Ipswich Town host West Ham United in their final Premier League match of the season. With Ipswich already relegated and West Ham safe from the drop, this game is more about ending the season on a positive note than achieving anything of real consequence.
Ipswich’s home campaign has been poor, with just one win in 18 matches at Portman Road. They have drawn four, lost 13, and earned only seven points. Despite those results, the underlying numbers suggest they have performed slightly better than the table reflects. Their home xPTS total is 14.36—more than double their actual tally. Ipswich have averaged 0.87 xG and 1.91 xGA per home game. In recent weeks, they have shown modest improvement, ranking 11th in the league for xPTS over the last four matches.
West Ham, meanwhile, have been more stable under Graham Potter, sitting in 15th place. They have taken 20 points from 18 away games, with W5-D5-L8. Their away xPTS total is 23.51, averaging 1.31 per game. They have posted 1.29 xG and 1.44 xGA per away match. Recent form has been solid too—ninth-best in the league for xPTS over the last four games, averaging 1.33 xG and 1.30 xGA.
Ipswich will want to give their supporters a lift before returning to the Championship, and their slight upturn in form suggests they won’t go down without a fight. Still, West Ham’s more consistent metrics, recent away form, and attacking quality under Potter make them slight favourites heading into this fixture.
How the bookies view it: End of season goals
Ipswich are priced at 21/10, the draw is 3/1, and West Ham are favourites at 5/4.
In the goals markets, Over 2.5 goals is offered at 8/15, while both teams to score is priced at 9/20. These fractions indicate that bookmakers expect an open, high-scoring match with goals from both sides, reflecting the attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities shown by both teams in recent weeks
Premier League final day betting offers
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|---|---|---|
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| Parimatch | 50/1 on Man United to beat Aston Villa | Get here |
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Head to head: Hammer the Tractor Boys
Ipswich Town and West Ham United have faced each other 69 times across all competitions, with West Ham holding the advantage with 28 wins to Ipswich's 21, and 20 matches ending in draws.
In Premier League encounters, West Ham have been particularly dominant, losing only once to Ipswich in nine meetings. That sole defeat came in March 2001 at Upton Park, where Ipswich secured a 1–0 victory.
Ipswich's home record against West Ham has been challenging; they have won just two of their last 13 home league games against the Hammers, drawing three and losing eight.
The most recent meeting between the two sides was on October 2024, when West Ham defeated Ipswich 4–1 at the London Stadium.
Ipswich's last top-flight home victory over West Ham dates back to April 1982, when they won 3–2 at Portman Road.
Players to watch: Bowen to hurt Ipswich
Jarrod Bowen has been a standout performer for West Ham United throughout this Premier League season.
In 33 appearances, he has scored 12 goals and provided seven assists, leading the team in both categories. He has taken 82 shots, with 34 on target, averaging just over one shot on target per game. His consistent attacking threat has been a cornerstone of West Ham’s forward play.
Bowen’s form has been especially impressive in the run-in. Over his last nine Premier League matches, he has either scored or assisted in seven of them, producing five goals and three assists in that span. This strong finish has not only enhanced his season totals but also played a key role in West Ham securing mid-table stability.
With Ipswich struggling to keep clean sheets at home, Bowen’s current form makes him a compelling option in goal scorer and assist markets for the final weekend.
Predicted line-ups
Ipswich remain without several first-team regulars, including Wes Burns, Jaden Philogene, Kalvin Phillips, and Chiedozie Ogbene. Arijanet Muric and Conor Townsend are also side lined, while attacking midfielder Sammie Szmodics is a doubt with an ankle issue.
West Ham will travel without Michail Antonio, who is out with a broken leg, and Crysencio Summerville, who remains side lined with a hamstring injury
Ipswich Town (4-2-3-1): Palmer; Tuanzebe, O'Shea, Greaves, Davis; Morsy, Taylor; Hutchinson, Enciso, Clarke; Hirst
West Ham United (3-4-3): Areola; Todibo, Kilman, Cresswell; Coufal, Alvarez, Soler, Wan-Bissaka; Kudus, Bowen; Fullkrug
Anything else catch the eye?
West Ham United are well-positioned to score two or more goals.
Ipswich’s defensive issues have been a season-long problem, particularly at Portman Road, where they have conceded 41 goals in 18 matches—an average of over 2.2 goals per game. They have conceded two or more in 12 of those 18 home fixtures and are currently on an eight-match losing streak at home. Across their last 18 Premier League games overall, they have allowed 2+ goals in 14 of them. In 2025, they have not kept a single clean sheet in any competition, and they have failed to shut out opponents in 18 consecutive league games.
Their underlying numbers offer no comfort either. Ipswich have allowed 1.91 xGA per home match, and only Southampton have conceded more shots on target at home this season.
Under Graham Potter, the Hammers have scored in 13 of 17 matches.
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