LIVERPOOL need a repeat of their Borussia Dortmund demolition job tonight to progress to the Europe League final.
Jurgen Klopp's side trail Villarreal 1-0 after conceding a late goal last week but matched the La Liga outfit in most departments and played pretty well.
The German boss rested key players in the 3-1 defeat at Swansea on Sunday so they'll be ready for a massive 90 minutes. They needed four to see off Dortmund on that Anfield glory night and might need three tonight as Villarreal will press for a vital away goal on the counter.
Opta stats reveal that fifty-nine per cent of teams who lost the first leg of a Europa League knockout tie away have gone on to qualify and in three of their last five European semis Liverpool have recovered after losing the first leg on the road.
Daniel Sturridge didn't feature in the first leg but if he starts tonight – and that's not a certainty – he could be the man to fire the Reds to Basel.
Villarreal are in good shape after sealing a Champions League place with Sunday's win at Valencia. Like Atletico Madrid they're defensively solid but will see the value of an away goal and are 8-11 at Coral to score.
The other tie between Sevilla and Shakhtar is more straightforward with the holders 2-9 to qualify after a 2-2 draw in Ukraine.
Stats from Opta show 80 per cent of teams who have drawn a Europa League first leg awaygo on to qualify and Sevilla have won 11 of their last 12 in this contest at the Sanchez Pizjuan.
Shakhtar are a side packed with quality though and best bet here could be both to score at 4-6 with 888sport.
Liverpool to qualify
Coutinho to score
Villarreal to score
Sevilla v Shakhtar btts