing and price cut to 9/2. Pazzini 6/1
Chris, El Sharaaway, even though I have difficulty spelling his name, won me loads before Balotelli arrived so I’ll stick with him.
Porto to win after 30 mins @ evs for me
Not touching fgs with Balotelli on bench. I’m sure he will come on so hopefully he nicks last goal
Chris G, a question…do you ever watch a full match/every know a ft score? ur nuts for quick fixs it seems…things like 1st GGs, to score in first 10mins, first booking after 15mins…your either very impatient of have the attention span of a goldfish! :-) ;-) no offense just an observation/make me smile Chris :-)
Paul I phoned Paddy Power earlier and asked to speak with Patrick Kennedy Chief Executive. The traders finally had the balls to tell me my account was restricted for bets. After boasting about a 15% surge in profits in the first quarter of the year I wanted him to explain why my account was restricted. After watching the undercover boss he keeps banging on about customers and how important they are blah blah blah. I’m going to ask him if he thinks this is the appropriate step to take for a customer who has had a veering account with them for over 10 years. Anyway it was quite funny cos I phoned and asked to speak to him. I was transferred to reception and then to his PA. I spoke like I knew him lol. His PA said he wasn’t available but she would get him to contact me on Monday morning. She asked me if I’d spoken to him before. I said oh yes he knows me well, I spoke to him a couple of weeks back. I then commented on the undercover boss etc. I told her it was in relation to the traders etc and a follow up on the tv show. Anyway she totally bought the whole thing and took my mobile etc. I look forward to the conversation with him on Monday. I will simply explain to him my annoyance and ask him to play up to the type of guy he portrays himself to be on the show. I’ll simply tell him that for every bet they restrict I will go into a shop and bet 3 x the amount I had originally intended. I would love Ambrose to score tomorrow just to rub it in.
Went into the Paddy Power shop today. Its a big airy shop and plenty of customers. Stuck a further £20 on fgs and £50 anytime.
You’ll sort him oot Chris!! ;-)
Chris, my PP contact wasn’t in today so hopefully he’ll come to me next week. If they price someone up at 50-1 surely they want to take bets on him.
Guido a mix of impatience and seeking out value ie Bayern Munich at home tomorrow @ 1/8 or to be winning after 30 mins @ evs. Which one would you rather have?
Personally Chris, I’d do neither. 90 min games can be dodgy enuff but at least you get a chance to redeem yourself if u make a mistake..over 10/15/30 mins that is almost non existant/a lot more of a risk to me?! win quick but lose quick as well…90 mins evens the luck up up a bit…36 league games more so/the best/most consistent team wins the league after all luck good bad and indifferet comes into place ya know? But that’s what u like to do so go furrit. :-)
And Pazzini it is, damn should have backed him
Chris, u tipped, I didn’t unfortunately.
Porto 1-0 up after 4 mins. Looking good for my evs bet
Mr F , won a super single comp. last month , do you know when I will get free bet
All recent bet365 winners should get their free bets next week if they’ve not got them already.
ok thanks
2-0 up, easy money
haha quality chris look forward to monday to see what he says :).
admin, av bn waiting since 8/2 so hopefully get it next wk
The way I see fitba Chris..its all about ebb n flow..all of us that played know that..no team goes at it for 100% for 90 mins..breathers/slowing down/the time to sustain/attack etc/ramp it up/a bad decision/deflection changes the flow etc. Similarly no team, however inferior they are perceived over the stronger, will awlways have their turn at being in the asacendancy for periods of the match. It might only be for a total of 15 mins in the whole match..but if they perform well in the opening period of a match when the stronger opposition still have oodles of time to “stem the flow” and turn it around/you don’t have the same urgency (as the favourite/stronger team)as you do later the match goes to get a result if its going against you ur chance of winning must obviously be reduced ya know? Human nature..we’re better than them and we know that the match last 90 mins so we’ll eventually over-run them scenario…
Once again Monaco bust me in sensational fashion, sick to the back teeth of backing these over rated over paid women. Dukla Praha, Randers, MONACO, Milan. Take out them and it might have been ok.
Snow finished yet Ross??
FRIDAY NIGHT DOGS
Aero Rebel 21:06 Rom 7/4 **WIN**
Borna Monty 21:24 Rom 1/1 **WIN**
————————–
DOUBLE
——-
Monaco (AWAY) @ 2.32 ( 1 – 1 ) **LOST**
Den Bosch (HOME) @ 1.91 ( 4 – 1 ) **WIN**
————————–
TIP OF THE DAY
Netherlands: five of Groningen’s last six Eredivisie home games have stayed Under 2.5 Goals and so have 4/6 NAC Breda away matches.
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.0 in Groningen v NAC Breda
( 1 – 1 ) ** WIN **
——————————
Mr F. Do you plan to cover your treble tonight by backing the draw or ossasuna in play?
Cheers.
Greig, hopefully you’ve not jinxed. I only do inrunning bets if I’m watching the game or have a massive amount riding on it. I was happy to let this one run and hope for the best. I did a decent single on Milan because I really liked them at the price and anytime bets on Martinez and Balotelli so just hoping Betis hang on.
2-1 betis. Was never in doubt! Took your treble but covered stake + a little extra by backing the draw in play when betis went2-1 up. Thanks.
I’m a feckin jinx!!!!!!!!
Nice one with Balotelli last goal. Those who backed him to score anytime with hills will feel hard done by.
Paul I backed 2-0 too @ 8/1 but forgot to post due to the Balotelli not starting distraction. Only stuck £10 on it though.
Chris, like you the teams news distracted me but although I took down the Balotelli to score tip from the site I’d already backed him any time. So while I was expecting it to be voif I got paid. In many ways though William Hill’s rules are fairer because if Balotelli played five minutes and didn’t score he’d be a loser with most firms.
Still can’t believe Ambrose is 50/1 and 17/1. Surprised Paddy has not cut the price. I’m just off the phone to Ambrose. He’s promised he won’t let me down. Only time will tell.
CURTLY AMBROSE was a fine cricketer but not sure he will score at Ross County……..
Chris, I see Lennon’s been banging on about how Ambrose has to improve his finishing after missing sitters in both legs against Juve. He’s getting into positions OK but needs to hit the target. Anyway hope he doesn’t miss the bus to Dingwall, that would be some taxi fare.
Said he’s going to display a t-shirt under his shirt saying Pow Pow Paddy
Paul can’t see Ambrose bring left out of the team due to the following:
Celtic will be without injured players Scott Brown, Emilio Izaguirre, Mikael Lustig, Adam Matthews, Georgios Samaras and Victor Wanyama.
Not only that Muzza…his custard and rice pudding is also nice with some tinned fruit!! :-) multi talented individual
And our man Ambrose will be looking to make amends after missing the bus and will want to prove a point to Lennon. Back him man, its all I can say.
I think Guy is talking about this http://www.ambrosewilson.com/shop/ seems to be where he gets his clothing from, SIZE 32 is it ? ;) ;)
Milesey
Can see Ross Couty beating Sellick 2moro…or at least avoiding defeat. No reason why not.
Guido, have you’ve been reading my Record column in the pub? You may just have correctly predicted my Super Single.
No sitting at home sober watching Alan Carr, Paul. Looking frward to decorating the tongue in laws living room 2moro..great Sat to look forward to…get the ear muffs looked out. Did u go RC win or not to lose then?
Milan/Wrexham double at betfred’s enhanced 7/2, not sure if it’ll be void or if they’ll pay me for the Milan result.
Balotelli 1st goal/Porto double, down from £30 return to £6.11 return because of Balo not starting
Betis to win @ evens
All winners, none as big as could have been but winners are winners.
Going NBA again tonight with Spurs game under 202, Lakers game over 206 and Houston +2.
Oh and Guido’s tip on Velez of course
Hope so Weordie!
Weordie, the Milan/Wrexham double will be paid as a Milan single.
Backed your treble tonight mr f
Good call
Thanks
Tam, thanks for that. Nice 11-2 shot, happy Betis hung on but was confident about Milan and Porto.
Milesey size 32 for a couple of years back, I’ve just resorted to wrapping my body in bed sheets now.
any good tips tonite/morning. looking for a good double or treble.
Milesey, AC, Muzza, Guido, Mr F???
Saturday’s Chipping Norton Stakes at Warwick Farm (05:20 GMT).
Sydney’s champion trainer Chris Waller will saddle nearly half the field in Saturday’s G1 Chipping Norton Stakes over 1600m at Warwick Farm.
The eagerly awaited first Group 1 of the Sydney autumn carnival has assembled a quality line up of milers from Sydney, Melbourne and New Zealand.
last year’s winner Shoot Out is the best chance of Waller’s six runners, the gelding attempting back to back victories to join Tie The Knot, Super Impose, Carbon Copy, Katanga and Lough Neagh as the only previous winners to achieve this feat since the first running in 1925. For Waller, he will be attempting his third straight win in the race, Danleigh, also engaged today, having won the 2011 renewal.
A four-time Group 1 winner, Shoot Out has an impressive CV. The winner of the AJC Derby as a three-year-old, Shoot Out’s last two wins at Group 1 level have both come over 1600m, the 2012 Chipping Norton Stakes and 2012 George Main Stakes. In fact his record at 1600m is very good and also includes the Randwick Guineas as a three-year-old, his overall statistic for the distance is three wins and two placings from seven runs. Waller has elected to run Shoot Out first up over the 1600m today, something that is not foreign to the galloper.
Last campaign Shoot Out resumed with a win in the G1 George Main Stakes at Randwick running to a Timeform rating of 126, equal to his career master figure, and Waller clearly has set the gelding the same assignment. The only difference in his preparation for today compared to last campaign is that Shoot Out has had one less barrier trial, two instead of three. But then last campaign he was coming off a longer break from racing, so I don’t see that as a negative.
Shoot Out only had three runs last campaign and all were full of merit. Apart from his fresh up win, he was seventh in the G1 Epsom Handicap under 58kgs behind Fat Al and fifth in the G1 Cox Plate behind Ocean Park. Shoot Out will again be ridden by Hugh Bowman who has been aboard him in every start in the last twelve months. I can see the duo getting all the favours from his low draw and if he runs to form will take plenty of holding out.
The dangers are Manighar and King Mufhasa.
The Peter Moody-trained Manighar also kicks off his autumn campaign following an aborted spring after just two runs due to injury. The one time UK-trained galloper has blossomed under Moody’s care, last autumn winning three group one races in succession. No doubt he flourishes at this time of the year but importantly his fresh up form since joining Moody has been impressive. In two fresh up runs Manighar has won the Carlyon Cup over 1600m and was just beaten in the Makybe Diva Stakes also over 1600m. That augers well for his prospects. Moody’s Sydney stable rider Josh Parr will ride Manighar for the first time but he will need to deliver a top ride to offset the 14 barrier draw at the tricky 1600m Warwick farm start.
Manighar has shown he has tactical speed in the past but Parr is more likely to look for cover as there does look to be good pace in the race.
And that should come mainly from ten time New Zealand group one winner King Mufhasa who comes into the race with the advantage of two group one Melbourne weight for age runs under his belt behind All Too Hard over 1400m. The six time winner at 1600m was slightly disappointing fresh up in the Orr Stake when having his first start for a new stable, but improved sharply last start finishing third in the Futurity Stakes after doing some work early then trailing the leader Glass Harmonium. Timeform rated 123, I can see King Mufhasa getting his own way in the lead this afternoon and if Jason Collett can get a couple of cheap sectionals, his superior fitness level could see him hard to run down around the Warwick Farm track.
Another kiwi Silent Achiever is second up from a spell but has bigger targets later this autumn. However her class alone ensures she stays under notice as a winning prospect. The classy mare will be aiming to join Tuesday Joy as the only mares to have won the Chipping Norton Stakes in the last 25 years. Winner of the New Zealand Derby (2400m) last autumn, Silent Achiever then ventured across to Sydney for the ATC Derby but after a luckless third in the G1 Rosehill Guineas she lost form finishing sixth behind Ethiopia. After a spell, she was taken to Melbourne in the spring for a brief campaign winning the G2 Crystal Mile defeating Rangirangdoo running to a Timeform rating of 114p.
Silent Achiever raced once since a spell coming into today’s race finishing fourth at Ellerslie in open company over 1400m under 61kgs, rating below form on 113. Her current master rating sits at 117 so I expect her to improve further and is well capable of causing an upset.
Back Shoot Out @ $5.50 (05:20 GMT)
Under The Sun has his second run back from a spell in the Pro-Ride Benchmark 87 Handicap (1600m) and appears to have one hoof on the till. The Gai Waterhouse-trained gelding was excellent resuming at Rosehill where he only narrowly missed out on a first up success over 1200m. During Under The Sun’s past two Australian preparations, the ex New Zealand-based galloper has run his best campaign figures when rising to 1500m and while untested over a mile, there should be no concerns surrounding the four-year-olds ability to run out the 1600m. Under The Sun should be fitter for that eye catching first up run and looks the clear standout in the event. Enhancing his chances are an inside barrier and the addition of Nash Rawiller who has a good record on the No Excuse Needed gelding.
Mid Summer Music is capable of showing her class on resuming in the Group 3 Liverpool City Cup (1300m). The 2012 Stradbroke Handicap winner wrapped up her late spring campaign with a Listed success in the Kevin Heffernan Stakes (1300m) at Sandown and believe she can pick up where she left off on Saturday. The Peter Moody-trained mare has a fantastic first up record and the seven-year-olds stats over the distance also auger well for her chances.
Bennetta should prove hard to beat in the Group 2 Surround Stakes (1400m). The Grahame Begg-trained filly could not have been more impressive in the Light Fingers Stakes (1200m) last start and takes on many of the same rivals she comfortably accounted for on that occasion. Bennetta gave the impression last start she would lap up the seven furlongs on offer here as she ran through the line well while her resounding win at the Gold Coast over 1300m shouldn’t be forgotten either.
All at Warwick Farm (all times GMT)
Back Under The Sun @ $2.36 in the 03:55
Back Mid Summer Music @ $5.50 in the 04:35
Back Bennetta @ $2.46 in the 06:00
Independiente v Godoy Cruz – 00:15
Independiente are big favourites for this one at 2.32 but despite their obvious improvements this season it is hard to see where this price comes from.
El Rojo have won two and lost two this season, but neither of their wins were particularly impressive, coming up against a very disappointing Racing side in the derby and a lacklustre Vélez after a tough midweek in Libertadores.
More importantly though, they are missing two absolutely key players in Daniel ‘Rolfi’ Montenegro and Cristian Tula which will significantly weaken their side ahead of a difficult game.
Godoy Cruz have been the early surprise package of the season, with Martín Palermo’s first venture into management going surprisingly well.
They are unbeaten and sat in third after two wins and two draws, although it’s fair to say that their assignments so far haven’t been the most testing, with all of their opponents thus far being found in the bottom half of the table.
That said, you can only beat what is put in front of you, and they’ll find a weakened Independiente side a great opportunity to keep this good form going, with their defensive base looking solid enough to deal with most comers in this division.
On price alone, Godoy Cruz represent all of the value in this one, so whether it’s laying Independiente at 2.36 or getting on the visitors’ side of the handicap, we expect el titán’s good start to management to continue.
Lay Independiente 2.36
Arnie, my top tips will be up at 7am, all my other tips on the usual markets have been posted. Milesey’s put up comments throughout the day.
Arnie, I fancy Ross County not to lose at around 13/8 or if yer very brave win at 7/1 bit more speculative of course thrown in. Late Italian game I like Udinese to beat Roma 19/10 ish. Think I;ll do that pair n maybe one other n add Mf F’s super single perhaps as wont get any peace with the tongue giving giein mr gyp while decorating to enjoy the SSN. Might do a Milesey treble/yankee on the nags
Any idea how the game is going Guido? My bet365 has had belgrano taking a throw in for the last 20mins
Milesey you do know its late at night and my eyes are tired, just give me the darn tips, hahahahaha
thanks much appreciated
Danny you around ?
Any tips for these two games?
Sydney v Central Coast
08:45 Brisbane v Melbourne V
Milesey
Brisbane Roar vs Melbourne Victory
Saturday 08:45
Saturday morning’s clash at the Suncorp Stadium pits two sides against each other with very different agendas. With the visitor’s Finals place all but sealed, coach Postecoglou will take a relaxed team to Brisbane with little to fight for. However with a chasing pack breathing down their neck for the all-important sixth spot, the Roar will need to produce one of their performances of the season to take three points from the side lying in third place.
Taking seven points from their last three fixtures, the Roar have found a snippet of form at the right time. Only four match days remain in this campaign before the final series and keeping hold of their sixth spot is a must for Mike Mulvey’s boys, if anything is to be salvaged from this disappointing season.
Striker Besart Berisha has come close to replicating the form that won him the Golden Boot last year, but he is seven goals shy of last year’s tally, with a strong end to the season considered a must if the Roar are going to be celebrating come the end of April.
Victory have had a consistent regular season without hitting the heights they have sometimes threatened. Lying in third place for the majority of the campaign after a less than impressive start, Postecoglou’s side have continued to struggle to put together a solid winning run, seeing them drop below the pace now set by the Wanderers and Mariners.
The main news this week surrounded Victory’s marquee player Marcos Flores who has been left out of this weekend’s squad to face the Roar due to injury. Postecoglou has come out this week saying: “We really need to get him back training a whole week. It would be silly of us to try and rush people back at this stage.”
With the Roar seemingly finding their feet at this late stage of the season, expect the hosts to come out fighting against an unenthused Victory outfit. A comfortable home win could well be on the cards.
Back Brisbane Roar @ 2.06
Back 3-1 @ 16.5
Heerenveen vs PSV
Saturday 17:45
The leaders of the Eredivisie travel to the Abe Lenstra Stadium in search of three points to cement their position at the top of the Dutch tree. With a less than convincing win over struggling VVV last weekend, the Boeren will be looking to turn on the style again with an emphatic victory which was prominent at the start of this years’ campaign.
Marco van Basten’s Heerenveen have struggled to find any consistency this season. Finishing fifth in last year’s Eredivisie, hopes were high for De Superfriezen coming into this campaign, but with the side yo-yoing between thirteenth and fourteenth position all year, they currently find themselves at their peak in ninth place.
With back-to-back wins and a victory over Twente, there could well be a late siege on the teams above them in the European spots and the player that has kept them in with a chance is prolific ‘Iceman’ striker Alfreo Finnbogason. After making a move from Helsingborgs in the summer, the 24 year old has hit the ground running scoring 19 goals in 22 appearances, only being outscored by Vitesse’s danger man Wilfried Bony.
With a two-point lead over Ajax and three over Feyenoord, PSV know how crucial it is to keep on top of the pile as we approach the business end of the season. Averaging 3.2 goals a match in the league, Dick Advocaat is spoilt for choice when it comes to his attacking options.
With Mertens, Matavz, and Wijnaldum hitting double figures this campaign they would seem the obvious combination, but with Lens also on nine and pressure from Dutch youngsters Narsingh and Locadia for a starting place, it’s fair to say that Dick will have a lot to consider come Saturday evening.
With Ajax and Feyenoord having seemingly easy ties against bottom of the table sides this weekend, the Red and White Army will know the importance of this fixture and will accept nothing less than all three points.
Back PSV to win @ 1.6
0-0 at ht Weordie. 56/44 percent in favour of Velez…looking the most threatening
I understand you are z very man Paul esoecialky Fridays. But aoireciate opinion or anyone fir that matter.
I bet balla to score anytime and ac to win on enhanced wincast. William hills have credited my account with stake, and bet says void. I understand balla didn’t start but surely in wrong ti do this?
Any opinion or insight would appreciated gents
Thanks
Seamus, William Hill rules are clear and as I’ve said before quite fair in my opinion when it comes to anytime scorer. However, if you do a wincast and the scorer part is void my view would be that they pay put on an AC Milan win single.
nice treble in again paul, never backed it but was on last wknds :) hopefully gt it up again tomorrow. had milan in a 4fold in comp tho so need, gills watford everton now.
worth another £5 in play on them at nearly 3/1?
id say they look a wee bit more threatening Weordie…ya know? Goals we need tho
Just read previous post ma. Was discussing with pal Scott who just text chris said something in regard to this.
Would you say I have a right of complaint as dint want to make an arse if just myself? And thank you for such quick reply.
If dong win will be gutted lol – woke up to text saying well done and realised that. Back to sleep fir work early start! Not great HA
NEED A TRANSLATER FOR THIS ONE??? Jeez zzz!
haha..more than a translator Muzza..a degree in phychology n mental disorders would be useful!!! :-)
I agree that William Hills rules are more fair. Like Mr Fixit I would have expected them to settle in AC Milan to single but maybe they can’t do this as it was an enhanced price for win cast. Player prob had to start or bet void. Ive been stung with other bookies backing someone to score anytime and they come on in injury time therefore I lose. Its really unfair do by William hill voiding bets they are not given an unfair advantage. I only knew this was the rules with them a few months ago. I dread to think if bets I’ve thrown away. As far as I’m aware Willism Hill are the only bookie that do this.
Mr F , thanks your tips are standard will put them in the morning, was looking for some tips to put on while i go to bed and wake up to a full bank.
I was just kidding with Milesey, just having some fun.
Is Danny awake?
Sorry fir typos iPhones can be infuriating at times
Arnie your bank account will be full if you stick on Ambrose anytime and wake up at 4:45pm. Just a suggestion….
Cheers chris mate. Appreciated
Just find it weird. In all honesty though I don’t think I would be complaining if he came off bench and never scored.
As I said the other night – god fir if I ever win LOL
Took a flyer on 3/1 in play, come on Valez
Chris guy, am way ahead of you, stuck that bet log time ago, that 50/1 was too good to pass.
Paul I know but I kinda think Lennon being a littke harsh on Ambrose to be honest. Yes he should have done better but lets not forget he is a defender and has already scored a couple of goals. He poses a threat in the air with set pieces. Are you backing him Paul.
Muzza its these bloody iPhones!
Arnie I’ve been telling people to back Ambrose since Wed
Seamus they should pay out on the single though, get it checked out.
ok after some research, am going with Brisbane Roar and Central Coast Mariners double, and hope to wake up to some cash. bash the bookies
Ah well Guido, always next time. Cheers anyway dude
I’m glad they at least lost right at the end there
GODOY CRUZ WIN 1-0 ;) ;) ** WINNER **
Milesey
Independiente v Godoy Cruz – 00:15
Independiente are big favourites for this one at 2.32 but despite their obvious improvements this season it is hard to see where this price comes from.
El Rojo have won two and lost two this season, but neither of their wins were particularly impressive, coming up against a very disappointing Racing side in the derby and a lacklustre Vélez after a tough midweek in Libertadores.
More importantly though, they are missing two absolutely key players in Daniel ‘Rolfi’ Montenegro and Cristian Tula which will significantly weaken their side ahead of a difficult game.
Godoy Cruz have been the early surprise package of the season, with Martín Palermo’s first venture into management going surprisingly well.
They are unbeaten and sat in third after two wins and two draws, although it’s fair to say that their assignments so far haven’t been the most testing, with all of their opponents thus far being found in the bottom half of the table.
That said, you can only beat what is put in front of you, and they’ll find a weakened Independiente side a great opportunity to keep this good form going, with their defensive base looking solid enough to deal with most comers in this division.
On price alone, Godoy Cruz represent all of the value in this one, so whether it’s laying Independiente at 2.36 or getting on the visitors’ side of the handicap, we expect el titán’s good start to management to continue.
Lay Independiente 2.36
Good Morning Lads struggling to call the the A league games but I have a sneeky feeling Sydney might do the business against central coast looking at Sydneys last 5 home they have won them all while Central Coast havnt been as deadly as at home last 5 w1 d2 l2.
Defending Champions Brisbane should beat Melbourne Victory both on form that’s nothing to brag about reasoning behind it they tend to get the better of Victory in h2h last 5 w3 d 2 at home
Predictions
Sydney/Brisbane Double around the 7/1 mark
Of form Central still a threat so maybe
Sydney +1 an Brisbane Double around the 3/1 mark
anytime goal scorers double DelPiro 7/4 paddypower and Berisha (Brisbane) 11/10 paddypower
the 7/1 double looking pretty good wae Sydney 2 up in the derby should possibly have posted were people would have seen it
Strange tip Lisa? ;-)