The draw for the Champions League qualifiers hasn’t been kind on The New Saints and the Welsh side will need to upset the odds tonight against Hacken in Sweden.
TNS have been regulars in Euro qualifying over the last two decades but they’ve never got beyond the third round of games.
And the bookies reckon their latest shot at the Champions League will be short-lived, with Hacken 1/9 hot favourites at Bet365 for a win in tonight’s first leg.
The New Saints are 20/1 shots and it’s hard to disagree with those odds, given the Swedes are unbeaten in their last five games, winning four.
Hacken have scored two or more in each of those matches so I’m backing them in the handicap at -2, which pays 5/4 at Paddy Power.
Northern Irish side Larne also have a tough assignment at HJK Helsinki and they’re as big as 17/2 with Boylesports for a win.
Larne can take some heart from the fact HJK have been misfiring of late, scoring just six times in their last eight matches.
But the Finns are well up to speed while Larne’s only outing this summer has been a 2-0 cup loss to Crusaders.
So I like the look of the evens on offer at Bet365 for HJK Helsinki to be winning at half-time and full-time.
It’s semi-final time in the CONCACAF Gold Cup and co-hosts the USA are Bet365’s 3/5 hot favourites to see off Panama.
Even with home advantage, those odds look way to short for a second-string American side who needed penalties to see off Canada.
Panama are 5/1 shots with the same firm and that looks generous after they battered Qatar 4-0.
Ismael Diaz scored a hat-trick in that match and is tempting at 9/2 (Bet365) for another goal as the USA conceded against both Canada and Jamaica.
Wednesday’s Football Bet of the Day sees Greg head to the Chinese top flight, and there is one fixture in particular that looks appealing for goals.
Super Singles
- HJK Helsinki HT-FT (evs, Bet365).
- Hacken -2 h’cap (5/4, P Power).
Racing Tips
Rizzel likes the chances of two horses on Wednesday night coming at Fairyhouse and Kempton, both advised at 2pts (1 being 1pt EW).
Today ,
Ulsan hyundai 🇰🇷
Seoul 🇰🇷
Over 2.5 mg’s double 2.06/1
Goodluck……….
✅️
🇲🇾 Balestier Khalsa v Young Lions 🇲🇾
🇮🇸 Grindavik v Thor 🇮🇸
🇮🇸 Afturelding v Throttur 🇮🇸
▪️Over 2.5 Match Goals Treble (1.39/1, william hill)
1st one sails in Jamesy…
Japan 11am
Consadole Sapporo
Kawasaki
Over 2.5mgs double 13/10
Good luck
My fancies for the first match at Wimbledon day 10 are:
Keys – Sabalenka
Both players have styles perfect for grass. Keys has yet to lose a match this grass season so should be competitive here. Previous head to head on grass saw 8 breaks & 20 break points. The current line for total breaks of serve in this match up is set at 5.5. This could be achieved in 2 close sets and certainly has a great chance if it goes to 3 sets.
I believe the line for double faults is a little low. Both players are likely to feel pressure on 2nd serves giving the aggressive returns of each. Sabalenka could hit this line herself in a tight match and is averaging 4 doubles in her matches so far but didn’t hit any last match giving the quick match. In her 2 matches before that she hit 9 and 8 doubles. Keys is averaging 2.25 so far.
Sabalenka has been serving well so far this tournament and hit 7 aces in her 8 service games against Alexandrova. She is averaging 8.25 aces so far & 3 of those matches were not competitive. If this match is a tight 2 sets or 3 sets then there is every chance Sabalenka hits plenty of aces.
Over 5.5 breaks of serve 1.5 units 2.2 Bet365
Over 6.5 double faults 1.5 units 2.0 Bet365
Sabalenka 10+ Aces 0.5 units 3.40 Bet365
Will have my other bets up for the remaining matches shortly.
Ay chance you can put up who you think will win ?
Sabalenka is rightly the favourite given how she has been playing so far but Keys has the game to test her. I would favour Sabalenka in 2 tight sets or 3 but it could be close. A lot will boil down to how serves the best on the day.
Desperately unlucky with 2 of these selections. Keys had a 4-2 40-0 lead in the 2nd set & if it went to 3 every chance the breaks over and double faults comes in easily. Way off on the aces. Keys seemed to be able to read Sabalenka’s serve well. Was always a long shot that one.
Yesterday’s bet won at evens
Today’s bet
Cavalry v atl Ottawa
Both teams to score
William hill evens
NAP
Jabeur – Rybakina
If there is one player on tour who has the game to deal with the power of Rybakina it’s Jabeur. Her variety & slices will be key in this match up to test the limited movement of Rybakina as that is certainly her weakness. Jabeur will need to drop shot well in order to absorb the power but she has every chance in this if she can play like she did in the 1st set in last years Wimbledon final.
Jabeur win 1 unit 2.38 Unibet
Another good call👍👍
🇺🇸 Sporting Kansas City v Real Salt Lake 🇺🇸
🇺🇸 Houston Dynamo v Minnesota United 🇺🇸
▪️Over 2.5 Match Goals Double (1.78/1, william hill)
Haecken, Helsinki & Slovan Bratislava
GIBH treble – 5/2+ wi PP free punt
Pish
Japan 11am
Consadole Sapporo
Kawasaki
Over 2.5mgs double 13/10**WON**
Medvedev – Eubanks
If this was on a hard court then I would expect a routine win for Medvedev. On grass it levels it up slightly. Although he has played better this week this is Medvedev’s least favourite service and Eubanks has been playing lights out tennis over the past 3 weeks. Medvedev should still be too good here but Eubanks has a chance as long as he serves well. If he can get it to the end of sets or tie breaks who knows what may happen. If this has a tight set and with the way both serve there is every chance we see plenty of aces in this match.
Over 21.5 aces 2 units 1.83 Bet365
Match Aces 30+ 0.5 units 3.75 Bet365
Man United v Leeds 4 pm KO
Over 9 corners 5/4
Over 4 first half corners 6/5 bet365
Hopefully both teams will have a go
5/4 WINNER
6/5 WINNER
Both in .Happy with that
team news
XI | Heaton; Wan-Bissaka, Varane, Martinez, Fernandez; Mainoo, Mount, Hannibal; Amad, Sancho, Forson.
SUBS | Bishop, Kovar, Bennett, Fish, Jurado, Williams, Collyer, Gore, Hansen-Aaroen, Oyedele, Savage, Shoretire, Emeran, Hugill.
a few man utd players still on hols
gd luck
Alcaraz – Rune
Rune surprised me beating Dimitrov but I think Alcaraz will have the better of him here. He strikes the ball so well & his movement is excellent. The -4.5 games line could hit even if it went to 4. Something Rune tends to do a lot is double fault. With the return game of Alcaraz he will be under pressure a lot on serve so this trend could well continue. He is averaging 6.75 a match so far this tournament.
Alcaraz -4.5 games 3 units 1.62 Boylesports
Rune to have 6 or more double faults 2.5 units 1.83 Boylesports
Rune 8+ Double Faults 0.5 units 3.25 Bet365
JIPPO 🇫🇮
Valarenga 🇳🇴
Always Ready 🇧🇴
Over 2.5 mg’s treble 3.14/1
Goodluck……..
First game in Finland downs this 👎
Dudelange btts & overs 6/4
Good luck
Small play on a friendly.
======================÷
Met police v AFC Wimbledon
BTTS EVENS (HILLS)
They played twice in recent years.
Wimbledon won both 1-0 and 3-1.
The latter would be good today…
Hoping the cops can “nick” one here 👮♂️
Boreham wood v Brentford
Over 1.5 first half goals at 1/1 just kicked off
Boreham Wood have a few Trialists in their starting Line up and 4 or 5 on the bench, Brentford are strongish and should be scoring a few.
INPLAY
🇮🇸 Grindavik 0-0 Thor 🇮🇸 (53 minutes played)
▪️Over 1.5 Match Goals (Evens, bet365)
Bratislava man sent off. Took a chance on the swifts
Dudelange btts & overs 6/4**WON** got to love a late goal
Well done all winners today
No free golf tips this week???
Golf tips?
INPLAY
🇮🇸 Grindavik 0-0 Thor 🇮🇸 (53 minutes played)
▪️Over 1.5 Match Goals (Evens, bet365)
✅️
1-1 on 86 minutes 👍
Treble down though with this game ending a goal short 👎
A very small loss today which was probably a good result after the first 3 bets lost in the Keys v Sabalenka match. If that match had gone to 3 sets it could have been a different story and looking at +6 units profit.
Keys – Sabalenka Over 5.5 breaks of serve 1.5 units 2.2 Bet365 ❌
Keys – Sabalenka Over 6.5 double faults 1.5 units 2.0 Bet365 ❌
Sabalenka 10+ Aces 0.5 units 3.40 Bet365 ❌
Jabeur win 1 unit 2.38 Unibet ✅
Medvedev – Eubanks Over 21.5 aces 2 units 1.83 Bet365 ✅
Medvedev – Eubanks Match Aces 30+ 0.5 units 3.75 Bet365 ✅
Alcaraz -4.5 games 3 units 1.62 Boylesports ✅
Rune to have 6 or more double faults 2.5 units 1.83 Boylesports ❌
Rune 8+ Double Faults 0.5 units 3.25 Bet365 ❌
Wimbledon Day 9 recap:
Bet placed: 9
Won: 4
Lost: 5
Stakes: 13 units
Returns: 12.77 units
Profit/Loss: -0.23 units
ROI: -1.7%
Wimbledon record after day 10:
Bet Placed: 66
Wins: 36 ✅
Loss: 30 ❌
Stakes: 105.5 units
Returns: 123.73 units
Profit/Loss: +18.23 units
ROI: 17.28%
Well done all winners