Ajax vs TottenhamUEFA Champions League, KO: 20:00 May 8, 2019, Amsterdam ArenA
AJAX showed their style once more at the weekend as they swept Willem II aside to lift the Dutch Cup but now face a test of their bottle as they bid to reach the Champions League Final.
The Dutch masters have revelled in the role of underdogs in their incredible European run, defying the odds to win return legs away from home at the Bernabeu and Juventus Stadium.
But after another huge result on their travels in London, Erik ten Hag's vibrant young side have to deal the pressure of being favourites to finish the job in Amsterdam, with most firms pricing them at 11/10.
Their home form hasn't been brilliant against big teams in the Champions League, losing to Real Madrid and drawing against Juventus and Bayern Munich.
Another stalemate would get them over the line here and, with nerves set to play a major part, I wouldn't be surprised if this ended all square on the night. The draw is available at a best 14/5 with Unibet while Spurs are as big as 12/5 with Bet365.
Given the way Ajax totally outplayed Tottenham in the first half in London, it's easy to see why they are favourites. But they didn't look as good after the break, once Spurs went a bit more direct and abandoned the notion of trying to beat the Dutch maestros at their own game.
Fernando Llorente dominated them in the air and the big Basque striker could get a bit of joy again. He's 12/5 with 888 Sport for anytime scorer and that could be worth a punt as I expect Spurs to play to his strengths again.
The return of Son Heung-Min from suspension will make Tottenham more of a threat than they were in the first leg. I fancied the Korean to score in a Spurs defeat at Bournemouth on Saturday but only half of that came up as he instead picked up a red card along with team-mate Juan Foyth before they conceded at the death.
It was Dutchman Nathan Ake who nodded that late winner and the Cherries star will now pass on tips to his pals in the Ajax squad about how to finish off Spurs.
Red-card sinner Son will be desperate to make amends here and that makes the forward decent value at 2/1 with Unibet in the anytime scorer market.
Veteran Klaas Jan Huntelaar scored twice in Ajax's 4-0 Cup Final win on Sunday but his reward is likely to be a place on the bench for the visit of Spurs as I expect David Neres to come back in.
I backed the winger to score in the first leg only for him to be denied by the post and Neres looks overpriced at 16/5 with Paddy Power for anytime scorer in the return.
Ajax only have Carel Eiting out injured while Spurs have defender Davinson Sanchez injured and remain without talisman Harry Kane and Harry Winks. But Jan Vertonghen, who was forced off during the first leg with a sickening head injury, is set to play with a protective face mask while Serge Aurier and Erik Lamela should return to the squad after injury.
Spurs will need to go for it and that could leave gaps for Ajax to exploit on the counter-attack. For that reason, I like the look of over 2.5 goals but the odds are poor at a best 8/11 with Unibet.
Instead try backing Ajax full-back Nicolas Tagliafico for a card at 13/5 with Bet365 as he made a few rash challenges in the first leg.
This UEFA Champions League match between Ajax and Tottenham will be played on May 8, 2019 and kick off at 20:00