IT'S been a week dominated by cup ties and on Thursday there's not much to bet on but three KO games in Spain.
Last night all three games went against the grain so be wary with Real Sociedad v Real Betis, Villarreal v Espanyol and Barcelona v Levante. All are finely balanced so it's about who wants it more and who fields a strong side.
Could be three home wins with the first two games level while I'm backing Barcelona to overturn a 2-1 deficit and squeeze through at home to Levante.
Lionel Messi and Luis Suarez were rested for the first leg and it took a late goal by Philippe Coutinho to give Barca hope.
If they start with their superstar striking duo who shared the three goals against Eibar at the weekend then Barca should win so it's another win to think about leaving alone until team news is confirmed.
Barca are just 1-8 at McBookie to win in 90 minutes and 1-5 at Betfred to qualify so there's no value there. In five matches at the Nou Camp Barca have netted 24 times against Levante so Barca -2 at just under evens with sportingbet (7-9) must have a chance if Messi and Suarez start.
My disappointing January continued with both bets being beaten by one goal. The Super Single double was up until a late equaliser by Girona at Atletico Madrid – and once again I hope anyone on cashed out.
I thought I'd picked out a nice French +1 treble but it was let down by Rennes surprisingly losing at Guingamp. Ironically I was close to doing a btts treble on the games and that would have been a nice winner.
Well done to all the winners including HullShaker and Scott with two from three on his Southampton v Derby preview.
Desperate stats call for desperate measure and influenced by Greg's Scottish Cup tips on the big favourites I'm putting up two bets that will vastly reduce my deficits but damage them in a way Andy Murray did when he played a blinder against Roberto Batistuta Agut in the Australian Open.
As Greg says everyone play their strongest team or close to it in this weekend's Scottish Cup ties. Celtic (v Airdrie), Aberdeen (v Stenny), Hibs (v Elgin), Killie (v Forfar) and Inverness (v East Kilbride) pays evens at bet365. Although if you fancy a sizeable punt do it with a bookie that offers moneyback on fivefolds with no odds restriction such as McBookie.
All those sides should win with plenty to spare and you could take more risk by backing them on the -1 handicap at 5-1 with bet365.
I'm using points from today and tomorrow to put up two accas that hopefully put me back on track. Remember the Super Single tag is just another name for best bet and it's under evens.
These bets are inspired by Greg although I've left out Rangers at Cowdenbeath on Friday night. They should win by at least two but I don't want the bet being threatened before Saturday and I'm sticking to home teams.
As I expected the selections have sparked some debate and I get what everyone is saying. These are my bets and my stats and I can't imagine anyone follows all my tips religiously whether they're winning or losing.
I don't see it as chasing losses because I'm use two days' points – over a week I can risk up to 70 points and it's nowwhere near that even with these 18.
Hopefully the 15-pointer at least lands – if not I'll take what's coming.
Remember to look at welovebetting for their tips and video chat.
15pts Super Single (Sat)*
- Celtic (5.15pm)
- (9-10, McBookie)
*Stake back as free bet for 1 wrong
- Aberdeen -1
- Celtic -1 (5.15pm)
- Hibs -1
- Inverness -1
- Kilmarnock -1
- (5-1, bet365)
Mr Fixit's January Super Singles Total: -24pts
Mr Fixit's January Accas Total: -21pts