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These will be my last two selections until Boxing Day as I will be having a no bet weekend next week. Fingers crossed we can get a winner from somewhere.
Since I’m having a no bet weekend next weekend I’ve decided to throw up 3 selections for tomorrow instead of my usual one or two.
Farinet 1:50 – Cheltenham 8/1 Each Way
This is probably the most competitive race on the Cheltenham card tomorrow. I was surprised to see my selection priced up at 8s as I feel Farinet looks like one of the better-handicapped horses in this race.
The Venetia Williams yard is bang there in form as she usually is this time of year. She had a lovely winner today in the shape of Commodore who ran them ragged from the front and won at 7/1! There’s no doubt her horses are massively overlooked at times.
With Rachel Blackmore booked for the ride she must fancy her chances on this one.
The main downside for me is most of his form has come on softer ground and the ground forecast tomorrow is more on the quicker side.
He hasn’t had a warm-up run as such as he hasn’t been seen since march where he won at Sandown. I managed to get a watch of that particular race, he ran nicely that day. He made a mistake at the last and looked beat however he managed to find a second wind and powered on through in the final stages to land the spoils.
I think he’s overpriced at 8s however given the competitiveness of the race I’ve opted to go each way to cover my stake.
Blazing Khal 2:25 – Cheltenham 10/11
This looks like a two-horse race between Blazing Khal and the Nicholls trained Gelino Bello.
The two of them met here last month. They both pulled clear of the rest that day with Blazing Khal staying the trip the better and getting the upper hand on the Nicholls runner.
Blazing Khal carries a 5lb penalty for that victory tomorrow and that will no doubt make this task tougher however he outstayed Gelino Bello in the straight. He did lose his head a little and wondered a bit but once the penny dropped and he found his stride his class showed through. I can understand why connections feel he can relish this step up in trip.
I can’t say the same for Gelino Bello, Nicholls seems to think the step up in trip will suit but I’m not totally buying it. Stamina looked an issue and whether he’ll stay the extra 2 furlongs only time will tell.
Guard Your Dreams ( TO PLACE ) 3:00 Cheltenham 7/4
The place market isn’t everyone’s cup of tea and with this race only offering two places it will probably put a few people off however I think Guard your dreams is a decent bet to place at 7/4.
He comes into this as the youngest runner in the race and has been steadily progressive in his career.
He ran a nice third behind the massively impressive Buzz at Ascot. He takes a step down in trip tomorrow which some seem to think might be a worry however I feel the opposite I think it will suit him down to a tee.
He hasn’t bad form around Cheltenham ( 7th place finish in the coral cup and a most recent victory in October over 2m4f).
On paper, he obviously has something to find on the likes of the 2 market favourites Song for Someone and Sceau Royal but I like the possibilities of an upset.
Good luck tomorrow!
In December 2020 we sadly 
Letter for letter, this could possibly be the most anyone has ever written without selecting a winner, but I’ll enjoy the day regardless. I may actually look for something solid on the other cards so stay posted. INEVITABLE OUTCOME from above is in the 19:45 at Wolves.
12.05 ELUSIVE ARTIST 125/1 ew (realistically comes 100l last)
Four of the last 5 winners of this have been odds on with at least one run under their belts. The exception was when a 5/2f Skelton horse fell, he has the fav today. The winner that year came from CARROLL/BANNISTER, the horse had won on debut and took this at 6/1, so ELUSIVE ARTIST 125/1 can’t really be taken too seriously but I will be backing it with a stake I don’t mind losing. If you want a little punt but on something with more promise, how abot LADY PACIFICO 18/1, it’s on the slide big time so perhaps look at EW extra. MESSAGE PERSONNEL has seen the money, bet365 are a lot slower at adjusting their prices than sky 15/8 there and you should note that for the future.
Gary Moore won this two years back but his son was on board. Houlihan won here for him last month, but he’s unable to use his 5lb claim and that puts me off, currently around 10/3. Scudamore and Pipe won this last year with Adagio 4/9, so market support would be nice but the horse hasn’t had a run and if fancied, I doubt it’d be 6/1. I was going to say it’s always worth checking on the Williams family, but jockey is 0/12 round here despite their decent season so far.
12.40
Many of you will remember last month seeing both horses fall at the same fence when GIN ON LINE miraculously stood up and finished the race. She was doing so rated 143, but I have no doubts that MY DROGO had her covered, nothing is rate close to that in this so off level weights I’m not sure how it can lose. Of course, the horse wouldn’t be running if not sound, but the only slither of hope we can take is Skelton won’t be wanting a repeat and this could be a confidence booster, however even if it is he looks tough to beat. I’d like to take him on but won’t advise it, I was on JAY BEE WHY 11/2 when winning last year at 14s so will stick £2 on it, a stake I am happy to lose. Torn and Frayed’s connections love it here but is closely matched with another Skelton horse who is rated 11 lower than My Drogo.
13.15 BUN DORAN 9/1 ew
Editeur Du Gite has been put up 7 for his win here last month. BUN DORAN was 10l behind in 3rd but that was his first run of the season and does have some course form, on top of that we have a 10lbs weight pull and is more than double the price. I had a very brief look at the rivals, it’s a pretty stacked race, BS hasn’t won for two years but finds himself rated 19 lower, defintely one for caution but he is getting one more chance from me. I hate to repeat myself too as I type enough, but bear in mind we beat with a bankroll which will acrue profit over time, I’m years down the line so will take more chances, if scowling the site for a good thing – perhaps look elsewhere here.
13.50 FUSIL RAFFLES 15/2 ew 5 places
Lalor 11/2 stayed on strongly here last time and looks an EW shot to nothing, I won’t be touching but I believe he has the beating of CEPAGE 14/1 for anyone looking at that horse. FUSIL RAFFLES is a class horse & won on this card last year over this distance and needs a serious mulling over. We beat a 1/3 shot in these silks last week and that means everything else aside, I’ll risk a couple of sheckles on this very versatile beast. I won’t be looking any further that him, I’m not bullish or even confident by any means, the generous price is actually making me doubt its chances but in comparison to the amount of wreckless bets I’ve had on Class 6 donkeys over the years, 7/1 ew for one such as this, with 5 places is good enough but definitely keep the stake modest, I doubt this is his target.
15.00 SONG FOR SOMEONE 5/2
Give my love of the double green silks which goes way back, it’s hard to take on Sceau Royal but I have given Tom Symonds a few mentions here. SONG FOR SOMEONE was a well beat 2nd here last time but is one I will give another chance to hoping it’s his day. I saw an ex-jockey who is for me, a mug tipster despite his apparent success (for which he charges £140 a month for). He backed against SFS last time and I told him that SFS top 2 finish was the nap. He’s gone against it today, chancing Ballyadam. He justified this by saying SFS doesn’t back up his runs. So I look at his form and it reads 221161321112P2, the hallmark of consistency. Now I hate the price but we are a C&D winner in this Grade and lto was our seasonal bow, so for a trainer who smashed me in a good few last season, he is my pick. I have not looked at another rival.
15.35 MIDNIGHTREFLECTION 14/1 ew & LUST FOR GLORY 33/1 4 places
The lucky last, what do we have. Coleman won on Martello Sky at the festival. Trapista is unbeaten. Wynn House won lto and is up 3, the trainers 2nd string was 0.75l behind and gets a 3lb pull double the price.
Indefatigable won off this rating in this class at the 2020 festival beating recent winner PILEON. She won a Grade 2 over 3m in October, at 11/2 I am put off her by the weight but certainly has a lot to like. You can see why I do plenty of losing given the ones I overlook in comparison to the risky selections I go with, but with the information there and caution advised, my conscience is clear.
Anyway, I will chance two in this, MIDNIGHTREFLECTION, the trainer had a double on Friday, this isn’t his main jockey but could well be worth chancing at the price. A prep run under his belt, winning off 3 lower back in February, the 2nd is 2-2 since. Runasimi River was back in 5th and is 3lbs worse off. It’s a stab so I won’t go on much more given how much I’ve wrote, the other at throwaway stakes is LUST FOR GLORY.
I’ve been amazed at how many big priced winners these two legends have managed this season. It’s 28/1 and on balance I would expect us to come dead last, hence the stake adjustment but we have to chance it. She was winning rated 9 lower in February this year, we have refusal and two PU’s from our last 4 which explains the price, but on her best day, WHY NOT? She’s also a 2nd round here and one I am despite expecting more of the same. LUST FOR GLORY
i really need to proof read what i write, so many mistakes 8(
is this a tipping site or somewhere to leave your novels and talk bullshit and crap
it’s a racing thread, not a place to express pent up anger from real life shortcomings. if you don’t want to win, don’t follow me, better yet put your own up, you did last week and that didn’t go too well did it…. last correspondence from me son, if you want attention you’ll have to save some money up and pay for it.
all french in that first race 1.2.3.
just seem to see some many lately
so many
Cheddleton 1.15 ch
Shanshou sunset 1.30 don
Nastaiya 1.45 nc
Beauzone 3.30 nc gl
Blazing Khal out stays Gelino Bello again to win the 2:25 and the drop in trip works a treat for Guard your dreams!
A good day at the office!
Have a great Christmas everyone and I’ll catch you all on Boxing Day!
Thanks for Inevitable Outcome, Great write up, tremendous result. 👏
Thanks Postman,
Have a great Christmas mate.
Just realised that was for @myizin2
😂😂😂
Didn’t read the comment properly. Good write up Izin
Likewise have a great Christmas!
i think postman was saying cheers to you also, but sometimes the site just duplicates posts.
well done on your 2 outta 3, shame you didn’t go on the nose for the place bet.. as it’s twice now that’s happened for you.
as for myizin2, that is just my wannabe, a random non-contributor who for some reason thinks we need his/her opinion…
keep up the good work see you in a couple weeks.
i just scroll down ain.t got the time to read the crap
@myizin
If I place a bet I use my local bookmakers via telephone and they done offer extra places and on the nose bets etc.
I’ve actually never placed a bet on the nose market I assume you get enhanced odds to win on the nose due to the short margin etc?
But yes you are correct a couple of times a horse has got up for me on the line.
I just seen potters corner ran a blinder again, I tipped him up each way the other week and he faded out of a place but the ol boy is running brilliantly.
Who you liking the look of at Cheltenham??
i remember being on potters corner i think 2-3 seasons ago, 12/1 winner in a welsh national i think, rings a bell not sure though, christian williams??
anyway, yes, the horses anyone who is half clued up put up are worth tracking, if they dont win that time, then they are likely to soon enough so some food for thought, alans used to do it, even johnbs, he would pick a loser but you could be sure the horse was a winner in waiting.
anyway i look day to day, didnt get into racing until around 25, not clued up the top class stuff, the paths horses take and the type of horse who is suitable to each type of cheltenham race.. thats for you more in tune with the sport… something i have to work on, i think throughout the season a horse is only tried once or twice before cheltenham, i think year ill make a big effort to do video analysis on the best runs and try to weight things up .. as i say get caught up in the day to day bs, but monday -thursday can be an absolute joke so missing a couple weeks not a bad idea..
keep up the good strike rate anyway, sorry to be a knob head before ;0