YOU can't really be unlucky in betting – you can only be wrong. But on Sunday I did feel hard done by.
Both my accumulators were beaten by one – Nice failing to net in a 5-0 home defeat to Lyon beat the both to score treble and Man City conceding to Huddersfield downed the Top Treble.
A first Super Single double on Roma and Napoli was in ruins the minute Daniele de Rossi was sent off at Genoa who scored from the spot.
And then there was the second Super Single. After Celtic's Betfred Cup Final team was announced I added two tips to my preview – Moussa Dembele to score first and a red card in the match.
I decided to add one of those to the top tips and of course picked Dembele who scored second. Cedric Kipre was sent off conceding the penalty Dembele scored from and he probably felt as unlucky as me for just about blowing Scott Sinclair to the deck.
Well done to anyone who managed any winners.
I've picked myself up faster than Sinky hit the floor and will be studying Monday's games in the morning before putting up at least one tip.
QPR tackle Brentford in the Championship, Espanyol face Getafe in Spain and in Serie A it's Atalanta at home to Benevento who are still pointless after 13 games. Atalanta are no bigger than 2-7 to win and 9-7 from 188Bet for them -2 Asian looks on.
For a Super Single double I've decided to go with Atalanta & over 2.5 match goals and Brentford not to lose at QPR.
Atalanta haven't been as good or as high scoring as last season but Thursday's 5-1 win at Everton was impressive and will have lifted their confidence.
They have lost just once at home though and netted 14 in seven while Benevento have conceded 15 in six on the road. Benevento have netted in their last four defeats including strikes at Lazio and Juventus so it's possible they could contribute to overs.
Brentford have lost just once in 11 and head to a QPR side with defensive concerns and Ian Holloway could be without the services of six defenders. The Bees have lost one in 11 – at Cardiff – and have won four out of five against Rangers including a 4-1 EFL Cup win back in August.
Elsewhere there is a full Jupiler League cards where goals are usually guaranteed and Greg has posted thoughts on those as well as a Belgian Reserve League goals tip.
Last Friday all Jupiler League games went over 2.5 goals. It's unlikely to come in two in a row but I've picked out three fixtures that could do so.
2pts Super Single (both 7.45pm)
- Atalanta & over 2.5 goals
- Brentford not to lose
- (6-4, Coral)
2pts Over 2.5 Goals Treble (all 7pm)
- Almere v Waalwijk
- Go Ahead Eagles v Jong Utrecht
- Den Bosch v De Graafschap
- (5-2, Ladbrokes)
November Super Singles Total
- Profit: 5pts (20 bets, 9 winners)
November Advised Accas Total
- Profit: -6.5pts (33 bets, 9 winners)
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MOndays goal tip 1
Lokomotiv Moscow o1.5 tgs 10/11 bet 365
After getting a double up on my penalty trixie yesterday i am hoping to go one better today.
Penalty at ATALANTA / ESPANYOL/ Q.P.R. 3 x doubles and 1 x treble. All three up 105/1 WilliamHill.
S.Moscow vs Z.Pertersburg
BTTS&OVER 2.5
WINNER!
Monday goals tip 2
Atalanta o1.5tgs
Qpr v Brentford o1.5mgs
Jong Ajax v Dordrecht o2.5mgs
27/25 bet 365
November total -13.2pts
BRAGA + ATLANTA + MIDJTLAAND 6/4 w/hill . 4points
All Dutch games went over 2.5 last Friday. 10 games tonight got to be worth a punt
yeah was looking at that as well, only comes to about 30/1 ish, might jump on them in play
aarron it is about 60/1 on bet365 mate.
def worth another shot
another bet i like doing on these games is after they’re in play, after 10-15 mins, i get on Over 1.5 mgls in all games as odds will have increased, if there’s already been a goal then i just pick Over 2.5 mgls for that game, have to do it quite quickly so its easier with bet365 / skybet as they have fairly quick interfaces.
this is what i did on friday for these Dutch games, all Over 1.5 mgls in play, and got just under 10/1 which won.
Mondays goal tip 1
Lokomotiv Moscow o1.5 tgs 10/11 bet 365
WINNER ✅
93rd min pen ???
Check out the pen on Flashscore. Keeper saves it, rebound is hit against the crossbar, and then the penalty taker knocks it in. Mental!
Cesena v Brescia BTTS, Reims to Score
Both Cesena and Brescia have netted at least once in their last 5 games. H2Hs for BTTS are favourable. Reims flying high in Ligue 2 are decent at home – Auxerre are poor on the road … so hopefully Reims should score.
Midtjylland Win & BTTS 13/8 – half stake
Strong at home scoring in every game and winning the last 4 – scoring at least 2. However they have also conceded in the last 7 home games. AGF are not great on the road but did manage a brace against Nordsjaelland away. They play a similar open game to Midtjylland – bit of a Man city last season mentality – we will out score you!
GL all today
Genk, Oostende, Club Brugge Reserves > 2.5 MGS 1.7/1 – half stake
Inplay
Oxin alborz to score 2nd half 11/10
Currently 1-1 but home side putting on some pressure
25mins to go
Won
EGYPT – DIVISION 1 – 12.45pm
Petrojet v El Raja Marsa Matruh
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Victor)
***************************
EGYPT – DIVISION 1 – 6pm
Zamalek SC v Misr El Makasa
2-3 Match Goals
2.05 (Bet Victor)
***************************
ARGENTINA – SUPERLIGA – 10.15pm
Velez Sarsfield v Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet Stars)
***************************
3 x 0.5pt Doubles
4.31
4.05
4.00
1 x 0.5pt Treble
8.00
***************************
Holland Eerste Divisie 19:00
FC Oss vs PSV Reserves – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
Holland Eerste Divisie 19:00
Helmond Sport vs Fortuna Sittard – over 4.5 first half Asian corners
England Championship 19:45
QPR vs Brentford – over 5.0 first half Asian corners
Womens International 20:00
France Women vs Sweden Women – over 9.0 Asian corners
4-Fold 10.54/1 Bet365 **NAP**
Good luck all
Can’t see all the dutch games going over so I’ve left a few out and hope I’ve pick the right ones. Free fivers on these, will be happy with the RAB double
A goal & 4+ corners each half at Atalanta & QPR returns £31 Skybet
Over 2.5 gls at Almere, Den Bosch, Eindhoven, GAE, Jong Ajax, Oss, Wohlen, Midtjylland & Atalanta returns £218
3- 1 all dutch going over 1.5
i,ll be on this
Inplay
Dempo ht win 10/11
Won
Putting my week 3 bet 3up now
Everton btts&over 2.5mgls@6/4,Skybet
Both struggling but return of Moyes back with the Hammers, hopefully lots of action and both teams in recent weeks finding it hard to keep clean sheets,understandably bookies going unders but can’t see either side sitting back as points are needed
£150 returns £375
Eastwood y 150? Is that your max stake
Morning gents
It’s Monday so it means Sint Truiden are in action which usually means goals
KV Oostende Res v St Truiden 6.30
My Belgium favourites travel to play a KV side who have been in terrific form of late and I don’t see them keeping a clean sheet here. Matches between the sides have been terrific for goals with the last four ending 5-2 2-2 3-2 3-1. Should see another high scoring games with both sides contributing
Back over 3.5 match goals 1/1 (Bet365) (NAP)
*****************************
Can’t find prices on the Scottish Development league east matches – it may appear inplay
If it does back the Stirling v Berwick match at 8pm
Over 3.5 match goals
****************************
We have a full Eerste Divisie card
All matches went over 2.5 goals on Friday at 40/1
65/1 for the same feat tonight and is always worth doing for some loose change
There are 5 matches that will have 1st goal time markets so will have some small stakes at 10 mins and 30 mins
Thanks for the detailed post Greg, and info, will be that Belgium Reserve pick, and let’s hope we have a repeat of Friday’s Dutch results
Belgium game postponed.
Telstar
Almere
Over 2.5mgs Double 6/5
Followed these threads for a couple of years, hardly ever post as I daren’t trust my own tips, but have happily been putting over2.5 accas on the dutch jupiler league for a couple of years now. Always close, another bet I like to do is a goal in both halves with skybet on all the games as this is regularly as close as the overs bet and gives similar odds, about 20/1 for 7 games, up to 35/1 ish for 10 games. Was happily on the overs on friday and one game was missing a first half goal for a bumper payout so always worth a shout! Plus bet365 seem to give better odds, got 66/1 for the overs on friday.
good on you for posting then. that’s good tip on the goal in both halves for this league, might give it a shot myself. Also 66/1 is huge for these fixtures
Looks a good shout.
Finchy never tried this one. Will give it a go tonight.
Atalanta v Benevento
both teams to score at 21/20 (NAP)
Benevento have scored in their last four games and don’t seem to have a problem notching against the big sides scoring at home v Lazio and away to Juventus which leads me to believe they can score here against a tired Atalanta side.
Over 4.5 goals at 11/4 (NB)
Good luck whatever your on.
Belgium Reserve League 18:30
Antwerp Reserves vs Mouscron-Peruwelz Reserves – over 8.5 Asian corners
England Championship 19:45
QPR vs Brentford – over 1.0 first half goal line
Spain Primera Liga 20:00
Espanyol vs Getafe – Getafe goal before 72:00
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana 20:00
Sportivo Barracas vs Berazategui – over 4.0 first half Asian corners
4-Fold 8.25/1 Bet365 **NB**
Good luck all
Finchy, a man after my own heart ⚽️??
Good luck fella
typo, goals in both halves is 55/1, and I started doing it because of you greg I think, way back when mentioning dutch leagues for goals whilst throwing up the odd easy goals acca, plenty more of them now like. Enjoying the early Serie B goals in Italy.
I see McLeish’s price is now 1/3 with SKYBET. Looks like my wager on McInnes may be gone then.
Your bet on McInnes has definitely gone. He said on Friday he had no interest in the Rangers job and his future was at Aberdeen.
I think if there isn’t a manger appointed by the 30th november then stake returned lets hope for that but the way this has gone he will be appointed before then.
Nothing’s gone until they make an appointment.
Like McInnes the new favourite McLeish says he’s had no contact from Rangers.
Missed out yesterday as the majority of my shortlist came in, which is unfortunate but that’s how it goes. Hope there were plenty of winners across the site.
A bit to like tonight but I’m taking it easy stakes wise. Particularly fancy the clash of two of the better sides in Israel for my main bet. Beitar haven’t played in a number of weeks, which is a concern. However, they have been the highest scorers in the league so far and Beer Sheva have just 3 clean sheets from 13 away games in all competitions.
6 of the last 7 meetings at Beitar have seen BTTS land and Beitar have scored in all but one home game this calendar year. Beer Sheva should be the fresher side, but hopefully Beitar are at it and both sides net.
Beitar Jerusalem v Hapoel Beer Sheva
BTTS @ 8/11 (Unibet)
_________________
Half Stake:
Atalanta
Nijmegen
O1.5 Team Goals Double @ 19/20 (Various)
____________________________________
Quarter stake:
Telstar v Nijmegen
Jong AZ v Volendam
Go Ahead Eagles v Jong Utrecht
O2.5 Match Goals Treble @ 11/5 (Bwin)
_________________________________
Good luck all!
I got 4-5 beitar btts Leroy.
These 2 are in the top 40 btts teams around the world in games/btts percentage.
Beitar have 8-10 or 80%
Hapoel have 7-10 or 70%.
For info based on 28061 games played across world leagues this season 13918 have been btts or an average of 49.8 % btts. So beitar and hapoel should score,
Clyde top the list with 92.31% or 12 btts in 13 games.
2 teams in the Dutch juniper league almere and go ahead eagles are placed 5th and 6th with 85.7 % btts or 12-14 and they play today.
Both are priced 1-2 btts
Trencin who are 3rd in the list with 87.5% or 14-16 btts play tomorrow at zemplin in the Slovenian league but btts is priced accordingly at 8-13.
Bet Mr fixit has watched all 28061 games ??
TOP OSS + TELSTAR + ST TRUDENSE + GENT + CHARLEROI ALL OVERS 4/1 bet365
Atlanta -2 goals
AC Cessna vs brescia calico over 2.5 goals
Fortuna dusseldorf over 1.5 team goals
Teramo calico vs Sambenedettese btts
16/1
€50 raja casablanca game over 0.5 fhg returns €76.66
nite owl LOST no boca away goal………. tops off a miserable weekend
Massive West Lancs derby tonight and if you get the right wind direction, you can smell the pie and pickled cabbage on the breeze…
ATHERTON COLLIERIES VS. BAMBER BRIDGE:
Northern Challenge Cup action here as these two bastions of modern culture collide – some games bring glitter and glamour, some add a dash of style and panache but it’s more clogs and incest here…oh, and maybe some goals.
Atherton’s form interests me the most – their last 10 games have seen the following goals totals:
2-3-6-4-6-5-3-1-5-4.
Whilst high-flying BB can’t quite match that, their games are hardly sluggish and it’s worth noting that a. their fotm has slipped of late seei g them concede in most games and b. 6 of their last 9 mat hes have seen 4 or more match goals.
One selection:
GL 3.5…1.900
????
Best of luck.
Did Andy coal play for Atherton collieries ??
Not as a professional but he was part of their Youth setup as a minor.
Could say he was a cole minor, sorry I’ll get my coat
Leave now please, and don’t darken our doors ever again.
If true McLeish will only be in til the end of the season to steady tge sinking ship
game starting at 6pm 4th play top kaisrslautern 11 v fc 08 homburg.looks a nail on btts.BUT the bet i like is btts first half b365 3/1.gl
evening hull, there yer go again just randomly makin gems up……………
only wan pie a kin smell and its thee………………
craig, very succinct analogy there summing up the rangers situation………… join hull as another pie lol…………..
KV Oostende U21 v Sint-Truidense U21 Must be called off as it’s settled as void!
postponed
all 10 dutch overs 42/1
before Friday went overs all 10 were 56/1 on wh so in a fair bit, I got greedy and took Alkmaar overs too to make it 80/1 hopefully no missed the bus this season and lightening strikes twice………..
Think St Truidense game has been postponed
tonite
Cesena btts & overs 11/8
atalanta btts, Stourbridge overs, Getafe to score 4/1
GL all with a bet on……………..
One for tommorrow night.
Watford v Man Utd
Watford double chance at 5/4 (NAP)
Watford to win at 19/4
Expect a tough game for the visitors here,after watching Man Utd v Brighton this should be a walkover for the hosts.
Watford obviously stand out but remember their home form has been poor.
Booo.
Atherton vs. Bamber Bridge off game – apparently someone double parked their whippets outside the main gate and the team traction engine couldn’t get in.
Must be the slag on the mountain causing bother again !!
LEROY
Good write up on this mate.
1-0 beitar 52 mins
1-1 55 mins
Then 2 red cards
Glad they came after the goals
££££££
The stats were correct and these 2 will moving further up the Btts super league
Beitar 9 in 11 games
Hapoel beet shavers 8 in 11 games.
2 to put in your Btts trackers ?
Cheers Elvis. A little short of luck elsewhere but always nice when the main punt lands. Jealous of you nabbing it at 4/5. ;)
I remember in history – and yes I went to skool – we covered the Battle of Bamber Bridge in history.
Don’t remember any whippets though. I more of a geography man.
And there’s me thinking that town was named in honour bamber Gascoigne and Wayne bridge’s civil partnership.
Obviously we are better educated north of the border.
Brentford RT9 8/13
Atalanta & Brentford to score in 2nd half, Oss over 1.5 gls 13/10
Telstar
Almere
Over 2.5mgs Double 6/5 **WON** not greatest odds but take that all day long
Hope all the Dutch games go over now
No joy with my penalty trixie. Not even close. Still not to worry.
Well done to any one who got a winner.
ATLANTA + BRAGA + MIDJTLLAND 6/4 w/hill . 4points WIN
N1 Micky chucked a score at this myself ??
?
TOP OSS + TEL STAR + CHARLEROI + GENT + ST TRUDINSE 4/1 bet365 WIN . ST TRUDINSE VOID
Monday goals tip 2
Atalanta o1.5tgs
Qpr v Brentford o1.5mgs
Jong Ajax v Dordrecht o2.5mgs
27/25 bet 365
LOST ❌✅✅
Only the 1 from
Atalanta surprisingly
Holland Eerste Divisie 19:00
FC Oss vs PSV Reserves – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (lost)
Holland Eerste Divisie 19:00
Helmond Sport vs Fortuna Sittard – over 4.5 first half Asian corners (lost)
England Championship 19:45
QPR vs Brentford – over 5.0 first half Asian corners (won)
Womens International 20:00
France Women vs Sweden Women – over 9.0 Asian corners (won)
4-Fold 10.54/1 Bet365 **NAP** LOST
——————————————————————————————————————
Belgium Reserve League 18:30
Antwerp Reserves vs Mouscron-Peruwelz Reserves – over 8.5 Asian corners (won)
England Championship 19:45
QPR vs Brentford – over 1.0 first half goal line (lost)
Spain Primera Liga 20:00
Espanyol vs Getafe – Getafe goal before 72:00 (lost)
Argentina Primera C Metropolitana 20:00
Sportivo Barracas vs Berazategui – over 4.0 first half Asian corners (push)
4-Fold 8.25/1 Bet365 **NB** LOST
Nothing doing, well done all winners
Mcinnes back to being favourate 8/13 Mcleish 6/5
It’s crazy really – until Rangers make their mind up who knows what’s going to happen.
In my opinion if Rangers decide McInnes is the man he will have a decision to make despite last week’s comments.
As everyone knows McInnes said last week there had been no contact and he was happy to stay at Aberdeen.
McLeish went heavy odds on earlier until he also said he hadn’t been approached.
Mr Fixit 9/1
I ain’t been approached yet – only team I’d manage is Clydebank.
Does being a former Drumchapel Amateurs boys’ coach qualify me?
Overqualified if anything
EGYPT – DIVISION 1 – 12.45pm
Petrojet v El Raja Marsa Matruh
2-3 Match Goals
2.10 (Bet Victor)
***LOST***
***************************
EGYPT – DIVISION 1 – 6pm
Zamalek SC v Misr El Makasa
2-3 Match Goals
2.05 (Bet Victor)
***LOST***
***************************
ARGENTINA – SUPERLIGA – 10.15pm
Velez Sarsfield v Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2-3 Match Goals
2.00 (Bet Stars)
***WON***
***************************
3 x 0.5pt Doubles
4.31
4.05
4.00
1 x 0.5pt Treble
8.00
***************************
Total Profit/Loss since 18 July: -11.6 pts