NFL week four gets into full swing today and here are Jordan’s thoughts and tips for all the action.
He says: “The Sunday night primetime game sees an AFC showdown between two playoff hopefuls. The Chiefs head to Heinz Field to play the Steelers who will be looking to bounce back from their blowout in Philly last weekend where there could only get 250 yards of offense. They do have a huge boost with LeVeon Bell back and I expect him to get a big workload to make sure they get back to winning ways. The Chiefs will also be getting a superstar back in Jamaal Charles, but will likely ease him into the game as he’s coming off a knee injury rather than Bell coming from a ban.
“Chiefs kicker Cairo Santos hasvplayed the Saints in each of the last two seasons and has hit three or more field goals in both contests. The Eagles moved the ball with relative ease last week, and the Chiefs will be able to do the same with Kelce and Maclin. Charles will also give the Steelers D something to think of, as will Alex Smith running the ball himself. They’ll get their points and I’ll chance them to hit two field goals as TD’s are always tougher on the road with crowd noise etc.
The Bills vs Patriots (Ryan vs Belicheck) is always a funny one because Ryan likes to try and get under Belicheck’s skin. Which is never usually a good thing because it almost always backfires. This week he hasn’t said much and it’s because he’s had to put his star wide receiver Sammy Watkins on IR, which is a massive loss. They handled Arizona well at home last week, and while the public pumped money into Arizona the sharps kept coming for Buffalo, but this will be different. The Patriots have now said Garappoli will start and Brissett is available, so all is fine at 3-0 with the return of Tom Brady next week. Never back against Belicheck, especially at home, and I’m not going to Sunday.
“The New Orleans Saints season is effectively over already. Going back to 1980, there have been 164 teams to start a season 0-3, with only five of them going on to make the playoffs. That’s 3%. Cue the Saints who are going to California on a short week after their division loss to Atlanta on Monday night. Originally I was going to have Drew Brees’ passing yards as a nap for this game, buthave them at 319.5 right now. Still reachable but obviously there will be a bookie with a smaller total sometime tomorrow so look out for that. The Chargers and Saints are both hurting in the secondary so both QB’s should have decent numbers. Willie Snead is feeling good about playing Sunday so that’s another big threat back as he’s been one of Drew’s main targets and it will give Cooks some breathing room. Coby Fleener also combined well last week and both teams should get points.
Jacksonville Jaguars/Indianapolis Colts Over 48.5 Total Points @ 5/6 @– 3 points
Rest of Week 4 Tips
New England Patriots ML
Jaguars/Colts Over 41.5 Total Points
81-100 @– 5 points
Add: Chargers/Saints Over 40.5 Total Points @ 7-6 @– 3 points
Kansas City Chiefs Over 1.5 Field Goals @ 4-5 @– 10 points
Will add some props tomorrow if I find some better total. Only reallyand at the moment with markets. Trying to limit myself too to reduce possible damage. Think these are well in with a chance though as I’ve only missed out by a point or two so far each week.