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It was a another winning day on Saturday with Epatante fighting back in the run in to end the race in a dead heat. Definitely wasn’t a great run from her standards but she’s just back from a lay off and surgery. You’ll know more next time out.

The downside to the result is the dead heat rules for paying out on the selection as you don’t receive the full payout but profit is profit and it’s better than a kick in the teeth!

Most bookmakers stick by the dead heat payout rules however I know there is the odd one that will pay out the full sum. Regardless it’s a winning day and that’s all that matters.

Again, I’ve just one selection for tomorrow that I thought looked slightly over priced.

Fairyhouse 13:35

Gordon Elliot has pretty much dominated this race in recent times having trained 6 of the previous 9 winners. However I don’t fancy the chances that much of his runners tomorrow and have decided to look elsewhere.

The one that I fancied the look of and thought was rather over priced was the Emmet Mullins' runner Cape Gentleman. He was sent off a warm favourite last time out at Punchestown where he was surprisingly turned over. I’m drawing a line through that run as previous to that he showed signs of potentially being a nice chaser.

The most eye catching run in regards to his chase career was a thumping 12/15 length victory over Run Wild Fred who we know recently won the Troytown so the form of some of his runs are working out pretty nicely.

He steps back up in trip on Sunday and at 13/2 there’s every chance he’ll out run those odds if showing up. 13/2 for me is an each way bet so if worse comes to worse and he places you’ll at the least receive your stake back and receiving a small return.

Good luck!

17:00 Newcastle - Race: 3
Distance: 1m 5y
Type: Flat
Class: 4
Track: AllWeather
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
5
Cote D'azur
143570-

4
Dubai Lady
1-2

7
Plastic Paddy
21602-3

8
Broctune Red
61633-5

3
Grangeclare View
2/43412-

1
Ulshaw Bridge
56416-7

2
Lightening Company
122-4

6
War Defender
19/050-9

17:30 Newcastle - Race: 4
Distance: 1m 5y
Type: Flat
Class: 6
Track: AllWeather
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
5
Cote D'azur
143570-

4
Dubai Lady
1-2

7
Plastic Paddy
21602-3

8
Broctune Red
61633-5

3
Grangeclare View
2/43412-

1
Ulshaw Bridge
56416-7

2
Lightening Company
122-4

6
War Defender
19/050-9

18:00 Newcastle - Race: 5
Distance: 6f
Type: Flat
Class: 5
Track: AllWeather
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
3
Tommy Taylor
6063-11

1
Outrun The Storm
305545-

4
Athollblair Boy
74566-7

2
Sir Benedict
22467-4

8 Comments
  1. myizin 2 months ago

    i think given RUN WILD FRED won over 4f further next time out, the form has to be taken with a small pinch of salt becuase for me, he can’t have been there to win, the third was bleu berry, who is a 33/1 shot today.

    your selection is young, in form, progressive and back over a winning trip so i’m not putting anyone off, even if i could. just adding extra information. i’ve also come across an Irish youtube channel recently which has 3 tipsters, all of them have avoided the race.

    finally, given the 13/2 is now gone, if taking the bet, sky and hills are paying 4 places, best price 11/2. if you do not like the win prospect, the top 3 place market is 5/4 and that returns more profit than a place at 13/2 (£1 extra per £10 bet), good luck.

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Always bet on the horse with blue eyes

    • cairnzy1878 2 months ago

      Thanks again for your comment,

      If you check out Run Wild Fred’s entire racing career you can see he also had decent form over today’s similar trip as a 5yr old. At the age of 7 now it’s clear connections feel he was more a 3miler and the step up in trip has obviously worked as he recently landed the Troytown.

      Regardless a 14l thumping of him I personally think boosts the form. The 13/2 is now gone as he’s now into 4/1 so the each way play is probably a no go now.

      Bleu Berry now a non runner was more than likely a 33/1 shot due to being a 10 yr old and up against younger horses with further potential. Previous to being withdrawn he was probably not a bad each way shout at 33s.

      Good luck

    • myizin 2 months ago

      thanks for such a lovely reply. i appreciate the time you took to answer me, not only today, but yesterday, sincerely.

      first, i do not need to check out anything, i am more than aware of how racing operates and i know for certain, that RUN WILD FRED was aimed at a 3 mile race and was not firing on all cylinders on his SEASONAL BOW over 4f shorter against CG, so as I said, the form had to be taken with a pinch of salt, notice how even Rizzle didn’t mention it.

      now son, for you i did take a look over the horses career. before that 2m4f race, RWF had 15 starts. his first 4 starts over 2miles, two over 2m4f.

      since then (TWO YEARS AGO), how many races has he had shorter than 2m6f?? the answer is ZERO. so 9 races, FIVE of them were over 3m or further, so you can try and be condescending all you like but you just tried to look clever and fell on your face.

      i look forward to next weeks selections thanks.

  2. cairnzy1878 2 months ago

    @myizin

    Thanks for your reply,

    I don’t think you are understanding my point at all. Of course connections are going to keep RWF over his preferred trip I’m in no way arguing that.

    My point was that his form over shorter wasn’t a disaster either so to come of with the statement that he wasn’t firing on all cylinders over shorter is a bit harsh. Look at his results over the trip. Few 1st place finishes a few hitting the frame etc. Connections obviously knew he needed further hence why he was upped in trip. I don’t feel there’s any harm to mentioned the 14l thumping of him either as it’s an eye catching piece of form.

    Racing is a sport of opinion, myself and Rizzel have our own threads for a reason. If you don’t want to follow myself as a tipster no one is forcing you to do so.

    Please note the comment section is there to post your own selections and to discuss racing as a whole not to criticise others.

    Good luck for the rest of today.

    2
    • myizin 2 months ago

      RWF was having a blow out on seasonal bow in prep for his 3m race, and as such beating him is not a good yard stick, it’s a fact and it didn’t really reflect on you in a bad way, so no idea why you want to try argue. it’s such a shame, i had higher hopes for you, but it seems you’re just another a+b=c man whilst me and my team utilise the whole alphabet. you don’t get to dictate what can be talked about in the comment section, if you’re incapable of having a discussion, stay quiet and stick to pointing out the glaringly obvious for the people here who haven’t got a scooby and i’m sure you’ll do fine.

      i won’t discuss this anymore, if you want to reply, make sure you include a picture of your bet slip on Cape Gentleman so we can see you’re £2.50 stake, cheers.

  3. Deb2000 2 months ago

    @Cairnzy dont waste your time replying to the clown above.
    It’s the silly little know it all Database with his 15th new ID.
    Every month or so he comes back with his new ID having digs at you and Rizzel from sheer jealousy just report it to Admin and let them do there job.
    Everybody on the site appreciates the work you and Rizzel put in without tipsters this page wouldn’t be here.👏👏

    2
  4. cairnzy1878 2 months ago

    @myizin

    Evening,

    The point I’m making is you are replying in a way that’s argumentative therefore it’s not a discussion on your part. Like previously mentioned Racing is a sport very much of opinion.

    In regards to your ‘post a picture of your bet slip and include the stake’ comment.

    Stakes mean absolutely nothing and here at MFT we promote responsible gambling. If someone’s top dollar on a bet is £2 then that’s fine if it’s £2k that’s fine as well. It’s nobodies business what anyone stakes on their bets.

    Furthermore if you had high hopes for me since joining the platform then a bit of support would be the way to go about it.

    I do my best to pick out winners for the folk who follow me. I hope they feel I’ve did a good job so far in doing just that.

    If that’s not the case then that’s fair enough.

    Take care

    2

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