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EASTER Sunday brings with it some good quality racing, particularly from Ireland where I have two fancies running at Fairyhouse.
There is also some good stuff at Plumpton and I'll have a particular interest in the Sussex Champion Hurdle (3.25pm) because I have recently acquired an ownership share (albeit a very small one!) in the current market leader Legal History. He has a decent chance but I think he is a bit short in the market at the current price of 3-1 so won't be recommending him as one of my racing tips today. If he drifts to something like 5-1 he might be worth a punt because he will enjoy the ground and is in great form but it's a very competitive race and he will need to improve again to win it.
Over at Fairyhouse my two fancies are both currently double-figure odds and would make a nice each way double.
2.20pm Fairyhouse
The runner that I like in this is CHRISTOPHER ROBIN trained by Joseph O'Brien. His form isn't anything special but what I really liked was the way he looked to have been beaten two or three times on his last run before plugging on and winning nicely. That's the sort of attitude that should stand him in good stead over hurdles and he looks a fair each way bet to me on ground that he likes.
2.50pm Fairyhouse
The bookies seem to think that this one is between Honeysuckle and Eglantine Du Seuil and that's a fair assumption to make given the former's early season form and the latter's shock win at Cheltenham. The form that ANNIE MC showed last time out though at Newbury is also pretty good and it's eye-catching for me that Jonjo O'Neill Jr heads over for to Fairyhouse for just one ride. Jon Jr won a race on Saturday at Haydock on Django Django that was just excellent jockeyship: the horse looked beaten three out but he somehow coaxed him into the race and ended up winning it nicely. Anyway, perhaps there is some recency bias in my mind with that one but to see him going over for this race where he is on a form horse with a competitive rating makes me think he has a decent chance of upsetting the front two.
I have not inspected any market rivals as I am not at a PC however TICKS THE BOXES 5/1 in the last at Southell is running off 39 assuming there is no minimum weight to carry. If this is the case he deserves to be bet on, the card suggests his 7lb claimers allowance will be in affect… it’s his first outing for Brian Ellison. He lost to a horse who seems to be a Southell specialist, that horse has gone up 8lbs since, winning twice, beating Socialist Red off level weights and on that form, given TTB lost by 2l when 3lb higher, he must have a chance to beat SR given he is 20lbs lower, or at least 13 if I am wrong. TTB albeit 2 years ago was winning off marks of 70.
Good spot database. His claimer can do a weight of 7st9lb so he should be there or thereabout. Certainly looks well handicapped if he isn’t gone at the game.
have read on BHA that 8st is the minimum so i am still unsure, he has an excellent chance if like you say he isn’t gone at the game and gets 7st9, and has a .. chance, at 8st, best of luck with your selection, i’m on with you.
April -4.6
Great day out yesterday ? Well done all winners
Ffos Las
14:15 oriental cross 7/2 1pt win
15:45 satoshi 8/1 1pt win
Market rasen
2:00 mon port 6/4 2pt win
15:30 larch hill 7/4 2pt win
16:05 midnight chill 2/1 1pt win
16:40 Astracad 9/2 1pt win
I like Alans two tips posted above. I am going to add Kildorrery in the 3:50 to a patent.
My NAP today is Mystic Knight in the 2:35 at Southwell.
Maybe those four in a Lucky 15
i didn’t realise this wasn’t alan’s thread either.. :D
OK I’ll try to make it clearer.
i think it was just the fact i/we weren’t expecting a VoV thread and as it was the first to be put up, i/we didn’t see there was another until coming back later, all good :D
Morning all
Been a while but hopefully back with a winner following some info I’m happy to pass on
4.15 Cork Whiskey Sour is fully expected to win
Bit shorter than I would like at 6/4 but could add to your own fancies for doubles and trebles
Gel all
Be lucky