IT was interesting when I put up my 10-team Saturday Super Single shortlist this week that one of the first comments was “I wonder what the tenfold pays?”
Turns out it was about 900-1 but I can pretty much guarantee it won’t come up. A couple of people have risked £1 and there’s nothing wrong with that but all those bets were advised as potential singles.
Each of the 10 picks has roughly a 50-50 chance of coming up and individually I’m confident about them all but when you take a tenfold you have to accept it’s money down the drain in almost all cases.
However, do people want to risk £1 on a 900-1 shot or back an even-money single which needs decent staking power to make it worthwhile?
And therein lies some of the difficulties I have tipping on this site – it’s impossible to please everyone.
I’ve tried educate punters to take singles, doubles and trebles because it gives you a better chance of beating the bookies.
That may sound obvious but there are plenty of people who want to go for big wins and prefer “low stakes, big returns”.
Throughout the week I rarely put up much more than doubles or trebles but at weekends I’ll posts a couple of long shots and when I don’t put them up I get emails asking why.
“Where are your four draws?” is a common complaint. That’s despite the chances of landing all four being about 125-1 so using the maths I should land one every two years. It’s one reason why I perm them and advise trebles and sometimes even doubles.
Having said that a few years back I did pick four out of four draws on back to back Saturdays just before Christmas – and the response was overwhelming.
Someone emails me regularly moaning about my accumulator odds. He doesn’t bet on any line under 25-1 (at a tenner a time) so wants more longs shots.
Others only want singles and then of course there is the argument about whether to do WDW bets or goals bets. I like both to be honest and most punters take great delight in picking results.
But there’s no doubt goals bets where you can have both teams working for you should provide a better return in the long run.
You can do both to score, one team to score, over or under team goals, match goals, etc. And of course for a real long shot what about a match result and both to score treble at 100-1.
As we prepare to launch the new site I’ll continue to put up a variety of bets at a variety of prices.
If you don’t like them don’t back them and if you want singles the guy to follow is Greg Browning whose hit rate is second to none.
The likes of Jordan, thechief, Ad and Ryan are others you could follow and remember the site isn’t just about me. I got things started but more than 1.3million people have used the site this years and thousands have commented.
Johnb is a brilliant racing tipster and Ace Venturer’s golf tips are incredibly consistent. More tipsters will be joining us – including Bounty Punter whose obscure goals tips proved popular when he was with us in the past – as we move forward and it will be a place to visit for football and all other sports.
We’ve built up a cracking community and hopefully the additions will be well received.
In the meantime tell me what your favourite bet is and why and whether you prefer backing short odds or going for a big long odds win.
And finally the best advice anyone can give you: Only bet with what you can afford to lose. And don’t bet if you “need to win”.
If that’s the case seek help and follow the links on the site.