This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.
For a long way of the race, I felt like an upset was on the cards with King Of The Plains. He was going very well out in front and had the odds-on filly scrambling in behind, but the line didn't come in time as he was beaten in the final few strides.
As for Nigwa, it was like her heart was broken by the eventual winner. She was travelling extremely well, but when she was asked to go on and win her race, she couldn't get past Cockalorum for the best part of 3-4f, and I think that broke her, as she eventually finished fourth. Strange really.
Epsom 3:10 – Westover 9/4 (1pt Bet365)
I really do believe this race is Westover‘s to lose.
After looking through the other horses in the race, I think that they are all vulnerable to Westover if he is firing on all cylinders. For me, Emily Upjohn is too short, even though she is not favourite. Yeah, she bounced back on the final day of the flat season at Ascot last year, but that form isn't exactly bulletproof and though she was deemed to be unlucky in the Oaks due to her bad start, is that form really that strong other than Tuesday? Nashwa has won a couple of Group 1's, but she was very poor last time out and when you think about it, the form of that horse isn't particularly strong either. She is also a keen goer, and with this being her first start in 230 days, you've got to be worried about her pulling.
Westover would've made a race of the Derby if he got out in time, but he didn't, finishing 3rd which is still not a bad effort. He then redeemed himself when winning the Irish equivalent, battering the field that day, including Tuesday, by 10L. He did run poorly at Ascot when behind Pyledriver, but he refused to settle that day, and then I think he ran a very good race to finish 6th/20 in the Arc on ground which was evidently too slow for him. His run in March at Meydan in the Sheema Classic was a great effort to finish behind the current world's best horse, Equinox. I think if he repeats that last run, the majority will have to put in arguably career-bests to win (virtually all apart from Hurricane Lane).
Speaking of Hurricane Lane, he made a good return to form last time around, but did he really beat much? he stunk the place out at Newbury on seasonal reappearance, so it was good to see him win in the style he did at HQ, but he's beaten some Group 3/2 level horses, and I wouldn't trust that run too much, especially when you consider he was on the drift all day, going off at 2/1 second favourite.
Both Point Lonsdale and Tunnes do their best runs on soft ground, which they won't get unless all of the weather forecasts are wrong, so for me, it was a no-brainer to go for Westover who is definitely still improving and is still relatively lightly raced, plus he handles the track well.
Epsom - 3:10 pm