WE have both the Goodwood Festival and Galway Festival this week so I’ll have some tips for both as the week progresses.
There is nothing at Galway that takes my fancy today right enough. I must admit I am less confident with Irish racing (both National Hunt and flat racing) and will only recommend a bet when there is one that really jumps out at me. I don’t follow the day-to-day racing over there as much as I do for the UK but there will no doubt be one or two that tickle my fancy as the week goes on.
At Goodwood though there are quite a few on my shortlist and my best picks are as follows:
This is quite a confusing race in a lot of ways with some unexposed types like Tip Two Win and Emmaus involved along with a lot successful Group 2 and 3 level horses but there is no obvious standout performer. I am looking for one who will more than likely run his race under today’s conditions and Suedois is an obvious shout for that but the drawback there is that he tends to race quite keenly and from his draw today I don’t think that will suit him. The one that I prefer is D’BAI ridden by William Buick. 7 furlongs is undoubtedly the best trip for D’Bai and Buick has an excellent record round Goodwood. The horse can settle well up near the leaders from a decent enough draw and I can see him going very close at a good price.
I love these super fast downhill 5 furlong sprints. It’s blink-and-you-miss-it stuff but seeing them in full flow is a sight to behold. El Astronaute is the perfect candidate for this sort of race because he is so quick early doors and with a speedy 5 furlongs like this sometimes they just can’t catch him. The bookies haven’t missed him though and he would need a career best run to win I think from a pretty high handicap mark. Copper Knight is a progressive sort that I like and he might excel with this sort of speed in the hands of David Allan (his only ride of the day) and I wouldn’t put you off a bet on him. One of the past masters in these sort of races though is DUKE OF FIRENZE who is now a 9 year old but hasn’t lost any of his love for the game judging from his recent run at Epsom this season where he was unlikely in running and finished 6th of 22. He has since had poor runs at Haydock and The Curragh which aren’t his ideal tracks before an improved performance after an uncharacteristicly slow start at Newmarket last time where he finished 4th. As a result of all this he has been dropped a total of 10lb in the handicap since Epsom and he should go very close today with conditions ideal.
Sometimes trainer and jockey performance at certain tracks or in certain types of races can be exaggerated but Mark Johnston has an absolutely cracking record at Goodwood returning over £100 profit to level £1 stakes over the last 5 years. That is not to be sniffed at at all. His REBEL ASSAULT looks the choice in this race from a nice draw and with Joe Fanning the ideal pace judge on board. His form this season hasn’t been sparkling but that puts him on a really competitive mark and I suspect he will have been aimed at this race for quite some time. Let’s hope we can take advantage.
- 3.00 – D’Bai – 2pt e/w (13-2, B365, BetVictor)
- 4.45 – Duke of Firenze – 2pt e/w (8-1, Betfair, Paddy Power, Coral, Betfred – all paying 4 places each way)
- 5.15 – Rebel Assualt – 2pt e/w (12-1, Paddy Power, Ladbrokes – both paying 4 places)
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