This tip has expired. Please check our free horse racing tips section of the website to find the most up to date.

Money was in for Rebel Intentions who more than halved in price, but the jockey went for completely different tactics to what has been best on the horse. He lined up in first three, thought sack that and put him in last place, which the horse clearly hated as he was off the bridle as soon as it happened. Strange decision. However, it was great to see the 2pt NAP come in as Djelo ran out a very ready winner. His jumping wasn't as accurate as I'd hoped, but he's a low jumper and mistakes are going to be likely as a novice, but the main thing was that he got the win.

Haydock 12:55 – El Elefante 10/3 (1pt, WilliamHill)

Mares races at the top level often to throw up some weird and wacky results, but I thought El Elefante looked the most solid in this contest.

The strongest form a mare can have is when they mix it with the lads, and that's what El Elefante has on her C.V. She finished 5th/9 in a hot Class 2 handicap at the October meeting at Cheltenham, she ran well for a long way, but I think the good ground wasn't to her liking considering she had previously won on her three previous starts in bumpers andon hurdles debut on soft ground. She was 2nd in her sole PTP run, also coming on soft ground, so the fast ground she encountered back in October was clearly not going to be her ideal surface.

Lucinda Russell won this race last year with Haute Estime, and Lucinda sent her Grade 1 winning hurdler, Apple Away to the same race that El Elefante finished 5th at Cheltenham, so clearly she holds this horse in a similar level to Apple Away. The form from that Cheltenham fifth looks decent with the 2nd finishing as runner-up in a Grade 3 next time out, the 4th and 6th have won their following races and the winner looks a very smart horse on good ground.

bet365

Haydock 1:30 – Bill Baxter 13/2 (0.5pt EW, Bet365)

I'm giving a chance to Bill Baxter in this extended 3m 1f race, which looks to be a tough ask from 12st.

Though he is carrying top weight in this contest, I think he has the class to win a race of this nature at this distance. He did most of his winning over 2m 4f – 2m 6f last year in his first season of fences, but he's always looked to be that horse who'd do better over further, and I don't think he did much wrong in the Coral Gold Cup at the start of this month when finishing 8th. Carrying top weight on heavy ground wouldn't entice many to have a punt on a horse, but I listened to Tom Segal mention that top weights on soft ground are more attractive than they are on good ground, and his reasoning for it is because they go much slower on testing ground, which gives the chance to the top weights to stay in contention and then their class shines through in the latter stages, and I agree.

Bill Baxter is the flag bearer of the Warren Greatrex yard, who has dropped off from five or so years ago when he had a handful of decent prospects. They really rate this lad and it's interesting they are coming for this race just three weeks after the Coral Gold Cup, which clearly didn't leave a mark, as they fancy their shot in today's race. What is interesting is that James Bowen has evidently gone to Haydock for this ride in particular, with it being £26,000 to the winner. He could've easily gone to Ascot and taken the ride on Luccia who has a decent chance in a pot which is over 3x as much as this race, so he must feel like Bill Baxter has a great chance of winning.

Haydock 2:40 – Rose Sea Has 9/1 (0.5pt, Bet365)

I can see why Real Stone will be heavily supported on Saturday. He won by 21L over course and distance last time out and Tristan Durrell takes off 5lbs, meaning he has only gone up 3lbs for that easy win, but it wasn't a competitive race and I think he is vulnerable to a well-handicapped horse.

My dart landed on Rose Sea Has who relishes soft conditions and has dropped below his last winning mark by 3lbs, which makes him a worthy bet against the Skelton horse. His recent form hasn't been great, but I thought he ran well enough on seasonal reappearance to prove he still has the ability to win races. He was beaten by General Medrano who has since gone up 17lbs in the weights and Rose Sea Has was still going very strongly before turning for home. His form has dipped since that, but it's interesting that they've opted for the first time blinkers now he's on such a low mark.

He is a horse who likes to run from the front, so I'm hoping the first-time blinkers will fire him up, get him into a nice jumping rhythm and be hard to peg back on a track which suits frontrunners.

Ascot 2:25 – West Balboa 7/2 (1pt, Bet365)

The Long Walk Hurdle is a very wide open race this year, which is the case for the entire staying division, no one has put down their mark and cemented themselves as the front runner for the big races in the Spring. The talking horse has been Crambo who was well-fancied last time out, was given far too much to do, and as a result of that Connor Brace has been booted off by Fergal and Jonathan Burke gets on for the first time. Whether that's the right or wrong decision, time will tell. He is the market favourite, which I can understand as he is unexposed at the trip and looks to be going the right way, but I've got to take him on all things achieved.

At the top of the market is West Balboa and I think this mare has the better form to be the price she is at. It isn't surprising to see her as joint favourite with Crambo, but I was hoping for a slightly bigger price thinking the bookies would side with the older horses. However, I still think she is a worthy bet at the prices and I think she has a great chance of winning this. Dan Skelton has done this a fair few times over the years in the staying contests by using mares. He went close a few years in a row at the Aintree Stayers when Roksana finished as runner-up on two occasions. West Balboa sports the same colours as Roksana, so it's not a surprise to see them attempt this route for this unexposed mare who won a Grade 3 over 3m at Aintree earlier in April by 5L. Her return to action was a good run as she ran out a ready winner of 12L to Brewin'upastorm, I wouldn't trust the latter form, but at a time where the Skelton horses have been needed their first run, she didn't look rusty at all.

Getting the 7lb from the boys in this race will be huge, as will her pace as she is clearly the one who possesses the best cruising speed. I don't think you can touch the older horses like Champ, Paisley Park or Dashel Drasher with a barge pole. There recent form stinks, they beat a 142 rated horse by 1.75 & 2L at Newbury in a Grade 2, that horse isn't on the same level as West Balboa. The young horse Blueking D'Oroux is an interesting runner from Paul Nicholls as he does look like a proper stayer, but the race he won at Ascot doesn't look strong either, and was probably flattered to win a race of that nature.

Horse Racing Tips
El Elefante
Haydock Park - 12:55 pm

10/3 @ William Hill

Bill Baxter
Haydock Park - 1:30 pm

13/2 @ Bet365

Rose Sea Has
Haydock Park - 2:40 pm

9/1 @ Bet365

West Balboa
Ascot - 2:25 pm

7/2 @ Bet365

38 Comments
  1. recoba 2 months ago

    🇺🇸
    Penn National -Race 1…Crazy Legs Histch 13/8
    Race 2…Jumpster 5/6

    Double pays just under 4/1 Paddy Power

    Turfway Park -Race 4…Gorilla Trek 11/4
    Combo forecast 3-4-6

    Could go a Trixie ⬆️?

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Bookies wet dream 😂

      1
  2. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    2:40 haydock – by the same token 7/2

    Keep your money for Christmas not any of this bent rubbish . 😂

    2
  3. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Wallin and baby miller both to win 10/1 💰

    1
  4. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    mini tenabaum 11.00 France well done all winners yesterday

  5. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    maruna 11.40 ew

  6. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    bread and butter 11.45 ew

  7. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    lemomile 11.55 ew

  8. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    nuits premier cru 11.30 France nap

  9. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    hatadora 12.15 ew

  10. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    doyen star 12.20 nb

  11. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Excello 1-15 Ascot 100-30
    Goshen 2-25 Ascot 25-1 ew extra 5 places

    2
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      I’ve gone for straw fan jack 😂 eeek

    • elvis parsley 2 months ago

      Excello 👍

      3
  12. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Bois guillbert 2-05 haydock
    6-4 top 2 finish NAP 🏇
    5-1 win
    80-20 stake

    1
  13. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Tuesday
    Kauto star chase
    1-20 kempton
    I’ll est francais 🇫🇷 6-4

    Potential French top notcher coming over here to slay le English nags

    1
  14. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Was nt crambo an obvious one ? Crambo / crimbo ? 😂

    2
  15. postman 2 months ago

    “Merry Christmas You Filthy Animal”

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      I’m gonna lick grot bags out ! 😂

  16. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Full house 😂

  17. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Looking forward to the boxing tonight ! Enough of this horse racing nonsense 😂 still good to watch but terrible from a money making standpoint 😂

    Well done the winner today 👍

    2
  18. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    Race 2 gulfstream- dash man 7/1 almost sounds like dazzman 😂

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Hammerstein would of been a better name sake for me to be fair – alas another second placing which means nothing to me 😂

      1
  19. azzthewigan 2 months ago

    favior 3.35 ew well done all winners today

    1
  20. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Theleme 🇫🇷 stayers hurdle at Cheltenham 9-2.
    Will beat that lot who ran in the long walk today.

    Paisley park 20-1 ew same race.
    Finished a short head 2nd to crambo today, that one is just 7-1 for the stayers and paisley has form in that race.

    1
  21. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Just one meeting in France today.
    These are Laurent barbarin’s tips.
    ⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️⬇️

    10.55am CAGNES-SUR-MER
    BROOKS (evs bet365)

    13.15 CAGNES-SUR-MER
    GOLDEN PARK (EW) (18-1 bet365)

    14.32 CAGNES-SUR-MER
    LASSITER (9-4 bet365)

    1
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Got the Indian and African stuff as well 😁

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      What happened to brooks ? Hung him self dint he 😂

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Lasisiter ? Ain’t that a bar in neighbours from back In the day 😂

  22. elvis parsley 2 months ago

    Cagnes sur mer 🇫🇷
    12-05 Helsinki nolimit 5-2.
    12-40 hard temper 5-2.

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Arenui e/w ?

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Soft temper 😂

  23. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    2:05 scottsville – space cowboy 11/2

    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      Only because I happened to have it playing in my ear when I was at the betting terminal which was a bit of a coincidence I might say 😂

  24. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    1:15 Cannes surmer – jig star Pam 9/2

  25. dazzman1979 2 months ago

    When they want to lock you out they do a excellent job 😂

  26. double carpet 2 months ago

    Things that we take for granted such as eating, drinking and speech have become very difficult for me.
    My mouth doesn’t produce enough saliva to help swallow food so I have to drink lots to push food down my throat. The swallow muscle in my throat also doesn’t work properly so when I swallow fluids some of it goes down my wind pipe which leads to coughing and sometimes that gets out of control and then I have to blow my nose quite a lot and food can come out of my nose when blowing which is just horrible.
    So I can’t take my wife to a restaurant, I can’t go to the pub and I have absolutely no taste whatsoever.
    I’ve been back in work since Sept and being in sales involves a lot of oral communication with potential customers but my voice now sounds weird and I know people are noticing it which in turn hits my confidence and I get embarrassed about it.
    So I’m going to work through the rest of the Xmas period as it’s a very busy time for the company but then I’m going to quit as I can no longer work feeling that way.
    My Consultant told me on my last visit to the hospital (every 3 months) that I’ve probably recovered as much as I’m going to so I’m going to have to accept this is the way things are going to be which at present I’m finding very difficult.
    So my physical health is what it is I guess but it’s my mental health which is suffering most.
    I’m seeing consultants for this but so far it’s not having the desired effect.
    My family though are just amazing and it’s them that keeps the fire burning in me. Only for them I don’t know what I’d do so I owe it to them to keep being positive and keep fighting.

    9
    • dazzman1979 2 months ago

      I’m so very sorry brought a tear to my eye ! Should be a wake up call for all of us to value the small things we take for granted eventually everything will be snatched from us it’s not if but when and how! It happens to the fittest and strongest of humans it’s not god just singling you out Glad you still get joy from your racing keep up your good work and hope there are still plenty of quality moments for you to cherish in the future ❤️❤️

      5

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