Burton Albion vs Manchester CityEFL Cup, KO: 19:45 Jan 23, 2019, Pirelli Stadium
THIS match is such a dead rubber than only one bookie is even offering odds on Burton Albion qualifying for the Carabao Cup Final – a massive 949/1 with Betfair Exchange.
But after watching Manchester City stick nine goals past the League One side in the first leg, even the most optimistic Brewers fan won't be wasting a quid on that outcome.
It's highly unlikely we'll ever see such a massive mismatch again in a major semi-final and the fact this is a two-leg affair only promises more misery for Albion.
Had the Pirelli Stadium hosted the first match instead of the second then there would have been one hell of a buzz about the visit of Pep Guardiola's superstars.
But that 9-0 thrashing at the Etihad has taken away all of the stardust from this tie, especially as Guardiola is likely to leave some of his big guns at home.
Betting on a game that both sides would rather do without is always tricky and it might be worth waiting until you see what kind of team Guardiola fields.
Even his reserves are streets ahead in terms of quality from Burton's squad and that's reflected in the odds, with Albion 18/1 at Ladbrokes and Betfair, City a best 4/27 with Marathon bet and the draw 49/5 at Betdaq.
A few punters might be tempted to have a nibble at that 18/1 for Burton to win on the night but Guardiola is such a perfectionist that he won't allow his team to coast it.
I'd be more inclined to back a City win with both teams to score which is a best 11/8 with Betway. Betting on a winning margin could also pay off and I like the look of City to win by two goals which is 7/2 at Bet365.
Fringe players such as Phil Foden and Oleksandr Zinchenko should get another run out for Guardiola's side and may be worth backing in the goalscorer market as they both netted in the first leg.
Midfielder Foden is 3/1 (William Hill) for anytime scorer while his odds increase to 12/1 (most firms) to break the deadlock. If you fancy wide boy Zinchenko to net first, he is 33/1 (Boylesport) and the Ukrainian is a tempting 15/2 (William Hill) to score at any time.
Former Dundee United midfielder Scott Fraser is a goal threat for Burton and might be worth a tentative bet at 13/2 (Betfair) for anytime scorer. But he is a doubt after picking up a knee injury at the weekend so it might be safer to side with striker Liam Boyce at 7/2 with Betway.
This EFL Cup match between Burton Albion and Manchester City will be played on Jan 23, 2019 and kick off at 19:45