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Day 4 was difficult for me, with nothing coming to fruition from my four selections. All of them ran well, except Twilight Jet blew out and looked to have something amiss. The rest didn't place, other than Fresh Hope who travelled like one of the best horses but was probably drawn on the wrong side of the track. Cemhaan is a horse I will keep following as he still looks like a horse on a good mark, he missed the places by a nose.

Ascot 3:05

Runner Jacket

Trainer: Hugo Palmer

Jockey: James Doyle

Form: 1320-0

A bit of a speculative poke on DUBAWI LEGEND as he's been in fairly terrible form since looking like a potential top-class performer in the early stages of his 2yo career, but I do believe this lad has potential still and is a good horse.

I think the lightning-quick ground will be right up Dubawi Legend's street. His trainer shares those thoughts and has been quoted saying he'll love this ground. He'll need more than loving the ground to win this, but I do think he is better than what we've seen of late. His 2nd behind Native Trail at Newmarket last year was a cracking run, since Native Trail was the champion 2yo of last season and has since won the Irish 2000 Guineas.

His run at Del Mar in the Breeders' Cup and the run in 2000 Guineas can be excused for as he is a keen-going horse and he didn't get any cover at Newmarket, and though he finished last, Tom Marquand did the right thing by looking after him and virtually pulling him up when he knew his horse had no chance, saving him to fight another day. I think the drop to 7f is the correct move as he does have a lot of pace about him, and a fast pace which they'll get will set it up nicely for him.

Hugo Palmer had a runner-up yesterday at Royal Ascot and has settled in nicely into his new base in Chesshire under the ownership of Michale Owen. I'm not going to say he will win this but at the prices, I think he is a live outsider.

Ascot 4:20

Runner Jacket

 Trainer: Chris Waller

Jockey: James McDonald

Form: 191-19

I'm not going to pretend to know tonnes about Australian racing, but Chris Waller has brought over two horses this week with HOME AFFAIRS being his second runner. His first, Nature Strip took the mick in the King's Stand by hosing up and winning without getting out of second gear, so the fact he's brought Home Affairs over for this race suggests he rates his chances highly.

This horse beat Nature Strip back in February of this year over 5f, so that is rock-solid form as none of the British horses got within 4L+ of that horse. His recent run at Flemington was under-par for what he had shown in the two previous races, but I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt that wasn't his true running. He's still a very young and lightly raced horse and going from his form, he does tend to blow out in between winning, as that happened the time before, so chances are that he'll be tuned up for this and should run a huge race.

Australians have always been good in the sprinting department of horse racing, whereas us Brits and Irish have dominated over the middle distances on turf. I don't think the spriting division in the UK is all that special now that the likes of Blue Point and Battaash are no longer racing, so a chance is taken on the Aussie horse who has bundles of pace and plenty of ability.

Ascot 5:00

Runner Jacket Trainer: K J Condon

Jockey: W J Lee

Form: 535-54

An ultra-competitive handicap with 28 runners but my eye was instantly drawn to the Irish runner, QUARANTINE DREAMS.

The form of his last two runs looks good and suggests a strip 6f in a race which will be ran at a fast gallop would be straight up his street. The most recent run was the most impressive of the two recent runs as he made up significant ground in the final furlong in a 5f sprint at Naas and that run screamed out that he needs further. The winner of that race has since gone on and won a Group 2 in France and the 3rd won a Listed race at Cork just over a week ago.

Looking at his form as a 3yo it looks quite strong as well, with the 3rd in a 16 runner Listed race behind Romantic Proposal looking like a stand-out piece of form. The winner went on to win a Group 1 later in the season beating A Case Of You who is now a dual Group 1 winner.

This is his handicap debut and off a mark of 100 I think he could have a major role to play, with improvement still to come from this lightly raced 4yo.

Newmarket 4:32

Runner Jacket

Trainer: George Margarson

Jockey: Tom Queally

Form: 26-363

One of the horses who joined my tracker from the Epsom Derby weekend was SPIRITED GUEST.

This 6yo ran a belter to finish 3rd in a Class 2 handicap when you consider the ground he made up from a terrible position. I think he needs a fast run 6f, or a standard 7f to see him at his best. A handicap mark of 84 isn't ideal at his age and will have to run a career-best to win a race of this nature, but based on his recent performance I think his odds don't suggest his chance of winning and is therefore a worthy bet.

I think the form of the Epsom handicap will work out nicely as the horses from that race continue to run with arguably the top 5-6 looking like they could win some decent pots this season, excluding the winner who finds himself on a tough handicap mark, but he has been an improver from last year and could improve again (runs at Ascot later today).

14:10 Chester - Race: 3
Distance: 5f 15y
Type: Flat
Class: 3
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
Navello
528428

Gabrial The Devil
21918-6

Glory Fighter
73-0522

2
Night On Earth
333708

Bossipop
00-0276

Fast Response
14-4905

14:15 Newmarket - Race: 5
Distance: 7f
Type: Flat
Class: 1
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
Navello
528428

Gabrial The Devil
21918-6

Glory Fighter
73-0522

2
Night On Earth
333708

Bossipop
00-0276

Fast Response
14-4905

14:20 Windsor - Race: 4
Distance: 1m 31y
Type: Flat
Class: 1
Track: Turf
No
Silks
Runner
Odds
2
Modern News
1-37112

Tyrrhenian Sea
1-1142

3
My Oberon
453-161

4
Perotto
43545-0

Chindit
543-134

44 Comments
  1. uncle pom 1 week ago

    23:10 Santa Anita
    Iconic sky 7/2 1pt win

    6
  2. uncle pom 1 week ago

    23:10 Santa Anita
    Iconic sky 7/2 1pt win

    6
  3. dazzman1979 1 week ago

    5:13 Redcar – kendred fire 12/1 e/w

    • dazzman1979 1 week ago

      2:52 Perth – fathers advice 7/1 e/w

  4. double carpet 1 week ago

    2.30 Crypto Force 8/1 ew 4 places

    The fav beat Segomo by 4 1/2L on debut but the selection beat the same horse (Segomo’s 2nd run) by 9L on his debut.
    Given the difference in the odds today I think I’d rather be with the ew value.

    4.20 Sacred 10/1 ew 6 places

    I would be very weary of backing Home Affairs over this trip at such short odds.
    His form over 6f reads 38919 against his 5f form which reads 2111. Yes he beat Nature Strip but NS completely missed the break that day.
    With an up hill finish it will take a horse who will last the trip out well and I think Sacred falls into that bracket dropping down in trip. Whether he has enough speed through the race remains to be seen.

    BOL

    4
  5. Super Wilf 1 week ago

    Fav 2.30 looks a stick on

    10/11 Sky Bet money back second or third

    Evens Bet 365

    8
    • Super Wilf 1 week ago

      Or fourth place finish 😀

      7
  6. double carpet 1 week ago

    5.00 Apollo One
    40/1 ew 7 places
    23/1 ew 10 places

    1
    • double carpet 1 week ago

      Last one same race 5.00

      Warrior Brave
      50/1 ew 7 places
      33/1 ew 10 places

    • double carpet 7 days ago

      8th 👍

    • elvis parsley 7 days ago

      Ew extra Mr carpet ??.
      Use that a lot myself, as long as jockeys ride to the line and don’t ease up when beat is a good market

  7. uncle pom 1 week ago

    +0.4
    Ascot
    14:30 Faisal road 12/1 1pt ew
    15:05 Tuscan 50/1 0.5ew
    15:40 Lafayette 18/1 0.5 ew living legend 33/1 0.5 ew 16:20 run to freedom 100/1 0.5 ew umm kulthum 66/1 0.5 ew
    17:35 Aldous Huxley 8/1 1pt win
    18:10 Trushan 7/4 3pt win

    10
    • uncle pom 1 week ago

      Been 3 years since I posted a 100/1 winner 😆🤞🤞

      9
    • Inches 1 week ago

      Is this John b?

      1
    • uncle pom 1 week ago

      No I’m not John b 👍

      1
    • uncle pom 7 days ago

      Have to wait another 3years 🤣

  8. de niro 1 week ago

    Ascot

    14-30
    5/ Faisal Road 14/1

    15-05
    4/ Audience 14/1

    16-20
    Home Affairs 5/2

    17-00
    Rohan 14/1 e/way

    Good luck everyone 🍀

    11
    • Wildhorse 7 days ago

      Nice to have you back , you save me , big resprct , Rohan :)))) , I get 19 ODDS .-

    • double carpet 7 days ago

      Nice shout and drift

  9. recoba 1 week ago

    Trixie …

    Noble Truth
    Sacred
    Aldous Huxkey

    1
    • recoba 1 week ago

      Place treble fold too on them

  10. Inches 1 week ago

    Asjad 5.00
    Timour 6.10
    Samburu 3.05
    Dudleys bar 3.10 dr
    Ew yankee

  11. Wildhorse 7 days ago

    Hi All

    Ascot not my friend this year , hope last day , can save me a little .

    Yankee / EW

    R. 1 – Alzahir

    R. 4 – Home Affairs

    R. 6 – Honiton

    R. 7 – Falcon Eight

    To be placed

    R. 4 – Minzaal

    R. 5 – Silver Samurai

    Bol at Final , need a little break , see you Soon !!

    1
  12. azzthewigan 7 days ago

    dark thirty 2.30 ew

    1
  13. theplug 7 days ago

    3-05 Hello You 25/1 ew
    2-30 Legend of Xanadu 9/1 ew
    5-00 Silver Samurai 7/1 ew
    6-10 Wordsworth 9/4 nap

    1
  14. dc john boy 7 days ago

    2-30 ascot

    Lakota Sioux 50/1ew

    Good luck

    1
    • dc john boy 7 days ago

      Finished 3rd 😃

      3
  15. dc john boy 7 days ago

    Ascot 3.40pm

    Living legend 22/1ew

    1
    • dc john boy 7 days ago

      Applies not ew

      2
    • dc john boy 7 days ago

      Apologies not ew lost anyway

      1
  16. elvis parsley 7 days ago

    Ascot
    5-00 fivethousandtoone
    30-1 bet365 ew extra 10 places.

    5-35 pervade
    20-1 bet365 ew extra 8 places.

    6-10 falcon eight
    3-1 without trueshan
    7-4 without trueshan and Wordsworth

    2
    • elvis parsley 7 days ago

      Pervade only paid on top 6 at the off but luckily came 5th 🏇

      2
    • elvis parsley 7 days ago

      Trueshan out.
      So both stake from above now on falcon eight 7-4 without Wordsworth

      2
  17. Wildhorse 7 days ago

    Mister Bluebird R.6 , Newmarket , De Sousa , on board today .

    1
  18. azzthewigan 7 days ago

    Rohan 5.00

    5
  19. busstop.2018 7 days ago

    Afternoon All

    PERTH

    16.46. .Newtown Boy. .7/2

    17.23. .Pammi. .3/1

    GL ALL

    2
  20. Wildhorse 7 days ago

    My last one for today .

    Lingf .. R2 – Dresden Green / Win

    take a break , 2 Weeks , see you Soon.

    Good Luck , thx De Niro :)

    2
  21. azzthewigan 7 days ago

    Honiton 5.35 urban artist 6.10

    1
  22. azzthewigan 7 days ago

    well done all winners today

    1
  23. dazzman1979 7 days ago

    Ascot 4/35 – phantom flight 14/1 nap 💰💰💰

    1
  24. double carpet 7 days ago

    Lucky last

    Timour 12/1 ew 4 places

    Andre Fabre sends this horse over, his only runner of the entire meeting and will be running 1m further than he’s ever run before.
    Curious bet

    1
  25. elvis parsley 7 days ago

    Not many bothered mentioning this but well done de niro and azz with rohaan, and bus with pammi.

    2
  26. spurs55 7 days ago

    Don’t you just love number 3

    I do anyway 🤣

    1
  27. postman 7 days ago

    How many times do I have to tell you …

    WILLIES IN THE BUMPER 🤣

    1

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