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AFTER a week off last I am back with a bang today with five confident selections at Ascot and Haydock.
Ascot 12.20
The first selection is STONEY MOUNTAIN (12.20pm Ascot) for Henry Daly. The horse looks potentially top class and should add to his victory over hurdles last time in this more competitive race for a trainer who has had his horses in excellent form over the last few months.
Haydock 1.50
Over at Haydock my selection in their handicap is MR ANTOLINI (1.50pm Haydock) who was pulled out of last weekend’s big handicap to come here. He is perhaps an obvious one and isn’t a massive price in the betting but he still represents strong value in my view.
His form has been excellent so far and you get the impression that Nigel Twiston-Davies has left a little bit of improvement in him. I expect him to go and win this race today.
Ascot 2.40
A bet on OLD GUARD is an absolute must at the current prices (2.40 Ascot) although unfortunately there isn’t really scope for an each way bet. The two at the top of the market are the younger less-exposed types bit that factor has been completely overplayed in my view.
Old Guard went very close in the Greatwood Hurdle last weekend off top weight and is running as well as ever and these two will have to be pretty impressive horses to reach the level in their careers that Old Guard has. He is the sensible value bet at today’s prices.
Haydock 3.00
Regular readers will know that I’m not one to recommend short priced favourites but we simply must have something on MIGHT BITE (3.00pm Haydock) in the Betfair Chase today. He was outstayed by Native River in the Gold Cup but that was all it was – the extra two furlongs up the hill just tired him out.
He is the best 3 mile chaser in training in my view and he will win this with a classy round of a jumping and a better turn of foot than Native River. I’m really looking forward to the race and I have to back Might Bite.
Ascot 3.15
My value bet of the day comes in the shape of SAN BENEDETO (3.15pm Ascot). This is a Grade 1 winning horse in a handicap and I was stunned to see him at a double figure price.
There are a few fashionable handicappers ahead of him in the betting which perhaps explains it to some extent but this lad has shown his class and apart from a few poor races he has been consistent over fences. This handicap mark looks very fair to me and I expect him to go close with Bryony Frost on board.
Has the staking now changed from advised to level? GL