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TUKHOOM (4.15) is the value bet under promising 7lb apprentice Angus Villiers in the claimer at Wolverhampton.
David O'Meara's six-year-old has enjoyed a productive year and his neck second to Love Dreams over course and distance in September was sandwiched between victories at Beverley and Sandown. Tukhoom had one of today's principal rivals Azzeccagarbugli well held in eighth at Sandown and can confirm places on 6lb worse terms. Likely favourite Unforgiving Minute holds runner-up Azzeccagarbugli on recent Chelmsford City form (Shady McCoy a disappointing fourth following a tardy start) but is drawn very wide in stall 11 over this sharp 7f trip.
MICHELE STROGOFF (5.15) is an habitual front-runner and his chance rests on getting an uncontested lead. He found himself harried for pole position over course and distance 15 days ago when Storm Ahead swooped fast and late off a strong gallop. Storm Ahead is 5lb worse off.
WESTERN DUKE (6.45) was in the wrong position at Kempton last time, sitting out the back off a pedestrian pace before staying on into fifth spot behind Pianissimo. That was his first start for 88 days and he should strip a bit sharper for that outing. Ian Williams saddled Western Duke to land a 1m 4f handicap at Ascot in July and that looks stronger form than Dance To Paris's third to Inteldream.
Consistent Rajinsky would have a big shout if settling better than he did at Newcastle when pulling for his head before staying on into fourth in the 1m 2f handicap won by Big Daddy Kane. This longer trip also poses a question and Western Duke appears the safer option.
unforgiving minute 13/8 wolverhampton 4-15 nap/nb james doyle only ride of the day ,cd winner ,doyle have a 42 % strike rate.
fizzy feet 7/2 wolverhampton 5-45 . hollie doyle cant do any wrong at the moment
the manuscript 9/2 lingfield 1-45
went big today £1 trixie on these. Total bet £4. Was ahead almost £11 yesterday had 10p trixie all won payed £9.58 i know it is pittance to most but i keep things fun
On theplugs bets i meant to say. And 20p treble on alan thompsons three
best way to do it, BOL for the rest
south seas 1.30 ruby Yeats 1.45 spelga 1.55 Mr love 2.05 ruacana 2.15 well done all winners yesterday
Afternoon All.
LINGFIELD
14.45. .Maypole Class. .2/1
15.15. .Shanahans Turn. .5/2
SOUTHWELL
15.05. .Tis Fantastic. .2/1
15.35. .Raymond. .13/2. .E/W
GL ALL
New to site. Like the way you are playing with small money Kevinllll. Don’t know how you are going to get two winners in the same race at 4.15 though
Hi thanks it was more of a kind of cover bet for the 20p treble. I was hoping one would win. It was a good tip from theplug he was strong on it
Well done Azz. Great tipping
cheers jayell 61
only now 10 mins till the off so will have to stop typing, 17:45 race overview…
THREE LITTLE BIRDS won LTO over CD and the claimer takes 3 of his 5lb rise. He saw lots of money IIRC and is interesting upped in grade, he has been tried in C2 and has won 5 times over 5f, the 6/1 looks generous on paper, I suspect he may not win so, 6/4 for top 3 looks more than acceptable.
SECRET ACT at 18/1 is now on a rating where he should be capable of placing, being a CD winner, he will carry a small ew stake.
Fizzy Feet meets Canford Bay off level weights today, they met on Oct 23 over C&D when FF was a neck in front. He loses a 7lb weight advantage tonight though and despite the booking of Hollie Doyle, it looks enough reason to lay. Wildhorse did make a good point about weights being a little less relevant over sprints but still 7lbs is considerable and H. Doyle hasn’t ridden this horse in any of the times it has placed.
Canford back drops from C2 into C4 but loses a 5lb claim. 1lb above his last win albeit on turf where he beat a subsequent C2 winner, he’s been out 3 times in recent weeks and perhaps his best chance is tonight but not for me either despite being a fan of connections.
The fact Appleby’s main claimer MARK CREHAN is on Michele Strogoff but not on Zapper Cass may prove telling and although a big price looks another to avoid for win purposes, he is upped in grade and 5lb above his win 2 starts back having failed over this CD lto.
PJ Mac and SC Williams won two of their previous 3 races at this track (this week) they only have one here tonight, his CD win was back in 2015, he is racing off 79. He has gone close over 5 on turf but was assisted by a 7lb claimer. Despite the duo, I would also only consider this horse in the place market although has a AW 2nd off 80 to his name in Class 3 in Sept 2018.
Lomu hasnt been overly tried over 5 and typically seen on the turf, he is making his debut for new trainer however. He;s won off 82 over 6 and was 2nd off 91 in a Class 3 so his rating of 79 makes him very dangerous if handling the distance and surface, too many if’s for me though.
Union Rose looks high in the weights, Red Stripes won for me at a big price years ago and catches my eye, won’t be on this time but has won from 2lbs higher, is 33/1 and may be worth 50p ew.
LOMU, looked absolutely lovely so did sneak a bet on him in the end, too good as his paper stats suggested, secretact didnt find anything sadly.
Hey data i saw your wording about 2 mins before race so only time to quick read it and saw you say lomu and the words very dangerous so i put 65 p on. Biggest odds winner on the horses i have ever had so thanks for that
Happy you had something on as well
It was a course record data is that a horse to follow?
lucky you :D
i do like to pick out a horse on looks too so watching pre race is important as some do look like they aren’t up for it.
as for lomu… now he has won, he will be punished, so it’s impossible to say, just wait for his next race and check if the conditions suit if he’s raised 6lbs, up in class over a different distance then perhaps not etc.. he definitely has another win in him given what just happened tho.. just wait for his name to pop up again and we’ll look again.. been mentioned by AT before, new trainer new opportunities though..
Ok thanks
OUR MAN IN HAVANA, not seen for 225 days, 7900900 form line and yet he is FAV. 7lbs below his last win, it was CD 1 year ago. PD Evans is in form and although not a usual suspect in the saddly the horse BROCKLEY RISE is 2lbs below a CD win, 15/8 to place, will probably avoid that too in all honesty. KENIRY a hard name to avoid but may stab a small EW on BILLYOAKS, be shocked to see old fav KRAZY PAVING turn up but 40.1 is nice.
645 im going DIODORUS small stakes ew/place 8/1. and in the last, GLADDEN is an unknown but 7/2 to place is fine with me..
very limited bargain bucket racing so limited stakes obviously, more punts than anything for entertainment.
Wednesday.
Dashel drasher 1-55 haydock 11-8 NAP.
Sunny express 2-25 haydock top 2 finish 7-4.
Sumkindofking 2-05 Ludlow top 2 finish 7-4.