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It was nice to land a winner last Saturday and continue the winning form since joining the thread. Baaed swooped past to victory after travelling strongly into the race. He was an absolute steal at 5/2 and was definitely over looked by the bookmakers that day.
Spoilt as usual for racing this Saturday. I’ll do my best to pick the needle from the haystack.
A cracking and very competitive sprint handicap with five of the field winning on last outings.
Appleby runs three with Boundless Power the pick of the bunch. El Astronaute normally runs his race from the front and another bold bid is expected there.
Dakota Gold is a very good sprinter over 5f, he has been running in better fields than he runs in tomorrow and he won’t mind the soft ground. He takes a step down in grade for this also however he does carry top weight. He has won here before so I don’t expect the track to be any sort of problem. I thought 17/2 wasn’t a bad each way bet.
My main fancy for this race is RAASEL. He’s a massively improving sprinter. He’s finished 1st on his last three outings and as a result has been hit by the handicapper but there’s definitely more room for improvement for this 4yr old.
He’s been risen a further 7lb for his last win but after rewatching the race he definitely won with a bit in hand. He’s up not just one grade but two in this race, but carries a bottom weight of only 8.2.
Further to that, jockey Adam Farragher takes off 5lbs which counters most of the 7lb rise.
Cloth Cap will have his backers even at top weight. If you remember correctly another one of my favourites, Frodon, won this race off top weight last time so it can be done.
Cloth Cap ran in this race last year where he finished 3rd and is now 18lb higher. As much as this horse has improved and is highly regarded I still think it’s a massive weight to carry against some other decent horses in the field.
I’m taking an each way chance on Sherwood's JERSEY BEAN under Brendan Powell. He would most likely prefer the ground to be on the faster side however he won at this track last year and he has had a break.
I’m hoping he’ll go well fresh. The main pointer to note is that he sneaks in here at a weight of only 10.7 that’s 15lb less than he did last time. Cheltenham is a tough track especially on a horses stamina and weight plays a massive factor.
Market favourite Tritonic is far, far too short for my liking and there’s zero value at 8/11. With only 4 runners I think it’s worth a small punt against him. He failed to build on his group 2 win at Kempton when he disappointed in the Triumph Hurdle.
He’s been running most recently on the flat, wasn’t up to much there either, however wasn’t given the hardest of rides on those runs.
As much as the King yard being in good form, Tritonic has flopped at this track before and on top of that he has 8lb to give to his rivals.
I’m taking a punt on the Skelton runner STEPNEY CAUSEWAY. It’s probably the biggest gamble of my three selections even though it’s the smallest field. The Skelton yard aren't in any sort of form but surely it’s only a matter of time before they have a turn of fortune.
Stepney Causeway has won his last 4 races, the most impressive being his last outing at Ayr last April where he won by about 18 lengths. He returns after a wind op and I think he has decent claims against the short priced favourite.
17:30 Newcastle - Race: 4
18:00 Newcastle - Race: 5
18:30 Newcastle - Race: 6