THE new NFL season kicks off next week and I will have regular tips and hope as many of you contribute as possible.
Week 1 action starts on September 8 with Patriots v Chiefs while my week one pick comes from Packers v Seahawks on the Sunday night.
They say never back your own team but in the NFL you can almost always rely on Green Bay at home. We are only three weeks into the pre-season but a few factors play into the Packers' hands early.
The Packers get to play their last game at home and will have their opener against Seattle in Lambeau too so no long-distance travel for any of the players in the green and gold over the next two weeks.
Seattle, however, face a trip south down to Oakland and will then travel east to Green Bay. Neither of the Seahawks or Green Bay starters will play the final pre-season game so you can be sure the likes of Aaron Rodgers and Jordy Nelson won’t suit up. However, the two road games will have an affect on the Seahawks players even though they don’t play.
Seattle also have problems of their own. Last week they lost their starting left tackle to an ACL tear and had to trade to get extra depth on the offensive line. While they still might have one of the best defences this year being asked to hang Aaron Rodgers, and a whole host of receiving talent, it’s going to be tough.
A home advantage is a -3 spread in the NFL regardless unless you are the Cleveland Browns. This is a nice bet for the conditions Seattle are facing coming into week one.
NFL week one tip
- Green Bay Packers -2.5pts (Sep 10)
Minus 3 is also worth a gamble at 47-50 with