SOMETIMES you can research bets for hours and on other occasions you can spend minutes and land a winner.
That's how it panned out for me last night my European goals fourfold landing with ease at 3-1.
With cup games involved stats can go out the window and to be fair the only games on my radar were the ones I picked at Barcelona, Hamburg, Mirandes and of course Nice.
In the end all four matches went over 2.5 with Lyon's last-gasp winner but I took two at 2.5 and two at 1.5 for less risk.
Well done to all the winners including Scott with another members bet – I think that's seven winners out of eight and he has another tip for tonight.
As always my focus is on Saturday's games and I've posted a Super Single shortlist.
I'm making a low stakes attempt at clearing the acca deficit on the final day of the month and taking Greg's French goals tips in a long-shot bid to wipe out the Super Singles losses.
There are two English Championship games – Cardiff v Reading and Derby v Stoke – as well as Partick Thistle v Ayr in the Scottish Championship which is tough to call.
On the Continent games include Hertha Berlin v Schalke and Rennes v Nantes as well as the usual lower-league games.
I don't have much time for research but taking Jurgen Klinsmann's improving Hertha Berlin not to lose as well as Stoke and Cardiff draw no bet. Finally back goals in the Le Havre and Rennes games – the latter seeing btts in six out of seven meetings.
*1pt Super Single
- All French Ligue 2 games over 1.5 match goals (7pm)
- (25-1, Sky Bet)
- *Courtesy of Greg
1pt Fivefold
- Le Havre v Lens over 1.5 match goals (7pm)
- Hertha Berlin not to lose (7.30pm)
- Stoke draw no bet
- Cardiff draw no bet
- Rennes v Nantes btts
- (13-1, Marathonbet)
January Super Single Stats: -17pts
January Advised Acca Stats: -10.3pts
Resident football tipster at Scotland's most read newspaper, the Daily Record, for over 20 years and proud host of one the best betting communities on the web with daily betting tips.
Oz A league sees Top of the table Sydney take on much improved fowler the growler’s team Brisbane. Last time these two met was a 5-1 schillacking for the Roar. Can’t see any other result but barring the FFA cup the last few meetings have seen Sydney win and both teams to score. That is always a decent option in the A league.
some stats I had some time to research.
the last 4 A league meetings have seen 5,6,3 and 4 bookings at an average of 4.5. Tonight’s ref is Chris Beath who hands out cards at an average of…..you guessed it…4.5 per game.
surprisingly Brisbane do have the upper hand on corner counts but the last 4 A league games have produced 38 corners between them. however, be aware that this has been decreasing from 15-11-7-5 so a bit of a pattern emerging in corners getting less frequent.
Sydney have scored more than 1.5 goals in those 4 games whilst Brisbane have scored only 1 per game except for 8th February last year where Roar won 2-1. this suggests a BTTS and over bet as Sydney you would think have to lose at some point. Sydney and BTTS is also in play.
Le Fondre has 14 goals in 14 matches and has scored 6 goals in last 4 matches against the roar.
my bets tonight will be
BTTS and O2.5
$1.95
Sydney and btts
2.87
bet builder
le fondre atgs
sydney 01.5mgs
o3 bookings
sydney win
pays 3.2
Great post, will be on btts home win
Sydney vs brisbane roar
Over 2.5 goals
Over 6.5 corners
Over 2.5 cards
11/10 hills,
Keeping it simple in Oz this morning.
Sydney have scored and conceded in 6 out of 7 at home this season. Brisbane have scored and conceded in 6 out of 9 this season.
While all 6 of Sydney’s home victories have been BTTS which can be taken again at 13/8 I am going to play it safe.
BTTS and over 2.5 MGs evens
Good luck
sydney sixers to win cricket
Sydney fc to win football
domnic thiem to win tennis
3.58/1 Laddbrokes
sydney sixers to win cricket
Sydney fc to win and over 1.5mgls football
domnic thiem to win tennis
3.58/1 Laddbrokes
FC Sydney – Brisbane Roar
⚫ Sydney to win & over 1.5 goals & 2nd Half over 0.5 goals @ 1.80 ⭐⭐⭐
⚫ Sydney to score in both halves @ 2.02 ⭐
⚫ Sydney to score first & to win & goal in both halves – yes & Adam Le Fondre (Sy) to score @ 3.20 ⭐
I’m on Sydney as my first bet of the day. They’ve beaten Brisbane 5-1 two months ago and are 7-0-0 at home.
MY BET:
SYDNEY FC – BRISBANE
SYDNEY FC
ODDS: 1,55
(STAKE: 17.90 UNITS)
(BET 3/100)
BOLIVIAN APERTURA
Another frustrating away performance from the current champions leaves a bad taste in the mouth and costs both the NAP and NB with Wilstermann losing in an abysmal performance at Aurora only managing to get on the scoresheet trailing 2 0 with a penalty in the 89th minute. The other game went as called with both getting on the scoresheet and Oriente edging out Guabira 1 2
JORGE WILSTERMANN WIN 1/1 (NAP) ****
12.30am, ☢️
JORGE WILSTERMANN OVER 1.5 TEAM GOALS / GUABIRA V ORIENTE PETROLERO BTTS & OVER 2.5 DOUBLE 16/5 (NB) *** 1230am☢️
3 favourites that like to concede. Sydney sit top having won 12/14 but only kept 3 clean sheets,Istanbul Basaksehir sit 3rd but have conceded in 15/19 league outings and finally Al Hilal who sit 2nd in Saudi Arabia have conceded in 11/15. Fancy the first 2 for wins but Al Hilal are prone to dropping points away. So cupla options with the above 3. The reverse fixtures seen all 3 win but also concede,stuck those results in brackets…
BTTS & o2.5gls treble
Sydney FC v Brisbane Roar(5-1)
Istanbul Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi(2-1)
Abha v Al Hilal(4-2)
13/2
Above 3 mentioned favourites Result & BTTS trixie
Sydney FC 7/4
Istanbul Basaksehir 19/10
Al Hilal 6/4
3x doubles and a treble @18/1
☝ Al Hilal won 4-2
Fridays goals tips
Sydney v Brisbane roar
Guys above have went thru current form and H2h so I won’t go over it again. Yes the roar are on a current 5 game unbeaten run but they are miles behind Sydney quality wise man for man, and just looking at results doesn’t paint the full picture because although they are unbeaten they have been absolutely awful the past couple of games especially last week. Comfortable Sydney win for me.
Advised tip
Sydney win
Sydney o1.5tgs
Sydney score bh
11/8 bet 365 (via betbuilder) NAP
Friday night sees me focus on 2 games and again I’ll be using the betbuilder function on 365 to get the best price.
On paper it should be 2 easy home wins for benefits and alkmaar and the should score a few goals in the process. However I’m going to take match goals instead of straight team goals in case the away sides fancy helping us out. Benfica have only let in 6 league goals this season but they have conceded in their last 3 home matches, whilst alkmaar are hardly watertight either.
Advised tip
Benfica/alkmaar
Win+ o2.5mgs double
11/10 bet 365 (via betbuilder) NB
QSL
2 games today and as I said on yesterday’s thread I can see a home win in the first game, and btts in the second. This can be backed at 23/10 at hills. (1pt)
GL if you follow anything
Agree with you on Brisbane Sean, 3 of their 5 recent ‘good’ results came against the bottom 3 so form can be very misleading. They have been abysmal to watch lately.
Morning gents,
Will try and write this up later on but no time at moment and not sure prices will hold up quite so generously!
CERRO PORTEÑO VS. SOL DE AMÉRICA
(11.15pm)
CERRO OVER 1.5 TEAM GOALS
(5/6, bet365) NAP ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
BTTS & OVER 2.5 GOALS
(13/10, bet365) NB ⭐⭐
Best of luck!
17 hours ago
Nice v Lyon goal in both halves 1.70 won
Club Aurora v Club Jorge Wilstermann goal in both halves 1.70 won
Hamberg v Nuremburg 0.1.5 match goals 1.20 won
Barcelona v Leganes 0.1.5 match goals 1.15 won
4 fourfold 4.00 coral won
Could of been a bit braver with Barcelona and would of put Belgium res game in but happy with a win
Sydney FC v Brisbane Roar:
Le Fondre ATG, Sydney win and over 2 match goals @ 6/4
Le Fondre first goal, Sydney win and over 2 match goals @ 9/2
With Bet365
Got the scorer but no more goals unfortunately, even after the red card. Finished 1-0.
French league 2 O1.5 gls in each game 25/1
O0.5 FH goals 50/1
For some interest.
Looks like Jarrod Bowen will be a Hammer soon!
Cracking player and could be a real asset…big loss to The Tigers though.
Losing grosicki and Bowen is massive, they will struggle massively now
Mr F, any truth in the rumour that the sporting life are lining up a substantial bid for Greg?
We can’t afford to lose him. He is our linchpin.
I knew his release clause of £150 million was too low.
I heard it was £15 and a St Johnstone season ticket.
And a Steak and Chorizo pie and a Bovril :)
Sounds posh – just plain old Scotch pies at the Bankies.
Steak n chorizo,interesting however canny whack a wee onion pie from Bon Bon in Airdrie 👍
Some great pies in the juniors – Beith, Irvine Meadow, etc.
Walsall for a balti pie – best in Brittain.
Can’t see me getting there any time soon but had a decent Balti pie when I was at Newcastle-Bournemouth.
Best pie i have had at fitba was a steak + pepper one at Newcastle Utd. £3.60 tho.
One Sydney goal short for the bet builder.
my bets tonight will be
BTTS and O2.5 😞
$1.95
Sydney and btts😞
2.87
bet builder
le fondre atgs😀
sydney 01.5mgs🤬
o3 bookings😀
sydney win😀
pays 3.2🤬
Sorry just seen firm’s wish I could get on that
5 + Ayr corners 11/10 Skybet
Under 4.5 Ayr corners 6/5 Bet365
Nice find cocker anyone with a decent wedge can make some free money.. Who’s prices?
Sorry just seen.. So guaranteed profit of 10-20% of your stake.. Fantastic
Great spot thanks cocker 👍🏻
Good spot! Wasn’t about before, sky have dropped theirs to 10/11 but still able to make a little profit if you play about with it…better then nothing
Jabba this will win
Thiem/Zverev
straight sets win -NO
4/7
won
😎
Cheers Mr Micky.
I actually got on that yesterday when you put it up, I thought ‘of course it will win’ 👍
Hope Mr Jabba got a few quid on!
Rogers over.
Unfortunately I wasn’t. Thank you for trying to help me out, much appreciated. 🙏
Paired this with barca over 2.5 (they were at 2) to produce a nice even money bet, thanks!
Close call for Sydney but a win is a win.
Next match out of 2 tonight are from Germany. Aue have scored in 8 out of 9 at home and Bielefeld in 8 out of 10 away. First match at Bielefelds was won by the home side 3-1. I’m on both teams to score.
MY BET:
AUE – BIELEFELD
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE – YES
ODDS: 1,76
(STAKE: 16.12 UNITS)
(BET: 4/100)
Must have a golden chance Magnus .
Sydney v Brisbane
BTTS and over 2.5 MGs evens
Lost, miles away especially after the red
Kortrijk
Almere city
Over 2.5mgs double
15/8
Add
Hertha Berlin o1.5mgs
Treble
273/100
Same 3 games
BTTS Treble
69/20
Netherlands Eerste Divisie 19:00
NEC vs Cambuur Leeuwarden – over 4 first half corners (bet builder)
Belgium First Division B 19:30
KFCO Beerschot Wilrijk vs Westerlo – over 8 total corners
Double 1/1 Bet365 **NAP**
Good luck all
Over 2.5mgl
Setubal u23
Academica u23
Double@2/1
Cover 1 pt@3/1 for under 2.5mgl
Afternoon gents
All about French Ligue 2 for me
Had a look at the Thistle v Ayr game but looks tough to call
Don’t forget to listen to this weeks Gambla Podcast – have some cracking picks for the weekend
https://mrfixitstips.co.uk/french-ligue-2-promotion-chasers-to-produce-goals/
I agree with you about Thistle v Ayr – maybe btts the best bet.
Amazing stat from Mark Walker in today’s Racing Post – Thistle have gone 26 live TV games without a win.
After the signings they’ve made it’s only a matter of time before they start climbing the table but it’s a tough one for them tonight against McCall’s old team.
I’ll be in the home end as usual, hopefully see a home win for a change
Daz Mackinnion is a good signing for Thistle Mr F. I think BTTS is the bet if any.
Yeah Mackinnon will give them some steel in midfield and some leadership.
Probably the best player Clydebank juniors ever had although Nicky Little’s running him close.
BTTS I a shoe-in tonight. This’ll be my 10th game as I missed one and I’ve yet too see a clean sheet. Not a thistle fan but following
Just not sure what we’ll get from Thistle just now. Pitch probably sticky as I’m not far away and it’s chucking it down.
NEC Nijmegen
Den Bosch
Over 2.5mgs double 13/10
Over 3.5mgs double 4/1
All Eerste Divisie games over 2.5mgs 28/1
Good luck
66/1 ladbrokes for 1st half goal in french 2nd
Cheers Fella 👍🏼
Evening lads,
All 8 games at Netherlands Eerste Divisie
BTTS + over 2.5 goals
Odds 132/1
1point stake
Sydney game let down the eay selections,so try again…
Istanbul Basaksehir o1.5tgls
Al-Raed v Al-Ittihad BTTS & o2.5gls
Aue v Arminia Bielefeld BTTS & o2.5gls
WH priceboost 69/10
Over 2.5mgl
Almere
Volendam
Den Bosch
Treble@2/1
Kortrijk > 0 FHGs, > 1.5 MGS, De Graafschap > 1.5 TGS 6/5 – Main Bet
GL all!
garbage! WD the winners
ac Ajaccio v chateauroux
both teams to score
Ladbrokes 13/10
NAP
lost
Good Evening All
Dutch Action tonight and some value to be had at Maastricht
NAP – Jong PSV to score 2 or more @ 12/5
PSV achieved this outcome last time out against the form team in the league – Volendam
They have also scored 2 in 3 of the last 5 trips to Maastricht and scored in their last 7 away games
Another angle at shorter odds is taking PSV to score in a double with Helmond to score at Volendam @ 7/5
Great odds for 2 goals in a league like this one
Will be on goal in each half of Dutch games and over 1.5 in French Ligue 2 which I got for around 30/1 in shop which seemed a good price
Good Luck All
All French league 2 games over 1.5 goals and all Dutch eerste games over 1.5 goals 79/1 sky bet ⚽️⚽️
tonite
ayr win 9/5
shoe in………………
derby, berlin, rennes, cremonese, beerschot, grasshoppers o1.5mgs 13/2
Mr f, are you talking about le havre or rennes on your btts?
Oh finally understood the post, kindly ignore Mr f
Double tonight:
Derby v Stoke under 2.5gls
Partick v Ayr Utd btts & over 2.5gls
@ 2.4/1 with Bet365
Also on Greg’s Ligue 2 over 0.5fh goals @ 66/1 (pointed out by Micky) with Ladbrokes
Free bet big punt – btts in all Ligue 2 games @ 898/1 (boosted) with WH
Rubbish tonight. Well done all winners
BTTS & o2.5gls treble
Sydney FC v Brisbane Roar(5-1)😆💩
Istanbul Basaksehir v Genclerbirligi(2-1)✅
Abha v Al Hilal(4-2)✅
13/2💩
Above 3 mentioned favourites Result & BTTS trixie
Sydney FC 7/4💩
Istanbul Basaksehir 19/10✅
Al Hilal 6/4✅
3x doubles and a treble @18/1💩
Result & BTTS double paid 25/4 for minimal profit… Small margins as they say
Ayr Double Chance 1.57
Hertha Berlin Double Chance 1.50
Benfica & 0.1.5.goals 1.18
Treble 2.78
Good luck tonight people
A would say the French league 2 goals bubble is well n truly burst.
Pig in a poke that gamble
No goals at all in my German match. I’m on Cardiff in the last one of the day.
MY BET:
CARDIFF – READING
CARDIFF
ODDS: 2,17
(STAKE: 19.20 UNITS)
(BET: 5/100)
CARDIFF 1X
RENNES O1.5GL
COPENHAGEN
WIN WIN
Patrick vs ayr 2-2 final score 12/1 bet 365.
Gl
NEC Nijmegen
Den Bosch
Over 2.5mgs double 13/10**LOST** finished 0-2 in nec game
Over 3.5mgs double 4/1
Main bet a goal short
Well done all winners
Late goals needed to bring in bet, phew
Just getting in now and had wanted to give more of a preview for the Paraguayan pick but, as is the way currently, I’m getting f*ck all time to do much else aside from work.
Suffice to say, I’m confident though and the ‘5 star’ rating reflects that; prices for a Cerro brace have shortened to 8/11 so fingers crossed!
Also like the look of a second (slightly earlier Night Owl in the form of this one from Peru:
MELGAR VS. UNIVERSITARIO
(11.00pm)
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE & OVER 2.5 GOALS
(7/5, bet365) NB ⭐⭐⭐
Best of luck with all bets!
Looked at this game, with D. Millan now gone to U.de Deportes,was great for Binacional banging in the goals,will leave it myself as have a bet lined up for tomorrow,fingers crossed👍
And he pops up,always good when the unfancied team to win scores first👍
If only we had goalscorer and card markets in SA Slim – nice little insight and always good to know I’m not banging the drum on my own over there! Binacional were my Peruvian ‘Wilstermann’ last year and another league well worth following 👍
Advised tip
Sydney win✅
Sydney o1.5tgs❌
Sydney score bh❌
11/8 bet 365 (via betbuilder) NAP
LOST
Advised tip
Benfica/alkmaar
Win+ o2.5mgs double✅✅
11/10 bet 365 (via betbuilder) NB
WINNER
1/2 from main tips again. 🙄
Still it’s been an ok month-both the NAPs and NBs saw 12/19 land for a 63% strike rate on each. Wd all winners tonight.
Not to be sniffed at Sean – great stuff and consistent picks as ever 👍
Thanks hull
Nap tomorrow will be from England and Qatar, in the meantime I have one for the morning for oz. The corner kings Adelaide and Perth are both in action at home in matches 2 and 3, and I’d be surprised if this double doesn’t come close.
Adelaide v city over 10 match corners
Perth v victory, Perth o6.5 team corners
5/2 hills (1pt)
Ouch didn’t post that 😂
Repost
Total dud in Germany means just the one winner
Kortrijk✔
Almere city✔
Over 2.5mgs double
15/8 WON
Been a poor Month. Hoping for a better February. Well done the winners
3 hours ago
Ayr Double Chance 1.57 won
Hertha Berlin Double Chance 1.50 won
Benfica & 0.1.5.goals 1.18 won
Treble 2.78 won
Good luck tonight people
Well done all with a win hope Saturday is the same
Eastern suburbs
Adelaide
Over 2.5mgs double evens
Good luck
Oops just realised New Zealand game is 11pm tomorrow night
Looking alright for the early South American picks and maybe worth a lower stake go at this one from the Chilean Primera…
UNIÓN LA CALERA VS. UNIÓN ESPAÑOLA
(12.00am)
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
(5/6,bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE 1ST HALF
(4/1, bet365) ⭐
Good luck all on a late shift!